Brisbane 3 challenger 2026 (Australia) 13.11.26

Quarterfinal previews from the Brisbane 3 Challenger (hard), with form, serve and return numbers and a full Tale of the Tape for every open match. Matches marked 🔒 are on today's PBTennis Patreon card. Times are as listed by the tournament schedule and may move with the order of play.

Matches

1. Gorzny vs Bolt
2. Sweeny vs Shang 🔒
3. Tomic vs Holmgren 🔒
4. Santillan vs Langmo 🔒

Sebastian Gorzny vs Alex Bolt

Brisbane 3 Challenger · Quarterfinal · 13 November · 01:00

🧠 Form & Context

Sebastian Gorzny

• 📊 Ranked No. 403 at 22, with a one-handed backhand. 5–5 in his last 10 and winning 53% of recent matches. Beat Dellavedova in round two.
• 🔁 The better returner: 31.2% against the first serve and 51.2% against the second, with 40.1% of break points converted.
• 🔒 Has saved 66% of break points in recent matches.
• 🏆 Has won 47% of deciding sets this season, against Bolt's 42%.
• ⚠️ Wins 68.7% behind his first serve, below Bolt. His sample at this level is very small.

Alex Bolt

• 📊 Ranked No. 171 at 33, a left-hander, 6–4 in his last 10 and winning 48% of recent matches. Beat Ayeni in round two.
• 🚀 The stronger server: 72.5% on the first serve and 52.6% on the second (54% recently).
• 🔒 Saves 63.7% of break points.
• 🏆 Has won 57% of career deciding sets and 55% of his tiebreaks.
• ⚠️ A weak returner: 29.0% against the first serve and 36% of career return points.

🔍 Match Breakdown

A first meeting in the quarterfinals. The market cannot split them: both are priced at 1.83, even though Bolt is ranked 232 places higher.

Bolt is the stronger server: 72.5% behind the first serve to 68.7%, 52.6% behind the second to 50.1%, and 63.7% of break points saved to 61.9%. He also lands slightly more first serves (62.1% vs 60.6%).

Gorzny is the better returner: 31.2% against the first serve to 29.0%, 51.2% against the second to 48.1%, and 40.1% of break points converted to 38.7%.

Bolt is 6–4 in his last 10 against 5–5, while Gorzny has won slightly more of his recent matches (53% vs 48%).

Two players who hold serve well, so expect few breaks and possibly tiebreaks, where Bolt has the slightly better record.

📊 Tale of the Tape

Metric	Gorzny	Bolt
Ranking	403	171
Age	22	33
Last 10	5–5	6–4
Head-to-head	0	0
First serves in	60.6%	62.1%
1st-serve points won	68.7%	72.5%
2nd-serve points won	50.1%	52.6%
Break points saved	61.9%	63.7%
Break points converted	40.1%	38.7%
Return points won (career)	39%	36%
Tiebreak win %	50%	55%
Deciding-set win % (career)	52%	57%
Best-of-3 win %	58%	58%

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Dane Sweeny vs Juncheng Shang

Brisbane 3 Challenger · Quarterfinal · 13 November · 02:30

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Bernard Tomic vs August Holmgren

Brisbane 3 Challenger · Quarterfinal · 13 November · 04:00

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Akira Santillan vs Christian Langmo

Brisbane 3 Challenger · Quarterfinal · 13 November · 05:30

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Monastir 1 challenger 2026 (Tunisia) 13.11.26

Quarterfinal previews from the Monastir 1 Challenger (hard), with form, serve and return numbers and a full Tale of the Tape for every open match. Matches marked 🔒 are on today's PBTennis Patreon card. Times are as listed by the tournament schedule and may move with the order of play.

Matches

1. Moeller vs Giustino
2. Forejtek vs Mikrut
3. Feldbausch vs Petkovic
4. Vives Marcos vs Moro Canas

Marvin Moeller vs Lorenzo Giustino

Monastir 1 Challenger · Quarterfinal · 13 November · 12:00

🧠 Form & Context

Marvin Moeller

• 🔥 Ranked No. 229 at 27, 6–4 in his last 10 and winning 68% of recent matches. Beat Ouakaa in round two.
• 🔁 The better returner: 35.9% against the first serve and 54.9% against the second, with 46.1% of break points converted.
• 🔒 Stronger behind the second serve (49.9%) and saves 58.6% of break points.
• 🏆 Has won 62% of deciding sets this season, 60% over his career and 63% of best-of-three matches.
• ⚠️ Slightly weaker behind the first serve: 67.3% of points won.

Lorenzo Giustino

• 📊 Ranked No. 289 at 35, 4–6 in his last 10 and winning 50% of recent matches. Beat Blanch in round two.
• 🚀 Wins 68.4% behind the first serve (71% recently).
• 🎲 Has won 51% of his tiebreaks.
• 🏆 Has won 52% of deciding sets this season.
• ⚠️ Lands only 58.1% of first serves, and has won 46% of second-serve points and saved 55% of break points recently.

🔍 Match Breakdown

A first meeting in the quarterfinals. Giustino is the 1.50 favourite even though Moeller is ranked 60 places higher.

On serve they are close. Giustino wins slightly more behind the first serve (68.4% vs 67.3%), but Moeller lands more first serves (61.7% vs 58.1%), is stronger behind the second (49.9% vs 47.8%) and saves more break points (58.6% vs 57.3%).

Moeller is the better returner: 35.9% against the first serve to 33.8%, 54.9% against the second to 51.3%, and 46.1% of break points converted to 43.2%.

The form is with Moeller: 6–4 in his last 10 against 4–6, 68% of recent matches won against 50%, and 62% of deciding sets this season against 52%.

On these numbers Moeller looks the stronger player, which makes the price an interesting one.

📊 Tale of the Tape

Metric	Moeller	Giustino
Ranking	229	289
Age	27	35
Last 10	6–4	4–6
Head-to-head	0	0
First serves in	61.7%	58.1%
1st-serve points won	67.3%	68.4%
2nd-serve points won	49.9%	47.8%
Break points saved	58.6%	57.3%
Break points converted	46.1%	43.2%
Return points won (career)	43%	41%
Tiebreak win %	50%	51%
Deciding-set win % (career)	60%	49%
Best-of-3 win %	63%	53%

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Jonas Forejtek vs Luka Mikrut

Monastir 1 Challenger · Quarterfinal · 13 November · 12:00

🧠 Form & Context

Jonas Forejtek

• 📊 Ranked No. 303 at 25, 6–4 in his last 10 and winning 55% of recent matches. Beat Kouame in round two.
• 🎯 Lands far more first serves: 64.1%.
• 🚀 Level with Mikrut on serve: 69.9% behind the first and 50.8% behind the second.
• 🔒 Saves 61.0% of break points, the same as Mikrut.
• ⚠️ The weaker returner (32.4% against the first serve), and 0–2 against Mikrut.

