ATP Beijing — Round of 16: Flavio Cobolli vs Learner Tien
Event: China Open • Round: R16 • Surface: Hard
🧠 Form & Context
Flavio Cobolli (🇮🇹 #25)
- 🤕 Physical question mark: heavy schedule → USO retirement; flat at Laver Cup.
- 🧨 Big scalp this week: straight-sets over Rublev (second win vs him in 2025).
- 🧭 Asian swing history: QF here in 2024; limited regional reps overall.
- 📊 2025 hard: 9–11; righty first-strike FH when fresh.
Learner Tien (🇺🇸 #52)
- 🚀 Rapid rise: three ATP QFs in 2025 already; adaptable across conditions.
- ✅ Beijing start: d. Cerúndolo in 3; QF in Hangzhou last week.
- 🔋 Fitness edge: thrives in longer, grinding matches; lefty patterns bother rhythm players.
- 📊 2025 hard: 20–11; first full main-tour season momentum.
🔍 Full Breakdown & Value Bets
Match Breakdown + predictions + value bets are all on Patreon — coffee to join.
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