WTA Tokyo & Guangzhou, ATP Basel & Vienna R16 – Daily Board 29.10.2026

PB Tennis · Thursday 29 October 2026 · 21 matches

Daily Board Round of 16

Round-of-16 day across four events: the Toray Pan Pacific Open in Tokyo (WTA 500), the Guangzhou Open (WTA 250), and the Swiss Indoors Basel and Erste Bank Open Vienna (both ATP 500). 21 matches with Pinnacle prices, no-vig percentages and form snapshots, with Polymarket links where the market was confirmed. 3 matches carry an Elite selection and 4 a $4.99 selection; the other 14 are open.

3 ELITE PICKS TODAY Teichmann–Sonmez, Osaka–Pohankova and Bondar–Quevedo. Plus 4 $4.99 picks: Timofeeva–Sun, Fery–Musetti, Zverev–Griekspoor and Shelton–Kym. Form read, selection and stake on Patreon.

Join PBTennis on Patreon ↗

Elite: pick for Patreon Elite members$4.99: pick for $4.99 membersCFS: Combined Form Score (0–100)Last 3: newest result firstFLAG: lost last hard-court match in straight setsTimes are TRT

Toray Pan Pacific Open · Tokyo · WTA 500

R16 · 4 matches · 1 Elite

04:30TRT · R16

Alycia Parks vs Kimberly BirrellPatreon ↗Polymarket ↗

Player	Pinnacle	No-vig	CFS	L10	L10 hard	L52W	Last 3
Alycia Parks	2.510	38.9%	42.5	4-6	4-6	37-37	W·W·W
Kimberly BirrellFAVFLAG	1.595	61.1%	66.8	7-3	7-3	39-29	L·W·L

06:00TRT · R16

Leylah Fernandez vs Elise MertensPatreon ↗Polymarket ↗

Player	Pinnacle	No-vig	CFS	L10	L10 hard	L52W	Last 3
Leylah Fernandez	2.050	47.6%	66.1	7-3	7-3	32-27	W·L·W
Elise MertensFAV	1.862	52.4%	52.9	5-5	5-5	35-22	W·L·L

08:30TRT · R16

Naomi Osaka vs Mia PohankovaPatreon ↗Polymarket ↗

Player	Pinnacle	No-vig
Naomi OsakaFAV	1.253	77.9%
Mia Pohankova	4.420	22.1%

ELITE PICK Form read, selection and stake for Patreon Elite members. Unlock on Patreon ↗

11:00TRT · R16

Elena Rybakina vs Yulia PutintsevaPatreon ↗Polymarket ↗

Player	Pinnacle	No-vig	CFS	L10	L10 hard	L52W	Last 3
Elena RybakinaFAV	1.140	85.3%	87.6	9-1	9-1	58-14	W·W·W
Yulia Putintseva	6.640	14.7%	67.7	7-3	7-3	37-24	W·W·W

Guangzhou Open · WTA 250

R16 · 5 matches · 2 Elite · 1 × $4.99

08:00TRT · R16

Claire Liu vs Katerina SiniakovaPatreon ↗Polymarket ↗

Player	Pinnacle	No-vig	CFS	L10	L10 hard	L52W	Last 3
Claire Liu	2.440	39.7%	61.1	6-4	6-4	40-22	W·L·W
Katerina SiniakovaFAV	1.606	60.3%	66.5	7-3	7-3	24-19	W·W·W

08:00TRT · R16

Jil Teichmann vs Zeynep SonmezPatreon ↗Polymarket ↗

Player	Pinnacle	No-vig
Jil Teichmann	2.870	33.9%
Zeynep SonmezFAV	1.469	66.1%

ELITE PICK Form read, selection and stake for Patreon Elite members. Unlock on Patreon ↗

10:00TRT · R16

Maria Timofeeva vs Xinran SunPatreon ↗Polymarket ↗

Player	Pinnacle	No-vig
Maria TimofeevaFAV	1.523	63.5%
Xinran Sun	2.650	36.5%

$4.99 PICK Form read, selection and stake for Patreon $4.99 members. Unlock on Patreon ↗

11:00TRT · R16

Anna Bondar vs Kaitlin QuevedoPatreon ↗Polymarket ↗

Player	Pinnacle	No-vig
Anna BondarFAV	1.757	55.3%
Kaitlin Quevedo	2.170	44.7%

ELITE PICK Form read, selection and stake for Patreon Elite members. Unlock on Patreon ↗

