Thursday, November 12, 2026

Cundinamarca Open 2026 WTA (Colombia) 12.11.26

Quarterfinal previews from the WTA 125 Cundinamarca Open in Sopo (clay), with form, serve and return numbers and a full Tale of the Tape for every open match. Matches marked 🔒 are on today's PBTennis Patreon card. Times are as listed by the tournament schedule and may move with the order of play.

Laura Samson vs Irene Burillo

WTA Cundinamarca Open · Quarterfinal · 12 November · 15:00

🧠 Form & Context

Laura Samson

  • 📈 Ranked No. 119 at 18, 5–5 in her last 10 and winning 63% of recent matches. Beat Costoulas in round two.
  • 🚀 The stronger server: 62.6% on the first serve and 44.9% on the second.
  • 🔒 Saves 53.1% of break points.
  • 🏆 Has won 65% of deciding sets this season and 66% of best-of-three matches.
  • ⚠️ Lands only 59.2% of first serves and has won 46% of her tiebreaks.

Irene Burillo

  • 📊 Ranked No. 213 at 29, 5–5 in her last 10 and winning 59% of recent matches. Beat Grabher in round two.
  • 🎯 Lands 69.3% of first serves.
  • 🔁 A strong returner: 43.8% against the first serve and 58.5% against the second, with 50.1% of break points converted.
  • 🎲 Has won 61% of her tiebreaks.
  • ⚠️ Wins only 55.5% behind her first serve and saves 49.9% of break points.

🔍 Match Breakdown

A first meeting in the quarterfinals. Samson is the 1.47 favourite and is ranked 94 places higher.

Samson is the stronger server: 62.6% behind the first serve to 55.5%, 44.9% behind the second to 42.4%, and 53.1% of break points saved to 49.9%. Burillo lands far more first serves (69.3% vs 59.2%).

On return they are almost identical: 43.8% each against the first serve, 58.7% vs 58.5% against the second, and 49.8% vs 50.1% of break points converted.

Both are 5–5 in their last 10. Samson has won slightly more of her recent matches (63% vs 59%) and more deciding sets this season (65% vs 61%). Burillo has the better tiebreak record (61% vs 46%).

Two strong returners on clay, so expect plenty of breaks. Samson's slightly better serve is the main edge.

📊 Tale of the Tape

MetricSamsonBurillo
Ranking119213
Age1829
Last 105–55–5
Head-to-head00
First serves in59.2%69.3%
1st-serve points won62.6%55.5%
2nd-serve points won44.9%42.4%
Break points saved53.1%49.9%
Break points converted49.8%50.1%
Return points won (career)49%49%
Tiebreak win %46%61%
Deciding-set win % (career)63%59%
Best-of-3 win %66%55%

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Elizabeth Mandlik vs Andrea Lazaro Garcia

WTA Cundinamarca Open · Quarterfinal · 12 November · 15:00

🧠 Form & Context

Elizabeth Mandlik

  • 📊 Ranked No. 237 at 25, 6–4 in her last 10 and winning 52% of recent matches. Beat Bronzetti in round two.
  • 🚀 Slightly stronger behind the first serve: 62.3% of points won.
  • 🎯 Converts 50.6% of break points.
  • 🔁 Wins 41.8% of points against the first serve.
  • ⚠️ Lands only 56.6% of first serves and has won 41% of her tiebreaks.

Andrea Lazaro Garcia

  • 📈 Ranked No. 143 at 32, 6–4 in her last 10 and winning 62% of recent matches. Beat Ortenzi in round two.
  • 🎯 Lands 62.6% of first serves and saves 52.8% of break points (57% recently).
  • 🔁 A strong returner: 42.0% against the first serve and 58.7% against the second.
  • 🏆 Has won 57% of deciding sets this season, 62% of best-of-three matches and 89% after taking the first set.
  • ⚠️ Wins 44.8% behind her second serve, about the same as Mandlik.

🔍 Match Breakdown

A first meeting in the quarterfinals. Lazaro Garcia is the 1.61 favourite and is ranked 94 places higher.

On serve there is little in it. Mandlik wins slightly more behind the first serve (62.3% vs 61.0%), while Lazaro Garcia lands more first serves (62.6% vs 56.6%) and saves more break points (52.8% vs 51.2%). Both win about 45% behind the second.

Both return well. Lazaro Garcia is slightly better against the second serve (58.7% vs 56.7%), and they are level against the first (42.0% vs 41.8%) and on break points converted (50.3% vs 50.6%).

Both are 6–4 in their last 10. Lazaro Garcia has won more of her recent matches (62% vs 52%) and more deciding sets this season (57% vs 52%).

A close, break-heavy match on paper. Lazaro Garcia's experience and record in tight sets explain the price.

📊 Tale of the Tape

MetricMandlikLazaro Garcia
Ranking237143
Age2532
Last 106–46–4
Head-to-head00
First serves in56.6%62.6%
1st-serve points won62.3%61.0%
2nd-serve points won44.5%44.8%
Break points saved51.2%52.8%
Break points converted50.6%50.3%
Return points won (career)47%48%
Tiebreak win %41%49%
Deciding-set win % (career)51%53%
Best-of-3 win %55%62%

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Bianca Andreescu vs Marina Bassols Ribera

WTA Cundinamarca Open · Quarterfinal · 12 November · 16:30

🧠 Form & Context

Bianca Andreescu

  • 🔥 Ranked No. 100 at 26, 9–1 in her last 10 and winning 71% of recent matches. Beat Pigossi in round two.
  • 🚀 The stronger server: 64.9% on the first serve and 49.0% on the second.
  • 🔒 Saves 56.6% of break points (60% recently).
  • 🏆 Has won 67% of best-of-three matches and 59% of career deciding sets.
  • ⚠️ The slightly weaker returner, with 45.9% of break points converted.

Marina Bassols Ribera

  • 📊 Ranked No. 129 at 26, 6–4 in her last 10 and winning 56% of recent matches. Beat Carle in round two.
  • 🔁 The better returner: 41.6% against the first serve and 57.7% against the second.
  • 🎯 Converts 49.3% of break points and wins 48% of career return points.
  • 🎲 Has won 53% of her tiebreaks, level with Andreescu.
  • ⚠️ Weak behind the second serve (45.2%) and saves 52.7% of break points.

