Tuesday, June 24, 2025

ATP Mallorca – Arthur Rinderknech vs Felix Auger-Aliassime

ATP Mallorca – Arthur Rinderknech vs Felix Auger-Aliassime Preview

🧠 Form & Context

Arthur Rinderknech
📈 Found his rhythm on grass lately: beat Shapovalov in Stuttgart, then stunned Shelton and Opelka at Queen’s before a competitive loss to Alcaraz.
🎯 Serve-plus-one blueprint is working well—he’s averaging 19 aces per match and holds serve 89% of the time during this grass swing.
🌱 Enjoys the bounce in Mallorca—made the quarterfinals here in 2023. His 196 cm height helps on this surface.
⤵️ Still, 2025 has been rocky overall (12–21), and his second-serve win rate is a weak 45%. Prone to errors when pulled wide.

Felix Auger-Aliassime
🚀 Won titles in Adelaide and Montpellier this season; added a semifinal in Stuttgart two weeks ago (beating Mpetshi Perricard and Engel).
🔨 Known for his first-strike style: wins 79% of first-serve points on grass and uses his backhand return up the line as a key weapon.
⚙️ Injury concerns fading—his February toe problem is now behind him. Played nine full sets on grass this month without needing medical breaks.
🧊 Still mentally patchy: has lost three matches from a set up since March and is saving just 56% of break points on grass this year.

🔍 Match Breakdown
Two big servers. One comfort zone. One crack in focus. It’s a tight one—but we’ve got the lean.
Full analysis and four daily picks available on Patreon for just €4.99/month.

👉 https://www.patreon.com/posts/atp-mallorca-1-132150817

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