14:00TRT · R16

Lilli Tagger vs Magda LinettePatreon ↗Polymarket ↗

Player	Pinnacle	No-vig	CFS	L10	L10 hard	L52W	Last 3
Lilli TaggerFAV	1.395	69.6%	45.7	4-6	4-6	37-22	W·L·W
Magda Linette	3.200	30.4%	34.4	3-7	3-7	21-23	W·L·W

Swiss Indoors Basel · ATP 500

R16 · 6 matches · 1 × $4.99

14:00TRT · R16

Valentin Vacherot vs Rafael JodarPatreon ↗Polymarket ↗

Player	Pinnacle	No-vig	CFS	L10	L10 hard	L52W	Last 3
Valentin Vacherot	3.470	28.1%	52.4	5-5	5-5	28-19	W·L·L
Rafael JodarFAV	1.358	71.9%	64.2	6-4	6-4	63-19	W·L·W

16:00TRT · R16

Alex Michelsen vs Arthur FilsPatreon ↗

Player	Pinnacle	No-vig	CFS	L10	L10 hard	L52W	Last 3
Alex Michelsen	2.850	34.1%	62.7	6-4	4-2	38-24	W·L·W
Arthur FilsFAV	1.476	65.9%	66.4	7-3	4-3	39-14	W·L·W

17:30TRT · R16

Taylor Fritz vs Denis ShapovalovPatreon ↗

Player	Avg odds	No-vig	CFS	L10	L10 hard	L52W	Last 3
Taylor FritzFAV	1.350	69.5%	68.1	6-4	8-2	40-22	W·L·W
Denis Shapovalov	3.080	30.5%	72.8	8-2	8-2	22-21	W·W·W

18:00TRT · R16

Daniel Altmaier vs Jiri LeheckaPatreon ↗Polymarket ↗

Player	Pinnacle	No-vig	CFS	L10	L10 hard	L52W	Last 3
Daniel Altmaier	5.690	17.1%	54.8	5-5	4-2	29-34	W·L·W
Jiri LeheckaFAV	1.173	82.9%	68.2	7-3	7-3	37-22	W·L·W

20:00TRT · R16

Novak Djokovic vs Jan Lennard StruffPatreon ↗

Player	Pinnacle	No-vig	CFS	L10	L10 hard	L52W	Last 3
Novak DjokovicFAV	1.296	75.0%	63.8	6-4	6-4	24-8	W·L·W
Jan Lennard Struff	3.880	25.0%	67.4	7-3	6-2	32-29	W·L·W

21:30TRT · R16

Ben Shelton vs Jerome KymPatreon ↗

Player	Pinnacle	No-vig
Ben SheltonFAV	1.327	73.2%
Jerome Kym	3.620	26.8%

$4.99 PICK Form read, selection and stake for Patreon $4.99 members. Unlock on Patreon ↗

Erste Bank Open · Vienna · ATP 500

R16 · 6 matches · 2 × $4.99

15:30TRT · R16

Cameron Norrie vs Daniil MedvedevPatreon ↗

Player	Pinnacle	No-vig	CFS	L10	L10 hard	L52W	Last 3
Cameron Norrie	5.170	18.8%	43.5	4-6	4-6	28-24	W·L·L
Daniil MedvedevFAV	1.197	81.2%	85.8	9-1	9-1	52-19	W·W·W

15:30TRT · R16

Tommy Paul vs Luciano DarderiPatreon ↗Polymarket ↗

Player	Pinnacle	No-vig	CFS	L10	L10 hard	L52W	Last 3
Tommy PaulFAV	1.226	79.2%	64.6	6-4	4-2	45-20	W·L·W
Luciano Darderi	4.680	20.8%	51.8	5-5	5-5	36-27	W·L·L

17:00TRT · R16

Nikoloz Basilashvili vs Carlos AlcarazPatreon ↗

Player	Avg odds	No-vig	CFS	L10	L10 hard	L52W	Last 3
Nikoloz Basilashvili	6.520	14.5%	73.4	9-1	7-3	33-31	W·L·W
Carlos AlcarazFAV	1.110	85.5%	81.0	8-2	8-2	37-7	W·L·W

19:00TRT · R16

Arthur Fery vs Lorenzo MusettiPatreon ↗Polymarket ↗

Player	Pinnacle	No-vig
Arthur Fery	3.530	27.5%
Lorenzo MusettiFAV	1.340	72.5%

$4.99 PICK Form read, selection and stake for Patreon $4.99 members. Unlock on Patreon ↗

19:30TRT · R16

Alexander Zverev vs Tallon GriekspoorPatreon ↗

Player	Pinnacle	No-vig
Alexander ZverevFAV	1.264	76.9%
Tallon Griekspoor	4.200	23.1%

$4.99 PICK Form read, selection and stake for Patreon $4.99 members. Unlock on Patreon ↗

22:00TRT · R16

Flavio Cobolli vs Matteo BerrettiniPatreon ↗

Player	Pinnacle	No-vig	CFS	L10	L10 hard	L52W	Last 3
Flavio Cobolli	1.970	49.3%	53.1	5-5	3-3	40-24	W·L·W
Matteo BerrettiniFAV	1.917	50.7%	51.9	5-5	5-5	27-20	W·L·L

Pinnacle no-vig % is the moneyline price with the margin removed. Prices as of the early hours of 29.10.