🔍 Match Breakdown

A first meeting in the quarterfinals. Andreescu is the 1.16 favourite and is ranked 29 places higher.

Andreescu is clearly the stronger server: 64.9% behind the first serve to 60.2%, 49.0% behind the second to 45.2%, and 56.6% of break points saved to 52.7%.

Bassols Ribera is the better returner: 41.6% against the first serve to 38.4%, 57.7% against the second to 56.0%, and 49.3% of break points converted to 45.9%.

The form is firmly with Andreescu: 9–1 in her last 10 against 6–4, and 71% of recent matches won against 56%.

Andreescu's serve and form make her a deserved favourite. Bassols Ribera's return game is her way back in.

📊 Tale of the Tape

MetricAndreescuBassols Ribera
Ranking100129
Age2626
Last 109–16–4
Head-to-head00
First serves in62.6%60.8%
1st-serve points won64.9%60.2%
2nd-serve points won49.0%45.2%
Break points saved56.6%52.7%
Break points converted45.9%49.3%
Return points won (career)45%48%
Tiebreak win %53%53%
Deciding-set win % (career)59%53%
Best-of-3 win %67%59%

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Alice Tubello vs Polona Hercog

WTA Cundinamarca Open · Quarterfinal · 12 November · 16:30

🧠 Form & Context

Alice Tubello

  • 🔥 Ranked No. 146 at 25, 8–2 in her last 10 and winning 62% of recent matches. Beat Tatjana Maria in round two.
  • 🔁 The much better returner: 44.3% against the first serve and 59.0% against the second, with 50.1% of break points converted.
  • 🎯 Lands 68.2% of first serves.
  • 🏆 Has won 59% of her tiebreaks and 67% of best-of-three matches.
  • ⚠️ Wins only 59.1% behind her first serve and has won 44% of deciding sets this season.

Polona Hercog

  • 📊 Ranked No. 200 at 35, 5–5 in her last 10 and winning 44% of recent matches. Beat Monnet in round two.
  • 🚀 Stronger behind the first serve: 64.6% of points won.
  • 🔒 Saves 55.3% of break points.
  • 🏆 Has won 57% of deciding sets this season.
  • ⚠️ A weaker returner: 38.5% against the first serve and 52.9% against the second.

🔍 Match Breakdown

A first meeting in the quarterfinals. Tubello is the 1.36 favourite and is ranked 54 places higher.

On serve it is close. Hercog wins more behind the first serve (64.6% vs 59.1%) and saves more break points (55.3% vs 52.2%), while Tubello lands far more first serves (68.2% vs 60.4%).

Tubello is much the better returner: 44.3% against the first serve to 38.5%, 59.0% against the second to 52.9%, and 50.1% of break points converted to 47.8%.

The form is with Tubello: 8–2 in her last 10 against 5–5, and 62% of recent matches won against 44%. Hercog has the better deciding-set record this season (57% vs 44%).

Tubello's return and form make her a solid favourite on clay.

📊 Tale of the Tape

MetricTubelloHercog
Ranking146200
Age2535
Last 108–25–5
Head-to-head00
First serves in68.2%60.4%
1st-serve points won59.1%64.6%
2nd-serve points won46.5%47.5%
Break points saved52.2%55.3%
Break points converted50.1%47.8%
Return points won (career)50%44%
Tiebreak win %59%53%
Deciding-set win % (career)54%53%
Best-of-3 win %67%58%

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Knoxville challenger 2026 (USA) 12.11.26

More second-round previews from the Knoxville Challenger (indoor hard), with form, serve and return numbers and a full Tale of the Tape for every open match. Matches marked 🔒 are on today's PBTennis Patreon card. Times are as listed by the tournament schedule and may move with the order of play.

Ozan Baris vs Michael Zheng

Knoxville Challenger · Second Round · 12 November · 16:00

🧠 Form & Context

Ozan Baris

  • 📈 Ranked No. 397 at 22, 4–6 in his last 10 but winning 67% of recent matches. Beat Tarvet in round one.
  • 🎯 Lands more first serves: 63.1%.
  • 🔁 Slightly better against the first serve: 33.4% of points won.
  • 🎲 Has won 61% of his tiebreaks and 67% of deciding sets this season.
  • ⚠️ Wins 67.8% behind the first serve and converts only 39.9% of break points.

Michael Zheng

  • 📊 Ranked No. 100 at 22, 4–6 in his last 10 and winning 60% of recent matches. Beat Hussey in round one.
  • 🚀 The stronger server: 72.2% on the first serve (74% recently) and 51.3% on the second.
  • 🔒 Saves 62.6% of break points and converts 43.9%.
  • 🏆 Has won 64% of best-of-three matches and 92% after taking the first set.
  • ⚠️ Lands only 58.1% of first serves and has won just 40% of his tiebreaks.

🔍 Match Breakdown

A first meeting, after both won their opening matches. Zheng is the 1.30 favourite and is ranked almost 300 places higher.

Zheng is the stronger server: 72.2% behind the first serve to 67.8%, 51.3% behind the second to 50.0%, and 62.6% of break points saved to 59.2%. Baris lands more first serves (63.1% vs 58.1%).

On return there is little in it: Baris is slightly better against the first serve (33.4% vs 32.4%) and Zheng against the second (52.6% vs 51.1%). Zheng converts more break points (43.9% vs 39.9%).

Both are 4–6 in their last 10. Baris has won more of his recent matches (67% vs 60%) and has a much better tiebreak record (61% vs 40%).

Zheng's serve explains the price indoors, but if this goes to tiebreaks Baris has the better record.

📊 Tale of the Tape

MetricBarisZheng
Ranking397100
Age2222
Last 104–64–6
Head-to-head00
First serves in63.1%58.1%
1st-serve points won67.8%72.2%
2nd-serve points won50.0%51.3%
Break points saved59.2%62.6%
Break points converted39.9%43.9%
Return points won (career)40%41%
Tiebreak win %61%40%
Deciding-set win % (career)53%59%
Best-of-3 win %57%64%

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Stefan Kozlov vs Braden Shick

Knoxville Challenger · Second Round · 12 November · 17:30

🧠 Form & Context

Stefan Kozlov

  • 🔥 Ranked No. 205 at 28, 7–3 in his last 10 and winning 54% of recent matches. Beat Galarneau in round one.
  • 🤝 Beat Shick 6–4, 6–1 indoors in Charlottesville last week.
  • 🔁 The better returner: 34.4% against the first serve and 53.1% against the second, and 42% of career return points.
  • 🎯 Lands more first serves: 61.0%.
  • ⚠️ The weaker server (66.4% on the first, 48.5% on the second) and has won 48% of his tiebreaks.

