Brooksby J. - Vukic A.

🎾 Daily Card, Live-Bet Triggers & Bankroll Builders
Full breakdowns & parlay structures on Patreon — early angles + closing-line tracking.

Jenson Brooksby vs Aleksandar Vukic — US Open 1R Preview

ATP US Open Hard Court Round 1

🧠 Form & Context

Jenson Brooksby (No. 92, age 24)

• 🇺🇸 Returned in 2025 after a nearly two-year suspension, ranking rebuilt fast.
• 📊 2025: 21–18 overall, 5–7 on hard; highlight = ATP Houston champion (d. Paul, Tiafoe).
• 🏟️ US Open love: R16 in 2021 (d. Fritz, Karatsev; lost to Djokovic), R3 in 2022.
• 💡 Game: Disruptive tempo, unorthodox strokes, elite court craft.
• ⚠️ North America wobble: 1R exits in Washington & Toronto.

Aleksandar Vukic (No. 95, age 29)

• 🇦🇺 Big-serving, aggressive baseliner; career-high No. 48.
• 📊 2025: 19–28 overall, 9–14 on hard; AO R3 (epics vs Džumhur & Korda, pushed Draper to 5).
• 🏟️ US Open: 0–3 in main draws (all straight-set losses).
• 🔥 Summer: Wins over Norrie & Martínez; Toronto R3, but early exits in Cincy & Winston-Salem.
• ⚠️ Bo5 concern: Yet to win a Slam match outside Australia.

Head-to-head: 1–1
2019 Futures: Brooksby d. Vukic 6–3, 6–1 · 2025 Eastbourne QF: Vukic d. Brooksby 7–5, 6–3.

🔍 Match Breakdown

🔒 Premium: Detailed tactical breakdown, live-bet triggers & fair-odds lines are for members only. Read on Patreon.

📊 Tale of the Tape (Qualitative)

• Form trend: Brooksby patchy but with a high ceiling; Vukic streaky and travel-dependent.
• Surface fit: NY hard favors Brooksby’s change-ups vs pace; Vukic needs first-strike accuracy.
• Serve/return: Serve edge Vukic; return/neutral patterns edge Brooksby.
• Bo5 factor: Brooksby’s NYC pedigree vs Vukic’s non-AO Slam struggles.
• Intangibles: Home crowd + prior USO runs lean toward Brooksby in tight sets.

Dostanic vs Vukic

🎾 Winston-Salem Match Preview
Form & Context • Tactical Notes • Prediction

Dostanic vs Vukic — Winston-Salem

ATP Winston-Salem Hard Court First Round

🧠 Form & Context

Stefan Dostanic (USA)
ATP #419 | Age: 23 | Plays: Right-handed

• 📊 2025 record: 12–10 overall (10–7 on hard); one Futures title this year.
• ⚠️ Fitness concern: Retired in Chicago vs Hussey two weeks ago.
• 🎾 First ATP main-draw match — experience limited to Futures/Challenger level.
• 💪 Notable wins mainly at Challenger/Futures; hasn’t faced top-100 players consistently.

Aleksandar Vukic (AUS)
ATP #94 | Age: 28 | Plays: Right-handed

• 📊 2025 record: 19–27 overall (9–13 on hard).
• 🏆 Slam highlight: Australian Open R3 run; season wins vs Norrie, Martinez, Giron.
• 🎯 Qualified here with wins over Pow and Poling; enters main draw with match rhythm.
• 💪 Style: Serve + forehand combo thrives on quicker courts; seasoned ATP competitor.

🔍 Match Breakdown

• Dostanic: Baseline grinder, good in tiebreaks, but untested against elite pace. Retirement two weeks ago raises durability concerns.
• Vukic: Proven ATP-level, prefers hard courts. Despite rough season, has shown ability to compete with top-50 players. Match play in qualies helps settle nerves.
• Experience gap: Vukic’s Grand Slam pedigree vs Dostanic’s debut tilt the balance heavily toward the Aussie.
• Risk angle: Vukic sometimes drops sets early vs lower-ranked players, but overall gap remains large.