Luka Mikrut

• 🔥 Ranked No. 255 at 22, 8–2 in his last 10 and winning 73% of recent matches. Beat Coulibaly in round two.
• 🤝 Leads the head-to-head 2–0, indoors in Nottingham in 2025 and on clay in Kigali in March.
• 🔁 The better returner: 35.5% against the first serve and 52.2% against the second.
• 🏆 Has won 75% of deciding sets this season and 91% of matches after taking the first set.
• ⚠️ Lands only 58.2% of first serves.

🔍 Match Breakdown

Their third meeting. Mikrut won both earlier ones, in three sets in Nottingham in 2025 and 6–3, 7–6 in Kigali in March. He is the 1.61 favourite.

On serve there is almost nothing between them: 69.9% vs 70.0% behind the first serve, 50.8% vs 50.4% behind the second, and 61.0% each on break points saved. Forejtek lands far more first serves (64.1% vs 58.2%).

Mikrut is the better returner: 35.5% against the first serve to 32.4%, 52.2% against the second to 51.8%, and 43.8% of break points converted to 41.7%.

The form is clearly with Mikrut: 8–2 in his last 10 against 6–4, 73% of recent matches won against 55%, and 75% of deciding sets this season against 57%.

Mikrut has the form, the return edge and the head-to-head, which explains why he is favourite.

📊 Tale of the Tape

Metric	Forejtek	Mikrut
Ranking	303	255
Age	25	22
Last 10	6–4	8–2
Head-to-head	0	2
First serves in	64.1%	58.2%
1st-serve points won	69.9%	70.0%
2nd-serve points won	50.8%	50.4%
Break points saved	61.0%	61.0%
Break points converted	41.7%	43.8%
Return points won (career)	40%	42%
Tiebreak win %	53%	56%
Deciding-set win % (career)	50%	59%
Best-of-3 win %	59%	63%

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Kilian Feldbausch vs Mika Petkovic

Monastir 1 Challenger · Quarterfinal · 13 November · 13:30

🧠 Form & Context

Kilian Feldbausch

• 🔥 Ranked No. 238 at 21, 6–4 in his last 10 and winning 64% of recent matches. Beat Malige in round two.
• 🎯 Lands 70.5% of first serves.
• 🔁 The much better returner: 39.9% against the first serve and 55.8% against the second, with 47.0% of break points converted.
• 🏆 Has won 61% of deciding sets this season and 60% of best-of-three matches.
• ⚠️ The weaker server (62.8% on the first serve, 47.0% on the second) and has won 41% of his tiebreaks.

Mika Petkovic

• 🔥 Ranked No. 389 at 19, 8–2 in his last 10 and winning 62% of recent matches. Beat Echargui in round two.
• 🚀 The stronger server: 68.7% on the first serve and 51.2% on the second.
• 🔒 Saves 57.6% of break points.
• 🏆 Has won 57% of deciding sets this season and 48% of his tiebreaks.
• ⚠️ Lands only 58.7% of first serves and wins 32.6% against the first serve. His sample at this level is on the small side.

🔍 Match Breakdown

A first meeting in the quarterfinals. Feldbausch is the 1.30 favourite and is ranked 151 places higher.

Petkovic is the stronger server: 68.7% behind the first serve to 62.8%, 51.2% behind the second to 47.0%, and 57.6% of break points saved to 54.9%. Feldbausch lands far more first serves (70.5% vs 58.7%).

Feldbausch is much the better returner: 39.9% against the first serve to 32.6%, 55.8% against the second to 53.9%, and 47.0% of break points converted to 44.8%.

Petkovic has the better recent run (8–2 in his last 10 against 6–4), while Feldbausch has won slightly more of his recent matches (64% vs 62%).

Serve against return. Feldbausch's return game is the reason he is favourite, but Petkovic's form keeps this closer than 1.30.

📊 Tale of the Tape

Metric	Feldbausch	Petkovic
Ranking	238	389
Age	21	19
Last 10	6–4	8–2
Head-to-head	0	0
First serves in	70.5%	58.7%
1st-serve points won	62.8%	68.7%
2nd-serve points won	47.0%	51.2%
Break points saved	54.9%	57.6%
Break points converted	47.0%	44.8%
Return points won (career)	46%	41%
Tiebreak win %	41%	48%
Deciding-set win % (career)	51%	52%
Best-of-3 win %	60%	59%

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Pedro Vives Marcos vs Alejandro Moro Canas

Monastir 1 Challenger · Quarterfinal · 13 November · 13:30

🧠 Form & Context

Pedro Vives Marcos

• 🔥 Ranked No. 585 at 25, 8–2 in his last 10 and winning 71% of recent matches. Beat Clarke in round two.
• 🚀 Slightly bigger first serve: 67.9% of points won.
• 🔁 Slightly better on return: 36.1% against the first serve and 45.2% of break points converted.
• 🎲 Has won 57% of his tiebreaks and 88% of matches after taking the first set.
• ⚠️ Lands only 59.8% of first serves and has won 50% of deciding sets this season.

Alejandro Moro Canas

• 📈 Ranked No. 242 at 25, 7–3 in his last 10 and winning 62% of recent matches. Beat Dougaz in round two.
• 🤝 Leads the head-to-head 2–1, most recently 6–4, 6–4 in Zaragoza in October.
• 🎯 Lands 66.2% of first serves and wins 51.1% behind the second (55% recently).
• 🏆 Has won 65% of deciding sets this season and saved 65% of break points recently.
• ⚠️ Has won only 47% of his tiebreaks.

🔍 Match Breakdown

Their fourth meeting, all on clay so far. Moro Canas leads 2–1: Vives Marcos won in Porto in September, Moro Canas won in Zaragoza in October. He is the 1.50 favourite and is ranked 343 places higher.

On serve they are very close. Vives Marcos wins more behind the first serve (67.9% vs 66.0%), while Moro Canas lands more first serves (66.2% vs 59.8%), is stronger behind the second (51.1% vs 49.6%) and saves slightly more break points (59.6% vs 59.0%).

On return Vives Marcos is slightly ahead: 36.1% against the first serve to 34.1%, and 45.2% of break points converted to 43.9%. They are level against the second serve.

Vives Marcos has the hotter form (8–2 in his last 10 and 71% of recent matches won), while Moro Canas has the better record in deciding sets this season (65% vs 50%).

Two players who know each other well, with very little between them on the numbers.

📊 Tale of the Tape

Metric	Vives Marcos	Moro Canas
Ranking	585	242
Age	25	25
Last 10	8–2	7–3
Head-to-head	1	2
First serves in	59.8%	66.2%
1st-serve points won	67.9%	66.0%
2nd-serve points won	49.6%	51.1%
Break points saved	59.0%	59.6%
Break points converted	45.2%	43.9%
Return points won (career)	42%	41%
Tiebreak win %	57%	47%
Deciding-set win % (career)	50%	52%
Best-of-3 win %	61%	59%

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Matsuyama challenger 2026 (Japan) 13.11.26

Quarterfinal previews from the Matsuyama Challenger (hard), with form, serve and return numbers and a full Tale of the Tape for every open match. Matches marked 🔒 are on today's PBTennis Patreon card. Times are as listed by the tournament schedule and may move with the order of play.

