First-round previews from the Monastir 1 Challenger (hard), with form, serve and return numbers and a full Tale of the Tape for every open match. Matches marked 🔒 are on today's PBTennis Patreon card. Times are as listed by the tournament schedule and may move with the order of play.
Duje Ajdukovic vs Moez Echargui
🧠 Form & Context
Duje Ajdukovic
- 📊 Ranked No. 381 at 25, 5–5 in his last 10 and winning 53% of recent matches.
- 🚀 Wins 67.3% behind his first serve (69% recently).
- 🔒 Saves 57.3% of break points (60% recently).
- 🏆 Has won 55% of career deciding sets.
- ⚠️ Weaker behind his second serve (48.4%), and has won 43% of deciding sets this season.
Moez Echargui
- 📊 Ranked No. 349 at 33, 5–5 in his last 10 but winning only 40% of recent matches.
- 🔁 Slightly the better returner: 35.8% against the first serve and 52.8% against the second.
- 🚀 Stronger behind the second serve: 49.5% of points won.
- 🤝 Won their only meeting, 6–2, 6–4 on a hard court in Bengaluru in February 2024.
- ⚠️ Has won only 32% of deciding sets this season and converted 39% of break points recently.
🔍 Match Breakdown
Their second meeting. Echargui won the first, 6–2, 6–4 on a hard court in Bengaluru in February 2024. He is the 1.61 favourite, and the two are ranked 32 places apart.
On serve there is very little between them: 67.3% vs 66.9% behind the first serve, 48.4% vs 49.5% behind the second, and 57.3% vs 56.6% of break points saved.
On return they are just as close: 35.2% vs 35.8% against the first serve, and 51.2% vs 52.8% against the second. Ajdukovic converts slightly more break points (44.7% vs 43.8%).
Both are 5–5 in their last 10, but Ajdukovic has won more of his recent matches (53% vs 40%). Echargui has the better tiebreak record (55% vs 49%).
A very even match on paper. Echargui's win in their only meeting explains the price.
📊 Tale of the Tape
| Metric | Ajdukovic | Echargui |
|---|---|---|
| Ranking | 381 | 349 |
| Age | 25 | 33 |
| Last 10 | 5–5 | 5–5 |
| Head-to-head | 0 | 1 |
| First serves in | 60.4% | 59.1% |
| 1st-serve points won | 67.3% | 66.9% |
| 2nd-serve points won | 48.4% | 49.5% |
| Break points saved | 57.3% | 56.6% |
| Break points converted | 44.7% | 43.8% |
| Return points won (career) | 41% | 42% |
| Tiebreak win % | 49% | 55% |
| Deciding-set win % (career) | 55% | 52% |
| Best-of-3 win % | 58% | 58% |
Manas Manoj Dhamne vs Pedro Vives Marcos
🔒 Members-only read
This match is on today's PBTennis Patreon card. The full breakdown – form, serve and return numbers, the Tale of the Tape and our read on the match – is available to our members.
Mert Alkaya vs Eliakim Coulibaly
🧠 Form & Context
Mert Alkaya
- 📊 Ranked No. 321 at 26, 6–4 in his last 10 and winning 49% of recent matches.
- 🔁 Returns well: 35.6% against the first serve and 53.1% against the second.
- 🔒 Has saved 64% of break points in recent matches.
- 🤝 Won their most recent meeting, 6–1, 1–6, 6–2 here in Monastir in October 2025. Has won 57% of career tiebreaks.
- ⚠️ Weaker behind his first serve (66.4%), and has won 46% of deciding sets this season.
Eliakim Coulibaly
- 🔥 Ranked No. 339 at 24, a left-hander, 9–1 in his last 10 and winning 70% of recent matches.
- 🚀 The stronger first serve: 71.1% of points won (75% recently).
- 🎯 Converts 47.5% of break points.
- 🏆 Has won 63% of career deciding sets, 67% of best-of-three matches and 91% of matches after taking the first set.
- ⚠️ Slightly weaker behind his second serve (49.0%), and has won 52% of career tiebreaks.
🔍 Match Breakdown
Their third meeting, level at 1–1. Alkaya won the most recent, 6–1, 1–6, 6–2 here in Monastir in October 2025. Coulibaly is the 1.40 favourite, and the two are ranked 18 places apart.