🔮 Prediction

All signs point to Vukic’s power and experience being too much. Dostanic can only capitalize if Vukic starts flat or misfires on serve.

Pick: Vukic in 2 sets.
Handicap lean: Vukic -4.5 games looks playable.
Small upset dart: Dostanic sneaking a set if Vukic dips.

Aleksandar Vukic vs Nishesh Basavareddy

ATP Cincinnati – 1R: Aleksandar Vukic vs Nishesh Basavareddy

🧠 Form & Context

Aleksandar Vukic

• 🔄 Resurgence signs: Two main-draw wins in Toronto (d. Martinez, Norrie) and Washington win over Mpetshi Perricard.
• 📈 North American lift: Both recent main-draw advances have come during the US Open Series.
• 🚪 Lucky entry: Lost in final qualifying to Kypson but entered as a lucky loser after Monfils’ withdrawal.
• ⚠️ Vulnerability: Just 17–26 in 2025, with several tight deciding-set losses this season.
• 📍 Cincinnati debut (MD): Previously only played qualifying here (2024).

Nishesh Basavareddy

• 💥 Breakthrough flashes: 2025 Auckland SF as qualifier; took a set off Djokovic at the Australian Open.
• ⏳ Stalled momentum: 1–7 in last eight main-draw openers since Auckland run.
• 🏡 Comfort zone: Prefers American hard courts — the surface of his Challenger breakthrough late in 2024.
• 🎢 High variance: Can be unplayable when timing clicks, but error-prone on off days.
• 📍 Cincinnati debut.

🔍 Match Breakdown

• Form contrast: Vukic brings steadier recent results at tour level, often pushing higher-ranked opponents. Basavareddy offers more explosive upside but far less consistency.
• Baseline weight: Vukic’s flatter, penetrating strokes can keep Basavareddy pinned back if rallies extend.
• Serve dynamics: Vukic’s first-serve percentage and precision will be key to avoiding Basavareddy’s aggressive returns.
• Momentum factor: Basavareddy’s game runs hot and cold — a fast start could tilt the early stages, but scoreboard pressure has caused past collapses.

🔮 Prediction

Vukic’s recent match wins and ability to manage momentum shifts make him a slight favorite here. Basavareddy has the firepower to snatch a set, especially if his serve-forehand game clicks early, but sustaining that over three sets is the challenge.

Prediction: Aleksandar Vukic in 3 sets, with at least one tiebreak likely.

Tiafoe F. vs Vukic A.

ATP Toronto 🇨🇦

Tiafoe F. vs Vukic A.

🧠 Form & Context

Frances Tiafoe
🇺🇸 Home-swing catalyst: Reached the Houston final in spring, helping him maintain Top 15 status despite inconsistency on clay and grass.
😅 Survival mode: Survived a scare against Yosuke Watanuki—trailed 1-6 and saved three break points in set 2 before winning 1–6, 7–5, 7–6.
📈 Crucial stretch: With a 21–16 record and major points to defend in Washington and the US Open, this North American swing could define his season.

Aleksandar Vukic
🦘 Toronto déjà vu: Defeated Pedro Martínez and a struggling Cameron Norrie to return to the third round—matching his 2023 R16 success here.
🔄 Looking for rhythm: Just 12–21 on the year, but has shown flashes—most notably upsetting Sebastian Korda in Australia en route to R3.
🎯 Strike-first style: Relies on a flat, line-painting forehand and quick finishes—already owns a 2024 win over Tiafoe (Almaty Challenger).

🔍 Full Match Breakdown

In-depth tactics, betting edges, and our prediction are available exclusively for our Patreon members.
👉 Click here to access the full preview

Support our work and unlock all match previews. Your insights start here 🎾🧠

Vukic vs Norrie

🎾 Vukic vs Norrie – Toronto R2 Preview

🧠 Form & Context

• Aleksandar Vukic
  🌟 Masters pedigree: R16 in 2023 Toronto, with wins over Coric and Korda.
  🔄 US Open series spark: Back-to-back tour-level wins over Mpetshi Perricard and Martínez to halt a 1–6 start.
  🏃 Momentum builder: Gained confidence on hard (5–10 in 2025) after solid clay and grass swings.
• Cameron Norrie
  🚀 Resurgent run: R16 in Washington, snapping a long Top-10 drought (beat Musetti) and climbing back into the Top 40.
  🎯 No points to defend: Free to attack Toronto with everything to gain on his favored North American hard courts.
  📉 Toronto hoodoo: 0–2 here previously, but faces a more manageable draw this time.

