Jasmine Paolini vs Anastasija Sevastova

WTA Wimbledon – 1st Round
Jasmine Paolini vs Anastasija Sevastova

🧠 Form & Context

• Jasmine Paolini
  🧬 Broke through on grass in 2024 with a surprise run to the Wimbledon final.
  🏆 Career-high form: Rome WTA 1000 champion; multiple semifinal appearances this year.
  📈 Season record: 27–11 with strong Slam consistency.
  💡 Mental shift: No longer grass-averse—now a legitimate threat on the surface.


• Anastasija Sevastova
  🦿 Recently returned from maternity and injury layoff; not yet match-fit.
  🎾 Grass record in 2025: 0–1; last main-draw win at Wimbledon came in 2021.
  📉 Ranked outside Top 400; few top-level wins since comeback.
  ⚠️ H2H: Lost both prior meetings to Paolini in straight sets.

🔍 Match Breakdown

Paolini enters as a top-4 seed with Slam pedigree, elite movement, and renewed belief on grass. Her counterpunching game now translates well on slower turf, especially with her improved serve and point construction.

Sevastova’s variety and backhand slice could pose a challenge in theory, but her lack of fitness and match sharpness means she’ll struggle to keep up in extended exchanges. Unless she finds her 2018 form overnight, this is a tough assignment.

Expect Paolini to dominate the tempo, especially with cross-court forehands into Sevastova’s forehand side. If the Italian serves cleanly and avoids mental lapses, this could be over quickly.

🔮 Prediction

Prediction: Paolini in 2 sets – strong chance of a rout if Sevastova isn’t moving freely. Handicap –5.5 or Under 18.5 games worth monitoring.