Monday, June 30, 2025

Jan-Lennard Struff vs Filip Misolic

ATP Wimbledon – 1st Round
Jan-Lennard Struff vs Filip Misolic

🧠 Form & Context

  • Jan-Lennard Struff
    📉 2–14 in last 16 matches; winless since Stuttgart R1 over Arnaldi.
    💥 Grass tools fading: Past Stuttgart finalist (2023) but never reached beyond R3 at Wimbledon.
    😬 Slam woes: Lost in R1 at both 2025 AO (to FAA) and RG (to Ofner).
    🧠 Fragile under pressure – struggles when playing from behind.

  • Filip Misolic
    🔥 6-match win streak on grass, including Wimbledon qualifying wins over Fucsovics and Hassan.
    🚀 Coming off Challenger success and Roland-Garros R3 (beat Shapovalov in 5).
    ⏫ Strong mental game, high on belief and rhythm right now.
    🌱 Grass novice, but showing fast learning curve and improved return game.

🔍 Match Breakdown

Struff is the more experienced grass-courter with a strong serve-forehand axis, but current form paints a bleak picture. His confidence dips fast when he falls behind, and double faults + tactical inflexibility are recurring problems in 2025.

Misolic is less powerful but far steadier mentally and technically. He’s winning long rallies, showing improved second-serve returns, and grinding through pressure moments with calm. If Struff doesn’t blow him off court early, this could flip hard late.

Expect a volatile, momentum-shifting match. Struff might take a set or two based on raw weapons, but Misolic’s confidence edge could be decisive in the crunch.

🔮 Prediction

Prediction: Misolic in 5 sets – back his moneyline at anything above 2.10, or look for a live entry if he snags the opener.

Betting angle: Over 39.5 total games also holds value in what could be a drama-filled five-setter.

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