Braden Shick

  • 📊 Ranked No. 206 at 23, 4–6 in his last 10 but winning 59% of recent matches. Beat Andrade in round one.
  • 🚀 The stronger server: 71.2% on the first serve and 51.3% on the second.
  • 🔒 Saves 59.4% of break points.
  • 🏆 Has won 74% of deciding sets this season, 57% of tiebreaks and 93% of matches after taking the first set.
  • ⚠️ Lands only 58.1% of first serves. His sample at this level is small.

🔍 Match Breakdown

A rematch of last week's meeting in Charlottesville, which Kozlov won 6–4, 6–1. Only one ranking place separates them, and Kozlov is the 1.40 favourite.

Shick is the stronger server: 71.2% behind the first serve to 66.4%, 51.3% behind the second to 48.5%, and 59.4% of break points saved to 57.5%. Kozlov lands more first serves (61.0% vs 58.1%).

Kozlov is the better returner: 34.4% against the first serve to 33.1% and 53.1% against the second to 51.6%. Break points converted are level (42.4% vs 42.7%).

Kozlov is 7–3 in his last 10 against 4–6, but Shick has won more of his recent matches (59% vs 54%) and far more deciding sets this season (74% vs 54%).

Kozlov has the form and last week's win, Shick has the serve and the better record in tight finishes.

📊 Tale of the Tape

MetricKozlovShick
Ranking205206
Age2823
Last 107–34–6
Head-to-head10
First serves in61.0%58.1%
1st-serve points won66.4%71.2%
2nd-serve points won48.5%51.3%
Break points saved57.5%59.4%
Break points converted42.4%42.7%
Return points won (career)42%40%
Tiebreak win %48%57%
Deciding-set win % (career)60%63%
Best-of-3 win %57%64%

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Filip Jeff Planinsek vs Alastair Gray

Knoxville Challenger · Second Round · 12 November · 19:00

🧠 Form & Context

Filip Jeff Planinsek

  • 🔥 Ranked No. 510 at 25, 7–3 in his last 10 and winning 64% of recent matches. Beat Kimhi in round one.
  • 🚀 A big first serve: 73.0% of points won (74% recently).
  • 🔒 Saves 61.3% of break points (64% recently).
  • 🏆 Has won 65% of deciding sets this season and 58% over his career.
  • ⚠️ Lands only 57.2% of first serves, converts 39.4% of break points and has won 46% of his tiebreaks.

Alastair Gray

  • 📈 Ranked No. 270 at 28, 7–3 in his last 10 and winning 58% of recent matches. Beat Darwin Blanch in round one.
  • 🚀 Matches Planinsek behind the first serve (73.1%) and lands more of them (62.4%).
  • 🔒 Saves 62.5% of break points and converts 42.6%.
  • 🏆 Has won 65% of best-of-three matches and 53% of tiebreaks.
  • ⚠️ Has won 54% of career deciding sets, fewer than Planinsek.

🔍 Match Breakdown

A first meeting, after both won their opening matches. Gray is the 1.40 favourite and is ranked 240 places higher.

Two big servers: 73.0% vs 73.1% behind the first serve. Gray lands more first serves (62.4% vs 57.2%), is slightly stronger behind the second (50.2% vs 48.7%) and saves slightly more break points (62.5% vs 61.3%).

On return they are level against the first serve (34.1% vs 34.0%) and close against the second (49.9% vs 50.2%). Gray converts more break points (42.6% vs 39.4%).

Both are 7–3 in their last 10. Planinsek has won more recent matches (64% vs 58%) and more deciding sets this season (65% vs 58%).

Very few breaks likely indoors. Gray has the slight edge on paper, Planinsek has the momentum.

📊 Tale of the Tape

MetricPlaninsekGray
Ranking510270
Age2528
Last 107–37–3
Head-to-head00
First serves in57.2%62.4%
1st-serve points won73.0%73.1%
2nd-serve points won48.7%50.2%
Break points saved61.3%62.5%
Break points converted39.4%42.6%
Return points won (career)40%40%
Tiebreak win %46%53%
Deciding-set win % (career)58%54%
Best-of-3 win %58%65%

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Marcos Giron vs Abedallah Shelbayh

Knoxville Challenger · Second Round · 12 November · 22:00

🧠 Form & Context

Marcos Giron

  • 📊 Ranked No. 94 at 33, 2–8 in his last 10 and winning 37% of recent matches. Beat Kasnikowski in round one.
  • 🚀 The stronger server: 71.7% on the first serve and 51.2% on the second.
  • 🔒 Saves 60.5% of break points.
  • 🎯 Lands more first serves: 61.5%.
  • ⚠️ A weak returner (29.7% against the first serve) and has won only 36% of deciding sets this season.

Abedallah Shelbayh

  • 📈 Ranked No. 305 at 22, a left-hander, 4–6 in his last 10 and winning 51% of recent matches. Beat Wendelken in round one.
  • 🔁 The better returner: 32.4% against the first serve and 52.1% against the second.
  • 🎯 Converts 42.7% of break points.
  • 🏆 Has won 54% of career deciding sets.
  • ⚠️ Wins only 67.8% behind his first serve.

🔍 Match Breakdown

A first meeting, after both won their opening matches. Giron is the 1.40 favourite and is ranked 211 places higher.

Giron is the stronger server: 71.7% behind the first serve to 67.8%, 51.2% behind the second to 50.0%, and 60.5% of break points saved to 59.3%.

Shelbayh is the better returner: 32.4% against the first serve to 29.7%, 52.1% against the second to 50.3%, and 42.7% of break points converted to 39.2%.

Giron's form is poor: 2–8 in his last 10 and 37% of recent matches won, against Shelbayh's 4–6 and 51%. Shelbayh also has the better deciding-set record (54% vs 47% over his career).

Giron has the serve and the experience, but his recent results make this closer than the ranking gap suggests.