🔍 Match Breakdown

• 🎾 Baseline battle: Vukic’s punchy flat drives vs Norrie’s inside-out backhand and loopers—control of depth will be key.
• ⚡ Serve & return: Norrie’s heavy lefty serve can earn free points; Vukic must pounce on any second serves to stay in touch.
• 🏃 Movement & retrieval: Both cover the court well—long rallies could favor Norrie’s superior endurance, but Vukic’s aggression may cut points short.
• 🧠 Tactical nuance: Vukic will mix pace and drive changes to disrupt Norrie’s rhythm; Norrie must stay patient and pick perfect moments to unleash.

🔮 Prediction

Norrie’s winning streak and physical edge should see him through—expect him to grind out a tight opener, then pull away in two disciplined sets.
Predicted Score: Norrie def. Vukic 7–5, 6–4

🇦🇺 Aleksandar Vukic vs 🇪🇸 Pedro Martínez

🇦🇺 Aleksandar Vukic vs 🇪🇸 Pedro Martínez – ATP Toronto R1 Preview

🎾 Monday, July 28 · ATP 1000 Toronto · Outdoor Hard

🧠 Form & Context

Aleksandar Vukic 🇦🇺

• 📉 Currently outside the top 100 after a 14–24 season, but remains dangerous on hard courts
• 🔨 Breakout here in 2023: Reached R16 with wins over Korda and Coric
• ⚙️ Comes in match-ready: Played two matches in Washington and looked sharper

Pedro Martínez 🇪🇸

• 🤕 Injury-troubled stretch: Five retirements or losses in his last six matches
• 🎾 Surprising hard-court results in 2025: Beat Rune en route to QF in Rotterdam; wins at AO and Hong Kong
• 🌱 First main-draw in Toronto; previous attempts came in Montreal, both ended in R1

🔍 Match Breakdown

This matchup hinges on form and surface. Vukic is built for hard-court exchanges with his penetrating serve and flat forehand, and he’s had recent match reps. In contrast, Martínez comes in rusty and vulnerable after several withdrawals and an intense clay swing.

Though Martínez leads the head-to-head 2–0, both wins came on slower courts. On this faster Toronto surface, Vukic’s aggression and clean striking give him the edge—especially with Martínez’s physical condition still in question.

🔮 Prediction

Unless Martínez rediscovers his rhythm quickly, Vukic should capitalize on his momentum and dominate most baseline rallies. Expect a few tight deuce games, but the Australian’s experience on hard courts should see him through.

🧩 Pick: Aleksandar Vukic in 2 sets (e.g. 6–4, 6–3)

Taylor Fritz 🇺🇸 vs. Aleksandar Vukic 🇦🇺

🎾 ATP Washington 2025 – Round of 32 Preview

Taylor Fritz 🇺🇸 vs. Aleksandar Vukic 🇦🇺

📍 Washington, D.C. | 🗓️ July 24 | 🎾 Hard (Outdoor)

🧠 Form & Context

Taylor Fritz
🏆 Peak performance: Fritz arrives in Washington off the best run of his career—Wimbledon semifinalist and back-to-back ATP titles in Eastbourne and Stuttgart.
🎯 Surface supremacy: A 30–12 season includes dominant form on hard and grass courts. The quick, bouncy conditions in D.C. suit his first-strike, serve-forehand combo perfectly.
🇺🇸 Home comfort: He’s the No. 2 seed and a 2023 semifinalist here. Plus, he owns a perfect head-to-head (2–0) over Vukic, including a straight-sets win in the Eastbourne semifinals last year.