Basilashvili–Alcaraz and Fritz–Shapovalov had no Pinnacle line yet, so those two cards show average bookmaker odds.

Nine players are back on court a day after a Wednesday win, including Siniakova, Medvedev and Djokovic.

Polymarket prices move all day, so cards link the market instead of quoting a snapshot.

Form is the first question, not the answer. Nothing here is a pick.

Thursday Form Radar: Seven Favourites Who Already Beat the Form Once (Day 162)

PBTennis · Tennis Form Snapshot · Day 162

Thursday Form Radar: seven favourites who already beat the form once

Today's board has 12 wrong-side alerts. Seven of those favourites won their last match as the lower-rated player. The biggest gap is 34 points, with the underdog at 2.75.

See the full Day 162 board →

55 open matches

12 tournaments

12 wrong-side alerts

7 repeat lower-rated favourites

This week's board, checked

Every signal is checked against the next day's draw, and the bad days get published too.

Late results came good. Wrong-side alerts from earlier in the week went 5 of 10 as first-round results arrived, including Hardt at 2.25, Dellien at 2.00 and Xinran Sun at 2.75.

Wednesday itself was hard. Wrong-side alerts went 1 of 5 (Pigato won at 3.25), and all three crisis-tier favourites won.

Signal	Held
D161 form-backed favourites	4 / 6
D161 level form at short prices	3 / 3
D161 wrong-side alerts	1 / 5
Late wrong-side alerts (D158–D160)	5 / 10
Late form-backed favourites (D158–D160)	23 / 28

Tour second round: one form read open

The prices are public. Our 52-week form read on each match is on the members' board.

Match	Odds	Form read
Vienna · Alcaraz vs Basilashvili	1.17 / 5.00	Form agrees with the market
Vienna · Medvedev vs Norrie	1.14 / 5.50	🔒 members
Vienna · Zverev vs Griekspoor	1.20 / 4.50	🔒 members
Vienna · Musetti vs Fery	1.40 / 2.90	🔒 members
Vienna · Paul vs Darderi	1.33 / 3.30	🔒 members
Vienna · Berrettini vs Cobolli	1.80 / 2.00	🔒 members
Basel · Djokovic vs Struff	1.25 / 4.00	🔒 members
Basel · Fritz vs Shapovalov	1.36 / 3.20	🔒 members
Basel · Fils vs Michelsen	1.44 / 2.75	🔒 members
Basel · Shelton vs Kym	1.25 / 4.00	🔒 members
Tokyo · Rybakina vs Putintseva	1.11 / 6.50	🔒 members
Guangzhou · Siniakova vs Liu	1.53 / 2.50	🔒 members
Guangzhou · Timofeeva vs Xinran Sun	1.73 / 2.10	🔒 members

Two of these 12 locked matches are wrong-side alerts, and in one more the underdog is slightly ahead on form.

Today's 12 wrong-side alerts

In each of these, the market's favourite is the player in worse form.

Event	Match	Gap
Sioux Falls Challenger	🔒 █████ vs █████	34
Guayaquil Challenger	🔒 █████ vs █████	31
Sioux Falls Challenger	🔒 █████ vs █████	29
Guayaquil Challenger	🔒 █████ vs █████	20
Seoul Challenger	🔒 █████ vs █████	19
+ 7 more alerts on the members' board

The question of the day. Seven favourites on today's board won their last match as the lower-rated player. One is last week's Challenger finalist, priced at 1.53 against an opponent rated 29 points higher. The board names all seven.

32 boards in

Signal (D130–D161)	Resolved	Rate
Level form at short prices (favourite wins)	193	75%
Form-backed favourites (favourite wins)	527	74%
Sub-threshold underdogs (underdog advances)	238	39%
Wrong-side alerts (underdog advances)	309	35%

Outcomes come from draw progression. These are small samples and not a betting performance record.

Unlock the full Day 162 board

All 55 matches with form tiers, all 12 wrong-side alerts named, the seven repeat favourites, form arcs, and the full Excel and DOCX snapshot.

