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Gabriel Diallo vs Damir Dzumhur — US Open 1R Preview
🧠 Form & Context
Gabriel Diallo (No. 33, age 23)
- 🇨🇦 Breakthrough Canadian, at a career-high ranking after 18 months of growth.
- 🏆 Won first ATP title this summer in ’s-Hertogenbosch (grass).
- 📊 2025: 31–23 overall, 13–12 on hard.
- 🏟️ 2024 US Open breakthrough: qualifier to 3R (beat Munar & Fils).
- 🔥 This year: Madrid Masters QF (beat Dimitrov & Norrie), Wimbledon 2R, Cincinnati R3 (lost to Sinner).
- ⚠️ North American swing: 3 wins, but losses all came to top-10s (Shelton, Fritz, Sinner).
Damir Dzumhur (No. 61, age 33)
- 🇧🇦 Veteran pushing back into the top 70.
- 📊 2025: 32–26 overall, 9–7 on hard.
- 🏟️ Slam note: First Slam wins since 2019 came at Roland Garros (beat Tirante & Mpetshi Perricard).
- 🔥 Highlights: SF in Umag & Bucharest, R3 in Madrid Masters, pushed Alcaraz to 3 sets in Cincinnati.
- ⚠️ Endurance issue: struggles in long matches; last US Open main-draw win = 2019.
Head-to-head: First meeting.
🔍 Match Breakdown
Diallo owns the bigger serve and forehand, with height and reach giving him easy points and firepower to dictate. His confidence in majors has grown with match wins at AO, RG, and Wimbledon this year.
Dzumhur brings veteran nous, variety, and court craft. If he can extend rallies and force Diallo into impatience, the Bosnian may carve out chances. But his physical endurance across best-of-five is the question mark.
Context leans Diallo: after facing top-10 opposition all summer, this is a step down in level. Dzumhur will test him with guile but lacks consistent weapons to seize control.
🔮 Prediction
This is Diallo’s chance to confirm his seeding status at a Slam. Expect Dzumhur’s experience to make it tricky at times, but the Canadian’s serve + power edge should tilt the match.
Pick: Diallo in 4 sets.
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