📊 Tale of the Tape

MetricGironShelbayh
Ranking94305
Age3322
Last 102–84–6
Head-to-head00
First serves in61.5%58.8%
1st-serve points won71.7%67.8%
2nd-serve points won51.2%50.0%
Break points saved60.5%59.3%
Break points converted39.2%42.7%
Return points won (career)38%40%
Tiebreak win %51%49%
Deciding-set win % (career)47%54%
Best-of-3 win %57%55%

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Lima 3 challenger 2026 (Peru) 12.11.26

More second-round previews from the Lima 3 Challenger (clay), with form, serve and return numbers and a full Tale of the Tape for every open match. Matches marked 🔒 are on today's PBTennis Patreon card. Times are as listed by the tournament schedule and may move with the order of play.

Alan Magadan vs Alex Barrena

Lima 3 Challenger · Second Round · 12 November · 16:00

🧠 Form & Context

Alan Magadan

  • 📊 Ranked No. 491 at 25, 5–5 in his last 10 and winning 59% of recent matches.
  • 🚀 The stronger server: 69.2% on the first serve and 49.7% on the second.
  • 🔒 Saves 56.8% of break points (60% recently).
  • 🎲 Has won 63% of his tiebreaks and 57% of deciding sets this season.
  • ⚠️ Lands only 57.2% of first serves and converts 40.0% of break points. His sample at this level is small.

Alex Barrena

  • 📈 Ranked No. 232 at 24, 7–3 in his last 10 and winning 55% of recent matches.
  • 🔁 The much better returner: 38.7% against the first serve and 53.0% against the second.
  • 🎯 Converts 47.7% of break points and wins 44% of career return points.
  • 🏆 Has won 51% of career deciding sets and 57% of best-of-three matches.
  • ⚠️ Wins only 62.4% behind his first serve.

🔍 Match Breakdown

A first meeting on clay. Barrena is the 1.28 favourite and is ranked 259 places higher.

Magadan is the stronger server: 69.2% behind the first serve to 62.4%, 49.7% behind the second to 48.2%, and 56.8% of break points saved to 55.7%. Barrena lands far more first serves (65.5% vs 57.2%).

Barrena is much the better returner: 38.7% against the first serve to 32.5%, 53.0% against the second to 50.1%, and 47.7% of break points converted to 40.0%.

Barrena is 7–3 in his last 10 against 5–5, while Magadan has won slightly more of his recent matches (59% vs 55%). Magadan has the better tiebreak record (63% vs 49%).

On clay, Barrena's return should matter more than Magadan's serve, which is why the price is short.

📊 Tale of the Tape

MetricMagadanBarrena
Ranking491232
Age2524
Last 105–57–3
Head-to-head00
First serves in57.2%65.5%
1st-serve points won69.2%62.4%
2nd-serve points won49.7%48.2%
Break points saved56.8%55.7%
Break points converted40.0%47.7%
Return points won (career)39%44%
Tiebreak win %63%49%
Deciding-set win % (career)38%51%
Best-of-3 win %51%57%

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Franco Roncadelli vs Francisco Comesana

Lima 3 Challenger · Second Round · 12 November · 17:30

🧠 Form & Context

Franco Roncadelli

  • 📊 Ranked No. 258 at 26, a left-hander, 5–5 in his last 10 and winning 55% of recent matches.
  • 🎯 Lands a remarkable 74.2% of first serves.
  • 🔁 The much better returner: 39.7% against the first serve and 55.3% against the second, with 48.7% of break points converted.
  • 🏆 Has won 70% of deciding sets this season and 91% of matches after taking the first set.
  • ⚠️ Wins only 59.1% behind the first serve and 47.4% behind the second.

Francisco Comesana

  • 📊 Ranked No. 138 at 26, 5–5 in his last 10 and winning 48% of recent matches.
  • 🚀 The stronger server: 67.5% on the first serve (71% recently) and 49.8% on the second.
  • 🔒 Saves 57.3% of break points (61% recently).
  • 🤝 Won their only meeting, 6–0, 6–3 on clay in 2019.
  • ⚠️ Has won only 33% of deciding sets this season.

🔍 Match Breakdown

A rematch of a 2019 meeting on clay, which Comesana won 6–0, 6–3. He is the 1.25 favourite and is ranked 120 places higher.

Comesana is clearly the better server: 67.5% behind the first serve to 59.1%, 49.8% behind the second to 47.4%, and 57.3% of break points saved to 54.2%. Roncadelli lands far more first serves (74.2% vs 66.0%).

Roncadelli is much the better returner: 39.7% against the first serve to 35.6%, 55.3% against the second to 51.5%, and 48.7% of break points converted to 43.1%.

Both are 5–5 in their last 10. Roncadelli has won more of his recent matches (55% vs 48%) and far more deciding sets this season (70% vs 33%).

A clear serve-against-return contest, and on clay that makes it closer than a 1.25 price suggests.

📊 Tale of the Tape

MetricRoncadelliComesana
Ranking258138
Age2626
Last 105–55–5
Head-to-head01
First serves in74.2%66.0%
1st-serve points won59.1%67.5%
2nd-serve points won47.4%49.8%
Break points saved54.2%57.3%
Break points converted48.7%43.1%
Return points won (career)46%41%
Tiebreak win %49%49%
Deciding-set win % (career)58%55%
Best-of-3 win %57%62%

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Joao Lucas Reis Da Silva vs Gonzalo Bueno

Lima 3 Challenger · Second Round · 12 November · 22:30

🧠 Form & Context

Joao Lucas Reis Da Silva

  • 🔥 Ranked No. 190 at 26, 8–2 in his last 10 and winning 58% of recent matches.
  • 🤝 Leads the head-to-head 5–2, including a 6–4, 6–3 win here in Lima last year.
  • 🚀 The stronger server: 65.8% on the first serve (68% recently) and 49.4% on the second.
  • 🔒 Saves 58.0% of break points.
  • ⚠️ The weaker returner, and has won only 46% of career deciding sets.

Gonzalo Bueno

  • 📊 Ranked No. 184 at 22, 5–5 in his last 10 and winning 54% of recent matches.
  • 🔁 The better returner: 37.1% against the first serve and 53.6% against the second.
  • 🎯 Converts 45.0% of break points and wins 43% of career return points.
  • 🏆 Has won 57% of career deciding sets, and won the most recent meeting, 6–2, 7–5 in Como in August.
  • ⚠️ Wins only 62.0% behind his first serve.

