Jenson Brooksby vs Flavio Cobolli

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Brooksby vs Cobolli — US Open 2R Preview

ATP US Open Hard Court 2nd Round

🧠 Form & Context

Jenson Brooksby (No. 92, age 24)

• 🇺🇸 Quirky shotmaker returning to Flushing Meadows after suspension.
• 📊 2025: 22–18 overall, 6–7 on hard.
• 🔥 Highlights: ATP Houston champion (clay), Eastbourne finalist (grass).
• 🏟️ US Open: R16 (2021), R3 (2022) — dangerous on home soil.
• ⚠️ R1: Outlasted Vukic in five (6–3, 6–7, 6–4, 3–6, 6–4). Fight is there; best-of-five stamina still a question.

Flavio Cobolli (No. 26, age 23)

• 🇮🇹 Breakthrough year; surged after Hamburg title (d. Rublev in final).
• 📊 2025: 31–21 overall, 7–10 on hard.
• 🔥 Slams: AO R1, RG R3, Wimbledon QF (l. Djokovic).
• 🏟️ US Open: First R2 here (Q in 2022, R1 in 2024).
• ⚠️ R1: Needed five vs Passaro. Seven of his last 10 matches went the distance — resilient but mileage is piling up.

🔍 Match Breakdown

Head-to-Head: Brooksby leads 1–0 (Rome 2022, straight sets).

Styles: Brooksby disrupts rhythm with funky tempos and court craft, dragging foes into awkward exchanges — a natural fit in NY conditions. Cobolli brings cleaner baseline punch and confidence from Hamburg/Wimbledon, but can be tempted into longer rallies he doesn’t always finish.

Physical factor: Both come off five-setters. Cobolli has been living in marathons; Brooksby is still proving his five-set engine post-suspension.

Edge calculus: Season consistency tilts Cobolli; environment and matchup nuance (Brooksby’s chaos factor) keep the underdog very live.

🔮 Prediction

Feels like a grind fest with momentum swings. If Cobolli’s legs hold, his heavier baseline weight should shade the big points; if this turns into extended cat-and-mouse, Brooksby’s New York comfort can flip it late.

Pick: Cobolli in five sets — upset potential live if Brooksby feeds off the Ashe/Ny crowd and stretches rallies.

📊 Tale of the Tape (Qualitative)

• H2H: Brooksby 1–0 (Rome 2022).
• Form snapshot (2025): Brooksby 22–18 (6–7 hard) vs Cobolli 31–21 (7–10 hard).
• Rally control: Structured pace favors Cobolli; broken rhythms/lengthy exchanges lean Brooksby.
• Stamina watch: Cobolli’s marathon trend vs Brooksby’s post-layoff endurance.
• Big-match reps: Brooksby’s USO pedigree (R16/R3) vs Cobolli’s first R2 in New York.

Suzan Lamens vs Iga Swiatek

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Lamens vs Swiatek — US Open 2R Preview

WTA US Open Hard Court 2nd Round

🧠 Form & Context

Suzan Lamens (No. 66, age 26)

• 🇳🇱 US Open main-draw debutant riding a composed R1 win.
• 📊 2025: 27–21 overall, 11–10 on hard.
• 🔥 R1: Def. WC Glozman 6–4, 6–2 — equals her career-best Slam result (R2).
• 📉 Slam record: 0–2 in 2R this season (l. Bencic at AO, Alexandrova at Wimbledon).
• 💡 Game: Competent counterpuncher; mixes pace/tempo well but lacks elite finishing power.

Iga Swiatek (No. 2, age 24)

• 🇵🇱 Former world No. 1, 4-time Slam champion.
• 📊 2025: 50–12 (29–7 on hard).
• 🔥 Momentum: Wimbledon title followed by Cincinnati — snapped a 13-month title drought with force.
• 🏟️ US Open: Champion (2022), QF last year; has never lost before R3 here.
• 💡 R1: Routine over Arango 6–1, 6–2; dominant historically vs players outside top 50 at Slams (won 59 of 61).

🔍 Match Breakdown

Head-to-Head: First meeting.

Form contrast: Swiatek arrives on a trophy surge; Lamens has already met her week-one goal by making R2.

Matchup dynamics: Swiatek’s heavy, high-spinning forehand and baseline weight of shot punish second serves and short balls. Lamens must vary height, pace, and direction to disrupt rhythm, but extended neutral rallies still lean Swiatek due to superior depth and footwork.

Experience edge: Lamens has never been beyond R2 at a major; Swiatek has reached the second week in 11 of her last 13 Slams.

🔮 Prediction

Lamens is steady and crafty, yet this is a steep climb against a locked-in Swiatek who rarely gives ground in early Slam rounds. Unless Swiatek’s level dips significantly, the favorite should control scoreboard pressure from the start.

Pick: Swiatek in two routine sets.

📊 Tale of the Tape (Qualitative)

• H2H: First meeting.
• Slam pedigree: Swiatek second-week machine; Lamens yet to crack R3.
• First-strike weight: Clear edge Swiatek — punishes short replies, especially to the forehand wing.
• Disruption plan: Lamens needs variety (loopy heights, slices, drop changes) to break rhythm.
• Early-round ruthlessness: Swiatek overwhelmingly dominant vs sub-top-50 opposition at majors.

🎾 ATP Houston: Alex Michelsen vs Adrian Mannarino

🎾 ATP Houston: Alex Michelsen vs Adrian Mannarino – Match Preview

🧠 Form & Context

🇺🇸 Alex Michelsen

• 🔥 Rising American: 12–8 in 2025, including solid wins over Tien and Smith during the U.S. spring swing.
• 🏠 Home court comfort: Most of his best tennis has come on American soil, where he plays with crowd support and confidence.
• ⛳ New to clay: Just 1–0 on the surface this season, but looked composed in his Houston opener.
• 📈 H2H confidence: Holds a 1–1 head-to-head against Mannarino, including a win on grass last summer in Mallorca.

🇫🇷 Adrian Mannarino

• 📉 Struggling in 2025: Just 4–13 overall this season, with most losses in straight sets.
• 🧱 Clay limitations: 2–1 on clay in 2025, but a career 79–127 record suggests this is his least favorite surface.
• 🧠 Tactical veteran: Still capable of outsmarting younger players with his crafty game, but has shown little form recently.
• 🇫🇷 Houston debut: First main draw appearance at this tournament.

🔍 Match Breakdown

This will be the first clay-court clash between the two, with the head-to-head tied 1–1—both on grass. Mannarino's flat strokes and preference for short points work against him on the slower Houston clay, which rewards top-spin, consistency, and extended rallies.

Michelsen has the youth, energy, and adaptability to shine here. While he’s still learning the nuances of clay, he’s already shown promise and composure this week. If he serves well and plays with margin, he should expose Mannarino’s movement and lack of clay sharpness.

🔮 Prediction

Pick: Alex Michelsen in 2 sets

Michelsen’s current form and surface edge make him a strong favorite. Mannarino’s craft is always dangerous, but he’ll need to drastically raise his level to hold off the rising American on a surface that doesn’t suit him.