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Sakkari vs Bondar — US Open 2R Preview
🧠 Form & Context
Maria Sakkari (No. 64, age 30)
- 🇬🇷 Former world No. 3, 2021 US Open semifinalist.
- 📊 2025: 21–24 overall, 10–14 on hard.
- 📉 Back-to-back wins only twice in last 12 months (Madrid, Washington); Slam results have dipped since 2022.
- 🏟️ US Open: Snapped a two-year skid with R1 win over Tatjana Maria (6–3, 6–2).
- 💡 Context: Rebuilding confidence; vulnerability under pressure still a theme.
Anna Bondar (No. 97, age 28)
- 🇭🇺 Clay specialist making noise on hard courts.
- 📊 2025: 33–24 overall, 7–10 on hard.
- 🔥 R1 shock: Beat Elina Svitolina 6–2, 6–4 — first career top-40 win on hard; third top-20 win overall.
- 📉 Lead-in: Arrived on a 3-match losing streak (incl. loss to #203 Korneeva in Warsaw).
- 🏟️ US Open: First time in R2 here; 0–3 lifetime in Slam 2R matches.
🔍 Match Breakdown
Head-to-Head: Sakkari leads 1–0 (BJK Cup 2019, straight sets).
Momentum: Expectations were modest for both. Sakkari finally banked a New York win; Bondar delivered a career-best hard-court upset.
Style clash: Sakkari’s first-strike power and athleticism vs Bondar’s steadier, clay-born patterns adapted to hard courts. If Sakkari keeps her intensity and lands forehands early in rallies, she can front-run. Bondar’s route is to elongate exchanges, test Sakkari’s nerve, and pressure the second serve.
Key stat: Sakkari is 16–9 lifetime in Slam second rounds; Bondar is 0–3.
🔮 Prediction
Bondar’s win over Svitolina was a statement, but backing it up at this stage has been her hurdle. Sakkari is volatile yet battle-tested in Slam R2s. With cleaner starts and controlled aggression, she should have just enough to edge through — but expect resistance.
Pick: Sakkari in three sets.
📊 Tale of the Tape (Qualitative)
- H2H: Sakkari 1–0 (BJK Cup 2019).
- Slam R2 experience: Sakkari 16–9 vs Bondar 0–3.
- Surface snapshot (2025): Sakkari 10–14 hard; Bondar 7–10 hard.
- Confidence levers: Sakkari ended her USO drought; Bondar fresh off a top-40 hard-court scalp.
- Pathways: Short, first-strike rallies favor Sakkari; extended exchanges keep Bondar in the fight.
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