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Potapova vs Andreeva — US Open 2R Preview
🧠 Form & Context
Anastasia Potapova (No. 53, age 24)
- 🇷🇺 Former top-25 player whose 2025 has derailed after a bright start.
- 📊 2025: 21–14 overall, but just 3 wins since May.
- 🔥 USO 1R: Beat Zhu Lin 6–4, 4–6, 6–2 — her first hard-court win since Montreal.
- 🏟️ Slam season: R2 AO, R2 RG, R1 Wimbledon. Still hasn’t reached a Slam R3 this year.
- ⚠️ Issues: Confidence low, streak of early exits, injury interruptions (Berlin, Stuttgart).
Mirra Andreeva (No. 5, age 18)
- 🇷🇺 Teen phenom, already a top-5 player.
- 📊 2025: 37–12 overall, 21–5 on hard. Titles: Dubai, Indian Wells.
- 🔥 USO 1R: Destroyed Alycia Parks 6–0, 6–1 in 53 minutes, dropping just 10 points on serve.
- 🏟️ Slam record: Wimbledon QF (2024, 2025), Roland Garros QF (2025), AO R16 (2025). Looking to reach her first USO R3 after two 2R exits.
- 💡 Consistency: 8 quarterfinals or better this year, including 6 at WTA 1000+.
📜 Head-to-Head
- 2022 Monastir: Potapova won 6–3, 6–4 (Andreeva’s early days).
- 2023 Wimbledon R3: Andreeva won 6–2, 7–5, showing her maturity and ability to adjust.
- H2H tied 1–1.
🔍 Match Breakdown
Form contrast: Potapova is grinding just to stay afloat, while Andreeva is one of the most consistent winners on tour.
Game dynamics: Potapova’s flat baseline game can hurt opponents if she hits cleanly, but her inconsistency gives Andreeva the chance to dictate tempo.
Physical & mental edges: Andreeva is fresher, sharper, and has turned Slam 2R into routine wins (7–2 record at this stage). Potapova often falters under pressure late in sets.
Upset angle: Potapova must serve big and shorten points; otherwise Andreeva’s patience and rally tolerance will wear her down.
🔮 Prediction
Potapova’s fight vs Zhu showed grit, but this is a step up against one of the steadiest performers of 2025. Unless Andreeva suffers a letdown, the teenager should control exchanges and extend her Slam consistency.
Pick: Andreeva in 2 sets — Potapova might keep one set close, but Andreeva’s form and confidence should prove decisive.
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