Mattia Bellucci vs Carlos Alcaraz

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Bellucci vs Alcaraz — US Open 2R Preview

ATP US Open Hard Court 2nd Round

🧠 Form & Context

Mattia Bellucci (No. 65, age 24)

• 🇮🇹 Lefty, finally stabilizing in the ATP top 70.
• 📊 2025: 22–25 overall, 8–10 on hard.
• 🔥 Slam track: Wimbledon R3 this year (d. Lehecka, l. Norrie). USO: R1 (2024), R2 here after Shang retired.
• 💡 Game: Solid from the baseline with serve variation; lacks a true finishing weapon at elite level.
• ⚠️ Underdog reality: 0–2 lifetime vs top-5, both straight-set defeats.

Carlos Alcaraz (No. 2, age 22)

• 🇪🇸 5-time Slam champion, reigning Roland-Garros winner, recent Cincinnati Masters champion.
• 📊 2025: 55–6 overall, 22–1 on clay, 17–4 on hard.
• 🔥 USO 1R: Beat Opelka 6–4, 7–5, 6–4 — disciplined performance, no lapses.
• 🏟️ US Open record: Champion (2022), SF (2023), shock R2 exit (2024 vs Van de Zandschulp).
• ⚡ Motivation: New York redemption + keeping pace with Sinner in 2025 major count.

📜 Head-to-Head

• 2020 Futures: Alcaraz won 6–2, 6–1 (early-career meeting).
• H2H: Alcaraz leads 1–0.

🔍 Match Breakdown

Serve & rally tolerance: Bellucci’s lefty angles can bother some, but Alcaraz’s footwork, early contact, and explosive forehand neutralize those patterns quickly.

Mentality shift: After Wimbledon disappointment, Alcaraz has dialed down the exhibition flair — more discipline, fewer lapses, cleaner shot selection.

Bellucci’s path: He must play first-strike tennis, take time away on return, and stretch sets. Without a top-tier finishing blow, sustaining scoreboard pressure is the problem.

Likely scenario: One competitive set if Alcaraz briefly loosens focus; otherwise the Spaniard’s athleticism and pace control should dominate.

🔮 Prediction

Bellucci is improving, but this matchup is lopsided. Expect Alcaraz to manage energy, shorten points with forehand + transition, and move on cleanly.

Pick: Alcaraz in 3 sets — maybe one close stanza (TB or 7–5), but overall a comfortable passage.

📊 Tale of the Tape (Qualitative)

• Ceiling: Massive edge Alcaraz.
• Serve patterns: Bellucci lefty variety vs Alcaraz’s elite return depth.
• First-strike vs sustain: Bellucci needs quick points; Alcaraz thrives both short and extended.
• Movement: Clear edge Alcaraz — defense-to-offense switches.
• Momentum: Alcaraz locked-in after a solid R1; Bellucci grinding but outgunned.

Mattia Bellucci vs Juncheng Shang

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Mattia Bellucci vs Juncheng Shang — US Open R1 Preview

ATP US Open Hard Court Round 1

🧠 Form & Context

Mattia Bellucci (No. 65, age 24)

• 🇮🇹 Lefty who broke through in 2023–24; searching for week-to-week consistency in 2025.
• 📉 2025: 21–25 (7–10 hard).
• 🔥 Positives: Sumter Challenger title this month; Wimbledon 3R (best Slam result).
• ⚠️ Negatives: Only one tour-level win across Toronto, Cincinnati, Winston-Salem; confidence wobbly.
• 🏟️ US Open: Qualies in 2023; 2R in 2024.

Juncheng Shang (No. 111, age 20)

• 🇨🇳 Talented left-hander with explosive baseline game.
• 📉 2025: 3–4 after a 6+ month injury layoff; blew leads in Toronto & Cincinnati losses.
• 🔥 Career highs: Reached No. 47 in 2024; first ATP title last year.
• 🏟️ US Open: 3R in 2024 (pushed Ruud to five).
• ⚠️ Worries: Match rust and durability after the long layoff; retirements earlier this year.

📘 Head-to-Head

• First meeting (0–0).

🔍 Match Breakdown

Momentum: Bellucci arrives with fresh reps and a recent title; Shang lacks rhythm after months out and a painful blown lead vs Etcheverry in Cincy.

Playstyle (lefty vs lefty): Bellucci leans on grinding consistency and depth; Shang seeks to seize the baseline with heavier topspin and early acceleration.

Physical battle: Best-of-five spotlights Shang’s durability. Bellucci’s Wimbledon 3R shows workable Slam stamina.

Intangibles: Bellucci’s self-belief has wavered on the main tour, but Shang’s layoff/rust makes him the more fragile profile in tight sets.

🔮 Prediction

Opportunity match for both. If Shang redlines early he can nick a set, but over the distance Bellucci’s steadier rally tolerance and current match readiness should tell.

Pick: Bellucci in 4 sets — expect a streaky middle phase, then the Italian to close with safer patterns.

