Saturday, November 14, 2026

Tennis Form Snapshot Day 178: Semifinal Day and Two Streaks on the Line

PBTennis · Tennis Form Snapshot · Day 178
Saturday Form Radar: semifinal day and two streaks on the line
Fritz vs Tirante in Stockholm, Sabalenka vs Svitolina at the WTA Finals, and semifinals across the Challengers. Two favourites who keep beating better-form players are priced that way again.
17
open matches
10
tournaments
3
wrong-side alerts
3/4
form-backed favs held yesterday
Yesterday's board, checked
Every signal is checked against the next day's draw.
Form-backed favourites went 3 of 4, and two of three sub-threshold underdogs got through.
The hard part: the day's only wrong-side alert lost, to a favourite who has now won three times this week while rated lower.
D177 signalHeld
Form-backed favourites3 / 4
Sub-threshold underdogs2 / 3
Equal odds, form leader1 / 2
Level form at short prices1 / 1
Wrong-side alerts0 / 1
Late wrong-side alerts (D175–D176)1 / 2
Semifinal day: one form read open
The prices are public. Our 52-week form read on each match is on the members' board.
MatchForm read
Stockholm · Fritz vs Tirante
Odds 1.17 / 5.00Form agrees with the market
WTA Finals · Sabalenka vs Svitolina
Odds 1.53 / 2.50🔒 members
Orleans · Basavareddy vs Altmaier
Odds 1.57 / 2.25🔒 members
Sopo · Andreescu vs Mandlik
Odds 1.12 / 5.50🔒 members
Matsuyama · Hsu vs Noguchi
Odds 1.80 / 1.91🔒 members
Hersonissos · Searle vs Ribecai
Odds 1.67 / 2.10🔒 members
Lima · Reis Da Silva vs Olivieri
Odds 1.50 / 2.50🔒 members
In one of these six locked matches the underdog is slightly ahead on form, and another is priced near-even despite a 15-point gap.
Today's 3 wrong-side alerts
In each of these, the market's favourite is the player in worse form.
EventGap
Hersonissos Challenger
🔒 █████ vs █████
22
Brisbane Challenger
🔒 █████ vs █████
12
Monastir Challenger
🔒 █████ vs █████
8
Names and full reads are on the members' board
Two favourites to watch. In Hersonissos, one has won all five of his matches this month as the lower-rated favourite; today the gap is 22 points. In Brisbane, another is three from three this week and is 1.17 against a player rated 12 points higher.
47 boards in
Signal (D130–D177)Resolved · Rate
Form-backed favourites (favourite wins)733 · 73%
Level form at short prices (favourite wins)271 · 72%
Sub-threshold underdogs (underdog advances)331 · 41%
Wrong-side alerts (underdog advances)456 · 37%
Outcomes come from draw progression. These are small samples and not a betting performance record.
Unlock the full Day 178 board
All 17 matches with form tiers, all 3 wrong-side alerts named, the near-even and level-form flags, form arcs, and the full Excel and DOCX snapshot.
Open on Patreon →
Match-by-match analysis, model review and filtered selections are in the Elite membership.
#Tennis #TennisBetting #ATP #WTA #ATPChallenger #WTA125 #TennisForm #WTAFinals #StockholmOpen #Fritz #Sabalenka #Svitolina #PBTennis
18+ only. Form ratings are an information tool, not betting advice. Please gamble responsibly.

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