Coulibaly has the bigger first serve (71.1% vs 66.4%), lands more first serves (62.3% vs 59.1%) and saves more break points (59.9% vs 56.5%). Alkaya is slightly stronger behind the second serve (50.1% vs 49.0%).
On return they are close: 35.6% vs 36.0% against the first serve, and 53.1% vs 53.6% against the second. Coulibaly converts more break points (47.5% vs 44.9%).
The form is clearly with Coulibaly: 9–1 in his last 10 against 6–4, and 70% of recent matches won against 49%. He also has the far better career deciding-set record (63% vs 50%).
Coulibaly's form and serve explain the price, although Alkaya won their latest meeting on this court.
📊 Tale of the Tape
| Metric | Alkaya | Coulibaly |
|---|---|---|
| Ranking | 321 | 339 |
| Age | 26 | 24 |
| Last 10 | 6–4 | 9–1 |
| Head-to-head | 1 | 1 |
| First serves in | 59.1% | 62.3% |
| 1st-serve points won | 66.4% | 71.1% |
| 2nd-serve points won | 50.1% | 49.0% |
| Break points saved | 56.5% | 59.9% |
| Break points converted | 44.9% | 47.5% |
| Return points won (career) | 42% | 43% |
| Tiebreak win % | 57% | 52% |
| Deciding-set win % (career) | 50% | 63% |
| Best-of-3 win % | 58% | 67% |
Federico Bondioli vs Jonas Forejtek
🧠 Form & Context
Federico Bondioli
- 📊 Ranked No. 326 at 21, a left-hander, 5–5 in his last 10 and winning 48% of recent matches.
- 🎯 Converts 43.5% of break points.
- 🔁 Slightly better against the first serve: 33.3% of points won.
- 🔒 Saves 59.9% of break points.
- ⚠️ Weaker behind both serves (66.9% on the first, 48.4% on the second), and has won 48% of career tiebreaks.
Jonas Forejtek
- 📈 Ranked No. 308 at 25, 6–4 in his last 10 and winning 55% of recent matches.
- 🚀 The stronger server: 69.9% on the first serve and 50.8% on the second, with 64.1% of first serves in.
- 🔒 Saves 61.0% of break points (62% recently).
- 🏆 Has won 57% of deciding sets this season and 59% of best-of-three matches.
- ⚠️ Converts only 41.7% of break points.
🔍 Match Breakdown
A first meeting. Forejtek is the 1.40 favourite, and the two are ranked 18 places apart.
Forejtek is the stronger server: 69.9% behind the first serve to 66.9%, 50.8% behind the second to 48.4%, and 61.0% of break points saved to 59.9%. He also lands more first serves (64.1% vs 61.7%).
On return they are almost identical: 33.3% vs 32.4% against the first serve, and 51.7% vs 51.8% against the second. Bondioli converts slightly more break points (43.5% vs 41.7%).
Forejtek is 6–4 in his last 10 against 5–5 and has won more of his recent matches (55% vs 48%). He also has the better tiebreak record (53% vs 48%).
Forejtek's serve and form explain the price, in a match where holds should dominate.
📊 Tale of the Tape
| Metric | Bondioli | Forejtek |
|---|---|---|
| Ranking | 326 | 308 |
| Age | 21 | 25 |
| Last 10 | 5–5 | 6–4 |
| Head-to-head | 0 | 0 |
| First serves in | 61.7% | 64.1% |
| 1st-serve points won | 66.9% | 69.9% |
| 2nd-serve points won | 48.4% | 50.8% |
| Break points saved | 59.9% | 61.0% |
| Break points converted | 43.5% | 41.7% |
| Return points won (career) | 40% | 40% |
| Tiebreak win % | 48% | 53% |
| Deciding-set win % (career) | 51% | 50% |
| Best-of-3 win % | 53% | 59% |
Jay Clarke vs Maxime Janvier
🧠 Form & Context
Jay Clarke
- 📊 Ranked No. 241 at 28, 5–5 in his last 10 and winning 51% of recent matches.
- 🔁 The far better returner: 34.5% against the first serve and 52.1% against the second, and 41% of career return points.
- 🎯 Converts 44.5% of break points.
- 🏆 Has won 53% of career deciding sets and 59% of best-of-three matches.
