Marton Fucsovics vs Aleksandar Kovacevic

Wimbledon 2025 – 1st Round Preview
Marton Fucsovics vs Aleksandar Kovacevic

🧠 Form & Context

Marton Fucsovics

• 🎾 Grass comfort zone: Wimbledon has always brought out the best in Fucsovics—he’s a former Boys' champion and reached the quarterfinals in 2021. His career grass record stands at an impressive 39–27.
• 💪 Recent lift: A quarterfinal showing in Stuttgart and a solid qualifying run here (despite losing to Chris Rodesch) earned him a main draw spot as a lucky loser—a second life he’ll want to make the most of.
• 🔥 First-round reliability: He’s won four straight R1 matches at tour-level, including a gritty five-set battle with Tommy Paul at Roland Garros.
• 📉 Don’t trust the ranking: Currently outside the top 100, but has claimed good scalps this year—Rinderknech, Hanfmann, Bergs—and brings far more grass-court experience than his opponent.

Aleksandar Kovacevic

• 📉 Slam stumbles: Kovacevic has yet to win a main draw match at Wimbledon, and his 2025 Slam campaign includes first-round exits at both the Australian Open and Roland Garros (the latter to lucky loser Federico Gómez).
• ❌ Grass hasn’t clicked: Just 5–12 in his grass career and 1–3 this season. He’s yet to find footing on this surface.
• 🌪️ Momentum lost: Since making waves with a surprise semifinal in Montpellier (including a win over Rublev), his form has tailed off—losing 3 of his last 4 matches pre-Wimbledon.
• 🧱 Game built for speed, not grass: His flat hitting and serve-heavy style might thrive on indoor hard courts, but grass exposes his timing and footwork limitations.

🔍 Match Breakdown

This is a classic contrast: one player who knows the nuances of grass, and another still trying to figure it out. Fucsovics brings a much more rounded toolkit for this surface—he handles low balls well, redirects pace with ease, and mixes patterns smartly.

Kovacevic has power and aggression, but his game relies heavily on timing and clean ball-striking—both of which are harder to maintain on grass. The backhand remains a liability, and his mobility doesn’t quite hold up on slick courts like these.

Unless Kovacevic plays a near-perfect serving day, Fucsovics has all the ingredients to control rallies, wear him down, and frustrate him into errors.

🔮 Prediction

Don’t let the “lucky loser” label fool you—Fucsovics is the more stable, surface-suited, and experienced competitor. He knows how to win on grass and should take this match with a mix of patience and pattern disruption.

Prediction: Marton Fucsovics in 4 sets. Kovacevic might push one set to a tiebreak, but the Hungarian’s grass IQ and poise should see him through.