Taylor Fritz vs Roberto Carballés Baena

Taylor Fritz vs Roberto Carballés Baena

Toronto, Hard Court – 1/32‑Finals

🧠 Form & Context

• Taylor Fritz
  • 🇺🇸 Currently world No. 4, the highest‑ranked American power in over a decade.
  • 🎾 Won Washington last week (def. Davidovich Fokina), but stumbled in QF.
  • 🔨 Hard‑court pedigree: 15–6 in 2025, though has never cracked the QF in six Toronto appearances.
• Roberto Carballés Baena
  • 🇪🇸 Struggling physically and form‑wise; recovered from Ugo Carabelli’s retirement (led 6–4, 4–1).
  • 🏆 Masters record: just 2–10 in second rounds, 1–19 vs. top‑10 all time.
  • ⚠️ Never played in Toronto before—likely overwhelmed by Fritz’s firepower.

🔍 Match Breakdown

• Head‑to‑head: First career meeting.
• Power vs. Defense: Fritz’s heavy serves and baseline weaponry will dominate; Carballés Baena’s game is built for clay rallies, not lightning‑fast hard courts.
• Serve & Return: Fritz’s return game will attack every second serve; Carballés Baena must hold a high first‑serve percentage to stay afloat.
• Mental Edge: Playing free of expectations, Fritz has the upper hand—Carballés Baena carries the burden of discomfort and underdog fatigue.

🔮 Prediction

Taylor Fritz in a routine straight‑sets win.

Likely score: 6–2, 6–1

Amanda Anisimova vs Lulu Sun

Amanda Anisimova vs Lulu Sun

Toronto, Hard Court – 1/32‑Finals

🧠 Form & Context

• Amanda Anisimova
  • 🇺🇸 Fresh off her first Grand Slam final at Wimbledon (runner‑up to Swiatek), she’s rocketed into the top‑10.
  • 🎾 Titles this season: Doha champion, Queen’s Club finalist, Charleston semifinalist.
  • 💪 On hard courts: 11–6 in 2025, playing with aggressive groundstrokes and confidence.
• Lulu Sun
  • 🇳🇿 Slipped to No. 97 after early Wimbledon exit; defending points from 2024 QF but lost in R1.
  • 🎯 Broke through in Montreal with a straight‑sets win over Cîrstea (6–3, 7–5).
  • ⏳ Last back‑to‑back wins on tour were nearly four months ago—rust could show against a top‑10 rival.

🔍 Match Breakdown

• Head‑to‑head: First career meeting.
• Power Baseline: Anisimova’s heavy, flat drives will push Sun off the court. Sun’s lefty spin and angles can disrupt rhythm, but extended rallies will favor Anisimova.
• Serve & Return: Anisimova’s elite return game will pressure Sun’s serve early. Sun needs a high first‑serve percentage to keep points short.
• Mental Edge: Riding the high of a Slam final, Anisimova’s belief is sky‑high. Sun’s confidence is dented by a tough swing and the weight of defending points.

🔮 Prediction

Amanda Anisimova in straight sets.

Likely score: 6–2, 6–3

Belinda Bencic vs Eugenie Bouchard

Belinda Bencic vs Eugenie Bouchard

Toronto, Hard Court – 1/32‑Finals

🧠 Form & Context

• Belinda Bencic
  • 🇨🇭 Back from maternity leave in October 2024, she’s hit top gear with a hard‑court title (Abu Dhabi) and a Wimbledon semifinal.
  • 🎾 Canadian Open pedigree: Won here in 2015 and reached the QF in 2013; thrives on big‑match stages.
  • 🔋 Confidence high: Survived four tight matches at Wimbledon, showing clutch nerves and fitness.
• Eugenie Bouchard
  • 🇨🇦 Retiring after this event, she earned her first win in over a year (def. Arango 6–4, 2–6, 6–2).
  • 🏓 Transitioning to pickleball: Brings competitive fire but limited recent match‑play.
  • 📉 Struggles vs. top opposition: Has not beaten a top‑20 player since 2017.

🔍 Match Breakdown

• Head‑to‑head: Bencic leads 3–0, including wins in Toronto 2015 (6‑0, 7‑5) and Ostrava 2022 (6‑7, 6‑1, 6‑4).
• Power vs. pressure: Bencic’s penetrating groundstrokes and return game will dominate baseline exchanges. Bouchard must mix slices and come forward, but lack of rhythm may betray her under pressure.
• Serve dynamics: Bencic’s serve generates easy points; Bouchard’s first‑serve percentage has dipped in her comeback, giving Bencic early break chances.
• Mental edge: Bencic’s big‑match temperament contrasts with Bouchard’s farewell nerves—expect the Swiss to capitalize on momentum swings.

🔮 Prediction

Belinda Bencic to sail through in straight sets.

Likely score: 6–3, 6–2

Felix Auger‑Aliassime vs Fabian Marozsan

Felix Auger‑Aliassime vs Fabian Marozsan

Toronto, Hard Court – 1/32‑Finals

🧠 Form & Context

• Felix Auger‑Aliassime
  • 🇨🇦 Playing at home: Seeking a breakthrough at the Canadian Open—his best Toronto run is R2 despite top‑10 pedigree.
  • 🎢 Rollercoaster year: Two ATP titles but also several early losses to lower‑ranked opponents.
  • 👟 Fitness & confidence: Helped Canada win Hopman Cup recently; expects crowd support to sharpen his game and patch lapses.
• Fabian Marozsan
  • 🇭🇺 Masters specialist: Holds an 8–8 career record vs. top‑30 opponents at Masters events.
  • 🔑 Strong starts, weak finishes: A solid 13–5 record in R1 in 2025, but only four R2→R3 conversions.
  • ⚙️ Breakout opportunity: Arrived in Toronto with a comfortable 6‑2, 6‑2 opening‑round win over Dellien.

🔍 Match Breakdown

• Baseline control: Auger‑Aliassime’s heavy, penetrating forehand will test Marozsan’s depth and consistency. Marozsan must stay patient and use directional variety to keep the Canadian off‑balance.
• Serve battle: Auger‑Aliassime’s improved first‑serve free points can relieve pressure; Marozsan will need strong second‑serve returns to create break chances.
• Physical edge: Crowd energy and recent match rhythm favor Auger‑Aliassime, while Marozsan’s inconsistencies beyond the opening round may creep in under pressure.
• Mastery vs. momentum: Marozsan’s Masters‑level composure is valuable, but Auger‑Aliassime’s home‑court hunger and all‑court weapons give him the edge.

