Saturday, November 14, 2026

Monastir 1 challenger 2026 (Tunisia) 14.11.26

Semifinal previews from the Monastir 1 Challenger (hard), with form, serve and return numbers and a full Tale of the Tape for every open match. Matches marked 🔒 are on today's PBTennis Patreon card. Times are as listed by the tournament schedule and may move with the order of play.

Jonas Forejtek vs Marvin Moeller

Monastir 1 Challenger · Semifinal · 14 November · 10:00

🧠 Form & Context

Jonas Forejtek

  • 📊 Ranked No. 303 at 25, 6–4 in his last 10 and winning 55% of recent matches. Beat Mikrut in the quarterfinals.
  • 🚀 The stronger server: 69.9% on the first serve and 50.8% on the second.
  • 🔒 Saves 61.0% of break points (62% recently).
  • 🎯 Lands more first serves (64.1%) and has won 53% of his tiebreaks.
  • ⚠️ A weaker returner (32.4% against the first serve) and has won 50% of career deciding sets.

Marvin Moeller

  • 🔥 Ranked No. 229 at 27, 6–4 in his last 10 and winning 68% of recent matches. Beat Giustino in the quarterfinals.
  • 🔁 The better returner: 35.9% against the first serve and 54.9% against the second, with 46.1% of break points converted.
  • 📋 Wins 43% of career return points.
  • 🏆 Has won 62% of deciding sets this season, 60% over his career and 90% of matches after taking the first set.
  • ⚠️ Wins 67.3% behind the first serve and saves 58.6% of break points, both below Forejtek.

🔍 Match Breakdown

A first meeting, in the semifinals. Forejtek is the 1.43 favourite even though Moeller is ranked 74 places higher.

Forejtek is the stronger server: 69.9% behind the first serve to 67.3%, 50.8% behind the second to 49.9%, and 61.0% of break points saved to 58.6%. He also lands more first serves (64.1% vs 61.7%).

Moeller is clearly the better returner: 35.9% against the first serve to 32.4%, 54.9% against the second to 51.8%, and 46.1% of break points converted to 41.7%.

Both are 6–4 in their last 10, but Moeller has won more of his recent matches (68% vs 55%) and has the better deciding-set record (60% vs 50% over his career).

Serve against return, with Moeller's form and ranking making 1.43 look short.

📊 Tale of the Tape

MetricForejtekMoeller
Ranking303229
Age2527
Last 106–46–4
Head-to-head00
First serves in64.1%61.7%
1st-serve points won69.9%67.3%
2nd-serve points won50.8%49.9%
Break points saved61.0%58.6%
Break points converted41.7%46.1%
Return points won (career)40%43%
Tiebreak win %53%50%
Deciding-set win % (career)50%60%
Best-of-3 win %59%63%

See ATP markets on Polymarket

Pedro Vives Marcos vs Kilian Feldbausch

Monastir 1 Challenger · Semifinal · 14 November · 12:30

🧠 Form & Context

Pedro Vives Marcos

  • 🔥 Ranked No. 585 at 25, 8–2 in his last 10 and winning 71% of recent matches. Beat Moro Canas in the quarterfinals.
  • 🚀 The stronger server: 67.9% on the first serve and 49.6% on the second (54% recently).
  • 🔒 Saves 59.0% of break points (63% recently).
  • 🎲 Has won 57% of his tiebreaks and 88% of matches after taking the first set.
  • ⚠️ Lands only 59.8% of first serves and is the weaker returner.

Kilian Feldbausch

  • 🔥 Ranked No. 238 at 21, 6–4 in his last 10 and winning 64% of recent matches. Beat Petkovic in the quarterfinals.
  • 🎯 Lands 70.5% of first serves.
  • 🔁 The better returner: 39.9% against the first serve and 55.8% against the second, with 47.0% of break points converted.
  • 🏆 Has won 61% of deciding sets this season and wins 46% of career return points.
  • ⚠️ Wins 62.8% behind the first serve and has won only 41% of his tiebreaks.

🔍 Match Breakdown

A first meeting, in the semifinals. Feldbausch is the 1.66 favourite and is ranked 347 places higher.

Vives Marcos is the stronger server: 67.9% behind the first serve to 62.8%, 49.6% behind the second to 47.0%, and 59.0% of break points saved to 54.9%. Feldbausch lands far more first serves (70.5% vs 59.8%).

Feldbausch is the better returner: 39.9% against the first serve to 36.1%, 55.8% against the second to 52.5%, and 47.0% of break points converted to 45.2%.

Vives Marcos has the hotter form: 8–2 in his last 10 and 71% of recent matches won, against 6–4 and 64%. Feldbausch has the better deciding-set record this season (61% vs 50%).

Serve against return again. Vives Marcos has the form and the better tiebreak record (57% vs 41%) if it stays on serve.

📊 Tale of the Tape

MetricVives MarcosFeldbausch
Ranking585238
Age2521
Last 108–26–4
Head-to-head00
First serves in59.8%70.5%
1st-serve points won67.9%62.8%
2nd-serve points won49.6%47.0%
Break points saved59.0%54.9%
Break points converted45.2%47.0%
Return points won (career)42%46%
Tiebreak win %57%41%
Deciding-set win % (career)50%51%
Best-of-3 win %61%60%

See ATP markets on Polymarket

No comments:

Post a Comment

Lima 3 challenger 2026 (Peru) 14.11.26

Semifinal previews from the Lima 3 Challenger (clay), with form, serve and return numbers and a full Tale of the Tape for every open match...