🔍 Match Breakdown

The eighth meeting between them. Reis Da Silva leads 5–2, but Bueno won the latest one on clay in Como in August. Reis Da Silva is the 1.53 favourite.

Reis Da Silva is the stronger server: 65.8% behind the first serve to 62.0%, 49.4% behind the second to 48.3%, and 58.0% of break points saved to 55.7%.

Bueno is the better returner: 37.1% against the first serve to 34.9%, 53.6% against the second to 51.9%, and 45.0% of break points converted to 44.1%.

The form is with Reis Da Silva: 8–2 in his last 10 against 5–5, and 58% of recent matches won against 54%. Bueno has the better career deciding-set record (57% vs 46%).

Reis Da Silva has the form and the head-to-head, but Bueno has shown he can beat him and the numbers are close.

📊 Tale of the Tape

MetricReis Da SilvaBueno
Ranking190184
Age2622
Last 108–25–5
Head-to-head52
First serves in63.7%64.4%
1st-serve points won65.8%62.0%
2nd-serve points won49.4%48.3%
Break points saved58.0%55.7%
Break points converted44.1%45.0%
Return points won (career)41%43%
Tiebreak win %56%56%
Deciding-set win % (career)46%57%
Best-of-3 win %55%55%

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Genaro Alberto Olivieri vs Juan Pablo Varillas

Lima 3 Challenger · Second Round · 13 November · 00:00

🔒 Members-only read

This match is on today's PBTennis Patreon card. The full breakdown – form, serve and return numbers, the Tale of the Tape and our read on the match – is available to our members.

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Orleans challenger 2026 (France) 12.11.26

More second-round previews from the Orleans Challenger (indoor hard), with form, serve and return numbers and a full Tale of the Tape for every open match. Matches marked 🔒 are on today's PBTennis Patreon card. Times are as listed by the tournament schedule and may move with the order of play.

Dalibor Svrcina vs Otto Virtanen

Orleans Challenger · Second Round · 12 November · 13:00

🔒 Members-only read

This match is on today's PBTennis Patreon card. The full breakdown – form, serve and return numbers, the Tale of the Tape and our read on the match – is available to our members.

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Pedro Martinez Portero vs Matteo Martineau

Orleans Challenger · Second Round · 12 November · 14:00

🧠 Form & Context

Pedro Martinez Portero

  • 📊 Ranked No. 124 at 29, 6–4 in his last 10 and winning 50% of recent matches. Beat Rodionov in round one.
  • 🤝 Leads the head-to-head 1–0, after a 7–6, 6–1 win in Bengaluru in January.
  • 🔁 The better returner: 34.8% against the first serve and 54.1% against the second, and 42% of career return points.
  • 🏆 Has won 55% of career deciding sets, 54% of tiebreaks and 59% of best-of-three matches.
  • ⚠️ Wins only 65.0% behind the first serve, and has saved 53% of break points in recent matches.

Matteo Martineau

  • 📈 Ranked No. 203 at 27, 7–3 in his last 10 and winning 57% of recent matches. Beat Gaston in round one.
  • 🚀 The much bigger first serve: 71.8% of points won (71% recently).
  • 🔒 Saves 60.7% of break points.
  • 🏆 Has won 52% of deciding sets this season.
  • ⚠️ A weaker returner: 31.4% against the first serve and 40.5% of break points converted.

🔍 Match Breakdown

A rematch of their meeting in Bengaluru in January, which Martinez Portero won 7–6, 6–1. Martineau is the 1.67 favourite even though he is ranked 79 places lower.

Martineau is the stronger server behind the first serve (71.8% vs 65.0%) and saves more break points (60.7% vs 58.0%). They are level behind the second serve (48.3% each), and Martinez Portero lands slightly more first serves (65.6% vs 64.5%).

Martinez Portero is clearly the better returner: 34.8% against the first serve to 31.4%, 54.1% against the second to 49.9%, and 43.8% of break points converted to 40.5%.

Martineau has the slightly better form: 7–3 in his last 10 against 6–4, and 57% of recent matches won against 50%. Martinez Portero has the better career record in deciding sets (55% vs 46%).

Serve against return. The ranking and the head-to-head point one way and the price points the other, so this looks closer than 1.67.

📊 Tale of the Tape

MetricMartinez PorteroMartineau
Ranking124203
Age2927
Last 106–47–3
Head-to-head10
First serves in65.6%64.5%
1st-serve points won65.0%71.8%
2nd-serve points won48.3%48.3%
Break points saved58.0%60.7%
Break points converted43.8%40.5%
Return points won (career)42%38%
Tiebreak win %54%52%
Deciding-set win % (career)55%46%
Best-of-3 win %59%53%

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Sebastian Baez vs Calvin Hemery

Orleans Challenger · Second Round · 12 November · 18:00

🧠 Form & Context

Sebastian Baez

  • 📊 Ranked No. 52 at 25, but 2–8 in his last 10 and winning 50% of recent matches.
  • 🎯 Lands 71.5% of first serves and wins 51.7% behind the second.
  • 🔁 The better returner: 35.1% against the first serve and 53.5% against the second, with 44.5% of break points converted.
  • 🏆 Has won 62% of best-of-three matches.
  • ⚠️ Wins only 63.7% behind his first serve.

Calvin Hemery

  • 📈 Ranked No. 284 at 31, 6–4 in his last 10 and winning 59% of recent matches.
  • 🚀 The much bigger first serve: 72.0% of points won (71% recently).
  • 🔒 Saves 60.1% of break points (62% recently).
  • 🎲 Has won 54% of his tiebreaks and 57% of deciding sets this season.
  • ⚠️ A weaker returner: 31.2% against the first serve and 40.1% of break points converted.

🔍 Match Breakdown

A first meeting. Baez is the 1.30 favourite and is ranked 232 places higher.

Hemery has the bigger first serve (72.0% vs 63.7%) and saves slightly more break points (60.1% vs 58.8%). Baez lands far more first serves (71.5% vs 62.1%) and is stronger behind the second (51.7% vs 49.4%).

