Sunday, August 24, 2025

Lehecka vs Coric

Lehecka vs Coric — US Open 1R Preview
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Lehecka vs Coric — US Open 1R Preview

ATP US Open Hard Court First Round

🧠 Form & Context

Jiri Lehecka (No. 21, age 23)

  • 📈 Strong turnaround: from shaky spring to pushing top-20.
  • 🌱 Grass breakthrough: Finalist at Queen’s Club.
  • 🔥 USO Series: Wins over solid names, only losing to top seeds (De Minaur, Fritz, Shelton).
  • 🏟️ Slam reliability: 8–1 in last 9 Slam openers (only loss USO 2023).
  • ⚠️ Weak point: US Open remains his least successful major.

Borna Coric (No. 104, age 28)

  • 📉 Struggling: Five straight main-draw losses, incl. upset by 16-year-old Darwin Blanch in Winston-Salem.
  • 🔄 Dropped to Challengers earlier this year (titles won) but can’t translate back to ATP level.
  • 🏟️ US Open history: Junior champ (2013), QF (2020), R16 (2018).
  • ⚠️ Issue: Confidence shot, inconsistency in closing matches.

Head-to-Head: Lehecka leads 1–0 (AO 2023, straight sets).

🔍 Match Breakdown

Lehecka is playing with clarity: beating those ranked below, pushing only higher-ranked names. His first-strike power and baseline weight should consistently put Coric on the back foot.

Coric still has muscle memory at Flushing Meadows, but right now he’s lacking belief. His best shot is to turn this into a grind, extend exchanges, and hope Lehecka blinks in New York where his past hasn’t been bright.

🔮 Prediction

Momentum and confidence point one way. Coric’s resume gives him pedigree, but the current gap in form is stark. Expect a focused Czech performance that moves efficiently into R2.

Pick: Lehecka in 3 sets.

📊 Tale of the Tape (Qualitative)

  • Power & first strike: Clear edge Lehecka.
  • Defensive grinding: Edge Coric, but only if confidence holds.
  • Form meter: Strongly with Lehecka.
  • USO history: Coric has pedigree, but Lehecka is trending up.
  • Upset keys (Coric): Extend rallies, frustrate, and test Lehecka’s patience in NY.

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