Sinner vs Mannarino

ATP Cincinnati — Jannik Sinner vs Adrian Mannarino

Hard court • USA • Round of 16

🧠 Form & Context

Jannik Sinner

• 🔥 23-match hard-court winning streak — longest outside the Big Four in ATP history.
• 🏆 Defending Cincinnati champion; won here in 2024 as world No. 1 now.
• 📈 Finals in last six hard events (5 titles, 1 loss to Alcaraz).
• 💪 Saved a set point vs Diallo in R3 before closing in straights.
• 📍 H2H: Leads Mannarino 3–0, one set lost.

Adrian Mannarino

• 🚪 Won five matches this week including qualies (d. Thompson, Machac, Paul).
• 🧠 Tricky lefty: Flat shots, low bounces can disrupt timing.
• 📉 Poor elite record: 10–59 vs top-10; 0–6 sets vs world No. 1s.
• ⚠️ Masters R16 struggles: 2–10 in this stage, rare QF progress.
• 💰 Ranking jump: From outside top 100 to live No. 71 in a month.

🔍 Match Breakdown

Baseline dominance (Sinner): Superior pace, depth, and backhand down-the-line pressure target Mannarino’s forehand side.

Mannarino’s path: Early disruption via low, skidding forehands and precise serving; second serve vulnerable to attack.

Style clash: Sinner’s ability to flatten against low bounces negates Mannarino’s key weapon.

🔮 Prediction

Pick: Jannik Sinner in straight sets — one set could be particularly one-sided.