🔮 Prediction

Felix Auger‑Aliassime will harness the home support and his superior firepower to prevail in two tight sets.

Likely score: 6–4, 7–5

Alex de Minaur vs Francisco Comesaña

Alex de Minaur vs Francisco Comesaña

Toronto, Hard Court – 1/32‑Finals

🧠 Form & Context

• Alex de Minaur
  • 🏆 Momentum: Just won his first 2025 title in Washington, beating top opponents en route and clinching the championship in a tight final against Davidovich Fokina.
  • 🔟 Top‑10 status regained: Climbed back into the world’s top 10 and will aim to solidify his spot with another solid hard‑court swing.
  • 📍 Toronto pedigree: Finalist here in 2023—his best Masters result—and unbeaten by non‑top‑10 opponents in big events when fully fit.
  • 💨 Endurance question: Deep Washington run (SF + final) could leave him a bit fatigued, but his trademark speed and defense are still elite.
• Francisco Comesaña
  • 🎯 Breakthrough season: A career‑high 23 tour‑level wins in 2025, including 13 main‑draw victories—his previous best was just four.
  • 🆚 Top‑20 giant‑killer: Holds a remarkable 4–2 career record versus top‑20 foes, showcasing his ability to punch above his ranking.
  • 🌱 Toronto debutant: First appearance at this Masters, but coming off a confidence‑boosting R1 win over Dzumhur.
  • ⚖️ Game style: Solid clay‑based game that has translated into surprising hard‑court competitiveness, though lacking standout weapons.

🔍 Match Breakdown

• Defense vs. Offense: De Minaur’s counterpunching speed will be key—he’ll retrieve everything and force Comesaña to play extra balls. Comesaña must pick his moments to attack, using depth from the baseline to prevent the Australian from dictating.
• Transition game: De Minaur thrives when he can surge forward off deep, penetrating groundstrokes. Comesaña must stay patient, redirect pace, and avoid being drawn in too early.
• Physical battle: De Minaur’s recent heavy workload could leave a slight dip in explosiveness. Comesaña’s renowned endurance gives him a chance in long rallies, potentially exploiting any drop in pace.
• Serve impact: De Minaur’s improved first‑serve placement won him crucial free points in Washington. Comesaña will need to read his serve patterns and be aggressive on second‑serve returns.

🔮 Prediction

Even with potential fatigue, Alex de Minaur’s superior movement, tactical acumen, and confidence as a fresh title‑holder make him the strong favorite. Comesaña’s resilience and surprising hard‑court form will yield competitive games, but de Minaur should close it in straight sets.

Prediction: De Minaur in 2 tight sets (e.g. 7–6, 6–4)

Pavlyuchenkova vs Lys

🎾 Pavlyuchenkova vs Lys – WTA Montreal R2 Preview

🧠 Form & Context

• Anastasia Pavlyuchenkova
  🔄 Slam surge: Quarterfinalist at AO & Wimbledon despite a rough stretch between.
  💪 Hard-court experience: 5–5 in 2025 with strong tactical tools.
  📍 Montreal vet: Played here 11 times, with a QF in 2016.
  🔟 Back in top 30 and capable of turning up in key moments.
• Eva Lys
  🚀 Breakthrough signs: AO 4R as lucky loser; now WTA top 70.
  🔥 Won R1 vs Jeanjean in straight sets for her first Montreal win.
  📉 Yet to beat a top-30 player more than once (1–13 record).
  ⏳ Flashes of brilliance but prone to form swings.

🔍 Match Breakdown

Pavlyuchenkova’s ability to dictate from the baseline and change pace gives her the edge. She’ll seek to mix in slices, pull Lys wide, and use her flat backhand to take time away. Lys must stay sharp, extend points, and find ways to draw errors—especially from Pavlyuchenkova’s backhand when pressured.

Expect a well-fought encounter with Lys pushing deep into games, but Pavlyuchenkova’s composure in clutch moments and overall variety should give her the edge.

🔮 Prediction

Prediction: Pavlyuchenkova in 2 tight sets (e.g. 7–5, 6–4)

Tsitsipas vs O’Connell

🎾 Tsitsipas vs O’Connell – ATP Toronto R2 Preview

🧠 Form & Context

• Stefanos Tsitsipas
  🎭 Struggling for form: Recent early exits, split with Ivanišević.
  🤕 Retired at Wimbledon, raising fitness concerns.
  🏆 Strong history in Toronto: Finalist in 2018, SF in 2021.
  🔢 Ranked No. 30 but capable of much more.
• Christopher O’Connell
  🔥 Ended 5-match losing streak with R1 win over Tseng.
  📉 15–21 in 2025, only one back-to-back main-draw win.
  🛡️ Tough competitor, 0–9 vs top-50 this year.
  📍 Toronto debut, swinging freely.

🔍 Match Breakdown

Tsitsipas will aim to serve big and hit through O’Connell with forehand-heavy combinations. If he takes control of the rallies early, O’Connell may struggle to keep pace. But if the Aussie can drag points long and apply pressure on Tsitsipas’s backhand, it could open the door for momentum swings.

Still, Tsitsipas’s past success in Toronto and overall firepower should be enough—if he can stay composed and physically solid throughout.

🔮 Prediction

Prediction: Tsitsipas in 3 sets (e.g. 3–6, 6–2, 6–3)

Fils vs Carreño Busta

🎾 Fils vs Carreño Busta – ATP Toronto R2 Preview

🧠 Form & Context

• Arthur Fils
  🔄 Stellar Masters run: Reached QFs at Indian Wells, Miami, Monte Carlo.
  🤕 Missed grass swing due to injury; returns here after a two-month break.
  🚀 Top-20 presence: Rose to No. 21 on the back of consistent 2025 form.
  📍 Toronto debut.
• Pablo Carreño Busta
  🔄 Trying to regain form post-injury; ranked No. 93.
  💪 Beat Liam Draxl from a set and break down in R1.
  🏃‍♂️ Durability in question, but still tough to break down when locked in.
  🎯 No top-30 win since 2024 Davis Cup.

🔍 Match Breakdown

Fils’s power baseline game and recent Masters results give him the edge—if his fitness is up to par. His serve and forehand will set the tone, while Carreño Busta must focus on absorbing pace and counterpunching.