Open on Patreon →

Match-by-match analysis, model review and filtered selections are in the Elite membership.

#Tennis #TennisBetting #ATP #WTA #ATPChallenger #WTA125 #TennisForm #ViennaOpen #SwissIndoors #Vienna #Basel #Alcaraz #Djokovic #Zverev #Medvedev #Fritz #Rybakina #PBTennis

18+ only. Form ratings are an information tool, not betting advice. Please gamble responsibly.

Brest challenger 2026 (France) 29.10.26

Second-round previews from the Brest Challenger (indoor hard), with form, serve and return numbers and a full Tale of the Tape for every match. Times are as listed by the tournament schedule and may move with the order of play.

Matches

1. Damm vs Blanchet
2. Tabur vs Samuel
3. Gaston vs Kouame
4. Djere vs Travaglia

Martin Damm vs Ugo Blanchet

Brest Challenger · Second Round · 29 October · 13:00

🧠 Form & Context

Martin Damm

• 📊 Ranked No. 105 at 23, left-handed, 3–7 in his last 10, after beating Gueymard Wayenburg in the first round.
• 🚀 A huge first serve: 76.5% won.
• 🔒 Saves 65.2% of break points.
• 🏆 Wins 54% of tiebreaks.
• ⚠️ Weak on return (35% of return points won), and 32% of deciding sets won this season.

Ugo Blanchet

• 📈 Ranked No. 345 at 27, 6–4 in his last 10, after beating Balshaw in the first round.
• 🎾 Wins 71.5% behind his first serve and 51.3% on second, 57% recently.
• 🔁 The better returner: 39% of return points won and 42% of break points converted.
• 🏆 Wins 55% of tiebreaks and 52% of deciding sets.
• ⚠️ Lands only 53.8% of first serves.

🔍 Match Breakdown

A first meeting. Damm, ranked 240 places higher, is the favourite at 1.40.

Damm has the far bigger serve: 76.5% of first-serve points against 71.5%, and 65.2% of break points saved against 59.6%.

Blanchet is the better returner – 39% vs 35% of return points – and converts more of his break chances.

In tight moments Blanchet is slightly ahead: 55% vs 54% in tiebreaks and 52% vs 45% in deciding sets.

Damm has the serve for these conditions; Blanchet has the form and the return. Expect plenty of holds.

📊 Tale of the Tape

Metric	Damm	Blanchet
Ranking	105	345
Age	23	27
Last 10	3–7	6–4
Head-to-head	0	0
First serves in	60.1%	53.8%
1st-serve points won	76.5%	71.5%
2nd-serve points won	50.3%	51.3%
Break points saved	65.2%	59.6%
Break points converted	38.8%	42.0%
Return points won (career)	35%	39%
Tiebreak win %	54%	55%
Deciding-set win % (career)	45%	52%
Best-of-3 win %	58%	56%

See ATP markets on Polymarket

Clement Tabur vs Toby Samuel

Brest Challenger · Second Round · 29 October · 14:30

🧠 Form & Context

Clement Tabur

• 📊 Ranked No. 161 at 26, 5–5 in his last 10, after beating Romano in the first round.
• 🔁 Wins 42% of return points and converts 44.2% of break chances.
• 🏆 Has won 55% of deciding sets over his career.
• 📊 60% career record in best-of-three.
• ⚠️ Saves only 58.6% of break points.

Toby Samuel

• 📈 Ranked No. 97 at 24, 6–4 in his last 10, after beating Montes-De La Torre in the first round.
• 🚀 The stronger server: 70.2% on first-serve points and 52.4% on second.
• 🔒 Saves 64.7% of break points.
• 🏆 Wins 60% of tiebreaks, with a 75% best-of-three record.
• 🔁 Also wins 42% of return points, and 46.8% of break chances converted.

🔍 Match Breakdown

A first meeting. Samuel is the favourite at 1.33.

Samuel has the stronger serve across the board: more first serves in (65.4% vs 60.9%), more points won behind both serves and 64.7% of break points saved against 58.6%.

On return they are level at 42% of points won, with Samuel converting more of his break chances.

Samuel wins more tiebreaks (60% vs 53%) and has a 75% best-of-three record; Tabur has the better career deciding-set record (55% vs 51%).

Samuel has the edge almost everywhere. The price reflects that.

