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Vondrousova vs Selekhmeteva — US Open R1 Preview
🧠 Form & Context
Oksana Selekhmeteva (No. 166, age 22)
- 🇷🇺 Left-hander who battled through qualifying with three gritty three-set wins (Riera, Shymanovich, Akli).
- 🎾 Fourth career Slam main draw, first at the US Open; still chasing maiden WTA main draw win since Prague QF last year.
- 📊 2025 record: 31–16 overall, 9–3 on hard; mainly ITFs/125Ks keeping her in top 200.
- ⚡ Strengths: Solid lefty angles, rally tolerance.
- ⚠️ Weaknesses: Inexperienced at Slam level, 0–3 in Slam main draws, struggles to close vs. top players.
Marketa Vondrousova (No. 58, age 26)
- 🇨🇿 2023 Wimbledon champion, 2019 Roland Garros finalist.
- 🏟️ US Open best: Quarterfinal in 2023.
- 📉 Fitness battles since 2024 Wimbledon; 14–8 in 2025 with long breaks.
- 🔥 Highlight: Berlin title run in June — beat Sabalenka, Jabeur, Keys, Shnaider.
- ⚠️ Concerns: Match rust; 6–6 on hard this year, prone to rhythm dips.
📊 Head-to-Head
Vondrousova leads 1–0 — Roland Garros 2025 R1, 6–4, 6–4.
🔍 Match Breakdown
Lefty vs. lefty, but Vondrousova brings layers of variety and the Slam pedigree. Selekhmeteva’s straightforward baseline game risks being unraveled by Vondrousova’s defense-to-attack switches and angles.
Selekhmeteva showed grit in qualifying, yet she hasn’t beaten a top-100 player at a Slam. Longer rallies might give her flashes, but sustaining pressure looks unlikely against Vondrousova’s guile. The Czech’s main risk is match rust—she has been inconsistent post-Wimbledon. Still, Berlin proved she can find elite levels quickly.
🔮 Prediction
Nice milestone for Selekhmeteva, but the gulf in quality is real. Unless Vondrousova completely flatlines, her craft and experience should see her through in straights.
Pick: Vondrousova in 2 sets (tight opener possible).
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