If the Spaniard can extend rallies and frustrate Fils early, there’s a path to an upset—but the longer the match goes, the more Fils’s athleticism and firepower could take over.

🔮 Prediction

Prediction: Fils in 2 sets (e.g. 7–6, 6–3)

Fręch vs Starodubtseva

🎾 Fręch vs Starodubtseva – WTA Montreal R2 Preview

🧠 Form & Context

• Magdalena Fręch
  🎯 Washington resurgence: Reached the QF in D.C. after beating Starodubtseva and Venus Williams.
  📉 Season struggles: Only eight wins versus 18 losses prior to Washington.
  🔄 Hard-court pedigree: 5–10 record on hard this year.
  🤝 Head-to-head edge: Leads 2–0, including a straight-sets win over Yulia this week.
• Yulia Starodubtseva
  🚀 Qualifier momentum: Defeated Wang Yafan in a 3h16′ battle for her 14th tour-level win.
  🌱 Top-100 breakthrough: Quarterfinalist in Monastir and Beijing last year.
  🛡️ Fearless underdog: Playing without pressure on her Montreal debut.
  ⚡ Hard-court inexperience: Still growing into top-tier competition.

🔍 Match Breakdown

Fręch’s aggressive baseline punch and depth will test the Ukrainian’s defense early. She’ll look to dictate rallies with flat drives and open the court with her forehand. In their two meetings, Fręch punished Starodubtseva’s tentative backhand and moved her around relentlessly.

Starodubtseva excels in long rallies, absorbing pace and redirecting the ball with precision. If she can extend exchanges and force Fręch into uncomfortable defensive positions, the momentum could swing her way—especially if Fręch’s first serve dips below 60%.

Key battles:

• Serve consistency: Fręch must land her first serve.
• Backhand rallies: Starodubtseva’s slice and defense are crucial.
• Mental toughness: Pressure moments could decide this one.

🔮 Prediction

Prediction: Fręch in 3 sets (e.g. 6–3, 4–6, 6–2)

Muchová vs Ružić

🎾 Muchová vs Ružić – WTA Montreal R2 Preview

🧠 Form & Context

• Karolína Muchová
  🎯 Top-20 returner: World No. 14 with a powerful all-court game and excellent variety.
  🤕 Injury layoff: Missed two months post-March, has just three matches under her belt since return (only win over Inglis at Queen’s).
  🔄 Proven comeback artist: Stormed to US Open SF in 2024 after similar mid-season setbacks.
  🗓️ Montreal history: Semifinalist in 2019 and R16 in 2023—knows how this event plays.
• Antonia Ružić
  🚀 Breakthrough qualifier: Came from 0–4 down in set 2 to beat Potapova for her first win over a Top 50 player.
  🌱 Rising Croat: Two ITF titles this season and seven main-draw wins in career.
  🛡️ Fearless underdog: No pressure in her tour debut here; thrives on momentum.
  ⚡ Hard-court inexperience: Just 2–2 on hard in 2025, but confidence sky-high after Tuesday’s comeback.

🔍 Match Breakdown

Muchová’s crisp timing and depth will test Ružić’s defensive skills. The Czech’s slice and court coverage can disrupt the qualifier’s rhythm, forcing errors. However, Muchová’s lack of match toughness since March means she may struggle to maintain intensity over long rallies.

Ružić, emboldened by her Potapova win, will look to extend rallies and draw errors, especially on second serves. Her celebratory energy and underdog freedom could trouble Muchová early—if she grabs a set, nerves could creep into the Czech’s game.

If Muchová finds her range on serve and flattens out groundstrokes, she should pull away. But expect heavy momentum shifts: Ružić is at her best when the pressure is all on her opponent.

🔮 Prediction

Prediction: Muchová in 3 sets (e.g. 4–6, 6–3, 6–2). Class and experience to edge youthful energy—but it won’t be easy.

🇨🇿 Lehecka vs 🇺🇸 McDonald

🇨🇿 Lehecka vs 🇺🇸 McDonald – ATP Toronto R2 Preview

🧠 Form & Context

• Jiri Lehecka
  🎯 Pressure-free window: No big points to defend and just came off a runner-up finish at Queen’s Club, which boosted confidence.
  ⏳ Masters struggles: Lost R1 in 5 of his last 6 Masters events this year (1–5 record), often dropping tight three-setters despite winning first sets.
  🚑 Injury comeback: Returned from a thigh injury sustained at Rotterdam, and form has been solid but slightly below peak.
  🔝 Top-30 presence: Stable at No. 27, looking to translate his grass-court success to North American hard courts.
• Mackenzie McDonald
  ⚠️ In a slump: Hasn’t won back-to-back main-draw matches at tour level since Newport 2024, hovering just inside the top 100 (No. 96).
  ✅ Hard-court experience: 12–7 record in 2025 on hard courts, with a confidence-boosting R2 showing in Washington and R2 here in Toronto.
  🇺🇸 Home swing weapon: Lives on North American hard courts—quarterfinalist here in 2023—making him dangerous despite rankings dip.
  🔄 Reset opportunity: Needs solid wins to avoid sliding further; this matchup is a chance to arrest the slide.

🔍 Match Breakdown

This is a classic clash of a rising young talent against a seasoned hard-court grinder. Lehecka’s aggressive baseline game and clean ball-striking give him the edge in dictating play, but his tendency to tighten up in extended battles could hand McDonald openings.

McDonald’s counterpunching style and experience on Canadian courts (QF in 2023) make him well-suited to frustrate Lehecka with depth and variety. His recent lack of consecutive wins suggests a confidence deficit, yet he thrives under home-swing conditions.

Key factors:
– Fast start: If Lehecka breaks early and holds serve comfortably, he’ll press McDonald deep.
– Rallies: In long exchanges, McDonald’s consistency and movement could tilt momentum.
– Mental fortitude: Both have faltered late in tight matches—expect nerves in the decider.

