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Eala vs Tauson — US Open R1 Preview
🧠 Form & Context
Clara Tauson (No. 15, age 22)
- 📈 Career-best ranking off a strong 2025: WTA 1000 final (Dubai) + semifinal (Montreal).
- ⚖️ Mixed results: no back-to-back wins in 8 of her last 15 events.
- 🇺🇸 US Open: 3–4 overall, best R2 ×3 (2021, 2023, 2024).
- 🔥 North American swing: 6–3 with marquee wins over Świątek & Keys in Montreal.
- 🎾 Game: Heavy power baseline hitter; best when dictating tempo.
Alexandra Eala (No. 70, age 20)
- 🚀 Breakout 2025: Miami SF (beat Świątek & Keys) + Eastbourne runner-up.
- ⚠️ Slump since June: 0–2 post-Eastbourne; early exits at Wimbledon & Montreal.
- 🌍 US Open debut: first main-draw appearance (qualified last year).
- 📊 2025: 26–18 overall, 11–6 on hard.
- 💡 Style: Lefty variation, quick hands; angles/counterpunching can trouble big hitters.
📊 Head-to-Head
First meeting (0–0).
🔍 Match Breakdown
Tauson arrives with the higher ceiling, Slam seasoning, and headline wins this summer. Eala’s peaks in 2025 prove she can sting elite players, but inconsistency makes her a volatile pick in best-of-three.
Key hinge: If Eala absorbs pace and stretches rallies into patterns, the door opens. If Tauson lands first strike early — weighty serve plus forehand control — this can run on her terms.
🔮 Prediction
Closer than raw odds may imply. Eala’s lefty rhythm and underdog spark should create pockets of pressure, yet the Dane’s power-on-contact and recent confidence edge the margins.
Pick: Tauson in two tight sets (a tiebreak in play).
📊 Tale of the Tape (Qualitative)
- First-strike power: Edge Tauson — heavier ball when she sets feet.
- Rally elasticity: Edge Eala — lefty angles and counters to disrupt rhythm.
- Recent big-match reps: Edge Tauson — 1000-level deep runs in 2025.
- Form variance: Both streaky; Tauson’s top gear has proven higher this summer.
- USO familiarity: Edge Tauson — more match mileage in New York.
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