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Full 22.08.25 card right here ⬇️
Marco Trungelliti (No. 183, age 35)
Pablo Llamas Ruiz (No. 355, age 22)
H2H: Trungelliti leads 1–0
Trungelliti’s keys: Experience, return consistency, and tactical variety. He thrives on breaking rhythm and forcing younger opponents into long rallies.
Llamas Ruiz’s keys: Stay aggressive, trust his forehand, and avoid getting dragged into physical marathons. Needs to serve well to shorten points.
Context: Both are 4–4 on hard in 2025, but Trungelliti has already beaten two big names here, while Llamas has had a lighter draw.
This is a clash of youth vs experience. Trungelliti is the more battle-tested, but fatigue after two tough wins could weigh on him. Llamas Ruiz, at 22, has fresher legs and is motivated to crack his first Slam main draw.
Pick: Llamas Ruiz in 3 tight sets. (If it turns into a grind over 3+ hours, Trungelliti’s savvy could still flip it.)
Ann Li (No. 69, age 25)
Wang Xinyu (No. 37, age 23)
H2H: Wang leads 2–0
🔍 Match Breakdown is for Patreon members — See full analysis here.
Marie Bouzková (No. 53, age 27)
Ekaterina Alexandrova (No. 14, age 30)
H2H: Alexandrova leads 2–0 (both close 3-setters)
🔍 Match Breakdown is for Patreon members — See full analysis here.
Alycia Parks (No. 71, age 24)
Diana Shnaider (No. 22, age 21)
H2H: Shnaider leads 2–1
🔍 Full Match Breakdown is free for followers — Read here.
Arthur Cazaux (No. 75, age 22)
🔥 Finalist in Kitzbühel last month (beat Struff en route).
✅ USO qualies: d. Lajal & Clarke, no sets lost.
📊 2025 record: 21–17 (8–9 on hard).
⚡ Aggressive baseliner, huge forehand, thrives in best-of-five.
⚠️ Inconsistent vs higher-ranked opposition, serve percentage dips hurt him.
Jan-Lennard Struff (No. 145, age 35)
🎾 Veteran, ex-top 25, dangerous with serve/forehand combo.
✅ USO qualies: d. Chidekh, then comeback win vs Daniel T.
📊 2025 record: 13–23 (3–9 on hard).
🏆 One ATP title last year; inconsistent this season.
⚠️ Durability in long matches a concern; slowed movement vs peak.
Head-to-Head: 1–0 Cazaux
• 2025 Kitzbühel QF (clay): Cazaux d. Struff 6-3, 6-4.
Cazaux’s keys: Deep returns to blunt serve, forehand dictation, fast starts.
Struff’s keys: High 1st-serve %, shorten rallies with forehand strikes.
Dynamic: Youth + momentum of Cazaux vs veteran firepower. Longer rallies tilt Frenchman’s way.
Cazaux’s win over Struff last month is a strong data point, and he’s sharper and more consistent right now. Struff’s serve keeps it competitive, but across best-of-five, Cazaux’s edge in stamina and confidence should tell.
🧩 Pick: Cazaux in 4 sets
Yuta Shimizu (No. 209, age 26)
🎾 Challenger grinder, ex-top 200.
🔥 USO Qualies: d. Shimabukuro (3), Cerúndolo J.M. (straights).
📊 2025 record: 16–16 (13–11 hard).
📐 163 cm, lefty counterpuncher, thrives in long rallies.
⚠️ Vulnerable vs big servers, little margin on delivery.
Martin Damm (No. 429, age 21)
📈 37–13 in 2025: Futures titles + Challenger SF (Tbilisi).
✅ USO Qualies: d. Travaglia & Hassan (straights).
⚡ 6’7’’ lefty, big serve + booming forehand.
🩹 Retired in Lexington (July), looks fit now.
🎯 Motivation: chasing 1st Slam main draw.
Head-to-Head: First meeting
Shimizu’s keys: Neutralize serve, extend rallies, attack 2nd serves.
Damm’s keys: High 1st-serve %, aggressive +1 forehand, keep points short.
Dynamic: Diminutive returner vs towering server. Longer rallies → Shimizu; shorter points → Damm.
Shimizu’s speed makes him tricky, but Damm’s serve/forehand combo on this surface is a tough matchup. Unless Shimizu breaks early, the American’s firepower should prevail.
🧩 Pick: Damm in 2 tight sets (one likely via tiebreak)
Sorana Cîrstea (No. 112, age 35)
🔥 Surging week: dropped just 12 games in 5 matches (incl. qualies).
✅ QF: d. Samsonova 6–4, 6–1.
📊 2025 record: 19–14 overall, 15–8 on hard.
🏆 Former No. 21, 2 titles, US Open QF (2023).
🛠️ Flat baseline hitting, early ball-striking, composure.
⚠️ Age/physicality: back-to-backs can wear her down.
Anastasia Zakharova (No. 100, age 23)
🚀 Breakthrough season: Top 100 debut, 16 ITF titles.
✅ Cleveland run: d. Birrell, Baptiste, Lys → 1st WTA SF of 2025.
📊 2025 record: 25–21 overall, 8–9 on hard.
🎯 Consistent rally tolerance, movement, thrives in long exchanges.
⚠️ Limited WTA pedigree; struggles vs power hitters.
Head-to-Head: First meeting
Cîrstea’s path: Keep points short, dictate baseline, lean on serve & experience.
Zakharova’s path: Extend rallies, test stamina, exploit any late dip.
Momentum: Cîrstea has yet to lose a set this week, Zakharova came through tighter battles.
Zakharova is rising, but this stage vs an in-form, experienced Cîrstea feels too soon. Unless fatigue intervenes, expect the Romanian’s firepower to carry her through.
🧩 Pick: Cîrstea in 2 sets
Sebastian Korda (No. 86, age 25)
🎾 Back on track: Into his 2nd straight Winston-Salem SF.
✅ Wins over Kopriva, Majchrzak, Kecmanović.
📈 2025 record: 14–10 overall, 9–4 on hard.
🏟️ SF here in 2023, aiming for 1st final.
⚠️ Still inconsistent in deciding sets.
Márton Fucsovics (No. 94, age 33)
🔥 Four wins already: Gaston, Griekspoor, Bautista Agut, Munar.
📊 2025 record: 36–16, with a superb 14–3 on hard.
💪 Physical warrior, thrives in long battles.
🏟️ First SF in Winston-Salem.
🚨 Veteran edge: rides momentum well.
Head-to-Head: 1–1
• 2023 US Open R1 → Fucsovics in 5 sets
• 2023 Winston-Salem R16 → Korda in straights
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