Khachanov K. - Basavareddy N.

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Karen Khachanov vs Nishesh Basavareddy — US Open 1R Preview

ATP US Open Hard Court Round 1

🧠 Form & Context

Karen Khachanov (No. 9, age 29)

• 🇷🇺 Back inside the top 10 off a Toronto Masters final run.
• 🔥 Statement wins over Ruud & Zverev in Canada snapped the top‑10 drought.
• 📊 2025: 31–18 (12–8 hard). Wimbledon QF + Toronto final = best Slam/Masters stretch in years.
• ⚠️ Watchpoint: Retired in Cincinnati (fatigue) but arrives in New York rested.
• 🏟️ US Open: 2022 semifinalist, yet suffered 1R exits in 2023 & 2024.

Nishesh Basavareddy (No. 104, age 20)

• 🇺🇸 Talented youngster, second Slam main draw after AO 2025.
• 📊 2025: 21–19 (16–9 hard). Pushed Djokovic to four sets in Melbourne.
• 🚀 Recent: Wins over Vukic (Cincinnati) and Collignon (Winston‑Salem); retired from WS 2R (fatigue).
• 💡 Profile: Solid baseliner with rally tolerance; lacks sustained top‑10 firepower over BO5.

🔍 Match Breakdown

Khachanov’s edge: First‑strike serve + forehand and the confidence from Toronto. If he lands early patterns (big first serve, forehand into open court), he controls tempo and scoreboard pressure.

Basavareddy’s path: Drag exchanges long, test Khachanov’s movement with depth and height, and lean on counterpunch cadence. Given Khachanov’s history of slow USO starts, the underdog’s best window is the opening set.

Best‑of‑five lens: Over three sets or more, experience and weight of shot tilt heavily to Khachanov. Basavareddy can create “pockets of resistance,” but sustaining break pressure across sets is a tall order.

🔮 Prediction

Toronto form plus a reset after Cincinnati points to a businesslike opener for Khachanov. Expect the American to compete and maybe force a tense set, but the top‑10 weaponry should prevail.

Pick: Khachanov in 3 sets (tiebreak possible early, then control).

📊 Tale of the Tape (Qualitative)

• Form trend: Khachanov rising off Toronto; Basavareddy steady, improving.
• Serve/first‑strike: Clear edge Khachanov.
• Rally tolerance: Basavareddy competitive, but Khachanov’s heavier ball shortens points.
• BO5 experience: Massive edge Khachanov.
• USO context: Khachanov’s recent 1R stumbles vs current confidence — early focus is key.