Lorenzo Sonego vs Jaime Faria

ATP Wimbledon – 1st Round
Lorenzo Sonego vs Jaime Faria

🧠 Form & Context

• Lorenzo Sonego
  📉 Inconsistent 2025: After reaching his first Grand Slam quarterfinal at the Australian Open, Sonego has gone just 5–13 since.
  🎢 Grass warm-ups: Lost in R2 at both Halle (to Zverev) and Eastbourne (to Humbert)—tough draws but no momentum.
  🎾 Grass pedigree: Former champion in Antalya (2019) and made R4 at Wimbledon in 2021.
  🧩 Confidence shaky: Hasn’t won back-to-back matches since January, and his five-set loss to Shelton in Paris hurt.
  🔥 Dangerous when focused: Still owns the weapons—serve, forehand, and touch at net—to beat most players outside the Top 30.
• Jaime Faria
  🚀 Rising qualifier: 5–1 on grass in 2025 after zero career grass wins before this summer.
  ✅ Slam breakthrough: Qualified for all three Slams this year—took a set off Djokovic in Melbourne, played four sets vs Brooksby in Paris.
  📈 Wimbledon run: Beat Piros, Trungelliti, and Jacquet to qualify; also reached QF in Nottingham Challenger.
  💎 Under-the-radar: Ranked just outside the Top 100 but showing major growth—especially with controlled aggression and variety.
  ❗️First Wimbledon MD appearance: Playing freely, with nothing to lose and some momentum behind him.

🔍 Match Breakdown

This is a tricky matchup for the erratic Sonego. On paper, the Italian is a class above—better resume, more experience on grass, and a bigger game. But Faria is on the rise and playing with far more confidence, while Sonego hasn’t been able to string together wins for months.

Sonego’s firepower and grass instincts could make the difference if he starts well and keeps the points short. But if this match turns into a battle of nerves or goes deep into the fourth or fifth set, the value and belief might tilt toward the fearless underdog.

Expect Faria to engage with his strong backhand and redirect pace effectively. If he gets into Sonego’s service games early, this could get complicated for the Italian.

🔮 Prediction

Sonego has the pedigree and shotmaking to take control here, but trust remains a serious issue. Faria has nothing to lose and is in better current form, but this might still be a level too high.

🧩 Prediction: Sonego in 4 sets – the veteran’s grass experience and superior serve should be enough to hold off a competitive Faria, though the Portuguese youngster will have his moments.