- ⚠️ Lands only 58.2% of first serves, and has won 36% of deciding sets this season.
Maxime Janvier
- 🔥 Ranked No. 605 at 30, 9–1 in his last 10 and winning 55% of recent matches.
- 🚀 The bigger first serve: 71.5% of points won (70% recently).
- 🔒 Saves 59.8% of break points (63% recently).
- 🤝 Won their only meeting, in Pau in 2019, when Clarke retired early in the second set.
- ⚠️ A weak returner: 30.9% against the first serve, 47.7% against the second and 39.4% of break points converted.
🔍 Match Breakdown
Their second meeting. Janvier won the first indoors in Pau in 2019, when Clarke retired early in the second set. Clarke is the 1.45 favourite and is ranked more than 360 places higher.
Janvier has the bigger first serve (71.5% vs 68.1%), lands more first serves (60.7% vs 58.2%) and saves slightly more break points (59.8% vs 58.2%). Clarke is stronger behind the second serve (50.9% vs 49.3%).
Clarke is the far better returner: 34.5% against the first serve to 30.9%, and 52.1% against the second to 47.7%. He also converts far more break points (44.5% vs 39.4%).
Janvier is 9–1 in his last 10 against 5–5, although they have won a similar share of recent matches (55% vs 51%). Clarke has the better career records in deciding sets (53% vs 46%) and tiebreaks (50% vs 45%).
Server against returner. Clarke's return explains the price, while Janvier's serve and form make this look closer.
📊 Tale of the Tape
| Metric | Clarke | Janvier |
|---|---|---|
| Ranking | 241 | 605 |
| Age | 28 | 30 |
| Last 10 | 5–5 | 9–1 |
| Head-to-head | 0 | 1 |
| First serves in | 58.2% | 60.7% |
| 1st-serve points won | 68.1% | 71.5% |
| 2nd-serve points won | 50.9% | 49.3% |
| Break points saved | 58.2% | 59.8% |
| Break points converted | 44.5% | 39.4% |
| Return points won (career) | 41% | 37% |
| Tiebreak win % | 50% | 45% |
| Deciding-set win % (career) | 53% | 46% |
| Best-of-3 win % | 59% | 50% |
John Echeverria vs Aziz Ouakaa
🧠 Form & Context
John Echeverria
- 📊 Ranked No. 526 at 24, 6–4 in his last 10 and winning 54% of recent matches.
- 🚀 The stronger server: 66.4% on the first serve and 50.3% on the second.
- 🔒 Saves 59.1% of break points.
- 🔁 Slightly the better returner: 36.6% against the first serve and 53.0% against the second.
- ⚠️ Lands only 58.6% of first serves, and has won 40% of deciding sets this season.
Aziz Ouakaa
- 📊 Ranked No. 515 at 27, 6–4 in his last 10 and winning 58% of recent matches.
- 🔒 Has saved 63% of break points in recent matches.
- 🏆 Has won 67% of deciding sets this season.
- 🎯 Converts 43.9% of break points.
- ⚠️ A weak server over the longer run: 63.8% behind the first serve, 44.8% behind the second and 53.6% of break points saved. Has won 44% of best-of-three matches.
🔍 Match Breakdown
A first meeting. Echeverria is the 1.51 favourite, although the two are ranked only 11 places apart.
Echeverria is the stronger server: 66.4% behind the first serve to 63.8%, 50.3% behind the second to 44.8%, and 59.1% of break points saved to 53.6%. Ouakaa lands slightly more first serves (60.4% vs 58.6%).
Echeverria is also slightly the better returner: 36.6% against the first serve to 35.2%, and 53.0% against the second to 51.7%.
Both are 6–4 in their last 10, and Ouakaa has won slightly more of his recent matches (58% vs 54%). He has also won 67% of his deciding sets this season against 40%.
Echeverria leads on serve and return, which explains the price.