📊 Tale of the Tape (Qualitative)

• First-strike pop: Shang.
• Rally tolerance/consistency: Bellucci.
• Match fitness (Bo5): Edge Bellucci.
• Upside ceiling: Shang when timing clicks.
• Live-bet cue: If Shang’s pace dips after set 2 (shorter rallies, fewer FH winners), Bellucci -games in the third/fourth becomes attractive.

Bellucci vs Munar

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Bellucci vs Munar — Winston-Salem Preview

ATP Winston-Salem Hard Court Main Draw

🧠 Form & Context

Mattia Bellucci

• ✨ Breakthrough season: first time inside the top 70 (CH #63).
• 🎾 2025 ledger: 21–24; best returns indoors (6–3) and solid on hard (7–9).
• 🔥 Hot right now: Sumter Challenger title last week, carried momentum with a clean R1 win over Comesaña (6–4, 6–3).
• ⚡ Profile: lefty first-strike tennis, confident when he’s landing the one-two punch.
• 📉 Watch-out: can wobble vs grinders in long rallies; tiebreak-heavy season hints at fine margins.

Jaume Munar

• 🎾 Clay-leaning, but hard-court uptick (7–7 this year; Miami R3 with a win over Medvedev).
• 🔄 2025 so far: 19–20 overall; steady grass stretch and Wimbledon 3R (d. Bublik).
• ⚡ Identity: baseline grinder — heavy topspin, point-by-point pressure, excellent defense.
• 📉 Limitation: lacks easy power on serve/return; can get rushed when opponents take time away.
• ✅ WS familiarity: R16 here twice — knows the venue.

🔍 Match Breakdown

H2H: First meeting.

Form pulse: Bellucci rides a confidence wave (title + R1 momentum); Munar steady but streak-prone on hard.

Surface lens: Both ~.500 on hard in 2025, yet Bellucci’s lefty first-strike patterns map a bit better to these conditions than Munar’s clay-coded grind.

X-factor: Rally length. If Munar drags points long, Bellucci’s consistency can fray. If Bellucci serves well and keeps exchanges short, scoreboard pressure tilts quickly.

🔮 Prediction

Style contrast: attacker vs absorber. With form tailwinds and a confidence-driven game, Bellucci has a real shot to punch through the Spaniard’s defenses — provided he protects serve and stays disciplined on +1 balls.

Pick: Bellucci in three sets (expect at least one tiebreak).

Comesana vs Bellucci

🎾 Winston-Salem Match Preview
Form & Context • Tactical Notes • Prediction

Comesana vs Bellucci — Winston-Salem

ATP Winston-Salem Hard Court First Round

🧠 Form & Context

Francisco Comesana (ARG)
Age: 24 | Ranking: #71 (CH #61) | Plays: Right-handed

• 📊 2025 record: 26–22 overall, 7–6 on hard.
• 💪 Strengths: Clay-based grinder, improving at ATP level. Wins over Opelka & Zverev. Reached Cincinnati R16 (lost to Rublev).
• ⚠️ Weaknesses: Streaky; first-strike players can rush him on quicker surfaces. Slam ceiling limited (best 2R at Wimbledon 2025).
• 📍 Winston-Salem history: 2024 — lost 1R.

Mattia Bellucci (ITA)
Age: 24 | Ranking: #74 (CH #63) | Plays: Left-handed

• 📊 2025 record: 20–24 overall, 6–9 on hard.
• 💪 Strengths: Aggressive lefty; best on grass/indoors. Strong serve-return combos when clicking.
• 🔥 Recent form: Won Sumter Challenger (hard, USA). Wimbledon 3R (beat Lehecka, pushed Norrie). Rotterdam SF earlier in 2025 (d. Medvedev & Tsitsipas).
• ⚠️ Weaknesses: Inconsistent; retired in Toronto last month (fitness flag).

🔍 Match Breakdown

• Surface: Neither is a natural hard-courter. Comesana improving at ATP level; Bellucci boosted by Challenger momentum.
• Form comparison: Comesana carries ATP confidence (Cincinnati R16, Opelka win); Bellucci just lifted Sumter title but uneven at tour-level.
• Tactics: Comesana will counter-punch and extend rallies; Bellucci will aim to shorten points with lefty first-strike patterns.
• Momentum vs consistency: Bellucci sharp off a title run, but Comesana tested vs top-50 opposition this summer.

🔮 Prediction

A close contest expected. Bellucci’s Challenger title suggests form, but Comesana’s tour-level grind and Masters 1000 experience give him the edge.

Pick: Comesana in 3 sets.

Mattia Bellucci vs Damir Dzumhur

ATP Cincinnati – 1R: Mattia Bellucci vs Damir Dzumhur

🧠 Form & Context

Mattia Bellucci

• ⚠️ Injury watch: Retired in Toronto vs Hugo Gaston (3rd set), raising doubts about current condition.
• 📉 Patchy season: 16–23 win-loss, endured a nine-match losing streak earlier in 2025.
• 💡 Peaks in big weeks: SF Rotterdam, QF Marrakech, 3R Wimbledon with notable top-20 wins.
• 📊 Masters struggles: Lost last four Masters first rounds since debut win in Shanghai 2024.
• 🆚 H2H: 1–1 vs Dzumhur, lost in Madrid this year (R1, 3 sets).