Baez is clearly the better returner: 35.1% against the first serve to 31.2%, 53.5% against the second to 50.2%, and 44.5% of break points converted to 40.1%.

Form is the big question for Baez: he is 2–8 in his last 10, while Hemery is 6–4 and has won 59% of his recent matches.

Baez has the class and the return game, but his recent results make 1.30 look short, especially indoors against a big first serve.

📊 Tale of the Tape

MetricBaezHemery
Ranking52284
Age2531
Last 102–86–4
Head-to-head00
First serves in71.5%62.1%
1st-serve points won63.7%72.0%
2nd-serve points won51.7%49.4%
Break points saved58.8%60.1%
Break points converted44.5%40.1%
Return points won (career)42%38%
Tiebreak win %52%54%
Deciding-set win % (career)55%55%
Best-of-3 win %62%59%

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Nishesh Basavareddy vs Kyrian Jacquet

Orleans Challenger · Second Round · 12 November · 19:30

🧠 Form & Context

Nishesh Basavareddy

  • 🔥 Ranked No. 126 at 21, 6–4 in his last 10 and winning 63% of recent matches.
  • 🚀 The stronger server: 71.6% on the first serve and 52.5% on the second.
  • 🔒 Saves 60.8% of break points (65% recently).
  • 🏆 Has won 71% of deciding sets this season and 66% of best-of-three matches.
  • ⚠️ Lands only 57.5% of first serves and has won 49% of his tiebreaks.

Kyrian Jacquet

  • 📊 Ranked No. 85 at 25, 6–4 in his last 10 and winning 61% of recent matches.
  • 🔁 Better against the first serve: 33.0% of points won.
  • 🎯 Lands 59.8% of first serves, and has won 75% of first-serve points recently.
  • 🎲 Has won 57% of his tiebreaks.
  • ⚠️ Has won only 43% of deciding sets this season.

🔍 Match Breakdown

A first meeting. Basavareddy is the 1.61 favourite even though Jacquet is ranked 41 places higher.

Basavareddy is the stronger server: 71.6% behind the first serve to 68.7%, 52.5% behind the second to 50.1%, and 60.8% of break points saved to 59.6%. Jacquet lands a few more first serves (59.8% vs 57.5%).

On return Jacquet is better against the first serve (33.0% vs 30.8%), while Basavareddy is better against the second (54.3% vs 52.4%). Break points converted are almost level (43.2% vs 42.3%).

Both are 6–4 in their last 10. The clearest gap is in deciding sets this season, where Basavareddy has won 71% against 43%.

Basavareddy has the edge on serve and in tight finishes, Jacquet has the ranking and the better tiebreak record.

📊 Tale of the Tape

MetricBasavareddyJacquet
Ranking12685
Age2125
Last 106–46–4
Head-to-head00
First serves in57.5%59.8%
1st-serve points won71.6%68.7%
2nd-serve points won52.5%50.1%
Break points saved60.8%59.6%
Break points converted43.2%42.3%
Return points won (career)40%41%
Tiebreak win %49%57%
Deciding-set win % (career)57%52%
Best-of-3 win %66%60%

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Tennis Form Snapshot Day 176: Second-Round Day and a 37-Point Gap

PBTennis · Tennis Form Snapshot · Day 176
Thursday Form Radar: second-round day and a 37-point gap
Second rounds across the Challengers, Musetti in Stockholm, and Sabalenka and Gauff at the WTA Finals. Today's board has 7 wrong-side alerts, led by a 37-point gap with the better-form player at 3.75.

Hersonissos 3 challenger 2026 (Greece) 12.11.26

More second-round previews from the Hersonissos 3 Challenger (hard), with form, serve and return numbers and a full Tale of the Tape for every open match. Matches marked 🔒 are on today's PBTennis Patreon card. Times are as listed by the tournament schedule and may move with the order of play.

Michele Ribecai vs Carlo Alberto Caniato

Hersonissos 3 Challenger · Second Round · 12 November · 08:00

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This match is on today's PBTennis Patreon card. The full breakdown – form, serve and return numbers, the Tale of the Tape and our read on the match – is available to our members.

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Lorenzo Carboni vs Ioannis Xilas

Hersonissos 3 Challenger · Second Round · 12 November · 08:00

🧠 Form & Context

Lorenzo Carboni

  • 📊 Ranked No. 550 at 20, 6–4 in his last 10 and winning 50% of recent matches. Beat Bertola in round one.
  • 🤝 Leads the head-to-head 1–0, after a 6–3, 3–6, 7–6 win in Monastir in 2023.
  • 🚀 Stronger behind the second serve: 48.7% of points won.
  • 🏆 Has won 53% of deciding sets this season and 56% over his career.
  • ⚠️ Saves only 51.8% of break points and wins 62.4% behind his first serve.

Ioannis Xilas

  • 📈 Ranked No. 499 at 25, 7–3 in his last 10 and winning 56% of recent matches. Beat Fomin in round one.
  • 🔁 The better returner: 39.6% against the first serve and 56.1% against the second.
  • 🎯 Converts 47.7% of break points and wins 46% of career return points.
  • 🎲 Has won 56% of his tiebreaks.
  • ⚠️ Weak behind the second serve: 45.2% of points won.

🔍 Match Breakdown

A rematch of a 2023 meeting in Monastir, which Carboni won in a final-set tiebreak. Xilas is the 1.61 favourite and is ranked 51 places higher.

Neither player serves well. They are level behind the first serve (62.4% vs 62.6%), Carboni is stronger behind the second (48.7% vs 45.2%), and Xilas saves slightly more break points (53.3% vs 51.8%).

Xilas is the better returner: 39.6% against the first serve to 37.0%, 56.1% against the second to 54.9%, and 47.7% of break points converted to 45.7%.

Xilas has the slightly better form: 7–3 in his last 10 against 6–4, and 56% of recent matches won against 50%. Carboni has the better deciding-set record (56% vs 45% over his career).

With two weak serves, expect plenty of breaks. Xilas has the edge on return, but Carboni has already beaten him once.