📊 Tale of the Tape
| Metric | Echeverria | Ouakaa |
|---|---|---|
| Ranking | 526 | 515 |
| Age | 24 | 27 |
| Last 10 | 6–4 | 6–4 |
| Head-to-head | 0 | 0 |
| First serves in | 58.6% | 60.4% |
| 1st-serve points won | 66.4% | 63.8% |
| 2nd-serve points won | 50.3% | 44.8% |
| Break points saved | 59.1% | 53.6% |
| Break points converted | 44.7% | 43.9% |
| Return points won (career) | 43% | 41% |
| Tiebreak win % | 48% | 46% |
| Deciding-set win % (career) | 48% | 53% |
| Best-of-3 win % | 58% | 44% |
Kasra Rahmani vs Alejandro Moro Canas
🧠 Form & Context
Kasra Rahmani
- 📊 Ranked No. 669 at 20, 6–4 in his last 10 and winning 55% of recent matches.
- 🔁 The better returner: 36.5% against the first serve and 54.0% against the second.
- 🎯 Converts 46.5% of break points (48% recently).
- 🏆 Has won 56% of career tiebreaks and 67% of best-of-three matches.
- ⚠️ Lands only 59.2% of first serves, and his sample at this level is small.
Alejandro Moro Canas
- 📈 Ranked No. 238 at 25, 7–3 in his last 10 and winning 57% of recent matches.
- 🚀 Lands 66.1% of first serves.
- 🔒 Saves 59.5% of break points (64% recently).
- 🏆 Has won 63% of deciding sets this season.
- ⚠️ The weaker returner (34.1% against the first serve), and has won 47% of career tiebreaks.
🔍 Match Breakdown
A first meeting. Moro Canas is the heavy 1.14 favourite and is ranked more than 400 places higher.
On serve they are level: 66.1% each behind the first serve and 51.2% vs 51.1% behind the second. Moro Canas lands far more first serves (66.1% vs 59.2%) and saves slightly more break points (59.5% vs 58.4%).
Rahmani is the better returner: 36.5% against the first serve to 34.1%, and 54.0% against the second to 52.2%. He also converts more break points (46.5% vs 43.9%).
Moro Canas is 7–3 in his last 10 against 6–4, and they have won a similar share of recent matches (57% vs 55%). Rahmani has the better tiebreak record (56% vs 47%).
Moro Canas's ranking explains the short price, but the numbers make this look closer.
📊 Tale of the Tape
| Metric | Rahmani | Moro Canas |
|---|---|---|
| Ranking | 669 | 238 |
| Age | 20 | 25 |
| Last 10 | 6–4 | 7–3 |
| Head-to-head | 0 | 0 |
| First serves in | 59.2% | 66.1% |
| 1st-serve points won | 66.1% | 66.1% |
| 2nd-serve points won | 51.2% | 51.1% |
| Break points saved | 58.4% | 59.5% |
| Break points converted | 46.5% | 43.9% |
| Return points won (career) | 43% | 41% |
| Tiebreak win % | 56% | 47% |
| Deciding-set win % (career) | 50% | 51% |
| Best-of-3 win % | 67% | 58% |
Marvin Moeller vs Nikolai Barsukov
🔒 Members-only read
This match is on today's PBTennis Patreon card. The full breakdown – form, serve and return numbers, the Tale of the Tape and our read on the match – is available to our members.
Mika Petkovic vs Gianluca Cadenasso
🧠 Form & Context
Mika Petkovic
- 🔥 Ranked No. 387 at 19, 8–2 in his last 10 and winning 62% of recent matches.
- 🚀 The stronger server: 68.7% on the first serve and 51.2% on the second.
- 🔒 Saves 57.6% of break points (59% recently).
- 🏆 Has won 57% of deciding sets this season.
- ⚠️ The weaker returner (32.6% against the first serve), and has won 48% of career tiebreaks.
Gianluca Cadenasso
- 📈 Ranked No. 215 at 22, 7–3 in his last 10 and winning 53% of recent matches.
- 🔁 The better returner: 38.0% against the first serve and 54.5% against the second, and 44% of career return points.
- 🎯 Converts 47.0% of break points.
- 🏆 Has won 69% of career deciding sets, 61% of tiebreaks and 65% of best-of-three matches.
- ⚠️ Wins only 64.9% behind his first serve and saves 54.3% of break points.
🔍 Match Breakdown
A first meeting. Cadenasso is the 1.53 favourite and is ranked 172 places higher.
Petkovic is the stronger server: 68.7% behind the first serve to 64.9%, 51.2% behind the second to 49.4%, and 57.6% of break points saved to 54.3%. Cadenasso lands more first serves (61.4% vs 58.7%).
