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Lamens vs Swiatek — US Open 2R Preview
🧠 Form & Context
Suzan Lamens (No. 66, age 26)
- 🇳🇱 US Open main-draw debutant riding a composed R1 win.
- 📊 2025: 27–21 overall, 11–10 on hard.
- 🔥 R1: Def. WC Glozman 6–4, 6–2 — equals her career-best Slam result (R2).
- 📉 Slam record: 0–2 in 2R this season (l. Bencic at AO, Alexandrova at Wimbledon).
- 💡 Game: Competent counterpuncher; mixes pace/tempo well but lacks elite finishing power.
Iga Swiatek (No. 2, age 24)
- 🇵🇱 Former world No. 1, 4-time Slam champion.
- 📊 2025: 50–12 (29–7 on hard).
- 🔥 Momentum: Wimbledon title followed by Cincinnati — snapped a 13-month title drought with force.
- 🏟️ US Open: Champion (2022), QF last year; has never lost before R3 here.
- 💡 R1: Routine over Arango 6–1, 6–2; dominant historically vs players outside top 50 at Slams (won 59 of 61).
🔍 Match Breakdown
Head-to-Head: First meeting.
Form contrast: Swiatek arrives on a trophy surge; Lamens has already met her week-one goal by making R2.
Matchup dynamics: Swiatek’s heavy, high-spinning forehand and baseline weight of shot punish second serves and short balls. Lamens must vary height, pace, and direction to disrupt rhythm, but extended neutral rallies still lean Swiatek due to superior depth and footwork.
Experience edge: Lamens has never been beyond R2 at a major; Swiatek has reached the second week in 11 of her last 13 Slams.
🔮 Prediction
Lamens is steady and crafty, yet this is a steep climb against a locked-in Swiatek who rarely gives ground in early Slam rounds. Unless Swiatek’s level dips significantly, the favorite should control scoreboard pressure from the start.
Pick: Swiatek in two routine sets.
📊 Tale of the Tape (Qualitative)
- H2H: First meeting.
- Slam pedigree: Swiatek second-week machine; Lamens yet to crack R3.
- First-strike weight: Clear edge Swiatek — punishes short replies, especially to the forehand wing.
- Disruption plan: Lamens needs variety (loopy heights, slices, drop changes) to break rhythm.
- Early-round ruthlessness: Swiatek overwhelmingly dominant vs sub-top-50 opposition at majors.
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