Final preview from the Monastir 1 Challenger (hard), with form, serve and return numbers and a full Tale of the Tape for every open match. Matches marked 🔒 are on today's PBTennis Patreon card. Times are as listed by the tournament schedule and may move with the order of play.
Marvin Moeller vs Kilian Feldbausch
🧠 Form & Context
Marvin Moeller
- 🔥 Ranked No. 229 at 27, 6–4 in his last 10 and winning 68% of recent matches. Beat Forejtek in the semifinals.
- 🤝 Won their only meeting, 7–6, 6–3 on clay in Troyes in July.
- 🚀 The stronger server: 67.3% on the first serve, 49.9% on the second and 58.6% of break points saved.
- 🏆 Has won 60% of career deciding sets, 63% of best-of-three matches and 90% after taking the first set.
- ⚠️ The weaker returner, and lands fewer first serves (61.7%).
Kilian Feldbausch
- 🔥 Ranked No. 238 at 21, 6–4 in his last 10 and winning 64% of recent matches. Beat Vives Marcos in the semifinals.
- 🎯 Lands 70.5% of first serves.
- 🔁 The better returner: 39.9% against the first serve and 55.8% against the second, with 47.0% of break points converted.
- 🏆 Has won 61% of deciding sets this season and wins 46% of career return points.
- ⚠️ Wins only 62.8% behind his first serve and has won 41% of his tiebreaks.
🔍 Match Breakdown
A rematch of their meeting in Troyes in July, which Moeller won 7–6, 6–3. Only nine ranking places separate them, and Feldbausch is the 1.50 favourite.
Moeller is the stronger server: 67.3% behind the first serve to 62.8%, 49.9% behind the second to 47.0%, and 58.6% of break points saved to 54.9%. Feldbausch lands far more first serves (70.5% vs 61.7%).
Feldbausch is the better returner: 39.9% against the first serve to 35.9%, 55.8% against the second to 54.9%, and 47.0% of break points converted to 46.1%.
Both are 6–4 in their last 10. Moeller has won slightly more of his recent matches (68% vs 64%) and has the better career record in deciding sets (60% vs 51%) and tiebreaks (50% vs 41%).
Serve against return once more. Moeller has the head-to-head and the record in tight finishes, which makes 1.50 an interesting price.
📊 Tale of the Tape
| Metric | Moeller | Feldbausch |
|---|---|---|
| Ranking | 229 | 238 |
| Age | 27 | 21 |
| Last 10 | 6–4 | 6–4 |
| Head-to-head | 1 | 0 |
| First serves in | 61.7% | 70.5% |
| 1st-serve points won | 67.3% | 62.8% |
| 2nd-serve points won | 49.9% | 47.0% |
| Break points saved | 58.6% | 54.9% |
| Break points converted | 46.1% | 47.0% |
| Return points won (career) | 43% | 46% |
| Tiebreak win % | 50% | 41% |
| Deciding-set win % (career) | 60% | 51% |
| Best-of-3 win % | 63% | 60% |
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