Damir Dzumhur

• 📈 From Challenger to ATP: Built momentum on clay, pushing back toward top 50 for first time since 2019.
• 🏜️ Surface reality: Only one hard-court main draw win in 2025 (Indian Wells vs Bautista Agut).
• 🔙 Cincinnati return: First main draw here since 2018, lost to Zverev in R1.
• 🎯 Recent form: SF Umag, QF Bastad on clay; fell in Toronto R1 vs Comesaña.
• 🆚 H2H: Beat Bellucci in Madrid 2025 (3 sets).

🔍 Match Breakdown

• Hard-court edge: Bellucci’s lefty serve and heavier baseline game give him the stylistic advantage over the shorter Dzumhur.
• Fitness variable: Toronto retirement raises concerns about Bellucci’s stamina and movement; if compromised, his high-risk aggression becomes harder to sustain.
• Dzumhur’s path: Counterpunching style thrives in longer rallies, which could pay off if Bellucci slows down or gets drawn into grind-fests.
• Conditions factor: Slower night conditions in Cincinnati can help Dzumhur extend points and neutralize raw pace.
• Form gap: Despite Bellucci’s stronger hard-court record, Dzumhur’s recent clay results show he’s match-tough coming in.

🔮 Prediction

If Bellucci is fully fit, his lefty angles and baseline penetration should allow him to dictate and keep rallies short. However, the combination of his recent injury withdrawal, Dzumhur’s consistency, and the slower conditions gives the Bosnian a legitimate upset path.

Prediction: Damir Dzumhur in 3 sets — using his rally tolerance to wear Bellucci down late if movement or fitness dips.

🇮🇹 Mattia Bellucci vs 🇫🇷 Hugo Gaston

🇮🇹 Mattia Bellucci vs 🇫🇷 Hugo Gaston – ATP Toronto R1 Preview

🎾 Monday, July 28 · ATP 1000 Toronto · Outdoor Hard

🧠 Form & Context

Mattia Bellucci 🇮🇹

• 🎾 Season of swings: Reached SF in Rotterdam with huge wins over Tsitsipas and Medvedev, then suffered a nine-match losing streak
• 🌱 Turned it around on grass: QF in Eastbourne and 3R at Wimbledon
• 🔝 Career-high No. 63 in June; currently No. 72
• 🤝 No points to defend in Toronto, presenting a valuable opportunity
• 📊 2025 record: 16–22 overall (2–7 on hard)

Hugo Gaston 🇫🇷

• ⚠️ In decline: After being runner-up in Kitzbühel last year, recent early losses have pushed him out of the Top 100 (currently No. 126)
• 💔 Hard-court issues: 0–6 on outdoor hard since mid-2024; 8–7 overall in 2025 but mostly indoors or on lower-tier events
• 🔄 Style clash: Famous for his touch and drop shots, but struggles when forced into deep, physical exchanges
• 📊 2025 record: 14–22 overall (8–7 on hard)

🔍 Match Breakdown

This is a stylistic duel: Bellucci brings power, pace, and spin from the baseline, while Gaston looks to disrupt with slices, drop shots, and changes of rhythm. The Italian’s lefty forehand and serve should control most exchanges, particularly if he keeps Gaston behind the baseline.

Momentum is also on Bellucci’s side. His grass-court rebound included competitive matches and visible confidence, while Gaston is struggling to find rhythm. The Frenchman’s game may frustrate for a few games, but longer rallies and aggressive tempo should tilt the balance toward Bellucci.

🔮 Prediction

Expect Bellucci to dominate serve games and push Gaston into uncomfortable territory. If the Italian maintains focus and handles Gaston’s variety, this should be a straight-sets win.

🧩 Pick: Mattia Bellucci in 2 sets (e.g. 6–4, 7–5)

Mattia Bellucci vs Cameron Norrie

🎾 Wimbledon 2025 – 3rd Round Preview

Mattia Bellucci vs Cameron Norrie

🧠 Form & Context

Mattia Bellucci
🚀 Breakthrough run: The 23-year-old Italian is into the 3rd round of a Grand Slam for the first time in his career.
🔨 Slam growth: Has never lost a main-draw Slam match in straight sets, showing durability even in defeat (4-set battle vs Draper in Paris).
💪 Grass adaptation: Has gone 5–4 on grass this year, including a win over Jiri Lehecka in straights. Took out Oliver Crawford in R1 with only one set dropped.
📈 Confident striker: Claimed a H2H win over Norrie earlier this year in Monte Carlo qualifying—proof he’s not overwhelmed by big names.
📊 2025 overall: 16–21 W/L, but enters this match on a 5–1 run over his last six.

Cameron Norrie
🇬🇧 Home comforts: The 2022 Wimbledon semifinalist is building steam again, grinding out four-set wins over Bautista Agut and Tiafoe.
🔁 Ranking rebuild: Had fallen outside the Top 60 after a tough 18-month stretch, but solid clay results (R16 RG, SF Geneva) and this Wimbledon run put him on the comeback trail.
🧱 Reliable rhythm: Has returned to his vintage baseline consistency, thriving in longer rallies and physical contests.
🌿 Grass revival: Was 0–2 during the lead-in grass events but has flipped the switch under pressure in London. His only 3R win at Wimbledon came in 2022.

