Semifinal previews from the Lima 3 Challenger (clay), with form, serve and return numbers and a full Tale of the Tape for every open match. Matches marked 🔒 are on today's PBTennis Patreon card. Times are as listed by the tournament schedule and may move with the order of play.
Franco Roncadelli vs Max Alcala Gurri
🧠 Form & Context
Franco Roncadelli
- 📈 Ranked No. 258 at 26, a left-hander, 7–3 in his last 10 and winning 50% of recent matches. Beat Magadan in the quarterfinals.
- 🎯 Lands a remarkable 74.3% of first serves, and wins 47.6% behind the second (53% recently).
- 🔁 A strong returner too: 39.6% against the first serve and 48.8% of break points converted.
- 🏆 Has won 70% of deciding sets this season, 58% over his career and 91% of matches after taking the first set.
- ⚠️ Wins only 59.3% behind the first serve, and lost 6–1, 6–3 to Alcala Gurri in July.
Max Alcala Gurri
- 🔥 Ranked No. 131 at 24, 7–3 in his last 10 and winning 73% of recent matches. Beat Boyer in the quarterfinals.
- 🔁 A very strong returner: 40.6% against the first serve and 57.5% against the second.
- 🤝 Won their only meeting, 6–1, 6–3 on clay in Cordenons in July.
- 🏆 Has won 62% of best-of-three matches.
- ⚠️ Weak behind the second serve (44.4%) and has won 49% of career deciding sets.
🔍 Match Breakdown
A rematch of their meeting in Cordenons in July, which Alcala Gurri won 6–1, 6–3. He is the 1.30 favourite and is ranked 127 places higher.
On serve there is little in it. Alcala Gurri wins more behind the first serve (61.4% vs 59.3%), while Roncadelli lands more first serves (74.3% vs 71.2%) and is stronger behind the second (47.6% vs 44.4%).
Both return very well. Alcala Gurri is slightly better against both serves (40.6% vs 39.6% and 57.5% vs 55.3%), and break points converted are level (48.6% vs 48.8%).
Both are 7–3 in their last 10. Alcala Gurri has won more of his recent matches (73% vs 50%), while Roncadelli has the far better record in deciding sets (70% vs 58% this season, 58% vs 49% over his career).
Two strong returners on clay, so expect plenty of breaks. Alcala Gurri has the form and the head-to-head.
📊 Tale of the Tape
| Metric | Roncadelli | Alcala Gurri |
|---|---|---|
| Ranking | 258 | 131 |
| Age | 26 | 24 |
| Last 10 | 7–3 | 7–3 |
| Head-to-head | 0 | 1 |
| First serves in | 74.3% | 71.2% |
| 1st-serve points won | 59.3% | 61.4% |
| 2nd-serve points won | 47.6% | 44.4% |
| Break points saved | 54.4% | 53.8% |
| Break points converted | 48.8% | 48.6% |
| Return points won (career) | 46% | 47% |
| Tiebreak win % | 48% | 49% |
| Deciding-set win % (career) | 58% | 49% |
| Best-of-3 win % | 57% | 62% |
Joao Lucas Reis Da Silva vs Nikolas Sanchez-Izquierdo
🧠 Form & Context
Joao Lucas Reis Da Silva
- 🔥 Ranked No. 190 at 26, 8–2 in his last 10 and winning 58% of recent matches. Beat Olivieri in the quarterfinals.
- 🚀 The stronger first serve: 65.8% of points won.
- 🔒 Saves 58.0% of break points.
- 🎲 Has won 56% of his tiebreaks.
- ⚠️ The weaker returner, and has won only 46% of career deciding sets.
Nikolas Sanchez-Izquierdo
- 📊 Ranked No. 151 at 27, 6–4 in his last 10 and winning 51% of recent matches. Beat Tobon in the quarterfinals.
- 🤝 Leads the head-to-head 2–1, including a 6–4, 6–2 win on clay in Itajai in January.
- 🔁 The better returner: 37.3% against the first serve and 54.3% against the second, with 46.3% of break points converted.
- 🏆 Has won 55% of career deciding sets and 87% of matches after taking the first set.
- ⚠️ Wins 63.9% behind his first serve and has won 46% of his tiebreaks.
🔍 Match Breakdown
Their fourth meeting. Sanchez-Izquierdo leads 2–1, but the two clay-court meetings in January were split: Sanchez-Izquierdo won in Itajai and Reis Da Silva won 6–4, 6–2 in Concepcion a week later. Reis Da Silva is the 1.75 favourite.
On serve it is close. Reis Da Silva wins more behind the first serve (65.8% vs 63.9%) and saves more break points (58.0% vs 56.8%), while Sanchez-Izquierdo lands slightly more first serves (65.2% vs 63.7%). They are level behind the second serve.
Sanchez-Izquierdo is the better returner: 37.3% against the first serve to 34.9%, 54.3% against the second to 51.9%, and 46.3% of break points converted to 44.1%.
The form is with Reis Da Silva: 8–2 in his last 10 against 6–4. Sanchez-Izquierdo has the better career record in deciding sets (55% vs 46%).
Reis Da Silva has the serve and the form, Sanchez-Izquierdo has the return game and the head-to-head. Closer than the price.
📊 Tale of the Tape
| Metric | Reis Da Silva | Sanchez-Izquierdo |
|---|---|---|
| Ranking | 190 | 151 |
| Age | 26 | 27 |
| Last 10 | 8–2 | 6–4 |
| Head-to-head | 1 | 2 |
| First serves in | 63.7% | 65.2% |
| 1st-serve points won | 65.8% | 63.9% |
| 2nd-serve points won | 49.4% | 49.5% |
| Break points saved | 58.0% | 56.8% |
| Break points converted | 44.1% | 46.3% |
| Return points won (career) | 41% | 44% |
| Tiebreak win % | 56% | 46% |
| Deciding-set win % (career) | 46% | 55% |
| Best-of-3 win % | 55% | 58% |
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