First- and second-round previews from the Taipei Challenger (indoor hard), with form, serve and return numbers and a full Tale of the Tape for every open match. Matches marked 🔒 are on today's PBTennis Patreon card. Times are as listed by the tournament schedule and may move with the order of play.
Harold Mayot vs Petr Bar Biryukov
Taipei Challenger · First Round · 4 November · 02:00
🧠 Form & Context
Harold Mayot
- 📈 Ranked No. 220 at 24, 6–4 in his last 10.
- 🔁 The better returner: 31.8% against the first serve and 50.6% against the second.
- 🎯 Lands 61.7% of first serves and converts 41.6% of break points.
- 🏆 Has won 63% of deciding sets this season, and won their only meeting.
- ⚠️ Has won only 43% of his career tiebreaks, and saved 55% of break points in recent matches.
Petr Bar Biryukov
- 📊 Ranked No. 268 at 24, 5–5 in his last 10.
- 🚀 A big first serve: 74.5% of points won, and 76% in recent matches.
- 🔒 Saves 62.8% of break points, and 67% in recent matches.
- 🏆 Has won 61% of his career tiebreaks and 61% of deciding sets this season.
- ⚠️ Weak on return: 28.7% against the first serve and 46.5% against the second.
🔍 Match Breakdown
Their second meeting. Mayot won the first 6–1, 6–4 on hard courts at the Bengaluru Challenger in January. He is the 1.18 favourite. The match was moved from Tuesday.
Bar Biryukov, a left-hander, has the bigger serve. He wins 74.5% behind his first serve to 69.9%, is level behind the second, and saves more break points (62.8% vs 61.2%).
Mayot is the better returner, with 31.8% vs 28.7% against the first serve and 50.6% vs 46.5% against the second, and converts slightly more break points (41.6% vs 40.4%).
Mayot has the slightly better form: 6–4 in his last 10 against 5–5, and 59% vs 57% of recent matches won. Bar Biryukov has the far better tiebreak record (61% vs 43%), which could matter indoors.
Mayot's return game and the head-to-head explain the price. Bar Biryukov's serve could make this tighter than 1.18 suggests.
📊 Tale of the Tape
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Charles Broom vs Liam Broady
Taipei Challenger · First Round · 4 November · 02:00
🧠 Form & Context
Charles Broom
- 📈 Ranked No. 264 at 28, 6–4 in his last 10 and winning 60% of recent matches.
- 🚀 The bigger first serve: 70.5% of points won.
- 🔒 Saves 60.5% of break points, and 65% in recent matches.
- 🔁 Slightly the better returner: 33.1% against the first serve and 53.3% against the second.
- 🏆 Has won 63% of his best-of-three matches over his career.
Liam Broady
- 📉 Ranked No. 212 at 32, 4–6 in his last 10.
- 🚀 Strong behind his second serve: 52.3% of points won.
- 🎯 Lands 62.8% of first serves and converts 42.8% of break points.
- 🏆 Won their only meeting, and has won 57% of deciding sets this season.
- ⚠️ Has won only 38% of his recent matches, and converted 36% of break points in recent matches.
🔍 Match Breakdown
Their second meeting. Broady won the first in a final-set 7–5 at the St. Tropez Challenger in September 2024. Broom is the 1.66 favourite.
On serve the two are close. Broom wins more behind his first serve (70.5% vs 68.4%) and saves slightly more break points (60.5% vs 59.8%). Broady, a left-hander, is stronger behind his second (52.3% vs 50.9%).
Broom is slightly the better returner, with 33.1% vs 32.0% against the first serve and 53.3% vs 52.3% against the second. Broady converts more break points (42.8% vs 41.2%).
The form is with Broom: 6–4 in his last 10 against 4–6, and 60% vs 38% of recent matches won. Broady has won more deciding sets this season (57% vs 50%).
Broom's form supports the price. Expect plenty of holds.
📊 Tale of the Tape
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Yaroslav Demin vs Alexandre Muller
Taipei Challenger · First Round · 4 November · 03:30
🔒 Members-only read
This match is on today's PBTennis Patreon card. The full breakdown – form, serve and return numbers, the Tale of the Tape and our read on the match – is available to our members.
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Carl Emil Overbeck vs Chun Hsin Tseng
Taipei Challenger · First Round · 4 November · 03:30
🧠 Form & Context
Carl Emil Overbeck
- 🔥 Ranked No. 301 at 25, 6–4 in his last 10 and winning 73% of recent matches.
- 🚀 The bigger first serve: 71.1% of points won, and he lands 64.4% of first serves.
- 🎯 Converts 44.0% of his break points.
- 🏆 Has won 72% of deciding sets this season and 71% over his career.
- ⚠️ Saves only 56.9% of break points. Limited data on him at this level.
Chun Hsin Tseng
- 📊 Ranked No. 230 at 25, 6–4 in his last 10.
