Wednesday, August 27, 2025

Anastasia Potapova vs Mirra Andreeva

Potapova vs Andreeva — US Open 2R Preview
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Potapova vs Andreeva — US Open 2R Preview

WTA US Open Hard Court 2nd Round

🧠 Form & Context

Anastasia Potapova (No. 53, age 24)

  • 🇷🇺 Former top-25 player whose 2025 has derailed after a bright start.
  • 📊 2025: 21–14 overall, but just 3 wins since May.
  • 🔥 USO 1R: Beat Zhu Lin 6–4, 4–6, 6–2 — her first hard-court win since Montreal.
  • 🏟️ Slam season: R2 AO, R2 RG, R1 Wimbledon. Still hasn’t reached a Slam R3 this year.
  • ⚠️ Issues: Confidence low, streak of early exits, injury interruptions (Berlin, Stuttgart).

Mirra Andreeva (No. 5, age 18)

  • 🇷🇺 Teen phenom, already a top-5 player.
  • 📊 2025: 37–12 overall, 21–5 on hard. Titles: Dubai, Indian Wells.
  • 🔥 USO 1R: Destroyed Alycia Parks 6–0, 6–1 in 53 minutes, dropping just 10 points on serve.
  • 🏟️ Slam record: Wimbledon QF (2024, 2025), Roland Garros QF (2025), AO R16 (2025). Looking to reach her first USO R3 after two 2R exits.
  • 💡 Consistency: 8 quarterfinals or better this year, including 6 at WTA 1000+.

📜 Head-to-Head

  • 2022 Monastir: Potapova won 6–3, 6–4 (Andreeva’s early days).
  • 2023 Wimbledon R3: Andreeva won 6–2, 7–5, showing her maturity and ability to adjust.
  • H2H tied 1–1.

🔍 Match Breakdown

Form contrast: Potapova is grinding just to stay afloat, while Andreeva is one of the most consistent winners on tour.

Game dynamics: Potapova’s flat baseline game can hurt opponents if she hits cleanly, but her inconsistency gives Andreeva the chance to dictate tempo.

Physical & mental edges: Andreeva is fresher, sharper, and has turned Slam 2R into routine wins (7–2 record at this stage). Potapova often falters under pressure late in sets.

Upset angle: Potapova must serve big and shorten points; otherwise Andreeva’s patience and rally tolerance will wear her down.

🔮 Prediction

Potapova’s fight vs Zhu showed grit, but this is a step up against one of the steadiest performers of 2025. Unless Andreeva suffers a letdown, the teenager should control exchanges and extend her Slam consistency.

Pick: Andreeva in 2 sets — Potapova might keep one set close, but Andreeva’s form and confidence should prove decisive.

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