WTA Osaka & Ningbo SF, ATP Almaty, Brussels & Lyon SF – Daily Board 24.10.2026

PB Tennis · Saturday 24 October 2026 · Five tournaments

Daily Board Semi-final Saturday

10 semi-finals across five events: Japan Open Osaka (WTA 250), Ningbo Open (WTA 500) and the Almaty, Brussels and Lyon ATP 250s. Pinnacle prices, no-vig percentages and form snapshots for each match, with a Polymarket link on every card. 2 matches carry an Elite selection and 3 a $4.99 selection; the other 6 are open.

2 ELITE PICKS TODAY Both in Almaty: Basilashvili–Tsitsipas and Medvedev–Bublik. Plus 3 $4.99 picks in Ningbo, Almaty and Brussels. Form read, selection and stake on Patreon.

Join PBTennis on Patreon ↗

Elite: pick for Patreon Elite members$4.99: pick for $4.99 membersCFS: Combined Form Score (0–100)Last 3: newest result firstTimes are TRT

Japan Open Osaka · WTA 250

SF · 2 matches

05:00TRT · SF

Ann Li vs Ashlyn KruegerPatreon ↗Polymarket ↗

Player	Pinnacle	No-vig	CFS	L10	L10 hard	L52W	Last 3
Ann LiFAV	1.636	59.7%	67.0	7-3	7-3	36-26	W·W·W
Ashlyn Krueger	2.420	40.3%	68.0	7-3	7-3	36-22	W·W·W

06:30TRT · SF

Katie Boulter vs Katerina SiniakovaPatreon ↗Polymarket ↗

Player	Pinnacle	No-vig	CFS	L10	L10 hard	L52W	Last 3
Katie Boulter	2.540	38.4%	58.0	6-4	6-4	25-23	W·W·W
Katerina SiniakovaFAV	1.584	61.6%	50.6	5-5	5-5	21-19	W·W·L

Ningbo Open · WTA 500

SF · 2 matches · 1 × $4.99

09:00TRT · SF

Leylah Fernandez vs Marie BouzkovaPatreon ↗Polymarket ↗

Player	Pinnacle	No-vig	CFS	L10	L10 hard	L52W	Last 3
Leylah Fernandez	2.010	48.3%	73.4	8-2	8-2	31-27	W·W·W
Marie BouzkovaFAV	1.877	51.7%	60.3	6-4	6-4	36-23	W·W·W

11:30TRT · SF

Elena Rybakina vs Diana ShnaiderPatreon ↗Polymarket ↗

Player	Pinnacle	No-vig	CFS	L10	L10 hard	L52W	Last 3
Elena RybakinaFAV	1.526	63.6%	87.6	9-1	9-1	58-14	W·L·W
Diana Shnaider	2.670	36.4%	68.0	7-3	7-3	36-22	W·W·W

$4.99 PICK Selection and stake for Patreon $4.99 members. Unlock on Patreon ↗

Almaty Open · ATP 250

SF · 2 matches · 2 Elite · 1 × $4.99

12:00TRT · SF

Nikoloz Basilashvili vs Stefanos TsitsipasPatreon ↗Polymarket ↗

Player	Pinnacle	No-vig
Nikoloz Basilashvili	3.180	30.5%
Stefanos TsitsipasFAV	1.398	69.5%

ELITE PICK Form, selection and stake for Patreon Elite members. Unlock on Patreon ↗

15:00TRT · SF

Daniil Medvedev vs Alexander BublikPatreon ↗Polymarket ↗

Player	Pinnacle	No-vig
Daniil MedvedevFAV	1.558	62.3%
Alexander Bublik	2.580	37.7%

ELITE PICK Form, selection and stake for Patreon Elite members. Unlock on Patreon ↗

$4.99 PICK A separate selection in this match for $4.99 members. Unlock on Patreon ↗

European Open Brussels · ATP 250

SF · 2 matches · 1 × $4.99

16:00TRT · SF

Francisco Cerundolo vs Tallon GriekspoorPatreon ↗Polymarket ↗

Player	Pinnacle	No-vig	CFS	L10	L10 hard	L52W	Last 3
Francisco CerundoloFAV	1.561	62.3%	68.8	7-3	7-3	41-22	W·W·L
Tallon Griekspoor	2.580	37.7%	49.1	5-5	5-5	20-23	W·W·W