🔍 Match Breakdown

This matchup features a classic contrast of left-handed styles. Bellucci is more explosive, looking to dictate with pace off both wings and finish quickly, while Norrie prefers a war of attrition—blunting power, changing rhythm, and waiting for mistakes. Norrie’s edge lies in experience. He’s come through high-stress matches at Wimbledon before and knows how to pace himself over five sets. Bellucci, while talented and dangerous, hasn’t yet faced a prolonged Slam grind against an opponent with Norrie’s defensive skills. That said, Bellucci has handled aggressive players like Lehecka and Shelton well recently and already owns a win over Norrie this season. If he starts hot and lands forehands deep, he could put real scoreboard pressure on the Brit. But over time, expect Norrie’s consistency, smarter court positioning, and support from the home crowd to make the difference—especially in tight moments and longer exchanges.

🔮 Prediction

Bellucci is no pushover and should play with confidence and freedom. But Norrie’s experience at this level and his steady rhythm should wear the Italian down. Prediction: Cameron Norrie in 4 sets.

Jiri Lehecka vs Mattia Bellucci

Jiri Lehecka vs Mattia Bellucci – Wimbledon 2025 Preview

Tournament: Wimbledon, ATP Main Draw – 2nd Round

Date: July 3, 2025

Surface: Grass

Location: All England Club, London

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🧠 Form & Context

Jiri Lehecka

• 🧱 Solid opener: Recovered from a slow start to beat Hugo Dellien in four sets.
• 🎾 Grass momentum: Reached quarterfinals in Stuttgart and Queen’s Club final, pushing Alcaraz to three sets.
• 📈 Turning a corner: Since May, has posted consistent wins on all surfaces, including R3 at Roland-Garros.
• 📍 Wimbledon history: Reached R16 in 2023; was forced to retire against Medvedev in that match.
• 🚨 Still a bit streaky: Can be vulnerable when matches extend or rhythm breaks down.

Mattia Bellucci

• ⚡ Breaking the streak: Snapped a nine-match losing run and got his first Wimbledon main draw win vs Crawford.
• 🎯 Dangerous lefty: Recently beat Tsitsipas and Medvedev in Rotterdam, showing ability to rise in big matches.
• 📉 Inconsistent results: Still just 15–21 on the season and had failed to win a main-draw match at any Slam before this week.
• 🌱 Grass flashes: Has gone 4–4 this season on grass, including a strong qualifying run in Eastbourne.
• 🛠️ Fighter on big stages: Pushed Shelton and Tiafoe to five sets in Slams last year; not afraid of the moment.

🔍 Match Breakdown

The version of Jiri Lehecka that made the Queen’s Club final would handle this matchup with little drama. His compact power, improving serve, and fast-court timing translate well to grass—especially against a still-maturing opponent like Bellucci.

But the Czech hasn’t always managed matches smoothly, even when favored. Against Dellien, he gave up the opening set and struggled with rhythm. Bellucci, a lefty with a solid backhand and deceptive depth, could stretch rallies and exploit Lehecka’s occasional mental lapses.

The Italian’s recent win over Crawford was encouraging, but he’ll need to play cleaner, sharper tennis to take more than a set here. If Lehecka serves well and stays aggressive with his forehand, he should wear Bellucci down over time.

🔮 Prediction

Bellucci will likely make this entertaining and grab a foothold early, but Lehecka’s firepower, grass form, and recent confidence should prove decisive.

Prediction: Lehecka in 4 sets, with a brief test before pulling away.

Mattia Bellucci vs Oliver Crawford

ATP Wimbledon – 1st Round
Mattia Bellucci vs Oliver Crawford

🧠 Form & Context

• Mattia Bellucci
  🔓 Snapped a nine-match losing streak with a solid qualifying campaign in Eastbourne.
  ⚔️ 1–4 record in Grand Slam first rounds, but rarely goes down without a fight—beat Wawrinka in straight sets at the 2024 US Open.
  🌱 Arrives on grass with matchplay: 3–1 in Eastbourne qualifiers, fell to Billy Harris in Round 2.
  📉 Spring slump: From Monte Carlo to Roland-Garros, suffered heavy defeats, including to Draper and Martinez.
  📍 Wimbledon history: Fell in 2023 Q1; lost in 2024 R1 to Ben Shelton.


• Oliver Crawford
  🎟️ Making his Slam main-draw debut after switching allegiance to Great Britain and receiving a wildcard.
  🌱 Grass preparation includes 4 wins in Ilkley (QF), competitive matches in Mallorca and Birmingham.
  📈 Strong Challenger/Futures resume: 13 ITF titles and a 44–12 record in 2025, but little ATP-level exposure.
  🎯 First ATP main-draw match of his career—biggest stage yet.

🔍 Match Breakdown

This clash represents a classic crossroad: a tour-hardened lefty seeking stability (Bellucci) versus a grinder on the brink of a breakthrough (Crawford). Bellucci’s baseline-heavy style and forehand-centric play should grant him more initiative, especially if he can stretch rallies and impose lefty angles.

