Wimbledon 2025 – 1st Round Preview
Corentin Moutet vs Francisco Comesaña
🧠 Form & Context
Corentin Moutet
- 🔥 Career-best grass swing: 8–3 on grass in 2025, including a run to the final in Mallorca and a second-round appearance at Queen’s as a qualifier.
- 🧠 Mental rhythm intact: Moutet is stringing together back-to-back strong weeks—something rarely seen in his career.
- 🎾 Slam form: Third round at the Australian Open, competitive loss to Djokovic at Roland Garros—he’s quietly having his best year in majors.
- 👟 Wimbledon history: Just two career wins at SW19, but arrives in 2025 full of confidence and purpose.
Francisco Comesaña
- 🧱 Breakthrough at Wimbledon 2024: Reached the third round on debut, beating Rublev and Walton.
- 😐 Quiet 2025: Early exits at both the Australian and French Opens. Just one grass match played this year—and he lost it.
- 📉 Slipping momentum: Looked promising in spring (Madrid R3, Rome R2), but hasn’t built on it since.
- 🇦🇷 Grass still a question mark: Last year’s Wimbledon run looks more like a one-off than a sign of things to come.
🔍 Match Breakdown
Moutet has found rare steadiness in his game. The lefty disruptor is thriving on grass this year thanks to his mix of touch, spin, and clever point construction. His serve is reliable, and his ability to shift gears mid-rally is giving opponents fits.
Comesaña, by contrast, is a player who leans on rhythm and clean ball striking—traits that don’t always translate well to the uneven tempo of grass-court tennis. Moutet’s slice, drop shots, and off-tempo patterns are likely to throw him off balance.
If there’s one cautionary note for Moutet fans, it’s the possibility of a letdown after consecutive deep runs. The Frenchman can be volatile, and if Comesaña stays close on the scoreboard, there could be tense moments. But overall, Moutet has the tools and momentum.
🔮 Prediction
Moutet is in the driver’s seat here. He’s the better grass-court player right now, and tactically he matches up well against Comesaña’s more rigid style. A lapse in focus could cost him a set, but unless fatigue sets in, he should win this in four.
Prediction: Corentin Moutet in 4 sets
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