Final preview from the Brisbane 3 Challenger (hard), with form, serve and return numbers and a full Tale of the Tape for every open match. Matches marked 🔒 are on today's PBTennis Patreon card. Times are as listed by the tournament schedule and may move with the order of play.
Christian Langmo vs August Holmgren
🧠 Form & Context
Christian Langmo
- 🔥 Ranked No. 528 at 30, 7–3 in his last 10 and winning 50% of recent matches. Beat Shang in the semifinals.
- 🚀 A big first serve: 73.4% of points won.
- 🔒 Saves 63.5% of break points (67% recently).
- 🎲 Has won 55% of his tiebreaks.
- ⚠️ Weaker behind the second serve (50.2%) and a weak returner: 29.4% against the first serve.
August Holmgren
- 📊 Ranked No. 265 at 28, with a one-handed backhand. 5–5 in his last 10 and winning 46% of recent matches. Beat Gorzny in the semifinals.
- 🚀 Matches Langmo behind the first serve (72.8%, 74% recently) and is stronger behind the second (53.3%).
- 🔒 Saves 63.9% of break points.
- 🏆 Has won 55% of career deciding sets and 60% of best-of-three matches.
- ⚠️ Converts only 37.0% of break points.
🔍 Match Breakdown
A first meeting, in the final. Holmgren is the 1.24 favourite and is ranked 263 places higher.
Langmo wins slightly more behind the first serve (73.4% vs 72.8%), while Holmgren is stronger behind the second (53.3% vs 50.2%). Break points saved are almost level (63.5% vs 63.9%).
Neither returns well: 29.4% vs 30.4% against the first serve and 48.7% vs 47.5% against the second. Langmo converts slightly more break points (38.7% vs 37.0%).
Langmo has the better form, 7–3 in his last 10 against 5–5. He has won four matches in a row this week.
Expect very few breaks and probably tiebreaks. On the numbers this is far closer than 1.24.
📊 Tale of the Tape
| Metric | Langmo | Holmgren |
|---|---|---|
| Ranking | 528 | 265 |
| Age | 30 | 28 |
| Last 10 | 7–3 | 5–5 |
| Head-to-head | 0 | 0 |
| First serves in | 62.8% | 63.0% |
| 1st-serve points won | 73.4% | 72.8% |
| 2nd-serve points won | 50.2% | 53.3% |
| Break points saved | 63.5% | 63.9% |
| Break points converted | 38.7% | 37.0% |
| Return points won (career) | 37% | 37% |
| Tiebreak win % | 55% | 54% |
| Deciding-set win % (career) | 53% | 55% |
| Best-of-3 win % | 57% | 60% |
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