Aleksandar Vukic
🎢 Struggling for rhythm: Just 14–23 in 2025 and outside the top 100, Vukic has yet to find his footing this season.
💪 Occasional flashes: Five-set upset over Korda at the Australian Open shows his ceiling. Got past Mpetshi Perricard in R1 here with grit.
🔥 Hard court worries: Just 4–9 on the surface this season and facing a red-hot American in top form.

🔍 Match Breakdown

This is a clash between one of the tour’s most in-form players and a streaky, dangerous but inconsistent opponent. Fritz’s serve and forehand are clicking at a top-5 level, and he’s looked increasingly comfortable with his movement and court coverage.

Vukic will need to serve extremely well and redline his baseline game to keep this close. His flat hitting can bother players in rhythm, but Fritz has already solved this matchup twice. Expect Fritz to target the Vukic backhand, neutralize his serve, and dominate baseline exchanges with superior depth and angles.

The American’s mental game is also on point—he’s handled pressure situations well all season, especially in tiebreaks and closing sets. Vukic has the firepower to hang for a while, but he’ll need a near-flawless performance to seriously threaten.

🔮 Prediction

Prediction: Fritz in 2 sets — With momentum, confidence, and a 2–0 head-to-head advantage, this should be a controlled win for the American unless Vukic plays one of his best matches of the season.

Giovanni Mpetshi Perricard vs Aleksandar Vukic

🎾 ATP Washington – First Round Preview

Giovanni Mpetshi Perricard vs Aleksandar Vukic

💔 Giovanni Mpetshi Perricard arrives in Washington still haunted by a painful Wimbledon collapse against Fritz—blowing a two-set lead and set points in the fourth. His season began with promise in Brisbane but has fizzled out, with zero back-to-back wins in 13 straight events. Still, his serve remains a major weapon, especially on hard courts. He returns to the only US Open Series event where he’s won a main-draw match—perhaps a mental reset?

🪫 Aleksandar Vukic hasn’t fared much better—dropping five of his last six matches and carrying a 4–8 record on hard courts in 2025. Confidence looks eroded after a loss to Nava in Los Cabos. Once a US summer darling in 2023 (runner-up in Atlanta), Vukic now struggles to maintain his rhythm or hold serve pressure consistently.

⚡ Both players have big weapons, but little form. The faster surface suits both—but can either string together points long enough to seize control?

👉 Full Match Breakdown on Patreon

Aleksandar Vukic vs Emilio Nava

🇲🇽 ATP Los Cabos – 1st Round

🧠 Form & Context

Aleksandar Vukic
🌀 A rollercoaster 2025 season sees the Aussie at 13–22 overall, with just 3–8 on hard courts.
📉 Since a standout 3rd-round showing at the Australian Open (including a win over Sebastian Korda), he’s just 2–10 on hard courts.
🔥 Formerly ranked as high as No. 48 in 2023, Vukic still leans on a big serve and aggressive forehand to dictate play.
🏖️ He reached the R16 in Los Cabos last year and has typically done well in quick, high-bounce conditions.
🥊 Recently ran into a buzzsaw in Jannik Sinner at Wimbledon after a grueling qualifying run—confidence may be fragile.

Emilio Nava
🚀 Enjoying his best professional season, the American has notched 39 wins in 2025, driven by three Challenger titles.
🎾 Most of those wins came on clay (36–14), but he’s yet to notch an ATP main-draw win on hard courts this season (0–2).
🌵 Like Vukic, Nava reached the R16 in Los Cabos last year and knows the court speed.
👊 Notched a big win at Roland Garros over Botic van de Zandschulp and pushed Holger Rune in R2, underlining rising confidence.
⛔ His heavy baseline game is built for clay but may struggle against flat, fast-paced attacks on hard courts.

🔍 Match Breakdown

Vukic brings ATP-level weapons and a clear comfort with altitude hard courts. His serve-forehand combo is potent when he's locked in. But recent results suggest vulnerability to consistent baseliners who can stretch rallies and frustrate his rhythm.