Matches

1. Noguchi vs Daniel 🔒
2. Hsu vs Hara Friend
3. Sakamoto vs Milic
4. Uchida vs Harris

Rio Noguchi vs Taro Daniel

Matsuyama Challenger · Quarterfinal · 13 November · 02:00

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Yu Hsiou Hsu vs Jay Dylan Hara Friend

Matsuyama Challenger · Quarterfinal · 13 November · 02:00

🧠 Form & Context

Yu Hsiou Hsu

• 📊 Ranked No. 312 at 27, 4–6 in his last 10 and winning 52% of recent matches. Beat Mcdonald in round two.
• 🤝 Leads the head-to-head 1–0, after a 6–3, 6–4 win in Winnipeg in July.
• 🔁 Slightly better on return: 34.1% against the first serve and 52.9% against the second.
• 🎯 Lands more first serves (64.4%) and has won 55% of his tiebreaks.
• ⚠️ Has won only 44% of deciding sets this season, and converted 36% of break points recently.

Jay Dylan Hara Friend

• 🔥 Ranked No. 256 at 22, 6–4 in his last 10 and winning 66% of recent matches. Beat Honda in round two.
• 🚀 Wins 69.2% behind the first serve (71% recently).
• 🔒 Saves 60.5% of break points (65% recently).
• 🏆 Has won 64% of deciding sets this season, 70% over his career and 93% of matches after taking the first set.
• ⚠️ His sample at this level is small, so his numbers carry less weight.

🔍 Match Breakdown

A rematch of their meeting in Winnipeg in July, which Hsu won 6–3, 6–4. Hara Friend is the 1.61 favourite and is ranked 56 places higher.

On serve there is almost nothing between them: 68.6% vs 69.2% behind the first serve and 52.3% vs 52.4% behind the second. Hara Friend saves slightly more break points (60.5% vs 59.2%), while Hsu lands more first serves (64.4% vs 62.4%).

On return Hsu is slightly better against the first serve (34.1% vs 32.6%), and they are close against the second (52.9% vs 52.3%). Hara Friend converts slightly more break points (43.0% vs 42.2%).

The form is with Hara Friend: 6–4 in his last 10 against 4–6, 66% of recent matches won against 52%, and 64% of deciding sets this season against 44%.

Very even on serve and return. Hara Friend's form and record in tight finishes explain the price, and Hsu has the head-to-head.

📊 Tale of the Tape

Metric	Hsu	Hara Friend
Ranking	312	256
Age	27	22
Last 10	4–6	6–4
Head-to-head	1	0
First serves in	64.4%	62.4%
1st-serve points won	68.6%	69.2%
2nd-serve points won	52.3%	52.4%
Break points saved	59.2%	60.5%
Break points converted	42.2%	43.0%
Return points won (career)	41%	41%
Tiebreak win %	55%	53%
Deciding-set win % (career)	55%	70%
Best-of-3 win %	62%	66%

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Rei Sakamoto vs Ognjen Milic

Matsuyama Challenger · Quarterfinal · 13 November · 03:30

🧠 Form & Context

Rei Sakamoto

• 🔥 Ranked No. 122 at 20, 7–3 in his last 10 and winning 62% of recent matches. Beat Samrej in round two.
• 🎯 Lands far more first serves: 61.9%.
• 🚀 Has won 75% of first-serve points recently, and 51.8% behind the second.
• 🏆 Has won 70% of deciding sets this season and 64% over his career.
• ⚠️ A weak returner: 29.4% against the first serve and 38.4% of break points converted.

Ognjen Milic

• 📊 Ranked No. 392 at 19, 4–6 in his last 10 and winning 55% of recent matches. Beat Nakagawa in round two.
• 🚀 Wins 72.1% behind his first serve.
• 🔁 The better returner: 34.1% against the first serve and 52.4% against the second, with 46.0% of break points converted.
• 🎲 Has won 64% of his tiebreaks, 68% of best-of-three matches and 92% after taking the first set.
• ⚠️ Lands only 53.3% of first serves.

🔍 Match Breakdown

A first meeting in the quarterfinals. Sakamoto is the 1.12 favourite and is ranked 270 places higher.

On serve they are close. Milic wins slightly more behind the first serve (72.1% vs 71.3%), but Sakamoto lands far more first serves (61.9% vs 53.3%) and is a touch stronger behind the second (51.8% vs 50.9%). Break points saved are level (60.1% vs 60.0%).

Milic is the better returner: 34.1% against the first serve to 29.4%, 52.4% against the second to 49.2%, and 46.0% of break points converted to 38.4%.

The form is with Sakamoto: 7–3 in his last 10 against 4–6, and 70% of deciding sets won this season against 61%. Milic has the better tiebreak record (64% vs 52%).

Sakamoto deserves to be favourite, but Milic's return numbers suggest this is not as one-sided as 1.12.

📊 Tale of the Tape

Metric	Sakamoto	Milic
Ranking	122	392
Age	20	19
Last 10	7–3	4–6
Head-to-head	0	0
First serves in	61.9%	53.3%
1st-serve points won	71.3%	72.1%
2nd-serve points won	51.8%	50.9%
Break points saved	60.1%	60.0%
Break points converted	38.4%	46.0%
Return points won (career)	37%	41%
Tiebreak win %	52%	64%
Deciding-set win % (career)	64%	62%
Best-of-3 win %	57%	68%

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Kaichi Uchida vs Billy Harris

Matsuyama Challenger · Quarterfinal · 13 November · 03:30

🧠 Form & Context

Kaichi Uchida

• 📊 Ranked No. 431 at 32, 5–5 in his last 10 but winning only 24% of recent matches. Beat Schwaerzler in round two.
• 🚀 Matches Harris on serve: 70.5% behind the first and 49.2% behind the second.
• 🔒 Saves 60.4% of break points, the same as Harris.
• 🎲 Has won 49% of his tiebreaks.
• ⚠️ Lands only 58.8% of first serves and has converted 30% of break points recently.

Billy Harris

• 📊 Ranked No. 227 at 31, 5–5 in his last 10 and winning 49% of recent matches. Beat F. Sun in round two.
• 🎯 Lands more first serves: 61.1%.
• 🔁 Slightly better on return: 31.5% against the first serve and 42.3% of break points converted.
• 🏆 Has won 55% of career deciding sets and 59% of best-of-three matches.
• ⚠️ Has won 48% of his tiebreaks.

🔍 Match Breakdown

A first meeting in the quarterfinals. Harris is the 1.22 favourite and is ranked 204 places higher.

