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Danilovic vs Uchijima — US Open 1R Preview
🧠 Form & Context
Olga Danilovic (No. 41, age 24)
- 🌟 Breakthrough Slam year: Australian Open R4, Roland‑Garros R3.
- ✅ Consistent starter: 8–1 in Slam R1 matches (3–0 in 2025).
- 🏆 Titles: Antalya (March) plus multiple ITF/WTA trophies.
- 📉 Hard-court prep: 1–2 on the NA swing, but riding a career-best ranking peak (No. 32 in June).
- 🎾 Game: Lefty power, heavy topspin FH, thrives when she finds rhythm.
Moyuka Uchijima (No. 92, age 24)
- 📈 Hit career-high No. 47 in May before a severe 10‑match losing streak.
- ⚡ Earlier highs: QFs in Rouen & Madrid (wins over Pegula, Jabeur in Madrid).
- 📉 Current form: 0–10 since May; first‑round exits at Wimbledon, Montreal, Cincinnati, Cleveland.
- 🇯🇵 US Open best: R2 (2024).
- 🎾 Style: Counterpunching mover; can frustrate but lacks consistent finishing power.
Head‑to‑Head: Danilovic leads 1–0 (Rouen 2025 QF: 7–6, 4–6, 6–1).
🔍 Match Breakdown
Danilovic’s 2025 Slam body of work suggests she’s learned how to handle openers with composure. On hard courts, her lefty forehand into the Uchijima backhand should repeatedly set patterns she likes, provided she keeps the unforced errors down.
Uchijima’s path: defend in lanes, change direction early with the backhand, and lean on depth to tease errors. But with confidence dented by a prolonged skid, she’ll likely need a fast start and scoreboard pressure to unsettle Danilovic.
🔮 Prediction
The Serb has moved beyond “qualifier vibes” this season. Uchijima can extend rallies and make one set tight if her defense bites, yet trendlines and weapons favor Danilovic over two sets.
Pick: Danilovic in 2 sets (one close, one clearer).
📊 Tale of the Tape (Qualitative)
- First‑strike weight: Edge Danilovic — heavier lefty forehand.
- Rally tolerance: Slight edge Uchijima when she’s confident.
- Serve patterns: Danilovic can open the deuce court wide; key for cheap points.
- Form meter: Danilovic positive; Uchijima on a slide.
- Upset keys: Uchijima must start fast, attack 2nd serve, and extend neutral rallies.
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