Monday, August 25, 2025

Daniel Elahi Galán vs Raphael Collignon

Daniel Elahi Galán vs Raphael Collignon — US Open R1 Preview
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Daniel Elahi Galán vs Raphael Collignon — US Open R1 Preview

ATP US Open Hard Court Round 1

🧠 Form & Context

Daniel Elahi Galán (No. 131, age 29)

  • 🇨🇴 Experienced counterpuncher with physical baseline tennis.
  • 📊 2025: 33–23 (6–5 hard).
  • 🔥 Highlight: Roland Garros R2 as a lucky loser (d. Royer in five).
  • 🏟️ US Open: Best of R3 (2022, d. Tsitsipas R1); otherwise Q/R1 exits.
  • ⚠️ Recent: Lucky loser again; match-tough from qualies (d. Den Ouden, Maloney; lost to Mochizuki).

Raphael Collignon (No. 107, age 23)

  • 🇧🇪 Challenger stalwart with 12 lower-level titles.
  • 📊 2025: 28–17 (0–3 on hard at tour level).
  • 📉 Tour-level: 7 ATP MDs, six R1 exits. Slam debut at Wimbledon — lost to Čilić in straights.
  • 🔥 2024: Monster 77-win season; stalled in 2025 amid fitness issues.
  • 💡 Style: Clay-leaning with quick indoor instincts; less reliable outdoors on hard.

📘 Head-to-Head

  • Galán leads 1–0 — Canberra 2 Challenger 2025: 6–3, 2–6, 6–2.

🔍 Match Breakdown

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📊 Tale of the Tape (Qualitative)

  • Rally tolerance & defense: Edge Galán.
  • First-strike pop: Slight edge Collignon indoors; neutral outdoors favors Galán’s depth.
  • Hard-court pedigree: Edge Galán (NYC experience, prior R3).
  • Recent match rhythm: Edge Galán (qualies reps as LL).
  • Fragility flags: Collignon’s tour-level R1 pattern vs Galán’s occasional lapses in closing sets.

Numbers lean toward a physical baseline contest decided by depth control and second-serve pressure — full keys and live-bet triggers inside the members’ post.

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