On serve they are almost identical: 70.5% vs 70.3% behind the first serve, 49.2% each behind the second and 60.4% each on break points saved. Harris lands more first serves (61.1% vs 58.8%).

Harris is slightly better on return: 31.5% against the first serve to 30.4%, and 42.3% of break points converted to 41.6%.

Both are 5–5 in their last 10, but Harris has won 49% of his recent matches against Uchida's 24%. Harris also has the better record in deciding sets (55% vs 49% over his career).

Very little separates them on the numbers, but Harris has the better recent results and the edge in tight matches.

📊 Tale of the Tape

Metric	Uchida	Harris
Ranking	431	227
Age	32	31
Last 10	5–5	5–5
Head-to-head	0	0
First serves in	58.8%	61.1%
1st-serve points won	70.5%	70.3%
2nd-serve points won	49.2%	49.2%
Break points saved	60.4%	60.4%
Break points converted	41.6%	42.3%
Return points won (career)	38%	39%
Tiebreak win %	49%	48%
Deciding-set win % (career)	49%	55%
Best-of-3 win %	51%	59%

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Hersonissos 3 challenger 2026 (Greece) 13.11.26

Quarterfinal previews from the Hersonissos 3 Challenger (hard), with form, serve and return numbers and a full Tale of the Tape for every open match. Matches marked 🔒 are on today's PBTennis Patreon card. Times are as listed by the tournament schedule and may move with the order of play.

Matches

1. Ribecai vs Andreev 🔒
2. Maestrelli vs Nagal 🔒
3. Giunta vs Searle
4. Carboni vs Henning

Michele Ribecai vs Adrian Andreev

Hersonissos 3 Challenger · Quarterfinal · 13 November · 08:00

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Francesco Maestrelli vs Sumit Nagal

Hersonissos 3 Challenger · Quarterfinal · 13 November · 09:30

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Massimo Giunta vs Henry Searle

Hersonissos 3 Challenger · Quarterfinal · 13 November · 09:30

🧠 Form & Context

Massimo Giunta

• 📊 Ranked No. 369 at 22, 4–6 in his last 10 and winning 54% of recent matches. Beat Gill in round two.
• 🔁 The better returner: 33.3% against the first serve and 47% of career return points.
• 🎯 Has converted 55% of break points in recent matches.
• 🤝 Won the first of their two meetings, 6–7, 6–2, 6–2 in San Gregorio di Catania in October.
• ⚠️ His serving numbers have dipped recently: 56% behind the first serve and 46% of break points saved.

Henry Searle

• 📈 Ranked No. 231 at 20, a left-hander, 4–6 in his last 10 but winning 63% of recent matches. Beat Bertrand in round two.
• 🚀 The stronger server: 72.3% on the first serve (75% recently) and 53.0% on the second.
• 🔒 Saves 66.8% of break points.
• 🏆 Has won 71% of deciding sets this season, 60% of best-of-three matches and 88% after taking the first set.
• ⚠️ A weaker returner: 31.3% against the first serve and 38% of career return points.

🔍 Match Breakdown

Their third meeting in a month. Giunta won in Catania in October and Searle won 6–2, 7–6 in Florence a week later, both on clay. Searle is the 1.61 favourite and is ranked 138 places higher.

Searle is clearly the stronger server: 72.3% behind the first serve to 70.7%, 53.0% behind the second to 51.1%, and 66.8% of break points saved to 60.2%. Recently the gap has been wider, with Giunta winning only 56% behind his first serve.

Giunta is the better returner: 33.3% against the first serve to 31.3%, and 42.6% of break points converted to 41.4%. They are level against the second serve (49.7% vs 49.4%).

Both are 4–6 in their last 10, but Searle has won more of his recent matches (63% vs 54%) and far more deciding sets this season (71% vs 58%).

Searle's serve explains the price. Giunta has shown he can beat him, but his recent serving is a concern.

📊 Tale of the Tape

Metric	Giunta	Searle
Ranking	369	231
Age	22	20
Last 10	4–6	4–6
Head-to-head	1	1
First serves in	59.5%	62.4%
1st-serve points won	70.7%	72.3%
2nd-serve points won	51.1%	53.0%
Break points saved	60.2%	66.8%
Break points converted	42.6%	41.4%
Return points won (career)	47%	38%
Tiebreak win %	47%	43%
Deciding-set win % (career)	50%	47%
Best-of-3 win %	46%	60%

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Lorenzo Carboni vs Philip Henning

Hersonissos 3 Challenger · Quarterfinal · 13 November · 11:00

🧠 Form & Context

Lorenzo Carboni

• 📊 Ranked No. 550 at 20, 6–4 in his last 10 and winning 57% of recent matches. Beat Xilas in round two.
• 🔁 The better returner against the first serve: 37.0% of points won.
• 🎯 Has converted 49% of break points in recent matches.
• 🏆 Has won 57% of career deciding sets.
• ⚠️ The weaker server: 62.5% on the first serve, 48.9% on the second and 52.0% of break points saved.

Philip Henning

• 🔥 Ranked No. 249 at 26, 6–4 in his last 10 and winning 64% of recent matches. Beat Cretu in round two.
• 🚀 The much stronger server: 70.3% on the first serve and 55.4% on the second.
• 🔒 Saves 62.9% of break points (66% recently).
• 🏆 Has won 73% of best-of-three matches and 92% after taking the first set.
• ⚠️ Slightly weaker against the first serve: 35.0% of points won.

🔍 Match Breakdown

A first meeting in the quarterfinals. Henning is the 1.44 favourite and is ranked 301 places higher.

Henning is much the stronger server: 70.3% behind the first serve to 62.5%, 55.4% behind the second to 48.9%, and 62.9% of break points saved to 52.0%. He also lands more first serves (65.6% vs 62.7%).

On return it is close. Carboni is better against the first serve (37.0% vs 35.0%) and Henning against the second (55.9% vs 54.7%). Break points converted are level (45.8% vs 46.1%).

Both are 6–4 in their last 10, but Henning has won more of his recent matches (64% vs 57%).

Henning's serve gives him the clear edge on paper. Carboni needs a strong return day to keep this close.

📊 Tale of the Tape

Metric	Carboni	Henning
Ranking	550	249
Age	20	26
Last 10	6–4	6–4
Head-to-head	0	0
First serves in	62.7%	65.6%
1st-serve points won	62.5%	70.3%
2nd-serve points won	48.9%	55.4%
Break points saved	52.0%	62.9%
Break points converted	45.8%	46.1%
Return points won (career)	44%	43%
Tiebreak win %	51%	55%
Deciding-set win % (career)	57%	56%
Best-of-3 win %	58%	73%

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Cundinamarca Open 2026 WTA (Colombia) 12.11.26

Quarterfinal previews from the WTA 125 Cundinamarca Open in Sopo (clay), with form, serve and return numbers and a full Tale of the Tape for every open match. Matches marked 🔒 are on today's PBTennis Patreon card. Times are as listed by the tournament schedule and may move with the order of play.