- 🚀 Stronger behind his second serve: 51.2% of points won.
- 🔒 Saves 59.7% of break points, and 63% in recent matches.
- 🎯 Has converted 47% of break points in recent matches.
- ⚠️ Lands only 59.6% of first serves, and has won 47% of deciding sets this season.
🔍 Match Breakdown
A first meeting between two 25-year-olds. Tseng is the 1.44 favourite.
Overbeck has the bigger first serve (71.1% vs 67.6%) and lands far more first serves (64.4% vs 59.6%). Tseng is stronger behind his second (51.2% vs 49.4%) and saves more break points (59.7% vs 56.9%).
On return they are almost level: 33.7% vs 33.2% against the first serve and 52.9% vs 52.8% against the second. Overbeck converts more break points (44.0% vs 42.0%).
Both are 6–4 in their last 10, but Overbeck has won far more of his recent matches (73% vs 54%) and far more deciding sets (72% vs 47% this season).
Tseng's experience at this level explains the price. Overbeck's first serve and form make this closer than 1.44.
📊 Tale of the Tape
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Jan Kumstat vs Billy Harris
Taipei Challenger · Second Round · 4 November · 06:30
🧠 Form & Context
Jan Kumstat
- 🔥 Ranked No. 194 at 19, 6–4 in his last 10 and winning 73% of recent matches.
- 🚀 A big first serve: 72.5% of points won, and 76% in recent matches.
- 🔒 Has saved 69% of break points in recent matches.
- 🏆 Has won 67% of his career tiebreaks and 63% of deciding sets this season.
- ⚠️ Lands only 56.1% of first serves and converts 39.3% of break points. Limited data on him at this level.
Billy Harris
- 📉 Ranked No. 232 at 31, 4–6 in his last 10.
- 🎯 Lands 61.0% of first serves and saves 60.3% of break points.
- 🎯 Converts 42.3% of his break points.
- 🔁 Slightly the better returner against the second serve: 51.5%.
- ⚠️ Has won only 44% of his recent matches and 38% of deciding sets this season.
🔍 Match Breakdown
A first meeting between a 19-year-old and a 31-year-old. Kumstat is the 1.72 favourite.
Kumstat has the bigger first serve (72.5% vs 70.2%) and is stronger behind his second (50.6% vs 49.2%). Harris lands far more first serves (61.0% vs 56.1%) and saves slightly more break points (60.3% vs 58.9%).
Neither is a strong returner. They are level against the first serve, Harris is slightly better against the second (51.5% vs 50.2%), and he converts more break points (42.3% vs 39.3%).
The form is firmly with Kumstat: 6–4 in his last 10 against 4–6, and 73% vs 44% of recent matches won. He also has the far better record in tight finishes (67% vs 48% of career tiebreaks, 63% vs 38% of deciding sets this season).
Kumstat's serve and form support the price. Expect plenty of holds and possibly tiebreaks.
📊 Tale of the Tape
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Yuta Shimizu vs August Holmgren
Taipei Challenger · Second Round · 4 November · 09:30
🧠 Form & Context
Yuta Shimizu
- 📊 Ranked No. 405 at 27, 5–5 in his last 10.
- 🔁 The far better returner: 34.7% against the first serve and 52.6% against the second.
- 🎯 Converts 44.8% of his break points.
- 🏆 Has won 50% of deciding sets this season and 55% of his career tiebreaks.
- ⚠️ Wins only 67.9% behind his first serve, and has won 48% of his recent matches.
August Holmgren
- 📉 Ranked No. 267 at 28, 2–8 in his last 10.
- 🚀 The stronger server: 72.8% behind his first serve and 53.3% behind his second.
- 🔒 Saves 63.7% of break points.
- 🏆 Leads the head-to-head 2–0, both on hard courts.
- ⚠️ Weak on return (30.4% against the first serve) and converts only 37.0% of break points. Has won 36% of deciding sets this season.
🔍 Match Breakdown
Their third meeting. Holmgren won both previous matches on hard courts, most recently 7–6, 6–4 at the Gwangju Challenger in April. He is the 1.57 favourite.
Holmgren is the stronger server. He wins 72.8% behind his first serve to 67.9%, 53.3% behind his second to 50.0%, and saves far more break points (63.7% vs 59.2%).
Shimizu, a left-hander, is far stronger on return. He wins 34.7% of points against the first serve to 30.4%, and 52.6% against the second to 47.4%. He also converts far more break points (44.8% vs 37.0%).
Shimizu has the better last 10 (5–5 vs 2–8), and their recent match-win rates are almost identical (48% vs 47%). Shimizu has also won more deciding sets this season (50% vs 36%).
Holmgren's serve and the head-to-head explain the price. Shimizu's return game and Holmgren's weak recent results make this closer than 1.57.
📊 Tale of the Tape
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