🔮 Prediction

Lehecka should control points with heavier groundstrokes and serve, but McDonald’s resilience will make it tight. Look for a swingy affair where the American pushes the Czech to a third set—but ultimately Lehecka’s higher level in big moments prevails.
Prediction: Lehecka in 3 sets (e.g. 6–4, 3–6, 6–3)

Pegula vs Sakkari

🇨🇦 Pegula vs Sakkari – WTA Montreal R2 Preview

🧠 Form & Context

• Jessica Pegula
  🏆 Canadian dominance: Defending champion in Montreal (2023) and Toronto (2024), both with just one set dropped across those title runs.
  🇺🇸 Hard-court queen: Finalist in Miami, Cincinnati, US Open in recent years. Owns a 20–7 hard-court record this season.
  📉 Recent blip: Shock R16 exit in Washington (loss to Fernandez) but remains one of the most consistent players on North American soil.
  🔁 Head-to-head edge: Leads Sakkari 6–5 and won their last three meetings in straight sets.
• Maria Sakkari
  🔄 Rollercoaster year: Still ranked No. 72 and battling confidence. Hadn't won back-to-back main-draw matches in 2025 until D.C. last week.
  😮 Survived R1 scare: Barely got past wildcard Carson Branstine in a 2.5-hour match, showing vulnerability.
  🚨 Top-10 struggles: Has lost 13 of her last 15 matches vs. top-10 players, often falling short in key moments.
  📍 Montreal struggles: Just 4 wins in 6 appearances at the tournament.

🔍 Match Breakdown

Pegula is the clear favorite—not just based on form, but also based on matchup comfort. She’s beaten Sakkari in 4 of their last 5 meetings, often exploiting the Greek’s passive stretches with her aggressive returns and early ball timing. Pegula thrives on North American hard courts, and this event seems tailor-made for her game.

Sakkari, for all her grit and athleticism, continues to play nervy tennis in tight moments. She coughed up a second set lead against Branstine, showing just how shaky her confidence remains. While her win in Washington over Navarro was impressive, she will need to elevate significantly to challenge Pegula here.

Unless Pegula plays below her level or starts poorly, this matchup heavily favors the American tactically and mentally. Sakkari needs an extraordinary day to break her recent top-10 curse.

🔮 Prediction

Jessica Pegula has made Canada her second home over the last two summers, and unless Sakkari rediscovers her very best, this looks headed toward another routine win for the world No. 4.
Prediction: Pegula in 2 sets – expect Sakkari to fight but fall short in key return games and pressure moments.

Tiafoe vs Watanuki

🎾 Tiafoe vs Watanuki – ATP Toronto R2 Preview

🧠 Form & Context

• Frances Tiafoe
  🎢 Streaky yet dangerous: Tiafoe continues to live on the edge between brilliance and inconsistency, but has done just enough to stay inside the top 15.
  🔥 Defending a mountain: Reached the Cincinnati final and US Open semifinal in 2024—he must start piling wins to maintain his ranking.
  🛡️ Good start to the swing: Made the Washington QF last week, which helped offset his 2024 points haul.
  🔙 Toronto redemption: Lost in R1 here last year—so this week offers a low-pressure chance to bank free points.
• Yosuke Watanuki
  🚑 Injury-plagued year: Struggled with consistency and physical setbacks, especially in early 2025.
  💥 But in form now: Won back-to-back three-setters in qualifying and R1, including a gritty win over Altmaier.
  🔁 Déjà vu: Beat Tiafoe just five months ago at Indian Wells—his biggest career Masters win.
  📉 Outside looking in: Ranked No. 158, he’s a dangerous floater who thrives as an underdog when healthy.

🔍 Match Breakdown

This is not a walk in the park for Frances Tiafoe.

Watanuki is fast, aggressive off both wings, and unafraid of big moments. His return game and willingness to take the ball early have caused problems for Tiafoe before—as seen in their Indian Wells 3rd-round clash.

Tiafoe, for his part, must stay locked in and avoid lapses. When he plays within structure—serving well, staying patient, and picking his spots—he can dominate physically and mentally. But when he loses focus or tries to force things too early, Watanuki has the speed and shot tolerance to punish him.

If Watanuki’s body holds up, this match could test Tiafoe’s concentration across multiple long rallies and sets. That said, Tiafoe has much more on the line and tends to play his best when stakes are high—especially at home.

🔮 Prediction

A tricky test for Tiafoe, but one he should survive if he maintains a decent level. Watanuki will have his moments—maybe even a set—but Tiafoe has the power, court presence, and motivation to eventually overpower the Japanese qualifier.
Predicted Score: Tiafoe def. Watanuki 4–6, 6–3, 6–2

Nakashima vs Quinn

🎾 Nakashima vs Quinn – ATP Toronto R2 Preview

🧠 Form & Context

• Brandon Nakashima
  🎯 Reliable depth: Nakashima has built a reputation for delivering consistent quarterfinal-or-better runs throughout the 2025 season—already reaching the QFs in Washington, Queen’s, and Acapulco.
  🏁 Upward trend: Broke into the top 30 earlier this month and is seeking a new career-high ranking.
  💪 Clean and composed: Won 24 ATP-level matches this year, all on the main tour, and has beaten Ethan Quinn just last week in straight sets.
  🇨🇦 Solid Masters record: R16 at last year's Canadian Open (Montreal), and has improved steadily at 1000-level events with R16 runs in Madrid, Miami, and Indian Wells.
• Ethan Quinn
  📈 On the rise: Former NCAA champion continuing his ATP breakthrough in 2025 with 36 wins already this year, including third-round runs at Roland Garros and a win over Nishioka in R1 here.
  🧱 Gritty progression: Quinn’s 2025 campaign includes wins across all surfaces and a stronger mental game in tight matches.
  ⚠️ Rematch fatigue?: Faced Nakashima less than a week ago in Washington (L 3–6, 4–6). Will need to tweak his approach to flip the result.
  🌎 Still learning: Playing his first-ever Toronto Masters main draw, while Nakashima enters with established Masters experience.

🔍 Match Breakdown

This matchup feels like a stylistic battle between Nakashima's clean, compact precision and Quinn’s raw energy and heavy-hitting forehand. While both players are right-handers with good serving ability, Nakashima’s ability to construct points and manage tempo is a big separator.

Quinn's path to success lies in attacking early and breaking the rhythm—Nakashima is too comfortable when rallies stretch and favors the controlled pace. However, that’s much easier said than done on a court where Nakashima thrives.

Mentally, Nakashima seems to have Quinn’s number right now. He won their recent meeting without facing a break point, and will likely trust the same blueprint—serve well, stay solid, and punish errors.

Unless Quinn drastically raises his baseline consistency or surprises with net aggression, Nakashima should hold firm again.