Cadenasso is the better returner: 38.0% against the first serve to 32.6%, and 54.5% against the second to 53.9%. He also converts more break points (47.0% vs 44.8%).
Petkovic is 8–2 in his last 10 against 7–3 and has won more of his recent matches (62% vs 53%). Cadenasso has the far better record in tight finishes: 69% of career deciding sets against 52%, and 61% of tiebreaks against 48%.
Cadenasso's return and record under pressure explain the price, while Petkovic's serve and form keep this close.
📊 Tale of the Tape
| Metric | Petkovic | Cadenasso |
|---|---|---|
| Ranking | 387 | 215 |
| Age | 19 | 22 |
| Last 10 | 8–2 | 7–3 |
| Head-to-head | 0 | 0 |
| First serves in | 58.7% | 61.4% |
| 1st-serve points won | 68.7% | 64.9% |
| 2nd-serve points won | 51.2% | 49.4% |
| Break points saved | 57.6% | 54.3% |
| Break points converted | 44.8% | 47.0% |
| Return points won (career) | 41% | 44% |
| Tiebreak win % | 48% | 61% |
| Deciding-set win % (career) | 52% | 69% |
| Best-of-3 win % | 59% | 65% |
Gabriel Debru vs Mae Malige
🧠 Form & Context
Gabriel Debru
- 🔥 Ranked No. 556 at 20, 8–2 in his last 10 and winning 82% of recent matches.
- 🚀 The stronger first serve: 67.3% of points won (71% recently), with 63.1% of first serves in.
- 🔒 Saves 58.6% of break points (61% recently).
- 🤝 Won their only meeting, 6–1, 6–2 on clay in Uriage in July 2023. Has won 75% of deciding sets this season.
- ⚠️ Slightly weaker behind his second serve (48.8%), and has won 49% of career tiebreaks.
Mae Malige
- 📉 Ranked No. 838 at 20, 4–6 in his last 10 and winning 39% of recent matches.
- 🔁 Returns well against the second serve: 53.3% of points won.
- 🚀 Wins 49.5% behind his second serve.
- 🏆 Has won 54% of career tiebreaks.
- ⚠️ Lands only 55.5% of first serves and saves 54.2% of break points. Has won 40% of career deciding sets and 46% of best-of-three matches.
🔍 Match Breakdown
Their second meeting. Debru won the first, 6–1, 6–2 on clay in Uriage in July 2023. He is the 1.20 favourite.
Debru is the stronger server: 67.3% behind the first serve to 63.7%, with far more first serves in (63.1% vs 55.5%) and more break points saved (58.6% vs 54.2%). Malige is slightly stronger behind the second serve (49.5% vs 48.8%).
On return they are almost identical: 34.6% vs 34.8% against the first serve, and 52.2% vs 53.3% against the second. Debru converts slightly more break points (43.9% vs 42.3%).
The form gap is huge. Debru is 8–2 in his last 10 against 4–6, and has won 82% of his recent matches against 39%. He has also won 75% of his deciding sets this season against 41%.
Debru's serve, form and their only meeting explain the short price.
📊 Tale of the Tape
| Metric | Debru | Malige |
|---|---|---|
| Ranking | 556 | 838 |
| Age | 20 | 20 |
| Last 10 | 8–2 | 4–6 |
| Head-to-head | 1 | 0 |
| First serves in | 63.1% | 55.5% |
| 1st-serve points won | 67.3% | 63.7% |
| 2nd-serve points won | 48.8% | 49.5% |
| Break points saved | 58.6% | 54.2% |
| Break points converted | 43.9% | 42.3% |
| Return points won (career) | 41% | 42% |
| Tiebreak win % | 49% | 54% |
| Deciding-set win % (career) | 59% | 40% |
| Best-of-3 win % | 59% | 46% |
Nicolas Tepmahc vs Lorenzo Giustino
🧠 Form & Context
Nicolas Tepmahc
- 📊 Ranked No. 645 at 25, 4–6 in his last 10 and winning 53% of recent matches.
- 🔁 The better returner: 36.1% against the first serve and 54.2% against the second, and 43% of career return points.
- 🎯 Converts 46.7% of break points.
- 🚀 Lands 63.7% of first serves, and has saved 61% of break points recently.
- ⚠️ Wins only 63.4% behind his first serve, and has won 46% of career deciding sets.
