🎾 ATP Mallorca – Round 1 Preview
Tomas Martin Etcheverry vs Roberto Bautista-Agut
Youthful firepower faces veteran finesse on Spanish grass.
🧠 Form & Context
Tomas Martin Etcheverry
🚀 Halle QF last week (upset Rublev) shows rapid grass progress.
💪 Big first-serve + forehand one-two (17 aces vs Rublev).
🎢 Season still streaky (16–20) and clay-leaning.
📉 Trails H2H 0–1 after Antwerp 2024 loss to RBA.
Roberto Bautista-Agut
🔥 Queen’s SF run (d. Rune) signals form surge.
🏆 Mallorca specialist: finalist 2022, two QFs.
🧰 Grass-court toolkit—flat forehand, compact backhand, flawless footwork.
⏳ Age 37 yet fitness undimmed; thrives in grinding rallies.
🔍 Match Breakdown
- First-strike edge: Etcheverry’s power game thrives on short points—especially if his serve-forehand rhythm clicks early.
- Defensive instincts: Bautista-Agut excels at redirecting pace and neutralizing second serves with his low backhand takebacks.
- Rally length dynamic: Etcheverry wins with punch; RBA wins with patience. Longer points favor the Spaniard’s superior footwork and court sense.
- Conditions factor: Mallorca’s seaside gusts and skidding grass surface suit RBA’s flat ball striking and clean timing.
🔮 Prediction
Prediction: Bautista-Agut in 2 sets
Etcheverry’s weapons keep it close early, but RBA’s veteran grass instincts and rally discipline should prove too much over time.
📊 Tale of the Tape
- 2025 W/L: Etcheverry 16–20 • Bautista-Agut 15–14
- Grass Record (2025): Etcheverry 4–2 • Bautista-Agut 6–2
- Career Grass W/L: Etcheverry 6–7 • Bautista-Agut 47–22
- H2H: Bautista-Agut leads 1–0
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