Nava enters red-hot from the Challenger circuit. His fitness, court coverage, and ability to play long points make him a dangerous underdog—especially if Vukic dips in intensity. The American will try to drag the Aussie into extended rallies and test his mental resilience.

This matchup hinges on whether Vukic can control the tempo early and keep points short. If the match gets scrappy or physical, Nava’s durability and confidence could tilt the balance.

🔮 Prediction

Expect Vukic to start strong, using the conditions to his advantage. But Nava is a serious threat if he survives the early onslaught. A three-set battle looks likely, with Vukic’s experience and surface edge giving him the narrow edge.

🧩 Pick: Aleksandar Vukic to win in 3 sets
🎯 Leans: Over 22.5 games, Nava +1.5 sets
💡 Live Angle: Bet Nava if Vukic wins Set 1 but drops focus in Set 2

Sinner vs Vukic

🧠 Form & Context

Jannik Sinner
🔥 Dominant Slam force: Fresh off a runner-up finish at Roland Garros, where he bageled Djokovic and nearly beat Alcaraz in the final.
🌱 Ruthless opener: Dispatched Luca Nardi 6–4, 6–3, 6–0 in R1—his first-ever bagel on grass.
🏆 Slam-level king: Has won 20 of his last 22 Grand Slam matches and is currently 35–0 vs players ranked outside the top 50 since 2023.
📍 Wimbledon goals: SF in 2023, QF in 2024. The All England Club is the only Slam he hasn’t reached the final at—he’s on a mission.
🧱 Rock-solid base: World No. 1 is 20–3 in 2025, already owns a Slam (AO), and has racked up 8 bagel sets in Slams this year alone.

Aleksandar Vukic
🚪 Doorstep performer: Only five main-draw ATP wins this season, but three of them have come at Slams (AO R3, now Wimbledon R2).
💥 Slam specialist: Pulled off a huge upset over Sebastian Korda at the Australian Open. Came through four-set win vs Tseng in R1 here.
📉 Vulnerable vs elites: Has never beaten a top-5 opponent (0–3) and was demolished by Alcaraz in R2 at Wimbledon 2024.
🎾 Grass record decent: Won 5 of his last 9 on grass, including qualifying wins over Brooksby and Clarke. Still, most success has been at Challenger level.

🔍 Match Breakdown

This is a classic mismatch in terms of class, rhythm, and consistency. Jannik Sinner is operating at an elite level, while Vukic is more of a streaky grinder who capitalizes on opportunities rather than creates them.

Sinner’s backhand return and first-strike baseline game are tailor-made to destroy opponents who lack either elite rally tolerance or consistent depth—Vukic fits both categories. On grass, Sinner's serve is also underrated: he lands 65%+ first serves and wins 80%+ of those points when he’s in control.

Vukic will try to be aggressive early and shorten rallies, but his second serve will get punished and long rallies will play directly into Sinner’s hands. Given how sharp Sinner looked against Nardi, this could be another bagel-watch situation if Vukic’s forehand breaks down.

Unless the world No. 1 loses focus, the only question is whether this match lasts over 90 minutes.

🔮 Prediction

Prediction: Sinner in 3 sets — at least one lopsided set highly likely. Handicap covers (–9.5 games or better) in play.

Chun Hsin Tseng vs Aleksandar Vukic

ATP Wimbledon – 1st Round
Chun Hsin Tseng vs Aleksandar Vukic

🧠 Form & Context

• Chun Hsin Tseng
  🎾 Junior royalty: Wimbledon Boys’ Champion in 2018, but still searching for his first main-draw win at Slam level.
  🌱 Grass struggles: Only just earned his first grass-court win (over Blancaneaux in Eastbourne qualies) after starting 0–3 on the surface.
  📉 Tour adaptation woes: Physically fragile and hasn’t translated junior promise into main-tour consistency.
  🔄 Slam record: 0–5 in main draws, with two losses coming to fellow Aussie Popyrin.
  💡 Confidence fragile: Entering this match off two losses post-Blancaneaux, and hasn’t beaten a top-100 opponent on grass.
• Aleksandar Vukic
  🔁 Rollercoaster 2025: Hot start with a 3R at the Australian Open, but followed it up with a 12–21 record across all levels.
  📌 Slam grit: Beat Korda and nearly stunned Draper in Melbourne. Already owns five-set wins this year.
  🌱 Grass comfort: Qualified for both Queen’s and Eastbourne. Solid 4–4 on grass this season.
  ✅ Wimbledon reliability: 2–0 in Wimbledon first rounds, beating Altmaier and Ofner the last two years.
  🛠️ Match-ready: Recently pushed Duckworth to three sets and took sets off Popyrin on grass—battle-tested and confident.

