ATP Cincinnati — Andrey Rublev vs Francisco Comesana
Hard court • USA • Round of 16
🧠 Form & Context
Andrey Rublev
- 💪 Battle-tested: d. Tien 7–6, 6–3; d. Popyrin from a set down in 3+ hours.
- 🔄 Confidence rebuild: Close wins key after recent morale dips.
- 📍 Cincy pedigree: First Masters QF here (2019), finalist (2021), QF (2024, l. Sinner).
- ⚠️ 2025 Masters: Mixed results but competitive vs top opposition.
- 🔙 Wimbledon 2024: Upset by Comesana in R1.
Francisco Comesana
- 🚀 Summer surge: R16 here after wins over Munar, Darderi, Opelka; decent Toronto showing.
- 🌍 All-court growth: Clay-first profile evolving on hard.
- 🎯 Big-match potential: 4–3 vs top-20; beat Rublev at Wimbledon 2024.
- 📈 Milestone hunt: First non-clay ATP QF within reach.
- ⚠️ Cincy debut: Adjusting well to conditions.
🔍 Match Breakdown
Rublev levers: First-strike forehand, depth into the backhand corner, sustained tempo to rush Comesana.
Comesana levers: Take-on-the-rise timing and rhythm disruption to blunt flat pace.
X-factor: Rublev’s steadier emotions this week should minimize lapses seen in their Wimbledon meeting.
🔮 Prediction
Pick: Andrey Rublev in straight sets — with a likely tiebreak in the opener.
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