Wednesday, August 13, 2025

Rublev vs Comesana

ATP Cincinnati — Rublev vs Comesana | Preview & Pick

ATP Cincinnati — Andrey Rublev vs Francisco Comesana

Hard court • USA • Round of 16

🧠 Form & Context

Andrey Rublev

  • 💪 Battle-tested: d. Tien 7–6, 6–3; d. Popyrin from a set down in 3+ hours.
  • 🔄 Confidence rebuild: Close wins key after recent morale dips.
  • 📍 Cincy pedigree: First Masters QF here (2019), finalist (2021), QF (2024, l. Sinner).
  • ⚠️ 2025 Masters: Mixed results but competitive vs top opposition.
  • 🔙 Wimbledon 2024: Upset by Comesana in R1.

Francisco Comesana

  • 🚀 Summer surge: R16 here after wins over Munar, Darderi, Opelka; decent Toronto showing.
  • 🌍 All-court growth: Clay-first profile evolving on hard.
  • 🎯 Big-match potential: 4–3 vs top-20; beat Rublev at Wimbledon 2024.
  • 📈 Milestone hunt: First non-clay ATP QF within reach.
  • ⚠️ Cincy debut: Adjusting well to conditions.

🔍 Match Breakdown

Rublev levers: First-strike forehand, depth into the backhand corner, sustained tempo to rush Comesana.

Comesana levers: Take-on-the-rise timing and rhythm disruption to blunt flat pace.

X-factor: Rublev’s steadier emotions this week should minimize lapses seen in their Wimbledon meeting.

🔮 Prediction

Pick: Andrey Rublev in straight sets — with a likely tiebreak in the opener.

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