Cameron Norrie vs Francisco Comesana

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Cameron Norrie vs Francisco Comesana — US Open 2R Preview

ATP US Open Hard Court Round of 64

🧠 Form & Context

Cameron Norrie (No. 35, age 30)

• 🇬🇧 Former top-10, lefty grinder built on rally tolerance and depth control.
• 📊 2025: 28–22 overall, 9–11 on hard. Slams: RG R16, Wimbledon QF.
• 🔥 USO 1R: Through after Korda retired when down 0–2 sets.
• 📉 US swing: Patchy — losses to Vukic, Bautista Agut, Nakashima; lone highlight win over Musetti.
• 🏟️ US Open: Missed 2024 (injury). R16 in 2022, R3 in 2023.
• 💡 Outlook: Rebuilding rhythm and points after last year’s absence; historically reliable in best-of-five grinds.

Francisco Comesana (No. 54, age 24)

• 🇦🇷 Breakthrough player with a gritty baseline style, adding more pop on hard.
• 📊 2025: 27–23 overall, 8–7 on hard. Slams: 0–3 in R1 until New York.
• 🔥 USO 1R: Beat Michelsen in four, snapping his Slam skid.
• 📈 Notables: Wins over Opelka (Cincinnati), Munar, Darderi; eight top-50 wins since USO 2024 but nine losses, still calibrating week-to-week level.
• 🏟️ US Open: 3R in 2024 (d. Humbert).
• ⚠️ Watchpoint: Can fade when squeezed over long rallies; top-50 consistency still a work in progress.

🔍 Match Breakdown

• 🤝 H2H: First meeting.
• 🎓 Experience gap: Norrie is a proven Slam campaigner with multiple second-week runs; Comesana is still defining his major identity.
• 🛣️ Surface adaptation: Slow-medium NY hard courts reward Norrie’s lefty patterns and depth; Comesana improved on hard but remains clay-leaning in comfort.
• 🏃 Key factor: Norrie’s fitness/legs. If he sustains rally discipline, he should wear down Comesana; if the body dips, the Argentine’s persistence turns this live.

🔮 Prediction

The matchup suits Norrie’s grind-and-squeeze blueprint. Comesana brings spirit and has leveled up on hard, but over best-of-five the Brit’s consistency, lefty discomfort and big-match familiarity should carry him.

Pick: Norrie in 4 sets — steady rather than flashy; a decider becomes possible only if fitness falters.

📊 Tale of the Tape (Qualitative)

• Form trend: Norrie stabilizing; Comesana buoyed by R1 but still streaky.
• Surface fit: Edge Norrie — lefty patterns bite more on USO hard.
• Rally profile: Norrie thrives in 5–9+ ball exchanges; Comesana needs quicker finishes.
• Serve/return matrix: Norrie’s return depth vs Comesana’s forehand aggression = pivot battle.
• Mileage & fitness: Slight edge Norrie if healthy across long sets.
• Mental notes: Norrie proven in best-of-five; Comesana still learning to close under sustained pressure.