$4.99 PICK Selection and stake for Patreon $4.99 members. Unlock on Patreon ↗

18:30TRT · SF

Arthur Fils vs Jan-Lennard StruffPatreon ↗Polymarket ↗

Player	Pinnacle	No-vig	CFS	L10	L10 hard	L52W	Last 3
Arthur FilsFAV	1.199	81.0%	71.1	7-3	7-3	38-13	W·L·W
Jan-Lennard Struff	5.120	19.0%	57.9	6-4	6-4	30-28	W·W·W

Lyon Open · ATP 250

SF · 2 matches

14:00TRT · SF

Tommy Paul vs Taylor FritzPatreon ↗Polymarket ↗

Player	Pinnacle	No-vig	CFS	L10	L10 hard	L52W	Last 3
Tommy Paul	2.670	36.4%	70.0	7-3	7-3	44-19	W·W·L
Taylor FritzFAV	1.529	63.6%	61.0	6-4	6-4	39-22	W·W·L

15:30TRT · SF

Flavio Cobolli vs Lorenzo MusettiPatreon ↗Polymarket ↗

Player	Pinnacle	No-vig	CFS	L10	L10 hard	L52W	Last 3
Flavio CobolliFAV	1.900	51.2%	60.6	6-4	6-4	40-24	W·W·L
Lorenzo Musetti	1.990	48.8%	68.5	7-3	7-3	30-17	W·W·W

Pinnacle no-vig % is the moneyline price with the margin removed. Prices as of the morning of 24.10.

Polymarket prices move all day, so this edition links each market instead of quoting a snapshot. Open the Polymarket button for the live price.

Form is the first question, not the answer. Nothing here is a pick.

Fort Worth challenger 2026 (USA) 24.10.26 SF

Semi-final previews from the Fort Worth Challenger on hard courts, with form, serve and return numbers and a full Tale of the Tape for every match. Times are as listed by the tournament schedule and may move with the order of play.

Matches

1. Jong vs Blanch
2. Brooksby vs Debru

Sander Jong vs Darwin Blanch

Fort Worth Challenger · Semi-final · 24 October · 21:00

🧠 Form & Context

Sander Jong

• 🔥 Ranked No. 451 at 26, 8–2 in his last 10.
• ✅ Beat Maxted, Wolf and Mayo to reach the semi-finals.
• 🚀 Big serve: 72.4% on first-serve points, 51.2% on second, 62.4% of break points saved.
• 🔁 The better returner: 41% of return points won and 44.7% of break points converted.
• ⚠️ Only 35% of tiebreaks won.

Darwin Blanch

• 🔥 Ranked No. 159 at 19, left-handed, also 8–2 in his last 10.
• ✅ Beat Pedrico Kravtsov, Milavsky and Rottgering to reach the semi-finals.
• 🚀 Wins 70.2% behind his first serve, 73% recently.
• 🏆 Wins 59% of tiebreaks.
• ⚠️ Weak on return: 38% of return points won.

🔍 Match Breakdown

A first meeting between two players on 8–2 runs. Blanch is ranked almost 300 places higher and is the favourite at 1.41.

Jong has the edge on serve across the board – 72.4% vs 70.2% on first-serve points, slightly better on the second, and stronger break-point defence (62.4% vs 60.9%).

He is also the better returner: 41% of return points won against Blanch's 38%, and 44.7% of break points converted against 41.5%.

The one big weakness in Jong's game is tiebreaks – just 35% won, against Blanch's 59%. In a serve-dominated match, that could decide it.

Jong has the better serve and return numbers; Blanch has the ranking and the tiebreak record. Closer than the price suggests.

📊 Tale of the Tape

Metric	Jong	Blanch
Ranking	451	159
Age	26	19
Last 10	8–2	8–2
Head-to-head	0	0
First serves in	61.1%	60.5%
1st-serve points won	72.4%	70.2%
2nd-serve points won	51.2%	50.1%
Break points saved	62.4%	60.9%
Break points converted	44.7%	41.5%
Return points won (career)	41%	38%
Tiebreak win %	35%	59%
Deciding-set win % (career)	63%	52%
Best-of-3 win %	66%	57%

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Jenson Brooksby vs Gabriel Debru

Fort Worth Challenger · Semi-final · 24 October · 22:30

🧠 Form & Context

Jenson Brooksby

• 📊 Ranked No. 99 at 25, a former top-40 player, 5–5 in his last 10.
• ✅ Beat Legout and Maloney to reach the semi-finals.
• 🎾 The steadier server: 66.1% of first serves in, 51.3% on second, 60.1% of break points saved.
• 🏆 Wins 58% of tiebreaks.
• ⚠️ Has won only 29% of deciding sets this season.