Crawford, though athletic and compact, might struggle to generate pace or sustain rhythm on return—particularly if Bellucci serves efficiently. The home crowd at SW19 will likely fuel Crawford, but Bellucci’s recent form and grass experience tilt the balance slightly in his favor.

🔮 Prediction

While neither player has a polished grass-court pedigree, Bellucci’s run in Eastbourne signals momentum and perhaps a mental reset after a tough spring. Crawford is no pushover, but this could be a learning curve for him on the ATP stage. The Italian’s edge in tour-level exposure and shot-making variety should carry him through.

Prediction: Bellucci in 3 close sets, with at least one going to a tiebreaker.

Billy Harris vs Mattia Bellucci

🧠 Form & Context

Billy Harris
🇬🇧 Local favourite with momentum—took down Cameron Norrie 6-4, 6-4 for a career-best win.
🌱 Comfortable on the turf: 3–4 this grass swing and a solid 32–22 career record on the surface.
🚀 Flat, aggressive game well-suited to Eastbourne—especially his serve–forehand combo.
🎯 Holds a 2–1 edge in the H2H, with wins in 2024 Lugano and a Futures event back in 2020.

Mattia Bellucci
🇮🇹 Italian lefty making moves: came through qualifying with strong wins (Gengel, Tseng) and eased past Halys 6-4, 6-2 in R1.
📈 Gaining grass confidence with each round—3–3 this swing and timing improving.
🌬️ Lefty patterns—wide serve on the ad court followed by heavy forehand—thrive on slick courts.
📌 Won their most recent H2H: beat Harris 6-3, 6-4 at the 2024 Shanghai Masters.

🔍 Match Breakdown

Harris will look to repeat the formula from his Norrie win: land a high first-serve percentage, step inside the baseline to dictate with his forehand, and close with confidence at net. His backhand down the line could be key in disrupting Bellucci’s cross-court rhythm.

Bellucci brings lefty angles and higher topspin to the mix. He’ll target Harris’s backhand and aim to pull him into longer rallies where the Brit’s flat strokes can become more vulnerable. If Bellucci extends rallies past five shots consistently, he gains the upper hand.

Key swing factors:
• First-serve efficiency: Both average 10+ aces per match on grass this month—who gets the cleaner service games?
• Second-serve returns: Both players win under 50% of second-serve points—return depth and aggression could trigger key breaks.
• Crowd energy: Harris reached the semis here in 2024 and rode the home support to shock Norrie—expect another boost from the Devonshire Park crowd.

🔮 Prediction

Bellucci has the higher ranking and won their last encounter, but Harris is thriving on familiar turf. With the home crowd behind him and the confidence of a top-50 scalp, the Brit may once again punch above his weight.

Pick: Harris in 3 sets — expect tiebreaks and a tight finish, but the Brit’s comfort on this court makes the difference.

🎾 ATP Eastbourne – Round 1 Preview Mattia Bellucci 🇮🇹 (72) vs Quentin Halys 🇫🇷 (48)

🎾 ATP Eastbourne – Round 1 Preview

Mattia Bellucci 🇮🇹 (72) vs Quentin Halys 🇫🇷 (48)

A lefty disruptor meets a grass-season ace machine. Expect razor-thin margins and a first-strike battle on the seaside courts.

🧠 Form & Context

Mattia Bellucci
🔄 Season of streaks: 13-20 in tour matches, but just breezed through Eastbourne qualies (d. Gengel & Tseng) dropping eight games.
🌱 Limited lawn résumé (2-3 this swing). Left-handed slice serve can skid dangerously, yet return numbers tumble on grass (38% points won vs 44% season avg).
⚡ Upset engine: shock wins over Tsitsipas & Medvedev indoors in Rotterdam showed ceiling, though consistency has cratered since clay swing (3-7).
🧩 First main-draw appearance here; still adapting footwork after a clay-heavy spring.

Quentin Halys
💣 Serve-bot mode: averages 17.2 aces per grass match in 2025 (2-2 record). Hold percentage on lawns: 90%.
🔥 Battle-tested: beat Bonzi then pushed Medvedev in Halle; earlier edged Sonego and took Fritz deep in Stuttgart.
🎢 Results roller-coaster (16-16 overall) but six Top-30 wins this year reassure his big-match chops.
🪶 Movement question: 191 cm frame less comfy on low, skidding slices—but improved net forays compensate.

🔍 Match Breakdown

🎾 First-serve shootout: Expect quick points; whoever cracks 65% first serves in will dictate. Halys’ flat cannon ⚡ vs Bellucci’s lefty slider 🎯.
⏱ Return reaction time: Bellucci blocks well on the backhand wing, yet Halys steps in on second serves and punishes short replies.
🔄 Patterns off the ground: Italian seeks forehand inside-out to the Frenchman’s backhand; Halys loves the short-slice approach & volley finish.
🧠 Clutch factor: Halys has saved 71% break points on grass this month; Bellucci converts only 31% of his chances in ’25.
🌬 Seaside breeze: If wind picks up, the heavier topspin of Bellucci could draw errors from Halys’ flatter strokes.

