Get the full slate and in-play cues on Patreon — early angles + closing-line tracking.
Kasatkina vs Rakhimova — US Open R2 Preview
🧠 Form & Context
Daria Kasatkina (No. 18, age 28)
- 🇷🇺 Former top-10 player, trying to regain stability in 2025.
- 📊 Season: 18–19 overall, 11–10 on hard.
- 🔥 R1: Def. Ruse 7–5, 6–1 — steadied nerves with clean win.
- 📉 Has failed to win more than one match in 12 of last 14 events.
- 🏟️ USO history: Four-time R3, never beyond in 10 tries.
- ⚠️ Context: Huge drop compared to 2024’s six finals. Confidence fragile, though her defensive craft still plays in slow grinds.
Kamilla Rakhimova (No. 65, age 24)
- 🇷🇺 Playing her most consistent tennis in years.
- 📊 Season: 25–25 overall, 10–13 on hard.
- 🔥 R1: Upset Garcia 6–4, 4–6, 6–3 — arguably career-best win.
- 🏟️ Slam 2025: Wimbledon R3 (d. Paolini), plus Eastbourne QF.
- 📈 Form: Struggled early in season, but found confidence in summer swing.
- ⚠️ Limitation: Only one top-20 win in her career. Experience at this level still lacking.
H2H: First meeting.
🔍 Match Breakdown
Kasatkina will aim to slow rallies, change spins, and target Rakhimova’s weaker backhand wing. Her main issue has been sustaining focus and closing matches under pressure.
Rakhimova enters with momentum and belief after taking out Garcia. Her forehand is her main weapon, and if she dictates early, Kasatkina could be pressed. But the tactical depth of a long, grinding contest may tilt against her.
Key stat: Kasatkina owns a 19–10 career record in Slam R2 matches, usually handling this stage. Rakhimova has only reached R3 twice in her career.
🔮 Prediction
Kasatkina hasn’t found consistency this season, but her experience and tactical variety should see her through. Rakhimova has momentum and could steal a set with her shot-making, but over three sets Kasatkina’s rally tolerance should prove decisive.
Pick: Kasatkina in 3 sets.
No comments:
Post a Comment