Matches

1. Samson vs Burillo
2. Mandlik vs Lazaro Garcia
3. Andreescu vs Bassols Ribera
4. Tubello vs Hercog

Laura Samson vs Irene Burillo

WTA Cundinamarca Open · Quarterfinal · 12 November · 15:00

🧠 Form & Context

Laura Samson

• 📈 Ranked No. 119 at 18, 5–5 in her last 10 and winning 63% of recent matches. Beat Costoulas in round two.
• 🚀 The stronger server: 62.6% on the first serve and 44.9% on the second.
• 🔒 Saves 53.1% of break points.
• 🏆 Has won 65% of deciding sets this season and 66% of best-of-three matches.
• ⚠️ Lands only 59.2% of first serves and has won 46% of her tiebreaks.

Irene Burillo

• 📊 Ranked No. 213 at 29, 5–5 in her last 10 and winning 59% of recent matches. Beat Grabher in round two.
• 🎯 Lands 69.3% of first serves.
• 🔁 A strong returner: 43.8% against the first serve and 58.5% against the second, with 50.1% of break points converted.
• 🎲 Has won 61% of her tiebreaks.
• ⚠️ Wins only 55.5% behind her first serve and saves 49.9% of break points.

🔍 Match Breakdown

A first meeting in the quarterfinals. Samson is the 1.47 favourite and is ranked 94 places higher.

Samson is the stronger server: 62.6% behind the first serve to 55.5%, 44.9% behind the second to 42.4%, and 53.1% of break points saved to 49.9%. Burillo lands far more first serves (69.3% vs 59.2%).

On return they are almost identical: 43.8% each against the first serve, 58.7% vs 58.5% against the second, and 49.8% vs 50.1% of break points converted.

Both are 5–5 in their last 10. Samson has won slightly more of her recent matches (63% vs 59%) and more deciding sets this season (65% vs 61%). Burillo has the better tiebreak record (61% vs 46%).

Two strong returners on clay, so expect plenty of breaks. Samson's slightly better serve is the main edge.

📊 Tale of the Tape

Metric	Samson	Burillo
Ranking	119	213
Age	18	29
Last 10	5–5	5–5
Head-to-head	0	0
First serves in	59.2%	69.3%
1st-serve points won	62.6%	55.5%
2nd-serve points won	44.9%	42.4%
Break points saved	53.1%	49.9%
Break points converted	49.8%	50.1%
Return points won (career)	49%	49%
Tiebreak win %	46%	61%
Deciding-set win % (career)	63%	59%
Best-of-3 win %	66%	55%

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Elizabeth Mandlik vs Andrea Lazaro Garcia

WTA Cundinamarca Open · Quarterfinal · 12 November · 15:00

🧠 Form & Context

Elizabeth Mandlik

• 📊 Ranked No. 237 at 25, 6–4 in her last 10 and winning 52% of recent matches. Beat Bronzetti in round two.
• 🚀 Slightly stronger behind the first serve: 62.3% of points won.
• 🎯 Converts 50.6% of break points.
• 🔁 Wins 41.8% of points against the first serve.
• ⚠️ Lands only 56.6% of first serves and has won 41% of her tiebreaks.

Andrea Lazaro Garcia

• 📈 Ranked No. 143 at 32, 6–4 in her last 10 and winning 62% of recent matches. Beat Ortenzi in round two.
• 🎯 Lands 62.6% of first serves and saves 52.8% of break points (57% recently).
• 🔁 A strong returner: 42.0% against the first serve and 58.7% against the second.
• 🏆 Has won 57% of deciding sets this season, 62% of best-of-three matches and 89% after taking the first set.
• ⚠️ Wins 44.8% behind her second serve, about the same as Mandlik.

🔍 Match Breakdown

A first meeting in the quarterfinals. Lazaro Garcia is the 1.61 favourite and is ranked 94 places higher.

On serve there is little in it. Mandlik wins slightly more behind the first serve (62.3% vs 61.0%), while Lazaro Garcia lands more first serves (62.6% vs 56.6%) and saves more break points (52.8% vs 51.2%). Both win about 45% behind the second.

Both return well. Lazaro Garcia is slightly better against the second serve (58.7% vs 56.7%), and they are level against the first (42.0% vs 41.8%) and on break points converted (50.3% vs 50.6%).

Both are 6–4 in their last 10. Lazaro Garcia has won more of her recent matches (62% vs 52%) and more deciding sets this season (57% vs 52%).

A close, break-heavy match on paper. Lazaro Garcia's experience and record in tight sets explain the price.

📊 Tale of the Tape

Metric	Mandlik	Lazaro Garcia
Ranking	237	143
Age	25	32
Last 10	6–4	6–4
Head-to-head	0	0
First serves in	56.6%	62.6%
1st-serve points won	62.3%	61.0%
2nd-serve points won	44.5%	44.8%
Break points saved	51.2%	52.8%
Break points converted	50.6%	50.3%
Return points won (career)	47%	48%
Tiebreak win %	41%	49%
Deciding-set win % (career)	51%	53%
Best-of-3 win %	55%	62%

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Bianca Andreescu vs Marina Bassols Ribera

WTA Cundinamarca Open · Quarterfinal · 12 November · 16:30

🧠 Form & Context

Bianca Andreescu

• 🔥 Ranked No. 100 at 26, 9–1 in her last 10 and winning 71% of recent matches. Beat Pigossi in round two.
• 🚀 The stronger server: 64.9% on the first serve and 49.0% on the second.
• 🔒 Saves 56.6% of break points (60% recently).
• 🏆 Has won 67% of best-of-three matches and 59% of career deciding sets.
• ⚠️ The slightly weaker returner, with 45.9% of break points converted.

Marina Bassols Ribera

• 📊 Ranked No. 129 at 26, 6–4 in her last 10 and winning 56% of recent matches. Beat Carle in round two.
• 🔁 The better returner: 41.6% against the first serve and 57.7% against the second.
• 🎯 Converts 49.3% of break points and wins 48% of career return points.
• 🎲 Has won 53% of her tiebreaks, level with Andreescu.
• ⚠️ Weak behind the second serve (45.2%) and saves 52.7% of break points.

🔍 Match Breakdown

A first meeting in the quarterfinals. Andreescu is the 1.16 favourite and is ranked 29 places higher.

Andreescu is clearly the stronger server: 64.9% behind the first serve to 60.2%, 49.0% behind the second to 45.2%, and 56.6% of break points saved to 52.7%.

Bassols Ribera is the better returner: 41.6% against the first serve to 38.4%, 57.7% against the second to 56.0%, and 49.3% of break points converted to 45.9%.

The form is firmly with Andreescu: 9–1 in her last 10 against 6–4, and 71% of recent matches won against 56%.

Andreescu's serve and form make her a deserved favourite. Bassols Ribera's return game is her way back in.