Gabriel Debru

• 🔥 Ranked No. 673 at 20, 7–3 in his last 10 and winning 86% of recent matches.
• ✅ Beat Shick, Rybakov and Arutiunian to reach the semi-finals.
• 🔁 The better returner: 41% of return points won and 43.8% of break points converted.
• 🏆 Has won 80% of deciding sets this season.
• ⚠️ Weaker on the second serve: 48.6% won.

🔍 Match Breakdown

A first meeting. Brooksby is ranked almost 600 places higher and is a heavy favourite at 1.17.

Brooksby has the more reliable serve – more first serves in, stronger on the second ball and better at saving break points – while their first-serve win rates are almost identical (66.9% vs 67.3%).

Debru is slightly the better returner (41% vs 40% of return points) and arrives in outstanding form, winning 86% of his recent matches.

Their career deciding-set records are identical (59%), but this season Debru has won 80% of his deciders against Brooksby's 29%. Brooksby is the stronger tiebreak player (58% vs 48%).

Brooksby has the ranking, the serve and the experience; Debru has the form. Closer than 1.17 suggests.

📊 Tale of the Tape

Metric	Brooksby	Debru
Ranking	99	673
Age	25	20
Last 10	5–5	7–3
Head-to-head	0	0
First serves in	66.1%	63.1%
1st-serve points won	66.9%	67.3%
2nd-serve points won	51.3%	48.6%
Break points saved	60.1%	58.5%
Break points converted	43.4%	43.8%
Return points won (career)	40%	41%
Tiebreak win %	58%	48%
Deciding-set win % (career)	59%	59%
Best-of-3 win %	61%	59%

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Cali challenger 2026 (Colombia) 24.10.26 SF

Semi-final previews from the Cali Challenger on clay, with form, serve and return numbers and a full Tale of the Tape for every match. Times are as listed by the tournament schedule and may move with the order of play.

Matches

1. Meligeni Alves vs Aboian
2. Heide vs Pucinelli de Almeida

Felipe Meligeni Alves vs Valerio Aboian

Cali Challenger · Semi-final · 24 October · 17:00

🧠 Form & Context

Felipe Meligeni Alves

• 📈 Ranked No. 396 at 28, 7–3 in his last 10.
• ✅ Beat Ficovich, Dedura and Zarate to reach the semi-finals.
• ⚔️ Won their only meeting, 6–2 6–4 in Quito in July.
• 🔒 The more reliable server: 67.3% of first serves in, 61.2% of break points saved, 71% recently.
• 🏆 Wins 59% of tiebreaks.

Valerio Aboian

• 📊 Ranked No. 340 at 24, left-handed, 6–4 in his last 10.
• ✅ Beat Tobon in the quarter-finals.
• 🔁 The better returner: 43% of return points won and 45.8% of break points converted.
• 🏆 Has won 61% of deciding sets over his career and 66% this season.
• ⚠️ Lands only 60.9% of first serves.

🔍 Match Breakdown

A rematch from Quito in July, which Meligeni Alves won in straight sets. He is the favourite at 1.32.

Meligeni Alves has the more reliable serve – more first serves in (67.3% vs 60.9%), more points won behind both serves, and better break-point defence (61.2% vs 58.1%).

Aboian is the clearly better returner: 43% of return points won against 40%, and far more points won against the first serve (37.4% vs 32.9%).

The tight-set picture is split – Meligeni Alves wins more tiebreaks (59% vs 50%), Aboian more deciding sets (61% vs 52%).

Meligeni Alves has the serve and the head-to-head; Aboian has the return and the deciding-set record. Closer than 1.32 suggests.

📊 Tale of the Tape

Metric	Meligeni Alves	Aboian
Ranking	396	340
Age	28	24
Last 10	7–3	6–4
Head-to-head	1	0
First serves in	67.3%	60.9%
1st-serve points won	66.5%	65.3%
2nd-serve points won	50.9%	49.0%
Break points saved	61.2%	58.1%
Break points converted	43.0%	45.8%
Return points won (career)	40%	43%
Tiebreak win %	59%	50%
Deciding-set win % (career)	52%	61%
Best-of-3 win %	60%	61%

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Gustavo Heide vs Matheus Pucinelli de Almeida

Cali Challenger · Semi-final · 24 October · 18:30

🧠 Form & Context

Gustavo Heide

• 🔥 Ranked No. 114 at 24, 8–2 in his last 10.
• ✅ Beat Hernandez, Varillas and Rodriguez Taverna to reach the semi-finals.
• 🚀 Big serve: 71.9% on first-serve points, 52.9% on second, 62.1% of break points saved.
• 🏆 Wins 62% of tiebreaks, with a 64% career record in best-of-three.
• ⚠️ Lands only 56% of first serves.