🔍 Match Breakdown

This is a mismatch in terms of Slam experience and surface readiness. Tseng might be the more naturally talented player, but he’s short on belief and physical durability. He tends to fade fast in best-of-five, especially on quicker surfaces where his defensive scrambling is less effective.

Vukic, on the other hand, is a proven Slam grinder with better power tools, a heavier serve, and a more stable base game on grass. He’s used to the pace of main-draw Slams, and Wimbledon has been good to him in recent years.

Unless Tseng serves at an extremely high level and rediscovers his junior instincts, this match leans strongly toward Vukic—especially if it goes beyond three sets.

🔮 Prediction

Vukic’s superior grass form, recent qualifying success, and Slam composure make him the clear favorite here. Tseng may push early, but it’s hard to see him holding up physically or tactically over time.
Prediction: Vukic in 3 sets – unless Vukic collapses mentally, he should control the rhythm and coast to his third Wimbledon second round in a row.

ATP Eastbourne – Vukic vs Duckworth Preview

ATP Eastbourne – Vukic vs Duckworth Preview

🧠 Form & Context

Aleksandar Vukic
🚀 Back in Eastbourne via qualifiers—just like last year when he surged to the semifinals.
📉 A bumpy 2025 (12–20), but he’s shown grass form with a 4–3 record and a five-set upset of Sebastian Korda in Melbourne.
🔁 Leads the head-to-head 2–1, taking the last two (Miami '23 qualies & Almaty '24).
💥 Relies on a big serve and flat forehand—well-suited for Eastbourne’s slick conditions.

James Duckworth
🔄 Battling back from injuries, Duckworth’s 20–17 year includes a Challenger title in San Luis Potosí.
🌱 Matches Vukic’s 4–3 grass record this year and came through qualifying here with tight wins.
🛠️ Brings all the Aussie grass-court trademarks: low slice serves, net skills, and a solid transition game.
⏳ Ranked just outside the top 100 but still highly effective in quick, best-of-three formats.

🔍 Match Breakdown
Two experienced Aussies with contrasting momentum. Fast court, first-strike tennis, and a lot on the line.
🔓 Full breakdown available on Patreon for just $4.99/month — support the work and unlock daily insights:

👉 https://www.patreon.com/posts/atp-eastbourne-1-132144010

ATP Queen’s Club: Alexei Popyrin vs Aleksandar Vukic

ATP Queen’s Club: Alexei Popyrin vs Aleksandar Vukic – Battle of the Aussies

🧠 Form & Context

Alexei Popyrin 🇦🇺 (World No. 48)
– A rollercoaster 2025 season (11–14), with sporadic brilliance (def. Ruud, Tiafoe) overshadowed by inconsistency.
– Winless on grass this year; blew a lead vs Zizou Bergs in ’s-Hertogenbosch.
– Three straight 1R exits at Queen’s Club (2021, 2023, 2024).
– Big server, flat hitter—but movement and confidence on grass remain suspect.
Aleksandar Vukic 🇦🇺 (World No. 79)
– Gained main draw entry via qualifying, defeating Cerundolo and Walton with composure.
– 2–2 on grass in 2025, but showing clear improvements on the surface.
– Known for upsetting higher-ranked players, including Korda at the AO.
– Grasps the underdog mindset well; comes in with momentum and no pressure.