📊 Tale of the Tape

Metric	Tabur	Samuel
Ranking	161	97
Age	26	24
Last 10	5–5	6–4
Head-to-head	0	0
First serves in	60.9%	65.4%
1st-serve points won	67.9%	70.2%
2nd-serve points won	50.1%	52.4%
Break points saved	58.6%	64.7%
Break points converted	44.2%	46.8%
Return points won (career)	42%	42%
Tiebreak win %	53%	60%
Deciding-set win % (career)	55%	51%
Best-of-3 win %	60%	75%

See ATP markets on Polymarket

Hugo Gaston vs Moise Kouame

Brest Challenger · Second Round · 29 October · 17:30

🧠 Form & Context

Hugo Gaston

• 📊 Ranked No. 110 at 26, left-handed, 5–5 in his last 10, after beating Glinka in the first round.
• ⚔️ Won their only meeting, 3–6 6–3 6–4 indoors in Thionville in March.
• 🎯 Converts 43.8% of break points.
• 🏆 Wins 58% of tiebreaks and 57% of deciding sets.
• ⚠️ Lands only 55.9% of first serves.

Moise Kouame

• 📊 Ranked No. 176 at just 17, 5–5 in his last 10, after beating Grenier in the first round.
• 🚀 Wins 68.6% behind his first serve.
• 🔒 Saves 62.7% of break points.
• 🏆 Has won 59% of deciding sets this season.
• 📏 Very little data on him at this level.

🔍 Match Breakdown

A rematch of their indoor meeting in Thionville in March, which Gaston won in three sets. The market cannot split them: both are priced at 1.84.

Kouame has the slightly stronger serve: more first serves in (58.8% vs 55.9%), 68.6% vs 67.1% won behind them, and 62.7% vs 58.7% of break points saved.

On return they are level at 41% of points won, with Gaston converting more of his break chances.

Gaston has the slightly better tiebreak record (58% vs 55%); their deciding-set numbers are almost identical.

Gaston has the experience and the head-to-head; the 17-year-old Kouame has the serve. A genuine coin-flip.

📊 Tale of the Tape

Metric	Gaston	Kouame
Ranking	110	176
Age	26	17
Last 10	5–5	5–5
Head-to-head	1	0
First serves in	55.9%	58.8%
1st-serve points won	67.1%	68.6%
2nd-serve points won	50.4%	49.5%
Break points saved	58.7%	62.7%
Break points converted	43.8%	41.9%
Return points won (career)	41%	41%
Tiebreak win %	58%	55%
Deciding-set win % (career)	57%	56%
Best-of-3 win %	56%	56%

See ATP markets on Polymarket

Laslo Djere vs Stefano Travaglia

Brest Challenger · Second Round · 29 October · 19:00

🧠 Form & Context

Laslo Djere

• 🔥 Ranked No. 136 at 31, 7–3 in his last 10, after beating Piros in the first round.
• 🎾 Lands 60.5% of first serves.
• 🔒 Saves 60.2% of break points.
• 🏆 Has won 57% of deciding sets, with a 61% best-of-three record.
• ⚠️ Wins only 49% of tiebreaks.

Stefano Travaglia

• 📊 Ranked No. 167 at 34, 3–7 in his last 10, after an upset of Herbert in the first round.
• 🚀 The bigger first serve: 71.3% won.
• 🔁 Slightly the better returner: 40% of return points won and 43% of break points converted.
• 📊 61% career record in best-of-three.
• ⚠️ Lands only 56.7% of first serves.

🔍 Match Breakdown

A first meeting between two experienced players. Djere, on a 7–3 run, is the favourite at 1.36.

Travaglia wins more behind his first serve (71.3% vs 69.9%) and slightly more on his second, but Djere lands far more first serves and saves slightly more break points.

Travaglia is slightly the better returner: 40% vs 39% of return points.

In tight moments they are close: 49% vs 50% in tiebreaks, with Djere ahead in career deciding sets (57% vs 51%).

Djere has the form and the third-set record; on the serve and return numbers, this is closer than the price suggests.

📊 Tale of the Tape

Metric	Djere	Travaglia
Ranking	136	167
Age	31	34
Last 10	7–3	3–7
Head-to-head	0	0
First serves in	60.5%	56.7%
1st-serve points won	69.9%	71.3%
2nd-serve points won	50.0%	50.8%
Break points saved	60.2%	59.5%
Break points converted	41.1%	43.0%
Return points won (career)	39%	40%
Tiebreak win %	49%	50%
Deciding-set win % (career)	57%	51%
Best-of-3 win %	61%	61%

See ATP markets on Polymarket

Ningbo challenger 2026 (China) 29.10.26

Second-round previews from the Ningbo Challenger (hard), with form, serve and return numbers and a full Tale of the Tape for every open match. Matches marked 🔒 are on today's PBTennis Patreon card. Times are as listed by the tournament schedule and may move with the order of play.

