ATP Tokyo (Japan Open) — Quarterfinal: Casper Ruud vs Aleksandar Vukic
Event: Japan Open • Round: QF • Surface: Hard
🧠 Form & Context
Casper Ruud (🇳🇴 #12)
- 🔄 Recovered from a slow start vs Mochizuki (4–6, 6–1, 6–1) and looked sharp vs Berrettini (7–6, 6–2).
- 🧱 2025 base: 32–12 overall, 11–6 on hard; added a Masters title in Madrid this spring.
- 🧮 Tokyo history: never past R16 before this week — chance to post his best result here.
- 🧯 Revenge angle: trails H2H 0–1 after Shanghai 2024 (lost 4–6, 4–6).
Aleksandar Vukic (🇦🇺 #95)
- 🚪 Through qualies with reps: wins over Kovacevic, Sakamoto, Dzumhur, Altmaier.
- 🎯 Game shape: first-strike serve+FH, dangerous in quick indoor-ish hard conditions; 2025 hard 14–16.
- ⚡ Giant-killer memory: beat Ruud in Shanghai 2024; pushed Bublik to three in Hangzhou last week.
- 🧭 This week: tidy scorelines, high hold rate, early pressure on return games.
🔢 Head-to-Head
Vukic leads 1–0 (Shanghai 2024, 6–4, 6–4).
🔍 Full Breakdown & Value Bets
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