📊 Tale of the Tape

MetricCarboniXilas
Ranking550499
Age2025
Last 106–47–3
Head-to-head10
First serves in62.8%63.6%
1st-serve points won62.4%62.6%
2nd-serve points won48.7%45.2%
Break points saved51.8%53.3%
Break points converted45.7%47.7%
Return points won (career)44%46%
Tiebreak win %49%56%
Deciding-set win % (career)56%45%
Best-of-3 win %57%58%

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Cezar Cretu vs Philip Henning

Hersonissos 3 Challenger · Second Round · 12 November · 09:30

🧠 Form & Context

Cezar Cretu

  • 🔥 Ranked No. 273 at 25, 7–3 in his last 10 and winning 61% of recent matches. Beat P. Tsitsipas in round one.
  • 🔁 The better returner against the first serve: 37.6% of points won.
  • 🎯 Converts 46.7% of break points and wins 44% of career return points.
  • 🏆 Has won 63% of career deciding sets.
  • ⚠️ The weaker server: 65.4% behind the first serve, 49.9% behind the second and 57.8% of break points saved.

Philip Henning

  • 📈 Ranked No. 249 at 26, 6–4 in his last 10 and winning 64% of recent matches. Beat Papoe in round one.
  • 🚀 The clearly stronger server: 70.3% on the first serve and 55.4% on the second.
  • 🔒 Saves 62.9% of break points (66% recently).
  • 🏆 Has won 73% of best-of-three matches and 92% after taking the first set.
  • ⚠️ Slightly weaker against the first serve (35.0%) and has won 56% of career deciding sets.

🔍 Match Breakdown

A first meeting, after both won their opening matches. Henning is the 1.44 favourite and is ranked 24 places higher.

Henning is clearly the better server: 70.3% behind the first serve to 65.4%, 55.4% behind the second to 49.9%, and 62.9% of break points saved to 57.8%.

Cretu is the better returner against the first serve (37.6% vs 35.0%), while Henning is slightly better against the second (55.9% vs 54.7%). Break points converted are almost level (46.7% vs 46.1%).

Form is close: Cretu is 7–3 in his last 10 against 6–4, while Henning has won 64% of recent matches to 61%. Both have won 55% of their tiebreaks.

Henning's serve explains the price, but Cretu's return and form keep this closer than 1.44.

📊 Tale of the Tape

MetricCretuHenning
Ranking273249
Age2526
Last 107–36–4
Head-to-head00
First serves in64.4%65.6%
1st-serve points won65.4%70.3%
2nd-serve points won49.9%55.4%
Break points saved57.8%62.9%
Break points converted46.7%46.1%
Return points won (career)44%43%
Tiebreak win %55%55%
Deciding-set win % (career)63%56%
Best-of-3 win %67%73%

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Adrian Andreev vs Raul Brancaccio

Hersonissos 3 Challenger · Second Round · 12 November · 09:30

🧠 Form & Context

Adrian Andreev

  • 🔥 Ranked No. 584 at 25, 7–3 in his last 10 and winning 72% of recent matches. Beat Pietri in round one.
  • 🤝 Leads the head-to-head 1–0, after a 6–2, 6–4 win on clay in Genova in 2022.
  • 🎯 Has converted 54% of break points in recent matches.
  • 🎲 Has won 64% of his tiebreaks, and 50% of deciding sets this season.
  • ⚠️ Slightly weaker against the first serve: 34.1% of points won.

Raul Brancaccio

  • 📊 Ranked No. 222 at 29, 3–7 in his last 10 and winning 34% of recent matches. Beat Paldanius in round one.
  • 🔁 The better returner against the first serve: 36.7% of points won.
  • 📋 Wins 43% of career return points.
  • 🏆 Has won 56% of best-of-three matches and 86% after taking the first set.
  • ⚠️ Has converted only 33% of break points recently and won 39% of deciding sets this season.

🔍 Match Breakdown

A rematch of their 2022 meeting on clay in Genova, which Andreev won in straight sets. The prices are almost level: Brancaccio 1.80, Andreev 1.90.

On serve there is almost nothing between them: 65.5% vs 65.7% behind the first serve and 57.2% vs 57.3% of break points saved. Andreev lands slightly more first serves (63.5% vs 61.8%) and is a touch stronger behind the second (49.7% vs 48.3%).

On return Brancaccio is better against the first serve (36.7% vs 34.1%), while they are level against the second (53.3% vs 52.9%) and on break points converted (44.4% vs 44.7%).

The form gap is large: Andreev is 7–3 in his last 10 and has won 72% of recent matches, while Brancaccio is 3–7 and has won 34%.

Brancaccio has the ranking, Andreev has the form and the head-to-head. A genuine coin flip on the numbers.

📊 Tale of the Tape

MetricAndreevBrancaccio
Ranking584222
Age2529
Last 107–33–7
Head-to-head10
First serves in63.5%61.8%
1st-serve points won65.5%65.7%
2nd-serve points won49.7%48.3%
Break points saved57.2%57.3%
Break points converted44.4%44.7%
Return points won (career)42%43%
Tiebreak win %64%53%
Deciding-set win % (career)52%45%
Best-of-3 win %56%56%

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Wednesday, November 11, 2026

Monastir 1 challenger 2026 (Tunisia) 12.11.26

More second-round previews from the Monastir 1 Challenger (hard), with form, serve and return numbers and a full Tale of the Tape for every open match. Matches marked 🔒 are on today's PBTennis Patreon card. Times are as listed by the tournament schedule and may move with the order of play.

Dali Blanch vs Lorenzo Giustino

Monastir 1 Challenger · Second Round · 12 November · 12:00

🧠 Form & Context

Dali Blanch

  • 📊 Ranked No. 321 at 23, 3–7 in his last 10 but winning 51% of recent matches. Beat Topo in round one.
  • 🔁 Slightly better against the first serve: 34.8% of points won.
  • 🚀 A touch stronger behind both serves: 68.7% on the first and 49.2% on the second.
  • 🎯 Converts 43.6% of break points.
  • ⚠️ Has won only 32% of deciding sets this season and 40% over his career.

Lorenzo Giustino

  • 📊 Ranked No. 289 at 35, 4–6 in his last 10 and winning 50% of recent matches. Beat Tepmahc in round one.
  • 🔒 Saves more break points: 57.3%.
  • 🔁 Slightly better against the second serve: 51.3% of points won.
  • 🏆 Has won 52% of deciding sets this season and 83% of matches after taking the first set.
  • ⚠️ Has won only 46% of second-serve points and saved 55% of break points in recent matches.

