Tuesday, July 1, 2025

Elena Rybakina vs Elina Avanesyan

Wimbledon 2025 – 1st Round Preview
Elena Rybakina vs Elina Avanesyan

🧠 Form & Context

Elena Rybakina

  • 🎾 Slam reliability: 2022 Wimbledon champion and perennial major contender. She’s 20–1 in Slam first rounds since 2020.
  • 🔥 Current form: Reached QFs in Berlin and Queen’s, nearly beating Sabalenka, but continues to struggle with title conversion (1 title in 6 QFs this year).
  • 📍 SW19 comfort zone: Has never lost before the 4th round at Wimbledon—2024 SF, 2023 QF, 2022 champion.

Elina Avanesyan

  • 🚨 Form dip: Winless since March (Miami), on a 6-match losing streak entering this Slam.
  • ❌ No grass prep: Didn’t play a single warm-up match—Wimbledon 2025 is her first grass appearance of the season.
  • 🌱 Surface mismatch: Clay-courter by nature with just 3 career wins on grass and none this year.
  • 📉 Wimbledon track record: Lost in R2 last year to Samsonova. Facing a top seed in R1 this time is a steep task.

🔍 Match Breakdown

This is a mismatch in nearly every aspect: power, experience, surface comfort, and recent results.

Rybakina’s serve is arguably the most effective weapon in the women’s game on grass. Her ability to keep points short, dictate from the baseline, and play with clarity in early rounds makes her one of the most reliable openers in the draw.

Avanesyan, while gritty on clay, lacks the tools to threaten on this surface—especially without rhythm or match fitness. Her rally-heavy game has little room to breathe against the flat-hitting Kazakh, and her second serve will likely be punished.

Their only previous meeting came on clay in Rome 2022, where Avanesyan showed grit—but that holds little relevance here given the surface and current momentum.

🔮 Prediction

Unless Rybakina is completely off rhythm or carrying an injury, this should be a straightforward demolition. Expect short points, dominant serving, and perhaps even a bagel if Avanesyan doesn’t find a foothold.

Prediction: Rybakina in straight sets. Likely under 60 minutes if she starts clean.

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