🔮 Prediction

With both men itching to shorten rallies, margins are razor-thin. Halys brings superior serve reliability, recent wins over stronger opposition, and confidence from Halle. Bellucci’s lefty angles can nag, but the Frenchman’s tie-break prowess (9-6 this season) should tilt the balance.

Prediction: Halys in two tight sets (likely one tie-break)

📊 Tale of the Tape

• H2H: First meeting
• 2025 W/L: Bellucci 13–20 • Halys 16–16
• Grass W/L (2025): Bellucci 2–3 • Halys 2–2
• Best 2025 Result: Bellucci (Rotterdam R16) • Halys (Halle QF)

🇺🇸 Mackenzie McDonald vs 🇮🇹 Mattia Bellucci

🎾 ATP Hertogenbosch – First Round

🇺🇸 Mackenzie McDonald vs 🇮🇹 Mattia Bellucci

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🧠 Form & Context

Mackenzie McDonald

• 📉 Unsettled year: 18–13 in 2025, but plagued by inconsistency and early exits since February.
• ✅ Grass warm-up: Qualified and won his Q-R1 match here, showing solid form over Boogaard and Peniston.
• 🇳🇱 Dutch comfort: Quarterfinalist in Hertogenbosch 2023, R16 in 2024 — has a decent history on these courts.
• 🆚 Recent losses: Crashed out early at French Open and struggled to find rhythm in clay swing.
• 📉 Lost to Bellucci in 2024 (Washington, 1R) in straight sets — a point to prove here.

Mattia Bellucci

• 🟠 Mixed momentum: 11–18 in 2025, but many of his wins came at Challenger level.
• 📉 Grass discomfort: 0–1 on grass this year, and has minimal success historically on the surface (just 3 career wins).
• 👎 Early exits: Lost 6 of his last 7 matches on tour, including first rounds at Roland Garros and Birmingham Challenger.
• 🟢 Upset potential: Holds a 1-0 H2H over McDonald — beat him in Washington last year (7–6, 7–5).

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🔍 Match Breakdown

McDonald is the more experienced player on grass, with a better record, more time on tour, and historically good runs in Hertogenbosch. His clean ball-striking and compact groundstrokes translate well to fast courts, and he's already adjusted by playing two qualifying matches here.

Bellucci, while talented and gritty, has struggled to adapt his game to grass. His flat shots can be effective in quick conditions, but he lacks the natural movement and confidence on this surface. He’s also coming off a run of disappointing results.

This rematch is McDonald's to lose, especially with revenge on his mind after last year’s upset loss. If he stays solid on serve and plays aggressively on return, his grass-court edge should prove decisive.

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🔮 Prediction

McDonald has looked better this week, is more comfortable on grass, and seems determined to steady his season. Bellucci’s recent form and surface discomfort suggest an uphill battle.

🧩 Pick: McDonald to win in straight sets – Expect a focused performance and a bounce-back win over a struggling opponent.
🎯 Bonus leans:

• Set betting: McDonald 2–0
• Over/Under: Under 21.5 games
• Handicap: McDonald -4.5 games

🇳🇱 Botic van de Zandschulp vs 🇮🇹 Mattia Bellucci

🎾 ATP Hertogenbosch – First Round

🇳🇱 Botic van de Zandschulp vs 🇮🇹 Mattia Bellucci

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🧠 Form & Context

Botic van de Zandschulp

• 🇳🇱 Playing on home soil, but enters in poor form: 10–15 overall in 2025 and a 4-match losing streak coming in.
• ❌ 0–3 on grass in 2024, and has never gone beyond the 1st round at Hertogenbosch in three main draw appearances.
• 📉 Struggled across surfaces this season and crashed out in R1 at Roland-Garros vs Emilio Nava.
• 🔁 Despite talent and weapons, his confidence seems low, and he’s become vulnerable early in matches.

Mattia Bellucci

• 🧱 Slight edge in form: 11–18 in 2025, but his wins this year include Draper, Martinez, and Herbert.
• 🌱 Grass is not his strength: just 1–9 career record on the surface, including 0–1 this year (loss to Landaluce).
• 📈 Comes in with slightly more match rhythm, with deeper runs at Monte Carlo QF and some solid Challenger results.
• ⚠️ Still inexperienced at ATP level and making his Hertogenbosch debut—needs to adjust to the surface fast.

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🔍 Match Breakdown

This is a tricky one to call—not because either player is flying, but because both are searching for answers. Van de Zandschulp has the advantage of playing at home and has more raw power and grass experience, even if results haven’t followed.

Bellucci, on the other hand, brings more momentum in general but historically struggles with fast courts and low bounce. His lefty forehand and counterpunching game may not translate well to grass unless he finds quick depth and good movement on the surface.

Van de Zandschulp’s serve and forehand should do more damage on grass, but his current level is shaky enough to give Bellucci a real chance if the Italian starts strong and keeps the pressure on the Dutchman's second serve.

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🔮 Prediction

With both players low on grass confidence, this match likely comes down to margins and execution under pressure. Van de Zandschulp may be struggling, but his slight edge in experience and the home crowd could help tip it.