📊 Tale of the Tape

Metric	Andreescu	Bassols Ribera
Ranking	100	129
Age	26	26
Last 10	9–1	6–4
Head-to-head	0	0
First serves in	62.6%	60.8%
1st-serve points won	64.9%	60.2%
2nd-serve points won	49.0%	45.2%
Break points saved	56.6%	52.7%
Break points converted	45.9%	49.3%
Return points won (career)	45%	48%
Tiebreak win %	53%	53%
Deciding-set win % (career)	59%	53%
Best-of-3 win %	67%	59%

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Alice Tubello vs Polona Hercog

WTA Cundinamarca Open · Quarterfinal · 12 November · 16:30

🧠 Form & Context

Alice Tubello

• 🔥 Ranked No. 146 at 25, 8–2 in her last 10 and winning 62% of recent matches. Beat Tatjana Maria in round two.
• 🔁 The much better returner: 44.3% against the first serve and 59.0% against the second, with 50.1% of break points converted.
• 🎯 Lands 68.2% of first serves.
• 🏆 Has won 59% of her tiebreaks and 67% of best-of-three matches.
• ⚠️ Wins only 59.1% behind her first serve and has won 44% of deciding sets this season.

Polona Hercog

• 📊 Ranked No. 200 at 35, 5–5 in her last 10 and winning 44% of recent matches. Beat Monnet in round two.
• 🚀 Stronger behind the first serve: 64.6% of points won.
• 🔒 Saves 55.3% of break points.
• 🏆 Has won 57% of deciding sets this season.
• ⚠️ A weaker returner: 38.5% against the first serve and 52.9% against the second.

🔍 Match Breakdown

A first meeting in the quarterfinals. Tubello is the 1.36 favourite and is ranked 54 places higher.

On serve it is close. Hercog wins more behind the first serve (64.6% vs 59.1%) and saves more break points (55.3% vs 52.2%), while Tubello lands far more first serves (68.2% vs 60.4%).

Tubello is much the better returner: 44.3% against the first serve to 38.5%, 59.0% against the second to 52.9%, and 50.1% of break points converted to 47.8%.

The form is with Tubello: 8–2 in her last 10 against 5–5, and 62% of recent matches won against 44%. Hercog has the better deciding-set record this season (57% vs 44%).

Tubello's return and form make her a solid favourite on clay.

📊 Tale of the Tape

Metric	Tubello	Hercog
Ranking	146	200
Age	25	35
Last 10	8–2	5–5
Head-to-head	0	0
First serves in	68.2%	60.4%
1st-serve points won	59.1%	64.6%
2nd-serve points won	46.5%	47.5%
Break points saved	52.2%	55.3%
Break points converted	50.1%	47.8%
Return points won (career)	50%	44%
Tiebreak win %	59%	53%
Deciding-set win % (career)	54%	53%
Best-of-3 win %	67%	58%

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Knoxville challenger 2026 (USA) 12.11.26

More second-round previews from the Knoxville Challenger (indoor hard), with form, serve and return numbers and a full Tale of the Tape for every open match. Matches marked 🔒 are on today's PBTennis Patreon card. Times are as listed by the tournament schedule and may move with the order of play.

Matches

1. Baris vs Zheng
2. Kozlov vs Shick
3. Planinsek vs Gray
4. Giron vs Shelbayh

Ozan Baris vs Michael Zheng

Knoxville Challenger · Second Round · 12 November · 16:00

🧠 Form & Context

Ozan Baris

• 📈 Ranked No. 397 at 22, 4–6 in his last 10 but winning 67% of recent matches. Beat Tarvet in round one.
• 🎯 Lands more first serves: 63.1%.
• 🔁 Slightly better against the first serve: 33.4% of points won.
• 🎲 Has won 61% of his tiebreaks and 67% of deciding sets this season.
• ⚠️ Wins 67.8% behind the first serve and converts only 39.9% of break points.

Michael Zheng

• 📊 Ranked No. 100 at 22, 4–6 in his last 10 and winning 60% of recent matches. Beat Hussey in round one.
• 🚀 The stronger server: 72.2% on the first serve (74% recently) and 51.3% on the second.
• 🔒 Saves 62.6% of break points and converts 43.9%.
• 🏆 Has won 64% of best-of-three matches and 92% after taking the first set.
• ⚠️ Lands only 58.1% of first serves and has won just 40% of his tiebreaks.

🔍 Match Breakdown

A first meeting, after both won their opening matches. Zheng is the 1.30 favourite and is ranked almost 300 places higher.

Zheng is the stronger server: 72.2% behind the first serve to 67.8%, 51.3% behind the second to 50.0%, and 62.6% of break points saved to 59.2%. Baris lands more first serves (63.1% vs 58.1%).

On return there is little in it: Baris is slightly better against the first serve (33.4% vs 32.4%) and Zheng against the second (52.6% vs 51.1%). Zheng converts more break points (43.9% vs 39.9%).

Both are 4–6 in their last 10. Baris has won more of his recent matches (67% vs 60%) and has a much better tiebreak record (61% vs 40%).

Zheng's serve explains the price indoors, but if this goes to tiebreaks Baris has the better record.

📊 Tale of the Tape

Metric	Baris	Zheng
Ranking	397	100
Age	22	22
Last 10	4–6	4–6
Head-to-head	0	0
First serves in	63.1%	58.1%
1st-serve points won	67.8%	72.2%
2nd-serve points won	50.0%	51.3%
Break points saved	59.2%	62.6%
Break points converted	39.9%	43.9%
Return points won (career)	40%	41%
Tiebreak win %	61%	40%
Deciding-set win % (career)	53%	59%
Best-of-3 win %	57%	64%

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Stefan Kozlov vs Braden Shick

Knoxville Challenger · Second Round · 12 November · 17:30

🧠 Form & Context

Stefan Kozlov

• 🔥 Ranked No. 205 at 28, 7–3 in his last 10 and winning 54% of recent matches. Beat Galarneau in round one.
• 🤝 Beat Shick 6–4, 6–1 indoors in Charlottesville last week.
• 🔁 The better returner: 34.4% against the first serve and 53.1% against the second, and 42% of career return points.
• 🎯 Lands more first serves: 61.0%.
• ⚠️ The weaker server (66.4% on the first, 48.5% on the second) and has won 48% of his tiebreaks.

Braden Shick

• 📊 Ranked No. 206 at 23, 4–6 in his last 10 but winning 59% of recent matches. Beat Andrade in round one.
• 🚀 The stronger server: 71.2% on the first serve and 51.3% on the second.
• 🔒 Saves 59.4% of break points.
• 🏆 Has won 74% of deciding sets this season, 57% of tiebreaks and 93% of matches after taking the first set.
• ⚠️ Lands only 58.1% of first serves. His sample at this level is small.

🔍 Match Breakdown

A rematch of last week's meeting in Charlottesville, which Kozlov won 6–4, 6–1. Only one ranking place separates them, and Kozlov is the 1.40 favourite.

