Tiafoe vs Rune

ATP Cincinnati — Frances Tiafoe vs Holger Rune

Hard court • USA • Round of 16

🧠 Form & Context

Frances Tiafoe

• 🔥 Strong Cincinnati record: 2024 finalist, no sets dropped this week and no more than 4 games conceded in a set.
• 💪 US summer fighter: Six deciding-set wins in 2025 (four during US swing).
• 🎯 High stakes: Defending finalist points here and US Open SF points.
• 🏠 Conditions advantage: Thrives in hot US summer heat.
• H2H: 1–0 vs Rune (three-set win here in 2024).

Holger Rune

• 🍀 Benefited from softer draw: Wins over Safiullin and Michelsen without long matches.
• ⚠️ Endurance question marks: History of fading in humid, extended matches.
• 📉 US summer form: Only notable run was 2024 Cincinnati SF (lost to Tiafoe after winning first set).
• 🎯 Elite wins in 2025: 5–3 vs top-20, including Alcaraz in Barcelona.

🔍 Match Breakdown

Full tactical and betting breakdown available on Patreon: Read here.