Elsa Jacquemot vs Leylah Fernandez

🎾 US Open Daily Betting Notebook
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Elsa Jacquemot vs Leylah Fernandez — US Open 2R Preview

WTA US Open Hard Court Round 2

🧠 Form & Context

Elsa Jacquemot (No. 91, age 22)

• 🇫🇷 Former junior Roland-Garros champion, steadily breaking through in 2025.
• 📊 2025: 43–26 overall, 10–5 on hard.
• 🔥 USO 1R: Upset Bouzkova 6–4, 6–3 — her second career top-50 win.
• 🏟️ Slam progress: Third Slam 2R of 2025, still chasing a maiden R3.
• 💡 Style: Topspin-heavy baseliner, gaining confidence on faster surfaces.

Leylah Fernandez (No. 30, age 22)

• 🇨🇦 2021 US Open finalist, ex-top 15 name.
• 📊 2025: 23–20 overall, 17–11 on hard.
• 🔥 USO 1R: Dismissed Marino 6–2, 6–1 for her first NYC win since 2021.
• 🏟️ Slam résumé: 2021 finalist here; early exits in 2023 & 2024. Looking for only her second USO R3.
• ⚠️ Season trend: Won biggest career title in Washington last month, yet streaky with rare back-to-back wins across the year.

Head-to-Head: First meeting (0–0).

🔍 Match Breakdown

Momentum & confidence: Jacquemot rides her best Slam season, while Fernandez comes revitalized by her Washington trophy and USO R1 win.

Baseline contrasts: Jacquemot supplies heavier spin; Fernandez thrives on flatter timing and quick court speed.

Experience edge: Fernandez has beaten top-tier players on these courts, while Jacquemot is just beginning to feel at home on big Slam stages.

X-factor: Fernandez’s lefty serve and tempo shifts typically swing momentum her way if she avoids lapses. If she gets passive, Jacquemot’s forehand could wrestle control.

🔮 Prediction

Jacquemot is a rising threat with the tools to make this a contest, but Fernandez’s pedigree and US Open history give her the stronger hand. Expect momentum swings and possibly a dropped set, but the Canadian should steady under the lights.

Pick: Fernandez in 3 sets — Jacquemot to test, Fernandez to close with superior experience and shot variety.

📊 Tale of the Tape (Qualitative)

• Spin vs flat: Jacquemot’s heavy topspin vs Fernandez’s flatter precision.
• USO pedigree: Fernandez (2021 finalist) owns big-stage comfort.
• Form line: Jacquemot steadily improving, Fernandez streaky but dangerous.
• Movement: Fernandez covers quicker, Jacquemot steadier in long rallies.
• Upset angle: Jacquemot can win if Fernandez drifts passive for long spells.