Matheus Pucinelli de Almeida

• 📊 Ranked No. 240 at 25, 5–5 in his last 10.
• ✅ Beat Pereira, Jarry and La Serna to reach the semi-finals.
• 🔁 The better returner: 42% of return points won and 45.4% of break points converted.
• 🎾 Lands 65.2% of first serves.
• ⚠️ Only 43% of deciding sets won over his career.

🔍 Match Breakdown

A third meeting between two Brazilians, with the head-to-head level at 1–1. Heide won the most recent, in straight sets in Bogota in 2023, and is the favourite at 1.52.

Heide has the bigger serve – 71.9% on first-serve points against 66.3%, and 62.1% of break points saved against 58.6% – though Pucinelli de Almeida lands far more first serves.

Pucinelli de Almeida is the better returner (42% vs 40% of return points) and converts more of his break chances (45.4% vs 41.2%).

In a match of holds, Heide's tiebreak record stands out: 62% won against 48%. He also has the better deciding-set numbers.

Heide has the serve, the form and the clutch record; Pucinelli de Almeida has the return. Closer than the price suggests.

📊 Tale of the Tape

Metric	Heide	Pucinelli de Almeida
Ranking	114	240
Age	24	25
Last 10	8–2	5–5
Head-to-head	1	1
First serves in	56.0%	65.2%
1st-serve points won	71.9%	66.3%
2nd-serve points won	52.9%	51.5%
Break points saved	62.1%	58.6%
Break points converted	41.2%	45.4%
Return points won (career)	40%	42%
Tiebreak win %	62%	48%
Deciding-set win % (career)	51%	43%
Best-of-3 win %	64%	61%

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Lisbon challenger 2026 (Portugal) 24.10.26 SF

Semi-final previews from the Lisbon Challenger on clay, with form, serve and return numbers and a full Tale of the Tape for every match. Times are as listed by the tournament schedule and may move with the order of play.

Matches

1. Trungelliti vs Ritschard
2. Gulin vs Moller

Marco Trungelliti vs Alexander Ritschard

Lisbon Challenger · Semi-final · 24 October · 11:00

🧠 Form & Context

Marco Trungelliti

• 📊 Ranked No. 90 at 36, 6–4 in his last 10.
• ✅ Beat Caniato and Dodig to reach the semi-finals.
• ⚔️ Leads the head-to-head 3–0, including wins at ATP level in Miami and Gstaad in 2025.
• 🏆 Strong in deciding sets: 61% won over his career.
• ⚠️ Lands only 57.8% of first serves.

Alexander Ritschard

• 🔥 Ranked No. 483 at 32, 9–1 in his last 10 and winning 85% of recent matches.
• ✅ Beat Brancaccio and Nagal to reach the semi-finals.
• 🚀 Serving brilliantly recently: 74% on first-serve points.
• 🔓 Converting 47% of break points recently.
• 🏆 Has won 80% of deciding sets this season.

🔍 Match Breakdown

A fourth meeting, and Trungelliti has won all three – twice on clay, including Gstaad last year, and once on hard courts in Miami. He is the favourite at 1.72.

Ritschard arrives on a 9–1 run and has the slightly stronger serve: 69.8% vs 68.2% on first-serve points, with better break-point defence.

On return they are level at 41% of return points each, though Ritschard has been converting 47% of his break chances recently.

Trungelliti has the better career deciding-set record (61% vs 54%), while Ritschard has won 80% of his deciders this season.

Trungelliti has the head-to-head and the experience; Ritschard has the form and the serve. Closer than the price suggests.

📊 Tale of the Tape

Metric	Trungelliti	Ritschard
Ranking	90	483
Age	36	32
Last 10	6–4	9–1
Head-to-head	3	0
First serves in	57.8%	59.1%
1st-serve points won	68.2%	69.8%
2nd-serve points won	49.4%	50.0%
Break points saved	59.7%	60.5%
Break points converted	41.8%	41.4%
Return points won (career)	41%	41%
Tiebreak win %	51%	53%
Deciding-set win % (career)	61%	54%
Best-of-3 win %	59%	60%

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Svyatoslav Gulin vs Elmer Moller

Lisbon Challenger · Semi-final · 24 October · 12:30

🧠 Form & Context

Svyatoslav Gulin

• 📊 Ranked No. 545 at 23, 6–4 in his last 10.
• ✅ Beat Schoen, Andrej Martin and Pellegrino to reach the semi-finals.
• 🎾 Stronger on the second serve: 52.4% won.
• 🏆 Has won 58% of deciding sets, with a 69% career record in best-of-three.
• ⚠️ Has won only 41% of deciding sets this season.

