Wednesday, August 27, 2025

Emma Raducanu vs Janice Tjen

Emma Raducanu vs Janice Tjen — US Open 2R Preview
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Emma Raducanu vs Janice Tjen — US Open 2R

WTA US Open Hard Court 2nd Round

🧠 Form & Context

Emma Raducanu (No. 36, age 22)

  • 🇬🇧 2021 US Open champion, still searching for consistency after injuries/resets.
  • 📊 2025: 25–17 (14–9 hard). Slam highlights: AO 3R, Wimbledon 3R.
  • 🔥 R1 USO: Beat Ena Shibahara 6–1, 6–2 in just over an hour — first US Open win since the title run.
  • 📈 Season highlights: QF Miami, QF Washington, QF Queen’s; notable summer wins over Osaka & Sakkari.
  • ⚠️ Concern: Hasn’t pushed past R3 at a Slam since 2021; often runs into higher seeds early.

Janice Tjen (No. 149, age 23)

  • 🇮🇩 First Indonesian woman since 2003 to win a Slam main-draw match.
  • 📊 2025: 59–10 (54–10 hard). Six ITF titles; back-to-back finals in Lexington (W75) & Landisville (W100).
  • 🔥 R1 USO: Upset No. 24 seed Kudermetova 6–4, 4–6, 6–4 on Slam debut.
  • 📈 Momentum: Recently rode a 27-match ITF win streak — confident and match-tough.
  • ⚠️ Weakness: First full tour-level campaign; limited reps vs top-40 opposition.

🔍 Match Breakdown

  • H2H: First meeting.
  • Raducanu angle: Big-stage comfort + clean defense/counterpunching. If she keeps rallies orderly and changes direction well, she should control tempo.
  • Tjen angle: Free hit with nothing to lose. Will try to dictate with aggressive first-strike patterns and ride her current confidence.
  • X-factor: Raducanu’s management of momentum swings. If Tjen nicks the first set or forces tiebreak traffic, scoreboard pressure could complicate things.

🔮 Prediction

Raducanu has the fuller toolkit and superior hard-court seasoning. Tjen’s belief and pace can test her in pockets, but over two sets Raducanu’s movement and shot-selection discipline should wear down the underdog’s risk profile.

Pick: Raducanu in two sets (one tight, one clear).

📊 Tale of the Tape (Qualitative)

  • Baseline reliability: Edge Raducanu — higher rally tolerance and better shot selection.
  • First-strike pop: Edge Tjen — confidence to take the ball early and change direction.
  • Return/defense: Edge Raducanu — absorbs pace, turns defense into offense.
  • Big-match mileage: Clear edge Raducanu — prior title here and deeper WTA experience.
  • Upset path: Tjen serves big, grabs early leads, and drags sets to breakers to maximize variance.

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