🔍 Match Breakdown

Despite being the lower-ranked Aussie, Vukic may be better suited to grass right now. Popyrin's grass struggles are well-documented, and his error count rises when he's rushed on this surface. Vukic plays flatter, gets lower to the ball, and has two solid grass wins under his belt from qualies. Key Factors: – Popyrin’s poor Queen’s history and lack of grass confidence. – Vukic’s clean baseline rhythm and match sharpness. – Mental edge: Vukic has shown better late-set resilience this season.

🔮 Prediction

Pick: Aleksandar Vukic in 3 sets 💰 Bet Tip: Over 22.5 Games – Expect a tight contest with big serves and close sets. 📉 Alt: Vukic ML @2.30 – Solid value for an in-form qualifier with surface edge and matchup insight.

---

📊 Tale of the Tape

• 2025 W/L: Popyrin 11–14 | Vukic 15–12
• Career Grass W/L: Popyrin 23–25 | Vukic 9–12
• Queen’s Club Record: Popyrin 0–3 | Vukic Debut
• H2H: First Meeting (have trained together in Aussie camps)

🇨🇦 Gabriel Diallo vs 🇦🇺 Aleksandar Vukic

🎾 ATP Hertogenbosch – First Round

🇨🇦 Gabriel Diallo vs 🇦🇺 Aleksandar Vukic

---

🧠 Form & Context

Gabriel Diallo

• 🔥 Momentum builder: Impressive wins this clay season over Musetti, Dimitrov, Norrie, and Griekspoor.
• 📈 19–16 in 2025, including 3–4 on grass; very capable of handling pace and firepower.
• 📍 Hertogenbosch debut, but has strong form entering this week.
• 💪 Physically dominant and mentally composed—especially in long rallies and tiebreaks.
• 🧱 Played 7 matches in Madrid alone, showing endurance and rhythm in back-to-back wins.

Aleksandar Vukic

• 📉 Struggling season: Just 8–18 in 2025; only 1 main draw win since Estoril in April.
• 🌱 Grass record weak: 0–1 this year, and just 19–17 lifetime.
• ❗ Confidence dip: Lost to Virtanen, Khachanov, and Korda easily in recent matches.
• ✅ H2H edge: Beat Diallo in Australian Open qualifying last year (6-3, 6-4).
• 🎯 Best 2024 grass result: QF here at Hertogenbosch, but big drop in performance since then.

---

🔍 Match Breakdown

Diallo comes in fresh off a stellar clay stretch, now transitioning to a surface where his big serve and first-strike potential translate well. While grass isn’t his most proven surface, his physicality and timing should cause problems for the out-of-form Vukic.

Vukic’s aggressive style can work on grass when executed well, but recent results suggest a lack of rhythm and conviction. His ground game has been leaking errors, and he’s found little joy converting tight sets. If Diallo can maintain serve and keep points short, he’s in a strong position to control the tempo.

One potential edge for Vukic is prior grass success at this very tournament, reaching the QF last year. But his confidence seems to have eroded, and his recent loss to Virtanen on this surface suggests trouble.

---

🔮 Prediction

Despite the head-to-head loss, Diallo is clearly the more in-form player and has shown the stamina, weapons, and belief to handle big matches. Unless Vukic rediscovers his 2023 grass game quickly, this could be a tough outing.

✅ Pick: Diallo in 2 tight sets – expect tiebreak potential
🎯 Bonus leans:

• Set betting: Diallo 2–0
• Over/Under: Over 22.5 games (tiebreak or long set likely)
• Handicap: Diallo -2.5 games

🎾 Karen Khachanov vs. Aleksandar Vukic – French Open R1

ATP French Open

🎾 Karen Khachanov vs. Aleksandar Vukic – French Open R1 Preview

🧠 Form & Context

Karen Khachanov
🎢 Rollercoaster year: Despite battling physical setbacks, he’s held his own against elite players—winning sets in losses to Alcaraz, Medvedev, and Dimitrov.
🧱 French Open track record: 32 matches, only 14 settled in straights. Expect a grind—he doesn’t finish matches fast in Paris.
🧊 Redemption arc: A five-set collapse to Jozef Kovalik in R1 last year set him back mentally. He’ll want to erase that memory with a strong start.
Aleksandar Vukic
🔥 AO peak, then nosedive: Reached R3 in Melbourne after two five-set marathons, but since then, it’s been downhill—1 win in 11 tour-level events.
📉 Losses piling up: Recent defeats to Pacheco Méndez and Dellien highlight just how out-of-form the Aussie is heading into this matchup.
💪 Fighter’s spirit: He’s tough in long matches (see AO), but without momentum, replicating that effort will be hard.

