Alexander Bublik vs Tristan Schoolkate

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Alexander Bublik vs Tristan Schoolkate — US Open R2 Preview

ATP US Open Hard Court Round 2

🧠 Form & Context

Alexander Bublik (No. 24, age 28)

• 🇰🇿 Mercurial talent riding a career-best stretch in 2025.
• 📊 2025: 36–17 overall, 23–6 on clay, 6–7 on hard.
• 🔥 USO R1: Outplayed 2014 champion Marin Čilić 6–4, 6–1, 6–4.
• 🏆 Summer titles: Gstaad & Kitzbühel back-to-back (clay), plus Halle on grass (d. Medvedev).
• 📈 Slam stride: Roland Garros QF — no longer “surface-limited.”
• ⚠️ New York: Only once past R2 (2019 R3). 1–2 lifetime in USO R2.
• 💡 Key: When locked in, his serve + flair can smother anyone.

Tristan Schoolkate (No. 96, age 24)

• 🇦🇺 Rising Aussie converting Challenger volume into Tour traction.
• 📊 2025: 40–26 overall, 31–20 on hard.
• 🔥 USO R1: Survived Sonego 6–3, 7–6, 1–6, 1–6, 7–6 — rollercoaster five-setter.
• 🏟️ Slams 2025: Took a set off Sinner at AO; now 3rd career Slam R2 (0–2 so far).
• 📈 Highlights: Los Cabos QF, Toronto R2, steady Challenger results.
• ⚠️ Factor: Often spends heavy energy in R1; has faded in prior R2s.

H2H: First meeting (0–0).

🔍 Match Breakdown

Full breakdown (serve patterns, return depth maps, live-bet triggers, totals/handicap angles, and volatility plan) is available for Patreon members.

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