🔮 Prediction

Nakashima has shown no signs of slowing down and already solved the Quinn puzzle last week. Quinn is talented and gaining experience, but unless he delivers a near-flawless performance, it’s tough to see the result being different this time.
Predicted Score: Nakashima def. Quinn 7–5, 6–3

Diallo vs Gigante

🎾 Diallo vs Gigante – ATP Toronto R2 Preview

🧠 Form & Context

• Gabriel Diallo
  🇨🇦 Canadian on home soil: Diallo returns to Toronto as a seeded player for the first time, after entering as a wildcard last year.
  🌱 Breakout season: Won his maiden ATP title in ’s-Hertogenbosch, and made a Masters QF in Madrid.
  🔋 Fresh legs: Early loss in Washington may have been a blessing—comes into this week rested and motivated.
  📈 Big-stage experience: Competed in all Slams and multiple Masters this season, gaining composure in high-pressure environments.
• Matteo Gigante
  🌍 Quietly rising: Career-high ranking of No. 125 after a second-round run at Roland Garros and a big upset over Tsitsipas.
  🎯 Underdog win: Took out Borna Coric in R1 here after coming from a set down—showing poise and fight.
  🎢 Inconsistency remains: While he’s winning more on the ATP Tour, he still drops early in many Challenger events.
  ⚠️ Tough ask: This is Gigante’s first time in Toronto and he faces a home favorite who’s in peak form.

🔍 Match Breakdown

Diallo will be heavily favored not just because of ranking or form—but because of confidence, crowd support, and surface comfort. His serve-forehand combination, when clicking, makes him incredibly tough to break, especially in best-of-three matches on hard courts.

Gigante is a lefty, and he may try to target Diallo’s backhand in crosscourt exchanges. He plays with good shape and variety, but will struggle to keep points short—something he might need given Diallo’s superior explosiveness and physicality.

Tactically, Gigante’s best shot is to extend rallies, force errors, and take advantage of any nerves Diallo might show under pressure at home. But Diallo has shown he can ride the wave of crowd support instead of being overwhelmed by it—especially after his solid Slam and Masters showings.

Expect Gigante to compete well in sets but ultimately struggle to match Diallo’s power and consistency over a full match.

🔮 Prediction

Matteo Gigante is improving and already took down a bigger name this week—but beating Diallo in Canada, on a hard court, might be a step too far at this point.
Predicted Score: Diallo def. Gigante 6–4, 6–3

Mensik vs Boyer

🎾 Mensik vs Boyer – ATP Toronto R2 Preview

🧠 Form & Context

• Jakub Mensik
  🔄 Recovered from clay swing collapse: Bounced back after a shocking French Open loss (blew two-set lead vs Rocha) and early Prostejov defeat.
  🌱 Surprising grass results: Went 4–3 during the grass season and reached the Eastbourne quarterfinal.
  🏆 Hard-court strength: Won Miami Masters in March (defeated Djokovic in final), and reached QFs in Madrid and R16 in Rome.
  📈 Confidence rising: Returns to his favorite surface and territory with plenty of reasons to feel optimistic.
• Tristan Boyer
  🛑 Form slump snapped: Entered Toronto with a six-match losing streak but earned back-to-back qualifying and R1 wins (first time since February).
  📉 Limited top-level experience: Just his third time playing a tour-level second round—previous two losses came to de Minaur (AO) and Tommy Paul (IW).
  📍 Surface return: His better results have historically come on North American hard courts.
  📈 Grit over firepower: Lacks a big weapon but competes hard and can frustrate with baseline consistency.

🔍 Match Breakdown

This is a massive mismatch on paper. Mensik brings elite-level weapons: a big serve, high tempo off the ground, and a track record of beating top-10 players on hard courts. Boyer, on the other hand, is still trying to establish himself at this level and is mostly reliant on grinding out long points and forcing mistakes.

Tactically, the Czech should dominate from the first ball. The only X-factor is Mensik’s rhythm in his first hard-court match since Wimbledon. If he starts cold and Boyer drags him into extended rallies, it could get slightly complicated—but only briefly.

Boyer’s best-case scenario is catching Mensik flat-footed and forcing a third set. Realistically, he’ll struggle to win enough free points or hold serve consistently to stay competitive for long.

🔮 Prediction

Mensik has too much firepower and experience. Expect a brief challenge from Boyer, especially early, but ultimately a straight-sets win for the Czech.
Predicted Score: Mensik def. Boyer 7–5, 6–2

Zarazua vs Ostapenko

🎾 Zarazua vs Ostapenko – WTA Montreal R2 Preview

🧠 Form & Context

• Renata Zarazua
  ✅ Scored a rare main-draw win in R1, defeating Katie Boulter in straight sets and saving set points in the second.
  📉 Lacks momentum: Just her second tour-level win since Australia; no back-to-back wins at any level since April’s W100 Madrid.
  🆚 Top-30 record: 1–11 lifetime, with her only win coming at the 2024 US Open vs Garcia.
  🎾 Game style: Crafty and aggressive at times, but vulnerable to power hitters.
• Jelena Ostapenko
  📉 Montreal woes: 0–4 lifetime in Montreal main draws, despite stronger Toronto results.
  🏆 Title in Stuttgart: Her best 2025 moment came on clay in April.
  😵 Hard-court struggles: Just 6–8 on the surface this year; five of those wins came during her runner-up run in Doha.
  🎢 Volatile form: Still dangerous, but error-prone and emotionally inconsistent.

🔍 Match Breakdown

Ostapenko’s raw power should dictate this matchup from the baseline. Zarazua may try to extend points and play with variety, but she likely lacks the weapons to consistently trouble the Latvian if rallies become physical.

Still, Ostapenko hasn’t been sharp outside of Doha this season, and her Montreal history is poor. If Zarazua can stay steady and force long rallies, she might capitalize on a dip in concentration or rhythm.

But ultimately, this is on Ostapenko’s racket. If she plays at 75% of her peak, it should be enough.

