Quarterfinal previews from the WTA 125 Cundinamarca Open in Sopo (clay), with form, serve and return numbers and a full Tale of the Tape for every open match. Matches marked 🔒 are on today's PBTennis Patreon card. Times are as listed by the tournament schedule and may move with the order of play.
Laura Samson vs Irene Burillo
🧠 Form & Context
Laura Samson
- 📈 Ranked No. 119 at 18, 5–5 in her last 10 and winning 63% of recent matches. Beat Costoulas in round two.
- 🚀 The stronger server: 62.6% on the first serve and 44.9% on the second.
- 🔒 Saves 53.1% of break points.
- 🏆 Has won 65% of deciding sets this season and 66% of best-of-three matches.
- ⚠️ Lands only 59.2% of first serves and has won 46% of her tiebreaks.
Irene Burillo
- 📊 Ranked No. 213 at 29, 5–5 in her last 10 and winning 59% of recent matches. Beat Grabher in round two.
- 🎯 Lands 69.3% of first serves.
- 🔁 A strong returner: 43.8% against the first serve and 58.5% against the second, with 50.1% of break points converted.
- 🎲 Has won 61% of her tiebreaks.
- ⚠️ Wins only 55.5% behind her first serve and saves 49.9% of break points.
🔍 Match Breakdown
A first meeting in the quarterfinals. Samson is the 1.47 favourite and is ranked 94 places higher.
Samson is the stronger server: 62.6% behind the first serve to 55.5%, 44.9% behind the second to 42.4%, and 53.1% of break points saved to 49.9%. Burillo lands far more first serves (69.3% vs 59.2%).
On return they are almost identical: 43.8% each against the first serve, 58.7% vs 58.5% against the second, and 49.8% vs 50.1% of break points converted.
Both are 5–5 in their last 10. Samson has won slightly more of her recent matches (63% vs 59%) and more deciding sets this season (65% vs 61%). Burillo has the better tiebreak record (61% vs 46%).
Two strong returners on clay, so expect plenty of breaks. Samson's slightly better serve is the main edge.
📊 Tale of the Tape
| Metric | Samson | Burillo |
|---|---|---|
| Ranking | 119 | 213 |
| Age | 18 | 29 |
| Last 10 | 5–5 | 5–5 |
| Head-to-head | 0 | 0 |
| First serves in | 59.2% | 69.3% |
| 1st-serve points won | 62.6% | 55.5% |
| 2nd-serve points won | 44.9% | 42.4% |
| Break points saved | 53.1% | 49.9% |
| Break points converted | 49.8% | 50.1% |
| Return points won (career) | 49% | 49% |
| Tiebreak win % | 46% | 61% |
| Deciding-set win % (career) | 63% | 59% |
| Best-of-3 win % | 66% | 55% |
Elizabeth Mandlik vs Andrea Lazaro Garcia
🧠 Form & Context
Elizabeth Mandlik
- 📊 Ranked No. 237 at 25, 6–4 in her last 10 and winning 52% of recent matches. Beat Bronzetti in round two.
- 🚀 Slightly stronger behind the first serve: 62.3% of points won.
- 🎯 Converts 50.6% of break points.
- 🔁 Wins 41.8% of points against the first serve.
- ⚠️ Lands only 56.6% of first serves and has won 41% of her tiebreaks.
Andrea Lazaro Garcia
- 📈 Ranked No. 143 at 32, 6–4 in her last 10 and winning 62% of recent matches. Beat Ortenzi in round two.
- 🎯 Lands 62.6% of first serves and saves 52.8% of break points (57% recently).
- 🔁 A strong returner: 42.0% against the first serve and 58.7% against the second.
- 🏆 Has won 57% of deciding sets this season, 62% of best-of-three matches and 89% after taking the first set.
- ⚠️ Wins 44.8% behind her second serve, about the same as Mandlik.
🔍 Match Breakdown
A first meeting in the quarterfinals. Lazaro Garcia is the 1.61 favourite and is ranked 94 places higher.
On serve there is little in it. Mandlik wins slightly more behind the first serve (62.3% vs 61.0%), while Lazaro Garcia lands more first serves (62.6% vs 56.6%) and saves more break points (52.8% vs 51.2%). Both win about 45% behind the second.
Both return well. Lazaro Garcia is slightly better against the second serve (58.7% vs 56.7%), and they are level against the first (42.0% vs 41.8%) and on break points converted (50.3% vs 50.6%).
Both are 6–4 in their last 10. Lazaro Garcia has won more of her recent matches (62% vs 52%) and more deciding sets this season (57% vs 52%).
A close, break-heavy match on paper. Lazaro Garcia's experience and record in tight sets explain the price.