Elmer Moller

• 📈 Ranked No. 163 at 23, 7–3 in his last 10.
• ✅ Beat the home favourite Rocha in the quarter-finals.
• ⚔️ Won their only meeting, 1–6 7–5 6–2 at an ITF event in Heraklion in 2023.
• 🔁 The better returner: 45% of return points won and 46.4% of break points converted.
• ⚠️ Weak on the second serve: 46.9% won.

🔍 Match Breakdown

A rematch of a three-set ITF meeting in 2023, which Moller won from a set down. Moller is the favourite at 1.40 after knocking out the home favourite Rocha.

Gulin has the clear edge on the second serve (52.4% vs 46.9%) and slightly better numbers behind his first serve.

Moller is the better returner – 45% of return points against 43% – and both convert around 46% of their break chances.

Gulin has the better career deciding-set (58% vs 51%) and best-of-three (69% vs 64%) records.

Moller has the ranking, the return and the head-to-head; Gulin has the second serve and the clutch numbers. Closer than the price suggests.

📊 Tale of the Tape

Metric	Gulin	Moller
Ranking	545	163
Age	23	23
Last 10	6–4	7–3
Head-to-head	0	1
First serves in	61.2%	62.5%
1st-serve points won	66.3%	65.8%
2nd-serve points won	52.4%	46.9%
Break points saved	58.8%	58.4%
Break points converted	46.0%	46.4%
Return points won (career)	43%	45%
Tiebreak win %	54%	55%
Deciding-set win % (career)	58%	51%
Best-of-3 win %	69%	64%

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Florence challenger 2026 (Italy) 24.10.26 SF

The first semi-final at the Florence Challenger on clay – the second will be set once the quarter-final between Forti and Roca Batalla is completed – with form, serve and return numbers and a full Tale of the Tape for every match. Times are as listed by the tournament schedule and may move with the order of play.

Matches

1. Kopp vs Romano

Sandro Kopp vs Filippo Romano

Florence Challenger · Semi-final · 24 October · 11:30

🧠 Form & Context

Sandro Kopp

• 📊 Ranked No. 308 at 26, 4–6 in his last 10.
• ✅ Beat Pieri and Marti Pujolras to reach the semi-finals.
• ⚔️ Leads the head-to-head 2–0, including a 6–4 6–4 win on clay in Monza in April.
• 🎾 The steadier server: 67.6% of first serves in and 51.6% won on second.
• ⚠️ Has won only 41% of deciding sets this season.

Filippo Romano

• 📊 Ranked No. 301 at 21, 4–6 in his last 10.
• ✅ Beat Jianu, Milev and Donald to reach the semi-finals.
• 🚀 The bigger first serve: 70% won, with 66% of break points saved recently.
• 🏆 Has won 67% of deciding sets this season.
• ⚠️ Weak on return – 38% of return points won – and 44% of tiebreaks won.

🔍 Match Breakdown

A third meeting between two players ranked side by side. Kopp has won both previous matches in straight sets and is the favourite at 1.72.

Romano has the bigger first serve (70% vs 66.4% won), while Kopp lands far more first serves (67.6% vs 59.7%) and is stronger on the second ball.

Kopp is slightly the better returner (40% vs 38% of return points), which matters in a match where breaks should be rare.

Kopp has the better career tight-set record (52% of tiebreaks against 44%, 50% of deciding sets against 39%), but Romano has won 67% of his deciders this season.

Kopp has the head-to-head and the more complete serve; Romano has the first-serve weapon and the momentum of three wins this week. Closer than the price suggests.

📊 Tale of the Tape

Metric	Kopp	Romano
Ranking	308	301
Age	26	21
Last 10	4–6	4–6
Head-to-head	2	0
First serves in	67.6%	59.7%
1st-serve points won	66.4%	70.0%
2nd-serve points won	51.6%	48.6%
Break points saved	59.0%	59.5%
Break points converted	41.9%	40.3%
Return points won (career)	40%	38%
Tiebreak win %	52%	44%
Deciding-set win % (career)	50%	39%
Best-of-3 win %	58%	49%

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Guangzhou challenger 2026 (China) 24.10.26 SF

Semi-final previews from the Guangzhou Challenger on hard courts, with form, serve and return numbers and a full Tale of the Tape for every match. Times are as listed by the tournament schedule and may move with the order of play.