Matches

1. Bar Biryukov vs Sun 🔒
2. Honda vs Broady
3. Zhou vs Delaney
4. Schoolkate vs Cui

Petr Bar Biryukov vs Fajing Sun

Ningbo Challenger · Second Round · 29 October · 05:30

🔒 Members-only read

This match is on today's PBTennis Patreon card. The full breakdown – form, serve and return numbers, the Tale of the Tape and our read on the match – is available to our members.

Read it on Patreon

See ATP markets on Polymarket

Naoya Honda vs Liam Broady

Ningbo Challenger · Second Round · 29 October · 07:00

🧠 Form & Context

Naoya Honda

• 📊 Ranked No. 637 at 20, 5–5 in his last 10, after beating Peliwo in the first round.
• 🚀 Wins 69.1% behind his first serve, 74% recently.
• 🏆 Wins 50% of tiebreaks.
• 📏 Limited data on him at this level.
• ⚠️ Lands only 56.1% of first serves, and has won 38% of deciding sets.

Liam Broady

• 📊 Ranked No. 231 at 32, left-handed, after ending a poor run with a win over Fomin.
• ⚔️ Won their only meeting, 6–1 6–1 in Yokkaichi in March.
• 🎾 Lands 62.8% of first serves and wins 52.3% behind his second.
• 🔁 Wins 40% of return points and converts 42.8% of break chances.
• 📊 59% career record in best-of-three.

🔍 Match Breakdown

A rematch of their meeting in Yokkaichi in March, which Broady won for the loss of two games. He is the favourite at 1.22.

Honda wins slightly more behind his first serve (69.1% vs 68.4%), but Broady lands far more first serves (62.8% vs 56.1%) and is stronger on the second.

Broady is also the better returner: 40% vs 39% of return points, and 42.8% vs 39.1% of break chances converted.

They are level on tiebreaks at 50%, but Broady has the much better deciding-set record (53% vs 38%).

Broady has the head-to-head and the more complete numbers. The price reflects that.

📊 Tale of the Tape

Metric	Honda	Broady
Ranking	637	231
Age	20	32
Last 10	5–5	1–9
Head-to-head	0	1
First serves in	56.1%	62.8%
1st-serve points won	69.1%	68.4%
2nd-serve points won	50.0%	52.3%
Break points saved	59.0%	59.7%
Break points converted	39.1%	42.8%
Return points won (career)	39%	40%
Tiebreak win %	50%	50%
Deciding-set win % (career)	38%	53%
Best-of-3 win %	49%	59%

See ATP markets on Polymarket

Yi Zhou vs Jake Delaney

Ningbo Challenger · Second Round · 29 October · 07:00

🧠 Form & Context

Yi Zhou

• 📊 Ranked No. 256 at 21, a semi-finalist in Guangzhou last week, after beating Ymer in the first round.
• 🚀 Wins 70.2% behind his first serve, 72% recently.
• 🔒 Has saved 68% of break points recently.
• 🔁 Wins 38% of return points.
• ⚠️ Only 35% of deciding sets won, with a 48% best-of-three record.

Jake Delaney

• 📈 Ranked No. 356 at 29, winning 72% of recent matches, after beating Binda in the first round.
• 🚀 The bigger first serve: 71.6% won, 76% recently.
• 🔒 Saves 63.1% of break points, 69% recently.
• 🏆 Has won 59% of deciding sets this season.
• ⚠️ Weak on return: 37% of return points won.

🔍 Match Breakdown

A first meeting. Zhou is a strong favourite at 1.20 after his run to the Guangzhou semi-finals last week.

On serve the numbers actually favour Delaney: more first serves in (63.5% vs 61%), 71.6% vs 70.2% won behind them, and slightly more break points saved.

Neither returns well (38% vs 37% of return points), so this should be a match of holds.

In tight moments Delaney has the edge: 49% vs 45% in tiebreaks, and 51% vs 35% in career deciding sets.

Zhou has the ranking and the recent run; on the numbers, Delaney makes this closer than 1.20 suggests.

📊 Tale of the Tape

Metric	Zhou	Delaney
Ranking	256	356
Age	21	29
Last 10	5–5	5–5
Head-to-head	0	0
First serves in	61.0%	63.5%
1st-serve points won	70.2%	71.6%
2nd-serve points won	50.3%	50.5%
Break points saved	62.0%	63.1%
Break points converted	40.2%	40.5%
Return points won (career)	38%	37%
Tiebreak win %	45%	49%
Deciding-set win % (career)	35%	51%
Best-of-3 win %	48%	56%

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Tristan Schoolkate vs Jie Cui

Ningbo Challenger · Second Round · 29 October · 10:00

🧠 Form & Context

Tristan Schoolkate

• 🏆 Ranked No. 141 at 25, the Guangzhou champion last week, after beating Imamura in the first round.
• ⚔️ Beat Cui in a final-set tiebreak in the Guangzhou semi-finals on Saturday.
• 🚀 A big first serve: 74.4% won.
• 🔒 Saves 61.3% of break points.
• ⚠️ Weak on return: 38% of return points won.

