Thursday, August 28, 2025

Donna Vekic vs Coco Gauff

Donna Vekic vs Coco Gauff — US Open 2R Preview
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Donna Vekic vs Coco Gauff — US Open 2R Preview

WTA US Open Hard Court 2nd Round

🧠 Form & Context

Donna Vekic (No. 49, age 29)

  • 🇭🇷 Former top-20 player, fighting for rhythm in 2025 (13–20 overall, 7–11 on hard).
  • 🔥 Survived Bouzas Maneiro 3–6, 7–5, 6–3 in R1 after trailing by a set and a break.
  • 🏟️ Mixed history in New York: 8 first-round losses in 13 appearances; 2024 R16 best.
  • ⚠️ Consistency issues: hasn’t won back-to-back matches since April (Madrid).
  • 💡 Flat, powerful baseline game with a big serve, but struggles under scoreboard pressure.

Coco Gauff (No. 3, age 21)

  • 🇺🇸 Defending US Open champion (2023) and fresh Roland Garros 2025 winner.
  • 📊 2025: 36–12 overall, 19–7 on hard.
  • 🔥 Outlasted Tomljanovic 6–4, 6–7, 7–5 in R1 — a 3-hour fight, broken six times but found answers late.
  • 🏟️ US Open record: champion 2023, R16 in 2024, never lost before R3 since debut in 2019.
  • ⚠️ Shaky lead-up (Montreal loss to Mboko, Cincinnati loss to Paolini), but Slam pedigree intact.
  • 💡 Elite athleticism, counterpunching, and heavy topspin backhand — thrives in physical rallies.

H2H: 1–1 – Vekic def. Gauff, Paris Olympics 2024 (R16).
– Gauff def. Vekic, United Cup 2025 (straight sets).

🔍 Match Breakdown

Vekic’s path is clear: serve big, shorten rallies, and red-line on forehands. The problem is sustaining that level — her 2025 season has been plagued by dips in set two or three.

Gauff, even with a shaky serve, has the tools to absorb pace and extend rallies until the Croat cracks. The Ashe crowd amplifies her strengths — defense, countering, and clutch problem-solving.

The pivot: Vekic’s first serve vs Gauff’s return. If Coco reads her early patterns, scoreboard pressure will pile up quickly.

🔮 Prediction

Vekic’s weapons can make the first set edgy, but Gauff’s superior physicality, mentality, and Slam experience should tell as rallies lengthen. Expect the American to wrestle control and close in straights.

Pick: Gauff in 2 sets (tight opener, more comfortable close).

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