Matches

1. Wong vs Zhou
2. Schoolkate vs Cui

Coleman Wong vs Yi Zhou

Guangzhou Challenger · Semi-final · 24 October · 04:00

🧠 Form & Context

Coleman Wong

• 📈 Ranked No. 92 at 22, 7–3 in his last 10.
• ✅ Beat Hara Friend in the quarter-finals.
• ⚔️ Won their only meeting, 7–6 4–6 6–2 in Seoul last year.
• 🚀 Big first serve: 71.9% won, 76% recently.
• 🏆 Wins 60% of tiebreaks, with a 53% deciding-set record.

Yi Zhou

• 📈 Ranked No. 280 at 21, 6–4 in his last 10.
• ✅ Beat Zhang and Ilagan on his way to the semi-finals.
• 🔒 Saves 62% of break points, 68% recently.
• 🎾 Slightly stronger on the second serve: 50.3% won.
• ⚠️ Weak in tight sets: 45% of tiebreaks and 35% of deciding sets won.

🔍 Match Breakdown

A rematch from Seoul last year, which Wong won in three sets. Wong is the favourite at 1.44, with the home player Zhou at 2.62.

Wong has the bigger first serve (71.9% vs 69.9% won), while Zhou lands slightly more first serves and saves more break points.

Both return poorly – 38% of return points each – so this is a match of holds where a handful of points will decide it.

That favours Wong, who wins 60% of tiebreaks against Zhou's 45%, and 53% of deciding sets against 35%.

Wong has the first serve, the clutch numbers and the head-to-head. Zhou has home support and has been tough to break all week.

📊 Tale of the Tape

Metric	Wong	Zhou
Ranking	92	280
Age	22	21
Last 10	7–3	6–4
Head-to-head	1	0
First serves in	60.2%	61.0%
1st-serve points won	71.9%	69.9%
2nd-serve points won	49.5%	50.3%
Break points saved	59.8%	62.0%
Break points converted	39.6%	40.0%
Return points won (career)	38%	38%
Tiebreak win %	60%	45%
Deciding-set win % (career)	53%	35%
Best-of-3 win %	56%	47%

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Tristan Schoolkate vs Jie Cui

Guangzhou Challenger · Semi-final · 24 October · 05:30

🧠 Form & Context

Tristan Schoolkate

• 📊 Ranked No. 169 at 25, 5–5 in his last 10.
• ✅ Beat Keegan Smith in the quarter-finals.
• 🚀 A huge first serve: 74.3% won, 74% recently.
• 🔒 Saves 61.2% of break points.
• ⚠️ Has lost both meetings with Cui, and converts only 38.4% of break points.

Jie Cui

• 📊 Ranked No. 448 at 28, 4–6 in his last 10.
• ✅ Beat Hsu, Wu and Santillan to reach the semi-finals.
• ⚔️ Leads the head-to-head 2–0, both straight-set wins in Wuxi.
• 🔁 The better returner: 40% of return points won and 44% of break points converted.
• ⚠️ Only 23% of deciding sets won this season.

🔍 Match Breakdown

A third meeting, and Cui has won both previous matches in straight sets, in Wuxi in 2024 and 2025. Schoolkate is still the favourite at 1.50.

Schoolkate's first serve is the dominant weapon: 74.3% won against Cui's 67.1%, and he saves more break points (61.2% vs 56.9%).

Cui is the better returner – 40% vs 38% of return points, and 44% of break points converted against 38.4% – and is stronger on the second serve.

Schoolkate has the better tight-set record (57% of deciding sets against 47%), and Cui has won only 23% of deciders this season.

Schoolkate has the serve and the ranking; Cui has the return, the head-to-head and the run of the week. A close one.

📊 Tale of the Tape

Metric	Schoolkate	Cui
Ranking	169	448
Age	25	28
Last 10	5–5	4–6
Head-to-head	0	2
First serves in	60.1%	63.3%
1st-serve points won	74.3%	67.1%
2nd-serve points won	49.1%	51.0%
Break points saved	61.2%	56.9%
Break points converted	38.4%	44.0%
Return points won (career)	38%	40%
Tiebreak win %	50%	44%
Deciding-set win % (career)	57%	47%
Best-of-3 win %	57%	56%

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