✅ Pick: Van de Zandschulp to win in 3 sets – expect swings, errors, and crowd factor
🎯 Bonus leans:

• Set betting: Van de Zandschulp 2–1
• Over/Under: Over 22.5 games
• Handicap: Bellucci +2.5 games (hedge option if expecting a close battle)

ATP French Open – Jack Draper vs Mattia Bellucci

ATP French Open – Jack Draper vs Mattia Bellucci

🧠 Form & Context

Jack Draper
🔥 Breakout on clay: Nearly captured the Madrid Masters title and enters Paris with a 9–3 record this clay season — his best run on the surface.
🧱 Past struggles at RG: Suffered first-round losses in 2023 (Etcheverry) and 2024 (De Jong), but arrives in far better form.
💪 Slam-tested: Semifinalist at the 2024 US Open and survived three five-setters at the 2025 Australian Open — fitness no longer a question mark.
📈 Confidence surge: Ranked No. 5 in the world and playing with the poise of a top-tier contender, regardless of surface.

Mattia Bellucci
🎯 Hard court success: Semifinalist in Rotterdam and quarterfinalist in Marrakech were key 2025 highlights.
📉 Cold spell: Comes into Roland-Garros on a five-match losing streak on clay, struggling to find rhythm.
🏛️ Slam underdog: 1–3 in first-round Slam matches, but has been competitive — taking sets off Shelton, Tiafoe, and Bonzi.
🧱 Clay roots: Built his game on clay, but hasn’t translated that into ATP wins yet.

🔍 Match Breakdown

Draper’s game is evolving. Always dangerous on faster courts, he’s now adapted to clay with improved sliding, stamina, and point construction. His Madrid run proved he can dictate on dirt and hang with the best in longer rallies.

Bellucci is a gutsy competitor with solid rally skills and a decent serve, but his confidence is fragile right now. He’s shown he can push higher-ranked players, yet his inability to close out tight sets has cost him—and that could be fatal against someone as physically imposing as Draper.

Unless Draper’s level dips sharply or Bellucci rediscovers form from nowhere, the Brit’s superior fitness, confidence, and lefty firepower should carry him through comfortably—even on a historically tricky surface for him.

🔮 Prediction

Bellucci might steal a set with some clean shot-making and home-run returns, but Draper’s composure and clay-season momentum should secure his first Roland-Garros main-draw win.

Prediction: Jack Draper in four sets — a composed breakthrough on Parisian clay 🇬🇧🎾

🎾 ATP Rome: Mattia Bellucci vs Pedro Martinez

🎾 ATP Rome: Mattia Bellucci vs Pedro Martinez – Match Preview

🧠 Form & Context

Mattia Bellucci

• Home stage, high hopes: Making his Rome main-draw debut as he looks to snap a four-match losing streak and recapture early-season momentum.
• Masters struggles: 0–2 at this level but showed promise in Rotterdam (SF) and Marrakech (QF) earlier this year.
• Clay potential: Lefty angles and heavy topspin work well on dirt, but big-match experience still developing.
• Motivated by crowd: A win here could help reset his 2025 trajectory.

Pedro Martinez

• Fitness question mark: Struggled since sustaining physical issues in Bucharest, with form sharply declining.
• Uninspired clay swing: Hasn’t put together back-to-back wins on clay across five consecutive events.
• Rome woes: 1–4 career record at the Foro Italico, with four straight main-draw losses since 2020.
• Slow Masters starts: 7–15 in Masters first rounds overall—struggles to hit the ground running at this level.

🔍 Match Breakdown

This is a matchup between a rising talent still finding his footing at the elite level and a seasoned clay-courter trying to rediscover rhythm amid fitness concerns. Bellucci will have the crowd behind him and should look to dictate with his lefty forehand, especially by targeting Martinez’s backhand corner and testing his lateral movement early.

Martinez, in contrast, will aim to grind and draw out rallies—hoping to wear down Bellucci mentally and physically. However, his recent inconsistency and physical drop-off put him at a disadvantage if Bellucci starts with energy and confidence.

🔮 Prediction

Prediction: Bellucci in 3 sets. If he rides the home crowd and keeps his errors down, this could be his breakout moment on a Masters stage.

🎾 ATP Marrakech: Tallon Griekspoor vs Mattia Bellucci

🎾 ATP Marrakech: Tallon Griekspoor vs Mattia Bellucci – Match Preview

🧠 Form & Context

🇳🇱 Tallon Griekspoor

• 🧱 Solid season: Holds a 12–6 record in 2025, including recent QFs in Indian Wells and Marrakech.
• 🌍 All-surface versatility: While clay isn’t his best, he has a strong 186–106 career record on the dirt and is 1–0 this season.
• 🇲🇦 Marrakech comfort: Reached the quarters here in 2023 and is poised for a deeper run this time.
• 🔥 Big-name wins: Victories over Medvedev, Zverev, Humbert, and Carreno Busta prove his form and confidence.