📊 Tale of the Tape
| Metric | Mandlik | Lazaro Garcia |
|---|---|---|
| Ranking | 237 | 143 |
| Age | 25 | 32 |
| Last 10 | 6–4 | 6–4 |
| Head-to-head | 0 | 0 |
| First serves in | 56.6% | 62.6% |
| 1st-serve points won | 62.3% | 61.0% |
| 2nd-serve points won | 44.5% | 44.8% |
| Break points saved | 51.2% | 52.8% |
| Break points converted | 50.6% | 50.3% |
| Return points won (career) | 47% | 48% |
| Tiebreak win % | 41% | 49% |
| Deciding-set win % (career) | 51% | 53% |
| Best-of-3 win % | 55% | 62% |
Bianca Andreescu vs Marina Bassols Ribera
🧠 Form & Context
Bianca Andreescu
- 🔥 Ranked No. 100 at 26, 9–1 in her last 10 and winning 71% of recent matches. Beat Pigossi in round two.
- 🚀 The stronger server: 64.9% on the first serve and 49.0% on the second.
- 🔒 Saves 56.6% of break points (60% recently).
- 🏆 Has won 67% of best-of-three matches and 59% of career deciding sets.
- ⚠️ The slightly weaker returner, with 45.9% of break points converted.
Marina Bassols Ribera
- 📊 Ranked No. 129 at 26, 6–4 in her last 10 and winning 56% of recent matches. Beat Carle in round two.
- 🔁 The better returner: 41.6% against the first serve and 57.7% against the second.
- 🎯 Converts 49.3% of break points and wins 48% of career return points.
- 🎲 Has won 53% of her tiebreaks, level with Andreescu.
- ⚠️ Weak behind the second serve (45.2%) and saves 52.7% of break points.
🔍 Match Breakdown
A first meeting in the quarterfinals. Andreescu is the 1.16 favourite and is ranked 29 places higher.
Andreescu is clearly the stronger server: 64.9% behind the first serve to 60.2%, 49.0% behind the second to 45.2%, and 56.6% of break points saved to 52.7%.
Bassols Ribera is the better returner: 41.6% against the first serve to 38.4%, 57.7% against the second to 56.0%, and 49.3% of break points converted to 45.9%.
The form is firmly with Andreescu: 9–1 in her last 10 against 6–4, and 71% of recent matches won against 56%.
Andreescu's serve and form make her a deserved favourite. Bassols Ribera's return game is her way back in.
📊 Tale of the Tape
| Metric | Andreescu | Bassols Ribera |
|---|---|---|
| Ranking | 100 | 129 |
| Age | 26 | 26 |
| Last 10 | 9–1 | 6–4 |
| Head-to-head | 0 | 0 |
| First serves in | 62.6% | 60.8% |
| 1st-serve points won | 64.9% | 60.2% |
| 2nd-serve points won | 49.0% | 45.2% |
| Break points saved | 56.6% | 52.7% |
| Break points converted | 45.9% | 49.3% |
| Return points won (career) | 45% | 48% |
| Tiebreak win % | 53% | 53% |
| Deciding-set win % (career) | 59% | 53% |
| Best-of-3 win % | 67% | 59% |
Alice Tubello vs Polona Hercog
🧠 Form & Context
Alice Tubello
- 🔥 Ranked No. 146 at 25, 8–2 in her last 10 and winning 62% of recent matches. Beat Tatjana Maria in round two.
- 🔁 The much better returner: 44.3% against the first serve and 59.0% against the second, with 50.1% of break points converted.
- 🎯 Lands 68.2% of first serves.
- 🏆 Has won 59% of her tiebreaks and 67% of best-of-three matches.
- ⚠️ Wins only 59.1% behind her first serve and has won 44% of deciding sets this season.
Polona Hercog
- 📊 Ranked No. 200 at 35, 5–5 in her last 10 and winning 44% of recent matches. Beat Monnet in round two.
- 🚀 Stronger behind the first serve: 64.6% of points won.
- 🔒 Saves 55.3% of break points.
- 🏆 Has won 57% of deciding sets this season.
- ⚠️ A weaker returner: 38.5% against the first serve and 52.9% against the second.
🔍 Match Breakdown
A first meeting in the quarterfinals. Tubello is the 1.36 favourite and is ranked 54 places higher.
On serve it is close. Hercog wins more behind the first serve (64.6% vs 59.1%) and saves more break points (55.3% vs 52.2%), while Tubello lands far more first serves (68.2% vs 60.4%).
Tubello is much the better returner: 44.3% against the first serve to 38.5%, 59.0% against the second to 52.9%, and 50.1% of break points converted to 47.8%.
The form is with Tubello: 8–2 in her last 10 against 5–5, and 62% of recent matches won against 44%. Hercog has the better deciding-set record this season (57% vs 44%).
Tubello's return and form make her a solid favourite on clay.
📊 Tale of the Tape
| Metric | Tubello | Hercog |
|---|---|---|
| Ranking | 146 | 200 |
| Age | 25 | 35 |
| Last 10 | 8–2 | 5–5 |
| Head-to-head | 0 | 0 |
| First serves in | 68.2% | 60.4% |
| 1st-serve points won | 59.1% | 64.6% |
| 2nd-serve points won | 46.5% | 47.5% |
| Break points saved | 52.2% | 55.3% |
| Break points converted | 50.1% | 47.8% |
| Return points won (career) | 50% | 44% |
| Tiebreak win % | 59% | 53% |
| Deciding-set win % (career) | 54% | 53% |
| Best-of-3 win % | 67% | 58% |