🔍 Match Breakdown

🛡️ Khachanov's game: A heavy-hitting baseline slugger who rarely dominates cleanly—his best wins still tend to be long, messy matches.
🚨 Danger zone: If Khachanov loses focus (as in last year's RG), Vukic could push him to four or five sets. But without recent wins, Vukic may lack the belief to finish the job.
🎯 Opportunity for redemption: This is a must-win match for Khachanov’s confidence. A straightforward win would reset his clay season.

🔮 Prediction

Khachanov’s track record in Paris and general top-30 level play should see him through. But don’t be surprised if it turns into a four-set affair due to his tendency to leak sets and Vukic’s ability to hang tough early. 🧩 Prediction: Khachanov in 4 sets

ATP Rome: Sebastian Korda vs Aleksandar Vukic

ATP Rome: Sebastian Korda vs Aleksandar Vukic

🧠 Form & Context

Sebastian Korda
Korda is still battling inconsistency and fitness issues after a 2024 season-ending surgery. His clay struggles are well-known, and Rome has never been a comfortable venue for him. Tough early draws and physically draining matches have further delayed his momentum-building efforts.

Aleksandar Vukic
Vukic stabilized his season somewhat with a semifinal run at a Challenger event but has struggled at the ATP level. His first-round win here broke a long main-draw drought. While dangerous in patches, he remains raw on clay, lacking the topspin and point construction needed for consistent success on slower surfaces.

🔍 Match Breakdown

This is a battle between two players seeking confidence. Korda’s clean hitting and greater clay familiarity slightly tip the scales in his favor, but his physical fragility and mental lapses leave the door open. Vukic’s aggressive returns and flat groundstrokes could trouble Korda if he grows passive or physically fades. Expect tension, momentum swings, and missed opportunities on both sides.

🔮 Prediction

Neither player inspires total trust right now, but Korda’s clay experience and rally resilience should give him the edge in a match likely decided by who handles pressure better down the stretch.

Prediction: Korda in 3 sets, surviving a nervy, unpredictable battle.

🎾 ATP Marrakech: Vukic vs Dellien

🎾 ATP Marrakech: Vukic vs Dellien

🧠 Form & Context

🟨 Aleksandar Vukic

• 📉 Struggling 2025: Just 4–9 this season, with early exits on hard courts.
• 🧱 Not a clay specialist: No clay matches this year; 96–73 career record on the surface.
• 🇦🇺 2024 Marrakech quarterfinalist: Has shown potential here with a good draw.
• 🪫 Current slump: Lost 4 of last 5 matches, but some close contests (3 went to deciding sets).

🟫 Hugo Dellien

• 🔥 Clay warrior: 12–6 on clay in 2025, 534–276 career record on the surface.
• 🎯 Challenger form: Back-to-back SFs in Mérida and Girona this March.
• 🇧🇴 Marrakech redemption: Lost in 1R here in 2022, but returns with form and fire.
• 🎾 Endurance machine: Plays long, grinding matches—built for Moroccan clay.

🔍 Match Breakdown

Clay clearly favors Dellien, who thrives in slow conditions and long rallies. Vukic will aim to dictate with his serve and forehand, but finding rhythm on this surface won’t be easy.

If Dellien can target Vukic’s backhand and extend exchanges, the Aussie’s aggressive style could unravel. The altitude and bounce of Marrakech make it even trickier for first-strike tennis.

With 13 Challenger titles on clay and sharp current form, Dellien enters as the more complete and confident player for this matchup.

🔮 Prediction

Pick: Dellien in straight sets

Vukic has tools, but Dellien’s surface mastery, form, and endurance should overwhelm the Aussie in these conditions.