🇮🇹 Mattia Bellucci

• 🌋 Upset threat: 10–10 in 2025, with notable wins over Tsitsipas, De Minaur, and Herbert showing his potential to surprise.
• 🎯 Challenger background: 250–145 career record; still finding his feet at the ATP level.
• 📈 First Marrakech QF: Wins over Herbert and Kotov mark a promising clay start, but this is new territory for him.
• 📉 Clay inconsistency: While 55–36 overall on the surface, most of his ATP success has come on hard or indoor courts.

🔍 Match Breakdown

This match will likely hinge on Griekspoor’s serve and first-strike forehand. The Dutchman will aim to keep points short and control the tempo, relying on his experience and tactical discipline.

Bellucci, a flashy lefty, thrives on rhythm and confidence—but clay demands patience and precision, two areas where he’s still maturing at the ATP level. He’ll need to extend rallies and target Griekspoor’s backhand to shift momentum.

While Bellucci has shown he can hang with top-tier opponents in bursts, Griekspoor’s form, fitness, and composure suggest he’s better suited to survive pressure moments and close out tight sets.

🔮 Prediction

Pick: Tallon Griekspoor in straight sets

Bellucci could push early, but the Dutchman’s clay maturity and top-40 caliber consistency should wear the Italian down. A straight-sets win feels most likely.

🎾 ATP Marrakech: Herbert vs Bellucci

🎾 ATP Marrakech: Herbert vs Bellucci – Match Preview

🧠 Form & Context

🟦 Pierre-Hugues Herbert

• 🎾 Singles revival: Former doubles standout now surging in singles—especially on clay.
• 🔥 Form streak: 7 wins in his last 8 matches, including straight-set victories over Coria and Mayot this week.
• 📈 Strong clay presence: 5–1 on clay in 2025, thriving with slice, net play, and disguised shots.
• 💪 Tricky matchup: Uses a unique blend of serve-volley and tactical variation—tough to read on slow surfaces.
• ⚠️ H2H deficit: Lost to Bellucci in Pau last year, 4–6, 3–6 on indoor hard.

🟩 Mattia Bellucci

• 🚀 Next-gen Italian: 23 years old and steadily climbing with solid ATP and Challenger experience.
• 🎾 Clay competence: 1–0 in 2025, with a career 54–36 mark—uses lefty topspin and angles effectively.
• 📉 Mixed results: 9–10 this year, with better showings on hard courts than clay so far.
• 🎯 Baseline grinder: High rally tolerance, plays with depth and spin, but lacks a clear finishing weapon.
• ✅ Head-to-head edge: Beat Herbert convincingly last season in Pau (straight sets).

🔍 Match Breakdown

This is a classic contrast in styles. Herbert thrives with variety—slice, serve-volley, and change of pace—especially effective in Marrakech’s slow, altitude-affected clay. He’s been clinical this week and looks dialed in with confidence and clarity in his patterns.

Bellucci, on the other hand, will look to extend rallies and play from deep behind the baseline, banking on consistency and spin. His lefty forehand can open up the court, but his lack of aggression may give Herbert room to approach and finish points.

Herbert will need to stay patient and serve well to avoid getting caught in long rallies, while Bellucci must find depth to keep the Frenchman pinned back.

🔮 Prediction

Pick: Herbert in 3 sets

The form edge lies with Herbert, and if he continues executing his clay-oriented variety game, he can flip their previous result and advance in Marrakech.

🎾 ATP Marrakech: Kotov vs Bellucci – Match Preview

🎾 ATP Marrakech: Kotov vs Bellucci – Match Preview

🧠 Form & Context

🟨 Pavel Kotov

• 🏆 Marrakech specialist: Semifinalist here in both 2023 and 2024—clearly at home on these courts.
• 🎾 Balanced clay game: Big serve and heavy groundstrokes support his 123–81 clay record.
• 🔥 Moderate form: 5–9 in 2025, but recent matches have been competitive against solid opponents.
• ✅ H2H lead: Beat Bellucci 6–4, 6–3 in Phoenix last year.

🟥 Mattia Bellucci

• 📈 Rising Italian: Cracked the top 75 with strong indoor wins over top names like Tsitsipas and Medvedev.
• 💥 Streaky form: 8–10 in 2025, and just 2–7 on clay this season—struggling to find rhythm on dirt.
• 🌋 Clay inconsistency: Lost to Tseng and Kovacevic recently in early-round clay matches.
• 🇲🇦 Marrakech debut: First time testing his game in these conditions.

🔍 Match Breakdown

Kotov’s record in Marrakech isn’t a fluke. He enjoys the slower conditions, adapts his game well, and has proven that he can navigate tough matches on this surface. His ability to mix defense with aggressive baseline play makes him a tough opponent for anyone, especially someone still adjusting to clay like Bellucci.

Bellucci’s power and topspin can be dangerous, but his results show a lack of patience and discipline in longer clay rallies. Unless he rediscovers his indoor form on a completely different surface, this is a challenging matchup for him.

If Kotov controls the tempo and stays consistent with his serve and return depth, he’ll be able to frustrate the Italian and force errors over time.

🔮 Prediction

Pick: Kotov in 3 sets

Bellucci might steal a set with a purple patch of form, but Kotov’s comfort, experience, and tactical edge in Marrakech should prevail in the end.