🔮 Prediction

It may get messy at times, but Ostapenko has too many tools and should finally get her first win in Montreal—unless she unravels early.
Predicted Score: Ostapenko def. Zarazua 6–4, 6–3

Tauson vs Bronzetti

🎾 Tauson vs Bronzetti – WTA Montreal R2 Preview

🧠 Form & Context

• Clara Tauson
  🌟 Breakout year: 2025 has been her best yet—WTA Auckland champion and Dubai 1000 finalist.
  🎯 Reliable results: Made third or fourth rounds at Australian Open, Indian Wells, Miami, Rome, Wimbledon.
  📈 Strong surface record: 18–7 on hard courts this year, showing improved fitness and control in long rallies.
  🧱 Power baseline game: Big serve and compact groundstrokes make her a serious hard-court threat.
  📍 Montreal debut: Lost R1 in Toronto last year, but returns as a top-20 seed this time.
• Lucia Bronzetti
  💡 Rallied from the brink in R1: Came back from 1–4 down in the second set to beat Mandlik in three sets.
  🚫 Modest 2025: Hasn’t reached a WTA main draw R3 since March; form dropped after Cluj-Napoca runner-up in February.
  🌍 Limited success vs elites: Career record of 2–16 vs top-20 opponents; last win came vs Kasatkina in Dubai.
  🧱 Game style: Defensive baseliner with decent variety, but lacks finishing power against big hitters like Tauson.
  📍 Second time in Montreal: Lost in R1 last year; did not have much success on Canadian soil historically.

🔍 Match Breakdown

Tauson enters with far more rhythm, shot tolerance, and recent top-level experience. Her powerful serve and baseline aggression can pin Bronzetti back early and keep rallies short. The Italian's style is better suited to clay or slower courts where she can grind out points.

Tauson has been consistent against lower-ranked players this year and already defeated Bronzetti once on indoor hard courts. As long as she controls the tempo and doesn't fall into extended passive exchanges, this match should stay firmly on her racket.

Bronzetti’s best shot is to force Tauson into errors through slices, high balls, and changes of direction—but that requires near-flawless execution.

🔮 Prediction

Bronzetti showed heart in R1, but this is a steep step up in quality and form. Tauson should dominate if she brings even 80% of her Dubai or Wimbledon-level performance.
Predicted Score: Tauson def. Bronzetti 6–3, 6–2

McNally vs Šramková

🎾 McNally vs Šramková – Montreal R2 Preview

🧠 Form & Context

Caty McNally
🔥 11-match win streak across grass and hard courts, including back-to-back titles at WTA 125K Newport and W100 Evansville.
💪 Saved match points in a gritty R1 win over Alycia Parks, lasting nearly three hours.
⏳ Back on the rise after injury-ridden 2023–24 seasons—now winning consistently on the ITF and 125K levels.
🇨🇦 Montreal debut but carrying huge momentum.

Rebecca Šramková
📉 Seeded No. 31 based on 2024 results, but underperforming in 2025.
⚠️ Just 7–10 on hard courts this year, with no real winning streaks.
💤 Hasn’t won multiple matches in 16 of 19 tournaments this season.
🎯 Still aiming for a Top 30 debut, but recent play hasn’t justified the ranking.

🔍 Match Breakdown

<

🔒 Full Match Breakdown on Patreon

No paywall—just follow to read the full tactical preview and betting analysis:

👉 Click here to read on Patreon

Swiatek vs Guo

🎾 Swiatek vs Guo – Toronto R2 Preview

🔥 Form & Context

• Iga Swiatek
  🌟 Just lifted her 6th Grand Slam at Wimbledon, losing only a single set in two weeks.
  🔥 Maintains near-perfect opening-round record at WTA 1000 events.
  💪 Hard‐court W–L in 2025: 21–6, showcasing her dominance.
• Guo Hanyu
  🎉 Scored her first tour‐level main‐draw win by upsetting Putintseva in R1.
  🎾 Hard‐court W–L in 2025: 31–14, but at lower tiers (ITF & qualifiers).
  🏆 Doubles specialist (career high No. 30), unlikely to trouble Swiatek’s singles prowess.

🔍 Key Battles

• Depth & Pace: Swiatek’s heavy topspin vs. Guo’s flatter groundstrokes—Swiatek will control rallies.
• Serve & Return: Guo must hold serve early (she broke Putintseva 5×), but Swiatek’s return pressure is elite.
• Mental Edge: Swiatek thrives under expectation; Guo is playing loose but has little margin for error.

🔮 Prediction

Swiatek should control the match from the first ball and avoid any drama. Expect a clinical and brisk straight-sets win.
Predicted Score: Swiatek def. Guo 6–2, 6–1

Vukic vs Norrie

🎾 Vukic vs Norrie – Toronto R2 Preview

🧠 Form & Context

• Aleksandar Vukic
  🌟 Masters pedigree: R16 in 2023 Toronto, with wins over Coric and Korda.
  🔄 US Open series spark: Back-to-back tour-level wins over Mpetshi Perricard and Martínez to halt a 1–6 start.
  🏃 Momentum builder: Gained confidence on hard (5–10 in 2025) after solid clay and grass swings.
• Cameron Norrie
  🚀 Resurgent run: R16 in Washington, snapping a long Top-10 drought (beat Musetti) and climbing back into the Top 40.
  🎯 No points to defend: Free to attack Toronto with everything to gain on his favored North American hard courts.
  📉 Toronto hoodoo: 0–2 here previously, but faces a more manageable draw this time.

🔍 Match Breakdown

• 🎾 Baseline battle: Vukic’s punchy flat drives vs Norrie’s inside-out backhand and loopers—control of depth will be key.
• ⚡ Serve & return: Norrie’s heavy lefty serve can earn free points; Vukic must pounce on any second serves to stay in touch.
• 🏃 Movement & retrieval: Both cover the court well—long rallies could favor Norrie’s superior endurance, but Vukic’s aggression may cut points short.
• 🧠 Tactical nuance: Vukic will mix pace and drive changes to disrupt Norrie’s rhythm; Norrie must stay patient and pick perfect moments to unleash.

🔮 Prediction

Norrie’s winning streak and physical edge should see him through—expect him to grind out a tight opener, then pull away in two disciplined sets.
Predicted Score: Norrie def. Vukic 7–5, 6–4

Mannarino vs Shelton

🎾 Mannarino vs Shelton – Toronto R2 Preview

🧠 Form & Context

• Adrian Mannarino
  🌱 Resurgence on hard courts: Broke a lengthy drought outside grass with his first 2025 Masters win over Giron in R1.
  ⚖️ Veteran consistency: Now 23–28 on the season, with momentum from a Newport Challenger title and a hungrier mindset.
  🎯 Head-to-head confidence: Leads Shelton 2–0, having outwitted him with variety and crafty lefty angles in their past meetings.
• Ben Shelton
  ⚡ American on fire: Semifinalist in Washington without dropping a set; reached QF at Indian Wells and R16 at Wimbledon.
  🔋 Recovery challenge: Must manage energy carefully after deep runs to sustain form through the US Open series.
  🚀 Big-match pedigree: Five top-10 wins already this year, armed with a booming serve and aggressive inside-in forehand.