Jie Cui

• 📊 Ranked No. 393 at 28, a semi-finalist in Guangzhou, after beating Xiao in the first round.
• ⚔️ Leads the head-to-head 2–1, with both wins in Wuxi.
• 🎾 Lands 63.3% of first serves and wins 51.1% behind his second.
• 🎯 Converts 44% of break points.
• ⚠️ Has won only 21% of deciding sets this season.

🔍 Match Breakdown

A quick rematch of last Saturday's Guangzhou semi-final, which Schoolkate won 6–7 6–4 7–6. Cui still leads their head-to-head 2–1. Schoolkate is the favourite at 1.50.

Schoolkate has the far bigger first serve – 74.4% of points won against 67.2% – and saves more break points.

Cui is the better returner: 40% vs 38% of return points, and 44% vs 38.5% of break chances converted.

Schoolkate has the better tight-set record: 51% vs 45% in tiebreaks, and 57% vs 47% in deciding sets.

Schoolkate has the serve, the clutch numbers and the momentum. Their last meeting shows how close it can be.

📊 Tale of the Tape

Metric	Schoolkate	Cui
Ranking	141	393
Age	25	28
Last 10	6–4	5–5
Head-to-head	1	2
First serves in	60.2%	63.3%
1st-serve points won	74.4%	67.2%
2nd-serve points won	49.2%	51.1%
Break points saved	61.3%	57.1%
Break points converted	38.5%	44.0%
Return points won (career)	38%	40%
Tiebreak win %	51%	45%
Deciding-set win % (career)	57%	47%
Best-of-3 win %	57%	56%

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Seoul challenger 2026 (South Korea) 29.10.26

Second-round previews from the Seoul Challenger (hard), with form, serve and return numbers and a full Tale of the Tape for every open match. Matches marked 🔒 are on today's PBTennis Patreon card. Times are as listed by the tournament schedule and may move with the order of play.

Matches

1. Sakellaridis vs Wong
2. Atmane vs Daniel 🔒
3. Shimabukuro vs Hara Friend
4. Kachmazov vs Hong

Stefanos Sakellaridis vs Chak Lam Coleman Wong

Seoul Challenger · Second Round · 29 October · 02:00

🧠 Form & Context

Stefanos Sakellaridis

• 📊 Ranked No. 132 at 22, 3–7 in his last 10, after avenging his Shanghai loss to Skatov in the first round.
• ⚔️ Won their only meeting, 6–4 4–6 6–3 on clay in Palmanova in 2023.
• 🏆 Has won 61% of deciding sets over his career and 63% this season.
• 🎯 Converts 42.2% of break points.
• ⚠️ Saves only 57.4% of break points.

Chak Lam Coleman Wong

• 🔥 Ranked No. 87 at 22, 7–3 in his last 10, runner-up in Guangzhou last week.
• 🚀 The bigger first serve: 72.1% won, 76% recently.
• 🔒 Saves 59.7% of break points.
• 🏆 Wins 60% of tiebreaks.
• ⚠️ Weak on return: 38% of return points won.

🔍 Match Breakdown

A rematch of a three-set clay match in 2023, which Sakellaridis won. Wong, fresh from the Guangzhou final, is the favourite at 1.50.

Wong has the bigger first serve (72.1% vs 69% won) and saves more break points (59.7% vs 57.4%). The rest of the serve numbers are level.

Sakellaridis is slightly the better returner – 40% vs 38% of return points – and converts more of his break chances.

Wong wins more tiebreaks (60% vs 55%); Sakellaridis has the better deciding-set record (61% vs 53%).

Wong has the serve, the ranking and the form; Sakellaridis has the head-to-head and the third-set record.

📊 Tale of the Tape

Metric	Sakellaridis	Wong
Ranking	132	87
Age	22	22
Last 10	3–7	7–3
Head-to-head	1	0
First serves in	60.4%	60.2%
1st-serve points won	69.0%	72.1%
2nd-serve points won	49.9%	49.6%
Break points saved	57.4%	59.7%
Break points converted	42.2%	39.7%
Return points won (career)	40%	38%
Tiebreak win %	55%	60%
Deciding-set win % (career)	61%	53%
Best-of-3 win %	55%	56%

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Terence Atmane vs Taro Daniel

Seoul Challenger · Second Round · 29 October · 02:00

🔒 Members-only read

This match is on today's PBTennis Patreon card. The full breakdown – form, serve and return numbers, the Tale of the Tape and our read on the match – is available to our members.