🔍 Match Breakdown

A first meeting, after both won their opening matches. Giustino is the 1.57 favourite and is ranked 32 places higher.

On serve there is very little in it: 68.7% vs 68.4% behind the first serve and 49.2% vs 47.8% behind the second, both in Blanch's favour. Giustino saves more break points (57.3% vs 55.3%).

On return they are close too. Blanch is slightly better against the first serve (34.8% vs 33.8%) and Giustino against the second (51.3% vs 50.7%). Both have won 41% of career return points.

Neither comes in with strong form: Blanch is 3–7 in his last 10 and Giustino 4–6. The clearest gap is in deciding sets, where Giustino has won 52% this season against 32%.

Very even on the numbers. Giustino's experience in tight finishes is the main thing behind the price.

📊 Tale of the Tape

MetricBlanchGiustino
Ranking321289
Age2335
Last 103–74–6
Head-to-head00
First serves in57.9%58.1%
1st-serve points won68.7%68.4%
2nd-serve points won49.2%47.8%
Break points saved55.3%57.3%
Break points converted43.6%43.2%
Return points won (career)41%41%
Tiebreak win %51%51%
Deciding-set win % (career)40%49%
Best-of-3 win %52%53%

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Marvin Moeller vs Aziz Ouakaa

Monastir 1 Challenger · Second Round · 12 November · 12:00

🧠 Form & Context

Marvin Moeller

  • 🔥 Ranked No. 229 at 27, 6–4 in his last 10 and winning 68% of recent matches. Beat Barsukov in round one.
  • 🚀 The stronger server: 67.3% on the first serve and 49.9% on the second.
  • 🔒 Saves 58.6% of break points.
  • 🔁 Slightly better on return: 54.9% against the second serve and 46.1% of break points converted.
  • 🏆 Has won 63% of best-of-three matches and 90% after taking the first set.

Aziz Ouakaa

  • 📊 Ranked No. 483 at 27, 6–4 in his last 10 and winning 58% of recent matches. Beat Echeverria in round one.
  • 🏆 Has won 67% of deciding sets this season.
  • 🔒 Has saved 63% of break points in recent matches.
  • 🔁 Close to Moeller against the first serve: 35.2% of points won.
  • ⚠️ Weak behind the second serve: 44.8% of points won.

🔍 Match Breakdown

A first meeting, after both won their opening matches. Moeller is the 1.25 favourite and is ranked 254 places higher.

Moeller is clearly the better server: 67.3% behind the first serve to 63.8%, 49.9% behind the second to 44.8%, and 58.6% of break points saved to 53.6%.

On return they are close against the first serve (35.9% vs 35.2%). Moeller is better against the second (54.9% vs 51.7%) and converts more break points (46.1% vs 43.9%).

Both are 6–4 in their last 10. Moeller has won 68% of recent matches to 58%, while Ouakaa has the better deciding-set record this season (67% vs 62%).

Moeller leads on nearly every line, so the price makes sense. Ouakaa's weak second serve is the key thing to watch.

📊 Tale of the Tape

MetricMoellerOuakaa
Ranking229483
Age2727
Last 106–46–4
Head-to-head00
First serves in61.7%60.4%
1st-serve points won67.3%63.8%
2nd-serve points won49.9%44.8%
Break points saved58.6%53.6%
Break points converted46.1%43.9%
Return points won (career)43%41%
Tiebreak win %50%46%
Deciding-set win % (career)60%53%
Best-of-3 win %63%44%

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Moez Echargui vs Mika Petkovic

Monastir 1 Challenger · Second Round · 12 November · 13:30

🔒 Members-only read

This match is on today's PBTennis Patreon card. The full breakdown – form, serve and return numbers, the Tale of the Tape and our read on the match – is available to our members.

Read it on Patreon

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Kilian Feldbausch vs Mae Malige

Monastir 1 Challenger · Second Round · 12 November · 13:30

🧠 Form & Context

Kilian Feldbausch

  • 🔥 Ranked No. 238 at 21, 6–4 in his last 10 and winning 64% of recent matches. Beat Pereira in round one.
  • 🎯 Lands 70.5% of first serves.
  • 🔁 The much better returner: 39.9% against the first serve and 55.8% against the second, with 47.0% of break points converted.
  • 🏆 Has won 61% of deciding sets this season and 60% of best-of-three matches.
  • ⚠️ Wins only 62.8% behind the first serve and 47.0% behind the second, and has won 41% of his tiebreaks.

Mae Malige

  • 📊 Ranked No. 830 at 20, 6–4 in his last 10 and winning 39% of recent matches. Beat Debru in round one.
  • 🚀 Slightly stronger behind both serves: 63.7% on the first and 49.5% on the second.
  • 🎲 Has won 54% of his tiebreaks.
  • 🔒 Saves 54.2% of break points, close to Feldbausch.
  • ⚠️ Lands only 55.5% of first serves and has won 40% of career deciding sets.

🔍 Match Breakdown

A first meeting, after both won their opening matches. Feldbausch is the 1.18 favourite and is ranked almost 600 places higher.

Neither serves particularly well. Malige wins slightly more behind both serves (63.7% vs 62.8% and 49.5% vs 47.0%), but Feldbausch lands far more first serves (70.5% vs 55.5%).

Feldbausch is the much better returner: 39.9% against the first serve to 34.8%, 55.8% against the second to 53.3%, and 47.0% of break points converted to 42.3%.

Both are 6–4 in their last 10, but Feldbausch has won 64% of recent matches to 39% and 61% of deciding sets this season to 41%.

Feldbausch's return should decide this. Malige has the better tiebreak record if it stays on serve.

📊 Tale of the Tape

MetricFeldbauschMalige
Ranking238830
Age2120
Last 106–46–4
Head-to-head00
First serves in70.5%55.5%
1st-serve points won62.8%63.7%
2nd-serve points won47.0%49.5%
Break points saved54.9%54.2%
Break points converted47.0%42.3%
Return points won (career)46%42%
Tiebreak win %41%54%
Deciding-set win % (career)51%40%
Best-of-3 win %60%46%

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Cundinamarca Open 2026 WTA (Colombia) 12.11.26

Quarterfinal previews from the WTA 125 Cundinamarca Open in Sopo (clay), with form, serve and return numbers and a full Tale of the Tape f...