🔍 Match Breakdown

• 🏓 Serve & return: Shelton’s thunderous first serve vs Mannarino’s quirky, slice-heavy returns—Shelton must seize free points while Mannarino aims to neutralize with depth.
• 🔄 Rally dynamic: Mannarino thrives on constructing points and redirecting pace; Shelton will look to shorten rallies with power.
• 🏃 Movement & stamina: Shelton’s athleticism edges the exchange, but Mannarino’s court sense forces Shelton to stay engaged in longer points.
• 🧠 Tactical nuance: Mannarino will mix spins and drop shots to disrupt Shelton’s rhythm; Shelton needs to stay patient and pick the right moments to unleash.

🔮 Prediction

Despite Mannarino’s crafty game and H2H edge, Shelton’s form and physical edge should prevail.
Predicted Score: Shelton def. Mannarino 7–6, 6–3

Cobolli vs Galarneau

🎾 Cobolli vs Galarneau – Toronto R2 Preview

🧠 Form & Context

• Flavio Cobolli
  🏅 Top-20 breakthrough: Entered the season outside the elite, but Hamburg title, Wimbledon QF, and top-20 debut show his rapid rise.
  🔋 Rested return: After a taxing Washington where fatigue showed, he’s had days off to refresh ahead of Toronto.
  📈 Building momentum: Riding a 28–19 2025 record, Cobolli looks to reaffirm his status among the tour’s up-and-comers.
• Alexis Galarneau
  🎟️ Home wildcard hero: Earned his first-ever tour-level main-draw win here, beating Rinderknech to halt a slide toward the top-200 cutoff.
  ⚖️ Form reset: Struggled earlier this year, but that R1 victory could spark confidence and quick ranking relief.
  🌱 Late bloomer: At 26, still carving out his place—this R2 test against a top-20 player is a career-defining opportunity.

🔍 Match Breakdown

• 🎾 Baseline rhythms: Cobolli’s heavy spin forehand vs Galarneau’s flatter drives—who imposes their tempo will dictate control.
• ⚡ Serve stakes: Cobolli needs high first-serve percentages to avoid lengthy return games; Galarneau must attack second serves to stay in touch.
• 🏃 Movement & defense: Cobolli’s improved footwork after rest gives him an edge in chasing drop shots; Galarneau’s grit in rallies could prolong points and test the Italian’s patience.
• 🧠 Mental battle: Cobolli must guard against overconfidence early; Galarneau thrives as underdog, aiming to feed off crowd support and force errors.

🔮 Prediction

Cobolli’s class and refreshed legs should see him dominate key exchanges. I’m backing the Italian to wrap this up in two, though Galarneau will have his moments.
Predicted Score: Cobolli def. Galarneau 6–3, 6–4

Bu vs Sonego

🎾 Bu vs Sonego – Toronto R2 Preview

🧠 Form & Context

• Bu Yunchaokete
  🔄 Inconsistent season: Holds a negative 14–22 W–L in 2025, arriving in North America on a six-match losing streak.
  🚧 Masters ceiling: Has never gone beyond R2 at a Masters; this is his first Toronto appearance.
  💥 Need for breakthrough: Converted early promise into R1 win over Kopřiva (7–6, 6–2); now aims to finally clear the second-round hurdle.
• Lorenzo Sonego
  🎖️ Seeded status: Ranked No. 38, earned a first-round bye, reflecting his higher standing.
  📈 Grand Slam highlights: Quarterfinals at the AO and R16 at Wimbledon account for half his 14 wins this year.
  ❌ Toronto hoodoo: Yet to win a match here in 2021 or 2023; hunting his first-ever victory at this event.

🔍 Match Breakdown

• 🎾 Baseline battle: Bu’s flat strokes vs Sonego’s heavy one-handed backhand—depth and spin will dictate control.
• ⚡ Serve showdown: Sonego’s big lefty serve can earn free points; Bu must capitalize on return games early.
• 🏃 Movement clash: Bu’s court coverage vs Sonego’s agility—long rallies favor the fresher legs, but both excel in retrieving.
• 🧠 Mental edge: Both need a confidence boost; Sonego’s bye and seeded status give him slight comfort, while Bu rides momentum from his R1 win.

🔮 Prediction

Sonego should take advantage of his bye, serve strength, and experience in tight matches. Still, Bu’s fight and form from R1 could drag this out.
Predicted Score: Sonego def. Bu 7–5, 3–6, 6–3

Samsonova vs Osaka

🎾 Samsonova vs Osaka – Montreal R2 Preview

🧠 Form & Context

• Liudmila Samsonova
  🏆 Montreal specialist: 2023 finalist (beat Sabalenka, Bencic, Rybakina) and 2024 Toronto QF.
  🔄 Mid-season rebuild: Struggled early (no back-to-back wins in first 11 events) but has rattled off 14 wins in last five tournaments, including Strasbourg final and Wimbledon QF.
  ⚡ Hard-court form: 9–8 W–L in 2025, riding confidence into R2 here.
• Naomi Osaka
  🥇 Champion pedigree: Four-time Major winner; still lethal when on song.
  🔥 Resurgence signs: Finalist in Auckland, deep runs at AO, Miami, Rome, Wimbledon—back in top 50.
  🎾 Opening statement: Qualified R1 win over local wildcard (6–4, 6–2) to collect her sixth main-draw victory here.

🔍 Match Breakdown

• ⚡ Power exchanges: Osaka’s heavy baseline strikes vs Samsonova’s punchy forehand—expect fast-paced rallies.
• 🍰 Serve stability: Osaka needs to hold firm on big points; Samsonova will hunt second-serve breaks with her aggressive returns.
• 🏃 Movement & defense: Samsonova’s balance and court coverage vs Osaka’s recent footspeed resurgence—long rallies could favor the Russian if Osaka’s timing is off.
• 🧠 Clutch moments: Osaka’s Grand Slam tenacity shines in tiebreaks; Samsonova thrives on momentum swings—key is who seizes the first break.

