Brandon Nakashima vs Jerome Kym

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Brandon Nakashima vs Jerome Kym — US Open 2R

ATP US Open Hard Court 2nd Round

🧠 Form & Context

Brandon Nakashima (No. 31, age 24)

• 🇺🇸 Home favorite with a clean baseline package and a 2025 top-30 breakthrough.
• 📊 2025: 27–22 (15–10 hard). No titles, but steady depth: SF Acapulco; QF Washington; R16 at Madrid, Miami, Indian Wells.
• 🏟️ US Open: Best = R16 (2024). 2025 Slams: AO 1R, RG 1R, Wimbledon R3.
• 🔥 Summer swing: Losses only to elite names (De Minaur, Shelton, Zverev).
• ⚠️ R1: Needed five vs Jesper De Jong; survived shaky patches and tiebreak pressure. Must raise his first-strike efficiency.

Jerome Kym (No. 175, age 22)

• 🇨🇭 198 cm right-hander with a big serve and emerging confidence.
• 📊 2025: 26–17 (5–2 hard). Mostly Challenger volume; best ATP result = Gstaad QF.
• 🏟️ Slam note: Earned first main-draw win here (d. Ethan Quinn in 4) after qualifying.
• ⚠️ Season shape: Injury-interrupted spring, but momentum rebuilt through summer.
• 💡 Junior flashback: Upset Alcaraz at U14 level — raw talent was evident; pro rise slowed by fitness stops/starts.

🔍 Match Breakdown

• H2H: First meeting (0–0).
• Surface edge: Hard courts suit Nakashima’s flat, measured ball-striking and serve consistency. Kym’s serve/forehand can still nick sets if he lands spots.
• Pressure dynamic: Nakashima’s Slam form has been volatile in 2025; lower-ranked opponents have dragged him deep. Kym arrives fearless with nothing to lose.
• X-factor: If Nakashima controls with first-serve percentage and backhand patterns, he dictates. If this stretches to multiple tiebreaks or a fourth/fifth set, Kym’s free hitting and fresher legs invite variance.

🔮 Prediction

Experience, home crowd, and a higher hard-court baseline lean Nakashima. Kym’s serve can keep him close, and a drifting Brandon can be forced into long spells, but over four or five sets the American’s rally tolerance and point construction should carry.

Pick: Nakashima in 4 sets. Upset alert: Small but live if Nakashima’s focus wobbles.

📊 Tale of the Tape (Qualitative)

• Experience & Slam mileage: Edge Nakashima.
• Serve threat: Close — Kym has higher peak pop; Nakashima more repeatable placement.
• Baseline patterns: Edge Nakashima (backhand reliability, depth control).
• Momentum & confidence: Nakashima steady vs top fields; Kym surging post-qualies.
• Crowd factor: Boost for Nakashima in NYC.
• Upset path: Short points + first-serve bursts + tiebreaks for Kym.