Shick is the stronger server: 71.2% behind the first serve to 66.4%, 51.3% behind the second to 48.5%, and 59.4% of break points saved to 57.5%. Kozlov lands more first serves (61.0% vs 58.1%).

Kozlov is the better returner: 34.4% against the first serve to 33.1% and 53.1% against the second to 51.6%. Break points converted are level (42.4% vs 42.7%).

Kozlov is 7–3 in his last 10 against 4–6, but Shick has won more of his recent matches (59% vs 54%) and far more deciding sets this season (74% vs 54%).

Kozlov has the form and last week's win, Shick has the serve and the better record in tight finishes.

📊 Tale of the Tape

Metric	Kozlov	Shick
Ranking	205	206
Age	28	23
Last 10	7–3	4–6
Head-to-head	1	0
First serves in	61.0%	58.1%
1st-serve points won	66.4%	71.2%
2nd-serve points won	48.5%	51.3%
Break points saved	57.5%	59.4%
Break points converted	42.4%	42.7%
Return points won (career)	42%	40%
Tiebreak win %	48%	57%
Deciding-set win % (career)	60%	63%
Best-of-3 win %	57%	64%

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Filip Jeff Planinsek vs Alastair Gray

Knoxville Challenger · Second Round · 12 November · 19:00

🧠 Form & Context

Filip Jeff Planinsek

• 🔥 Ranked No. 510 at 25, 7–3 in his last 10 and winning 64% of recent matches. Beat Kimhi in round one.
• 🚀 A big first serve: 73.0% of points won (74% recently).
• 🔒 Saves 61.3% of break points (64% recently).
• 🏆 Has won 65% of deciding sets this season and 58% over his career.
• ⚠️ Lands only 57.2% of first serves, converts 39.4% of break points and has won 46% of his tiebreaks.

Alastair Gray

• 📈 Ranked No. 270 at 28, 7–3 in his last 10 and winning 58% of recent matches. Beat Darwin Blanch in round one.
• 🚀 Matches Planinsek behind the first serve (73.1%) and lands more of them (62.4%).
• 🔒 Saves 62.5% of break points and converts 42.6%.
• 🏆 Has won 65% of best-of-three matches and 53% of tiebreaks.
• ⚠️ Has won 54% of career deciding sets, fewer than Planinsek.

🔍 Match Breakdown

A first meeting, after both won their opening matches. Gray is the 1.40 favourite and is ranked 240 places higher.

Two big servers: 73.0% vs 73.1% behind the first serve. Gray lands more first serves (62.4% vs 57.2%), is slightly stronger behind the second (50.2% vs 48.7%) and saves slightly more break points (62.5% vs 61.3%).

On return they are level against the first serve (34.1% vs 34.0%) and close against the second (49.9% vs 50.2%). Gray converts more break points (42.6% vs 39.4%).

Both are 7–3 in their last 10. Planinsek has won more recent matches (64% vs 58%) and more deciding sets this season (65% vs 58%).

Very few breaks likely indoors. Gray has the slight edge on paper, Planinsek has the momentum.

📊 Tale of the Tape

Metric	Planinsek	Gray
Ranking	510	270
Age	25	28
Last 10	7–3	7–3
Head-to-head	0	0
First serves in	57.2%	62.4%
1st-serve points won	73.0%	73.1%
2nd-serve points won	48.7%	50.2%
Break points saved	61.3%	62.5%
Break points converted	39.4%	42.6%
Return points won (career)	40%	40%
Tiebreak win %	46%	53%
Deciding-set win % (career)	58%	54%
Best-of-3 win %	58%	65%

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Marcos Giron vs Abedallah Shelbayh

Knoxville Challenger · Second Round · 12 November · 22:00

🧠 Form & Context

Marcos Giron

• 📊 Ranked No. 94 at 33, 2–8 in his last 10 and winning 37% of recent matches. Beat Kasnikowski in round one.
• 🚀 The stronger server: 71.7% on the first serve and 51.2% on the second.
• 🔒 Saves 60.5% of break points.
• 🎯 Lands more first serves: 61.5%.
• ⚠️ A weak returner (29.7% against the first serve) and has won only 36% of deciding sets this season.

Abedallah Shelbayh

• 📈 Ranked No. 305 at 22, a left-hander, 4–6 in his last 10 and winning 51% of recent matches. Beat Wendelken in round one.
• 🔁 The better returner: 32.4% against the first serve and 52.1% against the second.
• 🎯 Converts 42.7% of break points.
• 🏆 Has won 54% of career deciding sets.
• ⚠️ Wins only 67.8% behind his first serve.

🔍 Match Breakdown

A first meeting, after both won their opening matches. Giron is the 1.40 favourite and is ranked 211 places higher.

Giron is the stronger server: 71.7% behind the first serve to 67.8%, 51.2% behind the second to 50.0%, and 60.5% of break points saved to 59.3%.

Shelbayh is the better returner: 32.4% against the first serve to 29.7%, 52.1% against the second to 50.3%, and 42.7% of break points converted to 39.2%.

Giron's form is poor: 2–8 in his last 10 and 37% of recent matches won, against Shelbayh's 4–6 and 51%. Shelbayh also has the better deciding-set record (54% vs 47% over his career).

Giron has the serve and the experience, but his recent results make this closer than the ranking gap suggests.

📊 Tale of the Tape

Metric	Giron	Shelbayh
Ranking	94	305
Age	33	22
Last 10	2–8	4–6
Head-to-head	0	0
First serves in	61.5%	58.8%
1st-serve points won	71.7%	67.8%
2nd-serve points won	51.2%	50.0%
Break points saved	60.5%	59.3%
Break points converted	39.2%	42.7%
Return points won (career)	38%	40%
Tiebreak win %	51%	49%
Deciding-set win % (career)	47%	54%
Best-of-3 win %	57%	55%

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Lima 3 challenger 2026 (Peru) 12.11.26

More second-round previews from the Lima 3 Challenger (clay), with form, serve and return numbers and a full Tale of the Tape for every open match. Matches marked 🔒 are on today's PBTennis Patreon card. Times are as listed by the tournament schedule and may move with the order of play.

Matches

1. Magadan vs Barrena
2. Roncadelli vs Comesana
3. Reis Da Silva vs Bueno
4. Olivieri vs Varillas 🔒

Alan Magadan vs Alex Barrena

Lima 3 Challenger · Second Round · 12 November · 16:00

🧠 Form & Context

Alan Magadan

• 📊 Ranked No. 491 at 25, 5–5 in his last 10 and winning 59% of recent matches.
• 🚀 The stronger server: 69.2% on the first serve and 49.7% on the second.
• 🔒 Saves 56.8% of break points (60% recently).
• 🎲 Has won 63% of his tiebreaks and 57% of deciding sets this season.
• ⚠️ Lands only 57.2% of first serves and converts 40.0% of break points. His sample at this level is small.