🔮 Prediction

A tight showdown heading to pivotal moments. Osaka’s tournament experience and recent form give her a slight edge in big points.
Predicted Score: Osaka def. Samsonova 4–6, 6–3, 7–5

Linette vs Sevastova

🎾 Linette vs Sevastova – Montreal R1 Preview

🧠 Form & Context

• Magda Linette
  - Struggled historically in Montreal: Six of seven appearances ended in qualifying or R1.
  - Solid but unspectacular in 2025: 19–18 W–L, including QF runs in Strasbourg and Miami.
  - Beat Sevastova in their last H2H at the 2022 Australian Open (6–4, 7–5).
• Anastasija Sevastova
  - Comeback arc: Returning from ACL injury during maternity comeback.
  - Surprised Tomljanovic in R1 for first top-100 win in over two months.
  - Quarterfinalist in Montreal back in 2018 and has a 2–1 career lead at the event.

🔍 Match Breakdown

• Playing style: Linette relies on rally tolerance and baseline consistency. Sevastova mixes spins, slices, and off-pace balls to disrupt rhythm.
• Fitness factor: Linette has been active all year, while Sevastova is rebuilding post-injury. Longer rallies favor Linette.
• Momentum swings: Sevastova can snatch sets when she's in rhythm; Linette must manage dips in focus and maintain first-serve percentage.

🔮 Prediction

Linette’s steady game and hard-court mileage give her the edge here. Expect a battle, but the Pole should outlast Sevastova.
Predicted Score: Linette def. Sevastova 6–3, 4–6, 6–2.

Keys vs Siegemund

🎾 Keys vs Siegemund – Montreal R2 Preview

🧠 Form & Context

• Madison Keys
  🎾 Hard-court prowess: Stellar 19–3 W–L in 2025 on hard courts.
  🥇 Grand Slam pedigree: Lifted her first Major at the 2025 Australian Open and won Adelaide.
  🌪️ Big-stage performer: Semifinalist at Indian Wells; thrives under pressure.
  🚧 Montreal woes: Seven of eight appearances ended by R2—seeking to break the pattern.
• Laura Siegemund
  🕰️ Veteran grit: At 37, her experience shows—Wimbledon QF and epic R1 wins.
  ⏳ Marathon match queen: Survived a 3h26 thriller against Maria in R1 here.
  🎾 Hard-court form: Even 8–8 W–L in 2025, capable of upsets when in rhythm.
  🔗 H2H edge: Leads 2–1, including a straight-sets win at Wimbledon 2025.

🔍 Match Breakdown

• ⚡ Serve duel: Keys’s power will hunt free points; Siegemund must vary pace and placement.
• 🔄 Baseline tussle: Keys’s heavy groundstrokes vs Siegemund’s slice and defense—rallies will swing momentum.
• 🏃 Movement contrast: Keys covers court aggressively; Siegemund uses anticipation and variety to stay in points.
• 🧠 Clutch factor: Keys needs to strike early on break points; Siegemund thrives in extended, pressure-packed exchanges.

🔮 Prediction

Keys’s firepower and confidence on hard courts should see her through—even against Siegemund’s resilience.
Predicted Score: Keys def. Siegemund 6–3, 6–4.

Joint vs Kessler

🎾 Joint vs Kessler – Toronto R2 Showdown

🧠 Form & Context

• Maya Joint
  🚀 Breakout season: Climbed from outside the top 100 to a career-high No. 37 in July, already hoisting trophies in Rabat 🏆 and Eastbourne 🏆.
  💪 Confidence boost: Avenged her Washington loss with a commanding 6–4, 6–1 debut win here.
  ⚡ Momentum: Youthful legs and fearless shot-making make her a hard-court threat (17–9 HC W–L in 2025).
• McCartney Kessler
  🏅 Established contender: Four finals in 12 months, converting three into titles (Cleveland, Hobart, Nottingham).
  ⚠️ Inconsistency warning: Despite a top-30 rank, seven R1 exits in her last ten events.
  🎯 Experience edge: Holds a narrow H2H lead (1-0) from their 2024 Wimbledon qualifier, proving her grit in long battles.

🔍 Match Breakdown

• 🎾 Power vs Precision: Joint’s heavy groundstrokes and depth will test Kessler’s defense. Kessler must mix slice and angles to disrupt Joint’s rhythm.
• 🍔 Serve dynamics: Kessler’s flat first serve can earn free points; Joint’s spin and placement will look to neutralize that weapon.
• ⏳ Rally tolerance: Joint thrives in extended exchanges, forcing Kessler to stay solid and minimize errors.
• 🧠 Mental battle: Kessler’s experience in tight three-setters gives her an edge late; Joint’s fearless style could overwhelm if she maintains pressure.

🔮 Prediction

Expect a fierce battle shifting on key moments. Joint’s upward trajectory and shot-making should tip the scales—though Kessler will rally fiercely.
Predicted Score: Joint def. Kessler 6–4, 3–6, 6–4.

Rublev vs Gaston

🎾 Rublev vs Gaston – Toronto Masters R1 Preview

🧠 Form & Context

• Andrey Rublev
  - Disappointing US Open Series: Three straight hard-court losses (to Kovacevic in Los Cabos SF, Learner Tien in Washington R1).
  - Defending finalist in Toronto: Runner-up here in 2024 after beating world No. 1 Sinner in QF—big points at stake.
  - Masters pedigree shaky in 2025: Just 1 win in 6 Masters matches so far this season.
• Hugo Gaston
  - Inconsistent but dangerous: Retired-over-retire scenarios in European clay swing; picked up a surprise R1 win via opponent retirement in Toronto.
  - Ranking slide: Fell to No. 126 after early exits in Kitzbühel (R1) and struggles post-clay.
  - Opportunity to rebound: A decent run here could vault him back into the top 100.

🔍 Match Breakdown

• Serve & aggression: Rublev’s power game remains potent; should dominate on first-serve points if rhythm clicks. Gaston relies on left-handed angles but lacks a big weapon to keep Rublev consistently off-balance.
• Movement & fitness: Both enter in mixed physical shape—Rublev fatigued from recent losses, Gaston questionable fitness history. Whoever sustains energy in long rallies gains the edge.
• Tactical edge: Gaston must extend rallies, target Rublev’s backhand, and force errors. Rublev will look to seize quick opportunities behind forehand winners.
• Mental factor: Rublev needs to shake off recent flat performances; Gaston can capitalize if Rublev’s confidence dips on breakpoints.

🔮 Prediction

Rublev’s weaponry on serve and groundstrokes should ultimately prevail—look for him to dictate with aggression and close out points early. Gaston will make it competitive but likely falls in straight sets. Expect a 6–4, 6–3 scoreline in Rublev’s favour.