Read it on Patreon

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Sho Shimabukuro vs Jay Dylan Hara Friend

Seoul Challenger · Second Round · 29 October · 02:00

🧠 Form & Context

Sho Shimabukuro

• 📊 Ranked No. 106 at 29, 3–7 in his last 10, after beating Kumstat in the first round.
• 🚀 Wins 70.9% behind his first serve.
• 🎯 Converts 43.7% of break points.
• 📊 61% career record in best-of-three.
• ⚠️ Lands only 56.4% of first serves and wins 46% of tiebreaks.

Jay Dylan Hara Friend

• 🔥 Ranked No. 266 at 22, 7–3 in his last 10, after beating Holmgren in the first round.
• 🎾 Lands 62.4% of first serves and wins 52.3% behind his second.
• 🔁 The better returner: 41% of return points won.
• 🏆 Has won 69% of deciding sets over his career and 64% this season.
• 📏 A smaller sample of matches at this level.

🔍 Match Breakdown

A first meeting. Shimabukuro, ranked 160 places higher, is the favourite at 1.72, but Hara Friend arrives in much better form.

Shimabukuro wins more behind his first serve (70.9% vs 69.2%), but Hara Friend lands far more first serves (62.4% vs 56.4%) and is stronger on the second.

Hara Friend is the better returner: 41% vs 39% of return points.

He also has the clear edge in tight moments: 53% of tiebreaks against 46%, and 69% of deciding sets against 56%.

Shimabukuro has the ranking; Hara Friend has the form, the return and the clutch numbers. Closer than the price suggests.

📊 Tale of the Tape

Metric	Shimabukuro	Hara Friend
Ranking	106	266
Age	29	22
Last 10	3–7	7–3
Head-to-head	0	0
First serves in	56.4%	62.4%
1st-serve points won	70.9%	69.2%
2nd-serve points won	51.7%	52.3%
Break points saved	60.2%	60.4%
Break points converted	43.7%	43.3%
Return points won (career)	39%	41%
Tiebreak win %	46%	53%
Deciding-set win % (career)	56%	69%
Best-of-3 win %	61%	66%

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Alibek Kachmazov vs Seongchan Hong

Seoul Challenger · Second Round · 29 October · 03:30

🧠 Form & Context

Alibek Kachmazov

• 🔥 Ranked No. 360 at 24, 9–1 in his last 10 and winning 86% of recent matches.
• ⚔️ Leads the head-to-head 2–0, both on hard courts in 2024.
• 🚀 Wins 70.7% behind his first serve, 79% recently.
• 🔒 Has saved 71% of break points recently.
• ⚠️ Lands only 55.9% of first serves.

Seongchan Hong

• 📊 Currently unranked at 29, 4–6 in his last 10, fresh from an upset of Wu in the first round.
• 🔁 The better returner: 42% of return points won and 45.9% of break points converted.
• 🎾 Lands 61.2% of first serves.
• 🏆 Wins 61% of tiebreaks, with a 62% best-of-three record.
• ⚠️ Has converted only 26% of break points recently.

🔍 Match Breakdown

A third meeting. Kachmazov has won both previous matches, including 6–4 6–1 in Chengdu in 2024, and he is the favourite at 1.53.

Kachmazov has the stronger first serve – 70.7% of points won against 67.8% – and his recent serving has been excellent. Hong lands more first serves.

Hong is the better returner: 42% vs 40% of return points, and 45.9% vs 41.7% of break chances converted.

In tight moments they are close: 62% vs 61% in tiebreaks, with Hong slightly ahead in career deciding sets (54% vs 52%).

Kachmazov has the form, the serve and the head-to-head; Hong has the return and a big win behind him.

📊 Tale of the Tape

Metric	Kachmazov	Hong
Ranking	360	–
Age	24	29
Last 10	9–1	4–6
Head-to-head	2	0
First serves in	55.9%	61.2%
1st-serve points won	70.7%	67.8%
2nd-serve points won	51.1%	51.8%
Break points saved	60.0%	59.8%
Break points converted	41.7%	45.9%
Return points won (career)	40%	42%
Tiebreak win %	62%	61%
Deciding-set win % (career)	52%	54%
Best-of-3 win %	60%	62%

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