Alex Barrena

• 📈 Ranked No. 232 at 24, 7–3 in his last 10 and winning 55% of recent matches.
• 🔁 The much better returner: 38.7% against the first serve and 53.0% against the second.
• 🎯 Converts 47.7% of break points and wins 44% of career return points.
• 🏆 Has won 51% of career deciding sets and 57% of best-of-three matches.
• ⚠️ Wins only 62.4% behind his first serve.

🔍 Match Breakdown

A first meeting on clay. Barrena is the 1.28 favourite and is ranked 259 places higher.

Magadan is the stronger server: 69.2% behind the first serve to 62.4%, 49.7% behind the second to 48.2%, and 56.8% of break points saved to 55.7%. Barrena lands far more first serves (65.5% vs 57.2%).

Barrena is much the better returner: 38.7% against the first serve to 32.5%, 53.0% against the second to 50.1%, and 47.7% of break points converted to 40.0%.

Barrena is 7–3 in his last 10 against 5–5, while Magadan has won slightly more of his recent matches (59% vs 55%). Magadan has the better tiebreak record (63% vs 49%).

On clay, Barrena's return should matter more than Magadan's serve, which is why the price is short.

📊 Tale of the Tape

Metric	Magadan	Barrena
Ranking	491	232
Age	25	24
Last 10	5–5	7–3
Head-to-head	0	0
First serves in	57.2%	65.5%
1st-serve points won	69.2%	62.4%
2nd-serve points won	49.7%	48.2%
Break points saved	56.8%	55.7%
Break points converted	40.0%	47.7%
Return points won (career)	39%	44%
Tiebreak win %	63%	49%
Deciding-set win % (career)	38%	51%
Best-of-3 win %	51%	57%

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Franco Roncadelli vs Francisco Comesana

Lima 3 Challenger · Second Round · 12 November · 17:30

🧠 Form & Context

Franco Roncadelli

• 📊 Ranked No. 258 at 26, a left-hander, 5–5 in his last 10 and winning 55% of recent matches.
• 🎯 Lands a remarkable 74.2% of first serves.
• 🔁 The much better returner: 39.7% against the first serve and 55.3% against the second, with 48.7% of break points converted.
• 🏆 Has won 70% of deciding sets this season and 91% of matches after taking the first set.
• ⚠️ Wins only 59.1% behind the first serve and 47.4% behind the second.

Francisco Comesana

• 📊 Ranked No. 138 at 26, 5–5 in his last 10 and winning 48% of recent matches.
• 🚀 The stronger server: 67.5% on the first serve (71% recently) and 49.8% on the second.
• 🔒 Saves 57.3% of break points (61% recently).
• 🤝 Won their only meeting, 6–0, 6–3 on clay in 2019.
• ⚠️ Has won only 33% of deciding sets this season.

🔍 Match Breakdown

A rematch of a 2019 meeting on clay, which Comesana won 6–0, 6–3. He is the 1.25 favourite and is ranked 120 places higher.

Comesana is clearly the better server: 67.5% behind the first serve to 59.1%, 49.8% behind the second to 47.4%, and 57.3% of break points saved to 54.2%. Roncadelli lands far more first serves (74.2% vs 66.0%).

Roncadelli is much the better returner: 39.7% against the first serve to 35.6%, 55.3% against the second to 51.5%, and 48.7% of break points converted to 43.1%.

Both are 5–5 in their last 10. Roncadelli has won more of his recent matches (55% vs 48%) and far more deciding sets this season (70% vs 33%).

A clear serve-against-return contest, and on clay that makes it closer than a 1.25 price suggests.

📊 Tale of the Tape

Metric	Roncadelli	Comesana
Ranking	258	138
Age	26	26
Last 10	5–5	5–5
Head-to-head	0	1
First serves in	74.2%	66.0%
1st-serve points won	59.1%	67.5%
2nd-serve points won	47.4%	49.8%
Break points saved	54.2%	57.3%
Break points converted	48.7%	43.1%
Return points won (career)	46%	41%
Tiebreak win %	49%	49%
Deciding-set win % (career)	58%	55%
Best-of-3 win %	57%	62%

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Joao Lucas Reis Da Silva vs Gonzalo Bueno

Lima 3 Challenger · Second Round · 12 November · 22:30

🧠 Form & Context

Joao Lucas Reis Da Silva

• 🔥 Ranked No. 190 at 26, 8–2 in his last 10 and winning 58% of recent matches.
• 🤝 Leads the head-to-head 5–2, including a 6–4, 6–3 win here in Lima last year.
• 🚀 The stronger server: 65.8% on the first serve (68% recently) and 49.4% on the second.
• 🔒 Saves 58.0% of break points.
• ⚠️ The weaker returner, and has won only 46% of career deciding sets.

Gonzalo Bueno

• 📊 Ranked No. 184 at 22, 5–5 in his last 10 and winning 54% of recent matches.
• 🔁 The better returner: 37.1% against the first serve and 53.6% against the second.
• 🎯 Converts 45.0% of break points and wins 43% of career return points.
• 🏆 Has won 57% of career deciding sets, and won the most recent meeting, 6–2, 7–5 in Como in August.
• ⚠️ Wins only 62.0% behind his first serve.

🔍 Match Breakdown

The eighth meeting between them. Reis Da Silva leads 5–2, but Bueno won the latest one on clay in Como in August. Reis Da Silva is the 1.53 favourite.

Reis Da Silva is the stronger server: 65.8% behind the first serve to 62.0%, 49.4% behind the second to 48.3%, and 58.0% of break points saved to 55.7%.

Bueno is the better returner: 37.1% against the first serve to 34.9%, 53.6% against the second to 51.9%, and 45.0% of break points converted to 44.1%.

The form is with Reis Da Silva: 8–2 in his last 10 against 5–5, and 58% of recent matches won against 54%. Bueno has the better career deciding-set record (57% vs 46%).

Reis Da Silva has the form and the head-to-head, but Bueno has shown he can beat him and the numbers are close.

📊 Tale of the Tape

Metric	Reis Da Silva	Bueno
Ranking	190	184
Age	26	22
Last 10	8–2	5–5
Head-to-head	5	2
First serves in	63.7%	64.4%
1st-serve points won	65.8%	62.0%
2nd-serve points won	49.4%	48.3%
Break points saved	58.0%	55.7%
Break points converted	44.1%	45.0%
Return points won (career)	41%	43%
Tiebreak win %	56%	56%
Deciding-set win % (career)	46%	57%
Best-of-3 win %	55%	55%

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Genaro Alberto Olivieri vs Juan Pablo Varillas

Lima 3 Challenger · Second Round · 13 November · 00:00

🔒 Members-only read

This match is on today's PBTennis Patreon card. The full breakdown – form, serve and return numbers, the Tale of the Tape and our read on the match – is available to our members.

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