Carlos Alcaraz vs Fabio Fognini

ATP Wimbledon – 1st Round
Carlos Alcaraz vs Fabio Fognini

🧠 Form & Context

• Carlos Alcaraz
  🏆 Reigning champion at both Wimbledon and Roland-Garros.
  🔥 Has reached five consecutive finals, winning four (including Queen’s and RG).
  💪 25–1 record on grass since 2022, unmatched blend of athleticism and shot variety.
  🎯 No. 2 seed but performing like the best player in the world.


• Fabio Fognini
  🪙 On a 4–14 slide in 2025, with zero grass wins this season.
  🧠 Excellent Wimbledon R1 history (11–3), including multiple third-round runs.
  🎾 Best tennis behind him; hasn’t beaten a Top-5 player since 2019.
  🐍 Capable of tricks and flair, but rarely for more than a set these days.

🔍 Match Breakdown

There’s always magic in Fognini’s racquet, but the legs and focus aren’t there anymore to threaten a player like Alcaraz on a big stage. Alcaraz has evolved into a fully-formed grass-court beast—using early court positioning, feathered drop shots, and thunderous forehands to pin opponents deep and finish at net.

Fognini will need to serve exceptionally well and shorten points with slices, but even that likely delays the inevitable. If Alcaraz shows up sharp—as he has throughout 2025—this match could be over quickly. Fabio may steal a break or force a tiebreak with creativity, but sustained resistance seems unlikely.

🔮 Prediction

Prediction: Alcaraz in 3 sets – Expect highlight shots from both ends, but scoreboard one-way traffic.

Betting angle: Under 25.5 games or Alcaraz –8.5 games.