Benjamin Bonzi vs Marcos Giron

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Benjamin Bonzi vs Marcos Giron — US Open 2R Preview

ATP US Open Hard Court Round of 64

🧠 Form & Context

Benjamin Bonzi (No. 51, age 29)

• 🇫🇷 French shotmaker, back near his career-high ranking.
• 📊 2025: 19–20 (13–10 on hard).
• 🔥 R1: Stunned Medvedev in 5 sets — recovered after nearly blowing a set + break lead. Second Slam win over Medvedev this year (also Wimbledon).
• 🏟️ US Open: Best = 3R (2023). Solid comfort level on North American hard courts.
• ⚠️ Known closer issues — can get tight when serving out sets/matches.

Marcos Giron (No. 55, age 32)

• 🇺🇸 Californian grinder, thrives in US conditions and crowd support.
• 📊 2025: 18–20 (10–10 on hard).
• 🔥 R1: Beat Navone in 5 sets — avenged a tough Winston-Salem loss from last week.
• 🏟️ US Open: Snapped 3 straight R1 losses, but has never gone beyond R2.
• ⚠️ Fatigue watch — long opener and came in on a 4-match losing streak.

🔍 Match Breakdown

• 🤝 H2H: First meeting.
• 📈 Momentum: Bonzi riding confidence after Medvedev scalp; Giron steady but less impactful win.
• 🎯 Conditions: Both at home on hard courts; Giron draws crowd energy, Bonzi has bigger weapons to silence it.
• 🪫 Physical factor: Both played 5-set openers — early lead crucial in energy management.
• 🔢 Stat lines: Bonzi 3–0 vs top-20 in last 3; Giron 0–4 in US Open lead-ins.

🔮 Prediction

Bonzi has the bigger scalp and confidence momentum, while Giron carries the grind and home support. Fatigue and nerves could swing things, but Bonzi’s firepower plus recent top-tier wins tilt the edge his way.

Pick: Bonzi in 4 tight sets — expect swings and possible tiebreaks, with small upset risk if closing nerves bite.

📊 Tale of the Tape (Qualitative)

• Form trend: Bonzi trending up with marquee wins; Giron finally snapping R1 curse.
• Surface fit: Both at home on hard; Bonzi’s serve + forehand heavier weapons.
• Mental notes: Bonzi vulnerable closing matches; Giron solid competitor with crowd lift.
• Fatigue factor: Both had 5-set openers — management early on will be decisive.
• Experience edge: Giron more seasoned at USO, but Bonzi’s Slam breakthroughs more impactful recently.