Lorenzo Giustino
- 📊 Ranked No. 272 at 35, 4–6 in his last 10 and winning 50% of recent matches.
- 🚀 The bigger first serve: 68.4% of points won (71% recently).
- 🔒 Saves 57.3% of break points.
- 🏆 Has won 52% of deciding sets this season and 51% of career tiebreaks.
- ⚠️ Lands only 58.1% of first serves and has converted 40% of break points recently.
🔍 Match Breakdown
A first meeting. Giustino is the heavy 1.19 favourite and is ranked more than 370 places higher.
Giustino has the bigger first serve (68.4% vs 63.4%) and saves more break points (57.3% vs 55.9%). Tepmahc lands far more first serves (63.7% vs 58.1%), and they are level behind the second (48.1% vs 47.8%).
Tepmahc is the better returner: 36.1% against the first serve to 33.8%, and 54.2% against the second to 51.3%. He also converts more break points (46.7% vs 43.2%).
Both are 4–6 in their last 10, and they have won a similar share of recent matches (53% vs 50%). Their career records in tight finishes are close.
Giustino's ranking and first serve explain the price, but the numbers make this look closer than 1.19.
📊 Tale of the Tape
| Metric | Tepmahc | Giustino |
|---|---|---|
| Ranking | 645 | 272 |
| Age | 25 | 35 |
| Last 10 | 4–6 | 4–6 |
| Head-to-head | 0 | 0 |
| First serves in | 63.7% | 58.1% |
| 1st-serve points won | 63.4% | 68.4% |
| 2nd-serve points won | 48.1% | 47.8% |
| Break points saved | 55.9% | 57.3% |
| Break points converted | 46.7% | 43.2% |
| Return points won (career) | 43% | 41% |
| Tiebreak win % | 48% | 51% |
| Deciding-set win % (career) | 46% | 49% |
| Best-of-3 win % | 54% | 53% |
Dali Blanch vs Marko Topo
🧠 Form & Context
Dali Blanch
- 📉 Ranked No. 323 at 23, 3–7 in his last 10 but winning 51% of recent matches.
- 🔁 The better returner: 34.8% against the first serve, and 41% of career return points.
- 🎯 Converts 43.6% of break points.
- 🚀 Wins 68.7% behind his first serve.
- ⚠️ Saves only 55.3% of break points. Has won 32% of deciding sets this season and 40% over his career.
Marko Topo
- 📈 Ranked No. 344 at 23, 7–3 in his last 10 and winning 45% of recent matches.
- 🚀 The stronger server: 69.9% on the first serve and 50.0% on the second.
- 🔒 Saves 60.4% of break points.
- 🏆 Has won 57% of career tiebreaks and 56% of best-of-three matches.
- ⚠️ The weaker returner (32.1% against the first serve), and converts 41.2% of break points.
🔍 Match Breakdown
A first meeting. Topo is the 1.72 favourite, although Blanch is ranked 21 places higher.
Topo is the stronger server: 69.9% behind the first serve to 68.7%, 50.0% behind the second to 49.2%, and 60.4% of break points saved to 55.3%. He also lands slightly more first serves (59.1% vs 57.9%).
Blanch is the better returner against the first serve (34.8% vs 32.1%), and they are level against the second (50.7% vs 50.6%). Blanch converts more break points (43.6% vs 41.2%).
Topo is 7–3 in his last 10 against 3–7, although Blanch has won more of his recent matches (51% vs 45%). Topo has the better records in tiebreaks (57% vs 51%) and deciding sets (45% vs 40%).
Topo's serve and record in tight sets explain the price.
📊 Tale of the Tape
| Metric | Blanch | Topo |
|---|---|---|
| Ranking | 323 | 344 |
| Age | 23 | 23 |
| Last 10 | 3–7 | 7–3 |
| Head-to-head | 0 | 0 |
| First serves in | 57.9% | 59.1% |
| 1st-serve points won | 68.7% | 69.9% |
| 2nd-serve points won | 49.2% | 50.0% |
| Break points saved | 55.3% | 60.4% |
| Break points converted | 43.6% | 41.2% |
| Return points won (career) | 41% | 39% |
| Tiebreak win % | 51% | 57% |
| Deciding-set win % (career) | 40% | 45% |
| Best-of-3 win % | 52% | 56% |
