Monday, August 25, 2025

Brooksby J. - Vukic A.

Brooksby vs Vukic — US Open 1R Preview
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Jenson Brooksby vs Aleksandar Vukic — US Open 1R Preview

ATP US Open Hard Court Round 1

🧠 Form & Context

Jenson Brooksby (No. 92, age 24)

  • 🇺🇸 Returned in 2025 after a nearly two-year suspension, ranking rebuilt fast.
  • 📊 2025: 21–18 overall, 5–7 on hard; highlight = ATP Houston champion (d. Paul, Tiafoe).
  • 🏟️ US Open love: R16 in 2021 (d. Fritz, Karatsev; lost to Djokovic), R3 in 2022.
  • 💡 Game: Disruptive tempo, unorthodox strokes, elite court craft.
  • ⚠️ North America wobble: 1R exits in Washington & Toronto.

Aleksandar Vukic (No. 95, age 29)

  • 🇦🇺 Big-serving, aggressive baseliner; career-high No. 48.
  • 📊 2025: 19–28 overall, 9–14 on hard; AO R3 (epics vs Džumhur & Korda, pushed Draper to 5).
  • 🏟️ US Open: 0–3 in main draws (all straight-set losses).
  • 🔥 Summer: Wins over Norrie & Martínez; Toronto R3, but early exits in Cincy & Winston-Salem.
  • ⚠️ Bo5 concern: Yet to win a Slam match outside Australia.

Head-to-head: 1–1
2019 Futures: Brooksby d. Vukic 6–3, 6–1 · 2025 Eastbourne QF: Vukic d. Brooksby 7–5, 6–3.

🔍 Match Breakdown

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📊 Tale of the Tape (Qualitative)

  • Form trend: Brooksby patchy but with a high ceiling; Vukic streaky and travel-dependent.
  • Surface fit: NY hard favors Brooksby’s change-ups vs pace; Vukic needs first-strike accuracy.
  • Serve/return: Serve edge Vukic; return/neutral patterns edge Brooksby.
  • Bo5 factor: Brooksby’s NYC pedigree vs Vukic’s non-AO Slam struggles.
  • Intangibles: Home crowd + prior USO runs lean toward Brooksby in tight sets.

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