Sunday, August 24, 2025

Kudermetova vs Tjen

Kudermetova vs Tjen — US Open 1R Preview
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Kudermetova vs Tjen — US Open 1R Preview

WTA US Open Hard Court First Round

🧠 Form & Context

Veronika Kudermetova (No. 26, age 28)

  • 🔥 Hot swing: 7 wins across Montreal (R3) & Cincinnati (SF).
  • 📉 Slam jitters: US Open R1 record 1–5; best run R16 (2022).
  • 🎾 2025 scalps: Bencic, Tauson among recent wins.
  • 💡 Style: Flat, powerful ball striker with quick finishing instincts at net.
  • ⚠️ Key question: Can she shake slow starts in New York?

Janice Tjen (No. 147, age 23)

  • 🇮🇩 Historic debut: First Indonesian woman in a Slam MD since 2004.
  • 🚀 Blazing qualies: 3 straight-set wins; routed Ito in 49 minutes.
  • 🏆 ITF force: 13 titles since June 2024 (six in 2025).
  • 📈 Confidence up: Recent finals at W75 Lexington & W100 Landisville.
  • 🎾 Style: Quick feet, aggressive returner — but untested vs top‑30.

Head‑to‑Head: First meeting (0–0).

🔍 Match Breakdown

Kudermetova enters with tour‑level power and a productive North American tune‑up, yet her US Open openers have often gone sideways. The forehand’s flat pace and first‑strike patterns should still put her in charge if the first‑serve holds around par.

Tjen brings fearless tempo from a dominant qualifying run. Her best path is stress‑testing Kudermetova’s starts: jump on second serves, take the return early, and shrink rallies. If the favorite steadies the serve + first‑ball combo, Tjen will need a sustained purple patch to flip momentum.

🔮 Prediction

Wonderful story for Tjen and a live underdog vibe early, but the step from ITF dominance to WTA 1000/Slam pace is steep on Day 1. Kudermetova’s recent form and weight of shot should carry the big points.

Pick: Kudermetova in 2 sets (one competitive set feels likely).

📊 Tale of the Tape (Qualitative)

  • Power & first strike: Edge Kudermetova — heavier, flatter ball.
  • Return pressure: Edge Tjen — aggressive looks if 2nd serves appear.
  • Experience: Clear edge Kudermetova at tour/Slam level.
  • Form & momentum: Both positive; Kudermetova’s at higher tier.
  • Upset keys: Tjen must start fast and feast on second serves.

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