Jacquemot vs Bouzkova

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Jacquemot vs Bouzkova — US Open R1 Preview

WTA US Open Hard Court Round 1

🧠 Form & Context

Elsa Jacquemot (No. 91, age 22) 🇫🇷

• Breakthrough season: Maiden WTA QF in Cleveland (d. Zhu Lin & Sierra), plus R3 runs at Roland Garros and Wimbledon.
• 📊 2025: 42–26 overall, 9–5 on hard.
• 💡 Strengths: Steady baseliner, thrives in extended rallies; fearless vs higher-ranked players (d. Sakkari at RG).
• ⚠️ Weakness: Still adapting to main-tour hard courts; most success has been on clay.
• 🏟️ US Open: Chasing her first main-draw win in New York.

Marie Bouzkova (No. 44, age 27) 🇨🇿

• Summer resurgence: 10–2 on hard since July — Prague title, Montreal R16, Monterrey SF (ret. vs Alexandrova).
• 📊 2025: 26–16 overall, 15–7 on hard.
• 🏟️ US Open: Best = R3 (2023); historically had early exits before 2022.
• 💡 Strengths: Counterpunching, consistency, elite defense.
• ⚠️ Watch-out: Recent retirement raises mild fitness question.

Head-to-Head: First meeting.

🔍 Match Breakdown

Form: Bouzkova rides real momentum with a strong hard-court summer. Jacquemot enters buoyed by Cleveland and Slam breakthroughs, bringing belief and shot tolerance.

Styles: Bouzkova’s absorb-and-redirect toolkit naturally checks Jacquemot’s defensive base. For the Frenchwoman to flip it, she must inject pace early, step inside the baseline, and avoid settling into Bouzkova-friendly grind patterns.

Surface familiarity: Clear edge Bouzkova. Jacquemot’s quick adaptation in Cleveland is encouraging, but Bouzkova owns the deeper top-level hard-court reps.

Upset path: Target any lingering Bouzkova niggle, attack seconds, and keep rallies short with decisive FH strikes. If Bouzkova is fully fit, her floor/consistency likely carries.

🔮 Prediction

Jacquemot has been a 2025 bright spot, yet the current form and match-up lean toward Bouzkova’s steadiness and defensive craft on hard.

Pick: Bouzkova in two tight sets.

📊 Tale of the Tape (Qualitative)

• Form trend: Bouzkova hot summer run; Jacquemot rising but less proven on hard.
• Surface fit: Edge Bouzkova — comfort and volume on US hard.
• Rally pattern: Bouzkova thrives in long exchanges; Jacquemot must add first-strike pace.
• Intangibles: Bouzkova’s fitness watch; Jacquemot’s confidence from Cleveland/Slam R3s.
• Keys: Jacquemot: step in on 2nd serves; Bouzkova: depth/redirect to backhand, extend exchanges.